My estimation was 25-35 medals for Canada, including 7-10 golds. I feel like 25 minimum is still in sight, but the golds are long gone. Five would be amazing at this point.
There's so much decided by millimeters in the winter Olympics, and Canada happens to be best at the sports that rely on not falling down, so it's always hard to predict. What has killed Canada this time is that they have underperformed at the sports where merely doing your job should get you medals, like speed skating and curling.
At the same time, there have been surprises in alpine, and most of all ski jumping (Olympic moment if there ever was one). Besides medals, Canada has performed well in cross country and biathlon. I actually got more excited for those finishes than some medals, tbh. Biathlon in particular is very exciting and dramatic.
Short track men's relay is a big deal to me, and the gold makes these Olympics good. Women finishing 4th hurt, though. Men's hockey sucks, but a medal was always going to be tough, but with Slovakia winning today a win tonight could have meant very good chances for at least the bronze. Curlers have been a disappointment, and I'd be mildly surprised at a medal there now.
I was at the gold medal women's hockey game in 2018 and to see them lose in a shootout, and then go to Canada House to interact with the players, I knew they'd come to Beijing ready for gold. That is one saving grace now (but I'm so used to disappointment here).
Sorry for rambling on, a couple of nights ago I had friends over for the GB vs CAN curling game and I prepared some alcohol. Too much apparently, and since this is the last night of my holiday I decided to get rid of it all single-handedly. I thought it was going to be a really good night for Canada, and it was in one way. And one way only. But a big one way.
GO CANADA!
and all that.