Winter Olympic Games 2018 Early Qualification Predictions

[intoronto 5,677]

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  (12) - This is a guess, (6 of each gender)

Cross Country Skiing  (7) - 4 men, 3 women; total guess

Ski Jumping  (4) - 2 men, 2 women 

Nordic Combined  (0) - Sport is pretty much non-existent here. 

Freestyle Skiing  (30) - Maximum team size

Snowboarding  (16) - Across all events

Biathlon  (10) - Should be a full team 

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (14) - 7 per gender, this is arguably the weakest speed skating team I can remember from Canada (minus our Dutch friend)

Short Track Speed Skating  (10) - full team in each gender 

Figure Skating  (16) - 2 in each singles category, 3 in each couples event 

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  (7) - 2 in men's singles, 3 in women's, 1 doubles. 

Skeleton  (4) - Canada's skeleton team is not where it used to be, predicting 2 in each gender.  

Bobsleigh  (12) - Two in each event. 

 

 

Team Sports 

 

Curling  (10) - Well this is self explanatory

Ice Hockey  (48) - See above 

 

 

 

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (230)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (180)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (200)

[heywoodu 15,174]

11 minutes ago, intoronto said:

=

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (14) - 7 per gender, this is arguably the weakest speed skating team I can remember from Canada (minus our Dutch friend)

 

I think Canada might have a better score in speed skating than the silver and bronze of 2014  (even without TJ Flowers) 

[Jur 683]

Team Size prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2018 PyeongChang

 

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  (3) - With our best skiers retiring last year, the young team's best case scenario would be one woman and two men to qualify, que can't ask for more.

Cross Country Skiing  (1) - Also Laura Orgue, our best skier, retired when Sochi ended, I don't think there's another girl out there compiting. So a men should have an "easy" way to qualify.

Ski Jumping  (-) - Does not exist here, sadly. And doesn't look like the federation is looking to improve it. They let our former training instalations to get old, and know they can't be used, they're pretty much in ruins. I don't think we are going to be present in that sport, at least for the next 30 years.

Nordic Combined  (-) - Same thing.

Freestyle Skiing  (1) - Well, I'm confident in this one. I don't know what Katia Griffits is up to, maybe she retired, no idea. But we have young boys around that are doing good work. For the first time ever, the federation is funding some guys; and the fact that the World Championships are in Spain this year is motivating them a lot, so I hope it works for at least one of them.

Snowboarding  (6) - Yep, I'm maybe going all over the place with this one, but our three men in cross, Queralt Casteller, Maria Hidalgo and Josito Aragon, I saw all of them with chances.

Biathlon  (1) - I only see Victoria Padial getting in, no chances for men.

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (1) - We have a men who's doing good, and that's all.

Short Track Speed Skating  (-) - Well, 2016 is the first time Spain had national championships in this sport, we have a long way to go.

Figure Skating  (5) - I still see Javier Fernandez as World Champ this year, so that would give three men's quotas. Also, I think that a dance quota would be easy, even with our best couple (Sara and Adria) spliting last year. Sadly, I don't see any women getting a place, and that's bad because a women would qualify Spain for the Team Event too.

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  (-) - Not existing sport.

Skeleton  (1) - Mirambell should be back. Sadly I don't see our girl getting a place, but we'll see about that.

Bobsleigh  (-) - Well, we have a girl duo fighting for it, but I don't know, I'm not positive about that, since the federation doesn't look like they're working on them much....

 

 

Team Sports

 

Curling  (-) - Coming from medallist in Mixed Curling in 2013 I think, it's sad were we are know. No chance at all.

Ice Hockey  (-) - Well, we have no chance now, and that's kinda enbarrasing.

 

 

 

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (28)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (16)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (20)

[DaniSRB 899]

I have no idea if we have any chance except alpine skiing and i guess we will try bobsleigh

[hckošice 14,899]

46 minutes ago, intoronto said:

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (230)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (180)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (200)

 

This feeling when even most pessimistic prediction is 180  

[hckošice 14,899]

23 minutes ago, DaniSRB said:

I have no idea if we have any chance except alpine skiing and i guess we will try bobsleigh

 

has actually a very interesting prospect in alpine skiing mens speed disciplines

[Pavlo 141]

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  (2-3) - just guessing, we`re hopeless, Korea is far far away

Cross Country Skiing  (8-10) - probably 2 full teams lets say

Ski Jumping  (6-7) - probably full men`s team + 2 girls?

Nordic Combined  (3-4) - we even have a chance for a full team quota

Freestyle Skiing  (0-2) - hard to say today

Snowboarding  (1-2) - as above

Biathlon  (7-8) - full woman`s team +2-3 guys?

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (8-10) - we`re quite useful, this is realistic

Short Track Speed Skating  (2-3) - 2 girls + 1 guy

Figure Skating  (2-3) - ice dance + maybe 1 solo skater

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  (5) - lets say 1 pair, and 1+2 ind (we will see in which gender 1, in which 2)

Skeleton  (0-1) - maybe someone will qualify

Bobsleigh  (3-5) - 2 + maybe 4

 

 

Team Sports

 

Curling  (0) - no comments

Ice Hockey  (0) - no comments

 

 

 

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (63)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (43)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (53)

[DaniSRB 899]

6 minutes ago, hckosice said:

 

has actually a very interesting prospect in alpine skiing mens speed disciplines

i've heard yesterday a skier scored below 10 points 

[Jur 683]

Man, I really feel so jelaous...

[hckošice 14,899]

1 minute ago, DaniSRB said:

i've heard yesterday a skier scored below 10 points 

 

well he was on podium in both yesterdays FIS races 1st and 2nd and it´s not that it was just a random race, there were plenty of interesting names competing. very promising guy.