Winter Olympic Games Milano Cortina 2026 Qualification Simulation Road to Milano Cortina 2026

[evil betty 65]

A few additions to above list:

 athlete remains ineligible so far, and cannot be confirmed qualified until likely January anyway based on qualification criteria

 qualified an alpine skiier.

 

 has an american competing in freestyle (SS,HP,BA), seems like a long shot but possible

 has a male alpine skiier who is close to qualifying, however who knows if they will be able to go anyway

 

 ,  ,  ,  ,  , all have reasonable shots to qualify in cross-country skiiing with the modified WC rules for the fall session.

 

 athlete switched to  but was denied release, so has to sit out for a year to continue competing. It remains possible, but very unlikely Tchibozo will compete in the Olympics for Benin.

Edited October 1 by evil betty
correction

[evil betty 65]

On 10/1/2025 at 7:57 AM, evil betty said:

 

 

 athlete switched to  but was denied release, so has to sit out for a year to continue competing. It remains possible, but very unlikely Tchibozo will compete in the Olympics for Benin.

Well so much for "very unlikely", the latest FIS list has him as eligible for the Olympics representing  , so one new Winter Olympic nation today I guess.

[Topicmaster1010 5,327]

Here's a minor update of the quota projections before short track qualifying begins next week. Some new nations have joined the list and there's been some changes in the alpine skiing, figure skating and ski jumping quotas along with some athletes changing nationalities. Also fixed some mistakes.

 

Africa (7 nations)

 

 Benin: 1 (NEW)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Eritrea: 1 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Guinea-Bissau: 1 (NEW)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Kenya: 1 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 Madagascar: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 Morocco: 1 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Nigeria: 1 (0)

(Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 South Africa: 3 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 1)

 

Americas (12 nations)

 

 Argentina: 8 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Cross-Country Skiing - 4, Luge - 1)

 Bolivia: 1 (0)

(Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Brazil: 16 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 4, Biathlon - 1, Bobsleigh - 4, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Short Track - 1, Skeleton - 1, Snowboarding - 2)

 Canada: 204 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 11, Biathlon - 8, Bobsleigh - 14, Cross-Country Skiing - 12, Curling - 11, Figure Skating - 12, Freestyle Skiing - 32, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 6, Short Track - 10, Skeleton - 2, Ski Jumping - 4, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 19, Speed Skating - 13)

 Chile: 4 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 1)

 Colombia: 2 (0)

(Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Skeleton - 1)

 Haiti: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Jamaica: 1 (-1)

(Bobsleigh - 1)

 Mexico: 5 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2, Figure Skating - 1)

 Puerto Rico: 1 (0)

(Skeleton - 1)

 Trinidad and Tobago: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 United States: 218 (-5)

(Alpine Skiing - 17, Biathlon - 8, Bobsleigh - 14, Cross-Country Skiing - 16, Curling - 6, Figure Skating - 16, Freestyle Skiing - 32, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 11, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 4, Skeleton - 4, Ski Jumping - 6, Snowboarding - 23, Speed Skating - 11)

 

 Uruguay: 1 (NEW)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 

Asia (18 nations)

 

 China: 117 (+2)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 3, Bobsleigh - 8, Cross-Country Skiing - 5, Curling - 10, Figure Skating - 6, Freestyle Skiing - 24, Luge - 6, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 10, Skeleton - 5, Ski Jumping - 4, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 16, Speed Skating - 14)

 Hong Kong: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Short Track - 1)

 India: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Iran: 4 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Japan: 125 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Curling - 7, Figure Skating - 12, Freestyle Skiing - 20, Ice Hockey - 23, Luge - 1, Nordic Combined - 3, Short Track - 9, Ski Jumping - 8, Snowboarding - 20, Speed Skating - 13)

 Kazakhstan: 42 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 3, Cross-Country Skiing - 8, Figure Skating - 2, Freestyle Skiing - 12, Nordic Combined - 1, Short Track - 8, Ski Jumping - 2, Speed Skating - 4)

 Kyrgyzstan: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Lebanon: 1 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Malaysia: 1 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Mongolia: 2 (0)

(Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Philippines: 2 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Saudi Arabia: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Singapore: 1 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 South Korea: 62 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 2, Bobsleigh - 4, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Curling - 5, Figure Skating - 6, Freestyle Skiing - 6, Luge - 1, Short Track - 10, Skeleton - 1, Snowboarding - 11, Speed Skating - 11)

 Taiwan: 6 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 2, Figure Skating, Skeleton - 1, Speed Skating - 1)

 Thailand: 4 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Bobsleigh - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 United Arab Emirates: 2 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 Uzbekistan: 3 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Figure Skating - 2)

 

Europe (47 nations)

 

 Albania: 4 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 4)

 Andorra: 7 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 4, Cross-Country Skiing - 3)

 Armenia: 5 (+2)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Figure Skating - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Austria: 113 (+4)

(Alpine Skiing - 22, Biathlon - 9, Bobsleigh - 12, Cross-Country Skiing - 8, Figure Skating - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 13, Luge - 11, Nordic Combined - 3, Short Track - 1, Skeleton - 4, Ski Jumping - 8, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 17, Speed Skating - 2)

 Azerbaijan: 1 (0)

(Figure Skating - 1)

 Belgium: 32 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 4, Biathlon - 8, Bobsleigh - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Figure Skating - 2, Short Track - 5, Skeleton - 1, Ski Mountaineering - 1, Snowboarding - 1, Speed Skating - 7)

 Bosnia and Herzegovina: 5 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Luge - 1)

 Bulgaria: 19 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Biathlon - 8, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 1, Ski Jumping - 1, Snowboarding - 3)

 Croatia: 14 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 6, Biathlon - 3, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Short Track - 2)

 Cyprus: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 Czech Republic: 121 (-2)

(Alpine Skiing - 5, Biathlon - 10, Bobsleigh - 10, Cross-Country Skiing - 13, Curling - 5, Figure Skating - 4, Freestyle Skiing - 5, Ice Hockey - 48, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 4, Snowboarding - 9, Speed Skating - 4)

 Denmark: 40 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 2, Bobsleigh - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Curling - 5, Ice Hockey - 25, Skeleton - 2, Speed Skating - 2)

 Estonia: 32 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Biathlon - 8, Cross-Country Skiing - 8, Curling - 2, Figure Skating - 2, Freestyle Skiing - 2, Nordic Combined - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 2, Snowboarding - 1, Speed Skating - 1)

 Finland: 102 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 5, Biathlon - 10, Cross-Country Skiing - 16, Figure Skating - 5, Freestyle Skiing - 8, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 1, Nordic Combined - 2, Ski Jumping - 5, Snowboarding - 2)

 France: 152 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 19, Biathlon - 12, Bobsleigh - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 15, Figure Skating - 9, Freestyle Skiing - 18, Ice Hockey - 48, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 3, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 6, Ski Mountaineering - 4, Snowboarding - 10, Speed Skating - 3)

 Georgia: 8 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Figure Skating - 6)

 Germany: 190 (+2)

(Alpine Skiing - 12, Biathlon - 11, Bobsleigh - 18, Cross-Country Skiing - 14, Curling - 5, Figure Skating - 6, Freestyle Skiing - 11, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 12, Nordic Combined - 3, Short Track - 1, Skeleton - 6, Ski Jumping - 8, Ski Mountaineering - 3, Snowboarding - 19, Speed Skating - 13)

 Great Britain: 56 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Biathlon - 1, Bobsleigh - 10, Cross-Country Skiing - 4, Curling - 10, Figure Skating - 8, Freestyle Skiing - 7, Short Track - 3, Skeleton - 5, Snowboarding - 5)

 Greece: 5 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 3)

 Hungary: 16 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 4, Figure Skating - 2, Short Track - 5, Snowboarding - 2, Speed Skating - 1)

 Iceland: 4 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Ireland: 8 (+2)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2, Freestyle Skiing - 2, Luge - 1, Short Track - 1)

 Israel: 4 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Figure Skating - 1, Skeleton - 1)

 Italy: 191 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 22, Biathlon - 10, Bobsleigh - 10, Cross-Country Skiing - 13, Curling - 10, Figure Skating - 9, Freestyle Skiing - 10, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 10, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 10, Skeleton - 3, Ski Jumping - 7, Ski Mountaineering - 3, Snowboarding - 15, Speed Skating - 10)

 Kosovo: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 Latvia: 68 (-2)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 8, Bobsleigh - 9, Cross-Country Skiing - 6, Figure Skating - 2, Ice Hockey - 25, Luge - 11, Short Track - 2, Skeleton - 3)

 Liechtenstein: 4 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Lithuania: 17 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 8, Cross-Country Skiing - 4, Figure Skating - 3)

 Luxembourg: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 Malta: 1 (0)

(Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Moldova: 4 (0)

(Biathlon - 4)

 Monaco: 5 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Bobsleigh - 4)

 Montenegro: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Netherlands: 43 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Bobsleigh - 4, Figure Skating - 2, Freestyle Skiing - 1, Nordic Combined - 1, Short Track - 10, Skeleton - 1, Snowboarding - 4, Speed Skating - 18)

 North Macedonia: 3 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Norway: 90 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 18, Biathlon - 11, Cross-Country Skiing - 16, Curling - 11, Freestyle Skiing - 5, Nordic Combined - 3, Ski Jumping - 7, Ski Mountaineering - 3, Snowboarding - 4, Speed Skating - 12)

 Poland: 60 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Biathlon - 8, Bobsleigh - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Figure Skating - 4, Luge - 6, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 7, Ski Jumping - 6, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 4, Speed Skating - 9)

 Portugal: 3 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Romania: 34 (+2)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 6, Bobsleigh - 8, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 1, Luge - 8, Ski Jumping - 4, Snowboarding - 2)

 Serbia: 4 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Slovakia: 53 (+3)

(Alpine Skiing - 4, Biathlon - 6, Bobsleigh - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 1, Ice Hockey - 25, Luge - 6, Ski Jumping - 2, Ski Mountaineering - 3, Snowboarding - 1)

 Slovenia: 41 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 10, Biathlon - 9, Cross-Country Skiing - 8, Nordic Combined - 2, Ski Jumping - 7, Snowboarding - 5)

 Spain: 19 (+2)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Bobsleigh - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 5, Ski Mountaineering - 4, Snowboarding - 4)

 Sweden: 116 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 10, Biathlon - 12, Cross-Country Skiing - 16, Curling - 10, Figure Skating - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 15, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 2, Ski Jumping, Snowboarding - 1)

 Switzerland: 178 (-2)

(Alpine Skiing - 22, Biathlon - 10, Bobsleigh - 16, Cross-Country Skiing - 13, Curling - 10, Figure Skating - 3, Freestyle Skiing - 21, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 1, Nordic Combined - 2, Skeleton - 3, Ski Jumping - 4, Ski Mountaineering - 4, Snowboarding - 18, Speed Skating - 3)

 Türkiye: 7 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2, Short Track - 1, Ski Jumping - 2)

 Ukraine: 44 (-2)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 10, Cross-Country Skiing - 6, Figure Skating - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 8, Luge - 8, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 2, Snowboarding - 2)

 

Oceania (3 nations)

 

 Australia: 57 (+4)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Biathlon - 1, Bobsleigh - 8, Cross-Country Skiing - 8, Curling - 2, Figure Skating - 4, Freestyle Skiing - 13, Luge - 1, Short Track - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 12)

 New Zealand: 20 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 4, Freestyle Skiing - 10, Snowboarding - 5, Speed Skating - 1)

 Vanuatu: 1 (0)

(Freestyle Skiing - 1)

 

Other (1 nation)

 

 Individual Neutral Athletes: 17 (-6)

(Figure Skating - 3, Short Track - 2, Ski Mountaineering - 1, Speed Skating - 11)

Edited October 5 by Topicmaster1010

[rafalgorka 1,808]

@Topicmaster1010 

[avlar 453]

Some news on AIN athletes and federations.


Today FIS decided that no russians will be allowed to compete in ski and snowboarding.

That was the last federation to communicate this question.

At the same time russians have appealed (partly successfully) in bobsleigh and skeleton.

The whole picture:

 

 1. Hockey

 2. Curling 

 3. Luge

 4. Cross-country

 5. Ski jumping

 6. Nordic combined

 7. Freestyle

 8. Snowboarding

 9. Bobsleigh

 10. Skeleton

 11. Ski Mountaineering (1 quota)

 12. Speed Skating (Limited)

 13. Figure Skating (2 quotas, qualification finished)

 14. Short Track (Limited)

 15. Alpine skiing

 16. Biathlon

[rafalgorka 1,808]

44 minutes ago, avlar said:

Some news on AIN athletes and federations.


Today FIS decided that no russians will be allowed to compete in ski and snowboarding.

That was the last federation to communicate this question.

At the same time russians have appealed (partly successfully) in bobsleigh and skeleton.

The whole picture:

 

 1. Hockey

 2. Curling 

 3. Luge

 4. Cross-country

 5. Ski jumping

 6. Nordic combined

 7. Freestyle

 8. Snowboarding

 9. Bobsleigh

 10. Skeleton

 11. Ski Mountaineering (1 quota)

 12. Speed Skating (Limited)

 13. Figure Skating (2 quotas, qualification finished)

 14. Short Track (Limited)

 15. Alpine skiing

 16. Biathlon

I wonder if a medal or two for them in figure skating is possible . What are their biggest medal chances anyway? I guess figure skating 

Edited October 21 by rafalgorka

[rafalgorka 1,808]

And is it personal qualifications for them in figure skating or is it just for AIN team and we don’t know the exact athletes yet?

[avlar 453]

13 minutes ago, rafalgorka said:

I wonder if a medal or two for them in figure skating is possible . What are their biggest medal chances anyway? I guess figure skating 

I suppose Figure skating is the only real chance. 
I do not know what we will see in speed skating but they are not looking like a medal contenders in short-track.

 

Of course they can try appeal against FIS decision but todays`s reaction from Stepanova gives some clues that their top sliers prefer places in parliament in future instead of Olympics - 2026.

 

 

 

[avlar 453]

16 minutes ago, rafalgorka said:

And is it personal qualifications for them in figure skating or is it just for AIN team and we don’t know the exact athletes yet?

Personal. 1 man and 1 woman with 1 substitute for each (in case of injury). No other athletes will be allowed. 

The same approacj for all ISU disciplines. No new neutral athletes may appear. On the contrary the list may be shortened if neutrality rules will be / were violated by someone

 

By the way, FIS`s decison means that no russians in ski and snowboarding at the Paralympics.

[Bailer 44]

Russian athletes are banned? Good.