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Rowing WR World Championships 2023


Totallympics
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19 hours ago, Ogreman said:
          Form rankings                

 

 

M1X W1X M2- W2- M2X W2X LM2X LW2X M4- W4- M4X W4X M8+ W8+
1 GER NED GBR< AUS NED ROU IRL GBR GBR AUS POL NED GBR ROU<
2 DEN AUS ROU> ROU CRO< LTU FRA ROU< AUS ROU NED CHN NED GBR
3 NZL NZL SWI NED ITA CHN< SWI FRA NZL GBR ITA GBR AUS CAN
4 JPN SWI ESP IRL IRL> USA ITA USA< NED USA GBR SWI ROU< AUS
5 GRE GER IRL GRE ROU FRA CZE IRL USA NED AUS UKR GER USA
6 BEL USA LTU GBR ESP IRL ESP GRE> FRA IRL ROU GER USA> CHN
7 CRO AUT SRB USA BEL AUS GRE NZL ROU CHN EST< ITA< CHN ITA
8 BUL UZB< AUS LTU CHN GRE< BEL CHN UKR DEN UKR< USA> ITA GER
9 NED> SRB< DEN< CHI NZL NED NZL ITA SWI< NZL IRL CAN CAN  
10 LTU CHN> USA DEN MDA NOR UKR CAN CHN< ESP GER AUS AUT  
11 CAN BUL AIN (B) ESP USA POL MEX> POL GER> POL NOR FRA    
12 AIN (R) ESP CRO< CZE> FRA GER NOR SWI POL GER SWI ROU    
13 SRB LTU NZL CRO AUS GBR POL AUS RSA> CAN LTU CZE    
14 HUN ITA< ITA GER NOR< ITA CHN AUT IRL> MEX CHN      
15 ITA> AIN (B)< RSA POL GER NZL GER GER ITA   USA      
16 NOR CZE CAN ITA GBR CZE POR ESP DEN   CAN      
17 URU< TUR NED NZL GRE CAN AUS DEN     CZE      
18 BRA ROU TUR CAN CZE SWI> USA TUN            
19 ESP GBR> POL AIN (B) SRB RSA TUR> PER            
20 AUS UKR FRA FRA POL>   AUT EGY            
21 USA AIN (R) CHN CHN UKR<   EST              
22 POR FRA GER PAR SWE<   URU              
23 AIN (B) JPN HUN   LTU   UZB>              
24 CHN POL SLO   BUL   ISR              
25 SLO NOR< CZE   URU>   EGY              
26 TUN LAT< EGY   RSA                  
27 TUR SLO     CUB                  
28 MON PER     EGY                  
29 ROU KUW     PER                  
30 CYP BRN     BRN                  
31 ISR TOG                        
32 AZE                          
33 SWE>                          
34 EGY                          
35 MEX>                          
36 ESA<                          
37 BER                          
38 FIN                          
39 PAR                          
40 ZIM                          
41 CIV<                          
42 IRQ                          
43 GEO                          
44 BAR                          
45 ANG                          
46 BEN                          
47 SUD                          
48 LIB                          

So 122/144 (84.7%) of semifinalists I had ranked in the top 12. (Obviously not counting the eights here). Only two boats not in the top 16 made the semis and one was the AIN (Belarus) boat which obviously had zero form to go off. Accounting for a few errors on my part and quarterfinal/repechage draws meaning in some cases 4 or 5 boats I had picked were competing for the same spots in the semis I think this estimation has gone pretty well. Obviously we will see how many actual qualifiers it gets right and medals well might be less accurate so not sure how useful it would be as say an Olympic predictor. It no longer looks quite as clean but at least nine of the semifinalists were right in every boat class so we should be on for an 80+% hit rate on correct Olympic qualifiers.

It was a bad day for Greece and Belgium who had multiple projected qualifiers miss out on the semis. Italy are the big winners so far.

Edited by Ogreman
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and here we go with the men's Semifinals Lineup:

 

men's Single Sculls (9 OQPs, Top 3 Advance to the Final)
SF #1: :BUL :LTU :GRE :GER :BLR (AIN2) :CRO
SF #2: :ITA :SRB :NED :DEN :NZL :JPN


men's Pairs (11 OQPs, Top 3 Advance to the Final)
SF #1: :ITA :USA :SUI :GBR :DEN :CRO
SF #2: :NZL :IRL :ROU :ESP :RSA :AUS


men's Double Sculls (11 OQPs, Top 3 Advance to the Final)
SF #1: :FRA :ITA :NED :ROU :CHN :MDA
SF #2: :NOR :IRL :ESP :CRO :NZL :GER


men's Fours (7 OQPs, Top 3 Advance to the Final)
SF #1: :DEN :ITA :NED :USA :FRA :UKR
SF #2: :SUI :AUS :GBR :NZL :ROU :RSA


men's Quadruple Sculls (7 OQPs, Top 3 Advance to the Final)
SF #1: :NOR :UKR :POL :ITA :GER :USA
SF #2: :EST :AUS :SUI :NED :GBR :ROU

 

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3 hours ago, Adriano said:

Italy what a performance

yeah, way better than expected

 

but it's only a first step

 

most of these boats won't even qualify to the Olympics...and the medals are far away from our capability (with 2, maybe 3 exceptions)

 

however, having 12 of our 13 Olympic boats (in 1 event we didn't participate) in the top 12 of the World is great, it means that our rowing is still very good on average

 

unfortunately, right now we miss a few absolute top class rowers to build 2 or 3 crews being consistently a gold medal threat

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3 hours ago, Benolympique said:

Nations Favorites ?

:GBR and :ROU in SF #1 (3rd spot is very open, I hope :ITA but I don't trust them at all)

:CAN and :USA in SF #2 (:NZL should get the 3rd spot, but :IRL might sneak in into the top 3 as well)

 

in any case, if the weather is like today, the lane draw will do it, as there's too much disparity between the lanes 1-3 and the others (Today, good 90% of the races had the boats in the lanes 1-3 also in the top 3 of the rankings, with very few exceptions...and not only because they were the top seeds)

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11 minutes ago, phelps said:

:GBR and :ROU in SF #1 (3rd spot is very open, I hope :ITA but I don't trust them at all)

:CAN and :USA in SF #2 (:NZL should get the 3rd spot, but :IRL might sneak in into the top 3 as well)

 

in any case, if the weather is like today, the lane draw will do it, as there's too much disparity between the lanes 1-3 and the others (Today, good 90% of the races had the boats in the lanes 1-3 also in the top 3 of the rankings, with very few exceptions...and not only because they were the top seeds)

what are France's chances for the LW2x and M4-?

 

and for the rest of the Tqo, can we hope to qualify one or two boats?

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Looking distinctly likely that :GBR could end up sending one of their smallest rowing squads to an Olympic Games in over 20 years. Having only entered 12 out of the 14 classes, they are now down to just 9 boats still in contention. 

 

The only positive to the situation is that over half of the remaining British crews could find themselves on the podium at the end of the regatta. 

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