Josh 7,967 Posted May 30, 2023 #11 Share Posted May 30, 2023 7 hours ago, Cinnamon Bun said: Who would everyone say is the favourite for each quota, particularly the European ones? Not too sure on the Men's (hoping it's Luke Dillon) but on the Women's it surely has to be Noa Leilor. I don't watch surfing as frequently as some of you, but I catch some action from time to time. Here's what I think. Europe (Women)- Noa Leilor Vahine Fierro Pauline Ado Noah Klapp Rachel Presti Francesca Veselko Yolanda Sequiera Europe (Men)- Maxime Huscenot Joan Duru Kauli Vaast Leonardo Fioravanti Frederico Morais Aritz Aranburu Oceania (Women) - Paige Hareb Oceania (Men) - Billy Stairmand Asia (Women) - Amuro Tsuzuki Mahina Maeda Asia (Men) - Rio Waida Kanoa Igarashi Africa (Women) - Sarah Baum Africa (Men) - Ramzi Boukhiam Jordy Smith Matthew McGillivray This is taking into account that Australia qualifies two athletes (per gender) for the 2024 Olympics through WSL. Women are guaranteed, while men are highly likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Josh 7,967 Posted May 30, 2023 #12 Share Posted May 30, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, Josh said: I don't watch surfing as frequently as some of you, but I catch some action from time to time. Here's what I think. Europe (Women)- Noa Leilor Vahine Fierro Pauline Ado Noah Klapp Rachel Presti Francesca Veselko Yolanda Sequiera Europe (Men)- Maxime Huscenot Joan Duru Kauli Vaast Leonardo Fioravanti Frederico Morais Aritz Aranburu Oceania (Women) - Paige Hareb Oceania (Men) - Billy Stairmand Asia (Women) - Amuro Tsuzuki Mahina Maeda Asia (Men) - Rio Waida Kanoa Igarashi Africa (Women) - Sarah Baum Africa (Men) - Ramzi Boukhiam Jordy Smith Matthew McGillivray This is taking into account that Australia qualifies two athletes (per gender) for the 2024 Olympics through WSL. Women are guaranteed, while men are highly likely. Extremely bored so I'm gonna try to predict who will win the quotas, I'd say Fierro Huscenot Hareb Stairmand Tsuzuki Waida Baum Boukhiam Let's see how off my predictions are in a week Edited May 30, 2023 by Josh Laraja 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cinnamon Bun 484 Posted May 30, 2023 #13 Share Posted May 30, 2023 9 minutes ago, Josh said: Extremely bored so I'm gonna try to predict who will win the quotas, I'd say Fierro Fioravanti Hareb Stairmand Tsuzuki Waida Baum McGillivray Let's see how off my predictions are in a week I believe Fioravanti has qualified via world rankings, as has McGillivray. With that said here are my predictions: Europe: Men - Want Dillon but think it'll be Huscenot Women - Noa Leilor Oceania: The same 2 as you Africa: Men - Boukhiam Women - Baum Asia: Same 2 as you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Josh 7,967 Posted May 30, 2023 #14 Share Posted May 30, 2023 (edited) Other names to watch out for (Thanks @Laraja) include Aboubakr Bouaouda , Cherif Fall , Guilherme Fonseca , Guilherme Ribeiro , Luke Dillon , Nadia Erostarbe , Ariane Torres , Gonzalo Gutierrez , Dylan Groen , Leon Glatzer , Kaspar Hamminga , Lucy Campbell , Anat Leilor , Emily Gussoni , Giada Legati , Mirna Boelsma , Camilla Kemp , Zoe Steyn , Kailani Johnson , Taina Izquierdo , Shino Matsuda Edited May 30, 2023 by Josh Laraja 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rafa Maciel 1,513 Posted May 31, 2023 #15 Share Posted May 31, 2023 Looking at the previous results, in order to secure a quota on the men's side, you're realistically going to need to get through to round 5 or 6 of the main draw and then hope to last 1-2 rounds of the repechage. For the record, in 2019 the winner of both the African and European quotas made it to Round 6 of the main draw and progressed through 2 repechage rounds. For Asia, they exited the main draw in round 5 before also surviving 2 rounds of repechage whilst Oceania lost in round 3 of main draw but survived 6 rounds of repechage. In 2022 Luke Dillon got through to round 3 before heading to the repechage rounds. His draw this time around is equally challenging - he's got a couple of decent Portuguese athletes alongside a couple of Israelis, Japanese and Kiwis - including Billy Stairmand who has been picked out above as the preferred pick for the Oceania quota. Long story short can see Dillon getting through to round 3 again, but struggling to see the path that gets him to a quota unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laraja 1,448 Posted May 31, 2023 #16 Share Posted May 31, 2023 First day of the event, and no big surprises. Apart of Mirna Boelsma and Zoe Steyn who didn't advance and are already in the repechage rounds. Great news for Sarah Baum who is by far the favorite for women's african quota. Highlight also to surfer, who won his heat! Josh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adriano 525 Posted June 1, 2023 #17 Share Posted June 1, 2023 5 hours ago, Laraja said: First day of the event, and no big surprises. Apart of Mirna Boelsma and Zoe Steyn who didn't advance and are already in the repechage rounds. Great news for Sarah Baum who is by far the favorite for women's african quota. Highlight also to surfer, who won his heat! Laraja, can you tell me how this works? 2 athletes goes to final in each round? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gianlu33 3,737 Posted June 1, 2023 #18 Share Posted June 1, 2023 4 hours ago, Adriano said: Laraja, can you tell me how this works? 2 athletes goes to final in each round? There are 7 round+final, the best 2 athletes advance to the next round. The losers are "relegated" to the repechage, with the same rules (best 2 to next round). The final will be with the 2 winners of round 7 + 2 winner of last repechage round Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laraja 1,448 Posted June 1, 2023 #19 Share Posted June 1, 2023 3 hours ago, Gianlu33 said: There are 7 round+final, the best 2 athletes advance to the next round. The losers are "relegated" to the repechage, with the same rules (best 2 to next round). The final will be with the 2 winners of round 7 + 2 winner of last repechage round @Adriano That's it! Basically, there are two paths: Main Round and Repechage Round. All the surfers start in the Main Round, and they need to keep winning on it. That means, finishing on 1st or 2nd places until the Final Round. If they "lose", finishing on 3rd or 4th places, they will be relegated to Repechage Rounds, were they have to surfer twice more than in the Main Round. There, they can't lose their heats anymore, otherwise they will be eliminated. It's like a double elimination, two losts and goodbye! Josh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laraja 1,448 Posted June 1, 2023 #20 Share Posted June 1, 2023 End of the Main Round 1 for women, and we had surfers from and advancing on first place. It's a huge surprise. Let's see how far they can go. Btw, they are in the same heat at Main Round 2 PS: Yesterday, I didn't realize but a very good surfer didn't advance as well. It could be a big issue for him, thinking on the Panamerican qualification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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