Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Unqualified Nations

[JoshMartini007 2,861]

 

Remaining NOCs (Potential Events they can qualify in)

 

• None

 

 

Total NOCs Remaining: 0

Edited July 13, 2024 by JoshMartini007

[JoshMartini007 2,861]

Not too many more opportunities for new nations to qualify prior to the end of this year. We are down to four more direct qualifying events.

 

World Artistic Gymnastics Championships - Very unlikely to qualify a new nation, the best chances IMO would be Turkiye in the men and Canada in the women, but again it's very unlikely.

European Women's Handball Championship - Again unlikely with the best chances going to Hungary or Montenegro.

Shooting Championship of the Americas - We could see a few nations qualify. The United States will eat a lot of the quotas (assuming they are sending a relatively strong team), but I suspect we will see Cuba and/or Mexico qualify their first athletes. There are a few other individuals (Argentina, Canada, Chile, Ecuador, Guatemala, Peru, Puerto Rico) which could also qualify.

Urban Cycling World Championship - This is for BMX Park. This event despite occurring first is of a lower priority, but until the Olympic Qualifier Series is completed the quotas will likely be awarded to an already qualified nation. Perhaps Argentina, Costa Rica or Croatia might surprise.

[JoshMartini007 2,861]

Canada defies the odds and becomes the latest nation to qualify to the Olympics

[Illya 590]

12 hours ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Canada defies the odds and becomes the latest nation to qualify to the Olympics

Hm, what about Leuris Pupo from Cuba who can make your sentence uncorrect?)

[Rafa Maciel 1,709]

25 minutes ago, Illya said:

Hm, what about Leuris Pupo from Cuba who can make your sentence uncorrect?)

Pupo didn't win a quota at the recent world championships - although he may well do so at next week's CAT XIII Championships - so I'm not following your logic here. Cuba haven't qualified any athletes as yet whereas Canada has. How can the sentence be incorrect?

[Illya 590]

2 hours ago, Rafa Maciel said:

Pupo didn't win a quota at the recent world championships - although he may well do so at next week's CAT XIII Championships - so I'm not following your logic here. Cuba haven't qualified any athletes as yet whereas Canada has. How can the sentence be incorrect?

If Cuba wins an Olympic ticket, it will be the latest nation for the time being, not Canada. Situation can changed 

[Sindo 1,830]

9 minutes ago, Illya said:

If Cuba wins an Olympic ticket, it will be the latest nation for the time being, not Canada. Situation can changed 

"Latest" means only the closest in time. I guess you meant "the last one (in 2022)" (I understand it because in Italian language would be the same ), but @JoshMartini007 sentence meant like Canada is the most recent, not that it will be the last one.

[Illya 590]

4 minutes ago, Sindo said:

"Latest" means only the closest in time. I guess you meant "the last one (in 2022)" (I understand it because in Italian language would be the same ), but @JoshMartini007 sentence meant like Canada is the most recent, not that it will be the last one.

Oh God, yeap, I missunderstand this reply 

[JoshMartini007 2,861]

World Athletics has finally published its qualification document. The qualification period for the marathon began on November 1st. The following nations have qualified an athlete to the Olympics based on eligible marathon results:

 

[JoshMartini007 2,861]

I've updated the first post with the potential sports each nation may qualify in. I went through each event and wrote down which unqualified nations have a chance at qualifying (including wild cards/tripartites). This information is based on recent events and world rankings so as we get closer to the games and more athletes compete or nations fail to qualify in a sport I will continue to update the list. If anyone has any suggestions please let me know. Just remember, unlikely is okay, but not impossible.

 

For Belarus and Russia I worked under the impression that they will return tomorrow (even though that's quite unlikely), but at the same time for other nations I worked under the impression that they will be fully banned. I am working under the similar ideals for North Korea for when/if they return.

 

As we still have many middle size nations, I've only listed the sports to save space. If you want a full breakdown of a nation let me know and I can reply. I'll probably update the first post with events once most of those nations qualify. Here's the top 10 nations with the most events I gave them a chance at qualifying in.

 

1. Russia - 236

2. Hungary - 138

3. Mexico - 125

4. Kazakhstan - 123

5. Argentina - 110

6. Austria - 97

7. Portugal - 96

8. Belarus - 86

9. Finland - 79

9. Romania - 79

 

Unsurprising, the currently suspended Russia tops the list. If they were to be allowed back in tomorrow, there's really only a handful of events that they would have no chance at qualifying (mostly team sports), but would qualify at a normal games. That number will start to drop quite quickly in 2023 as they (and Belarus) continue to miss key qualifying events and ranking points.

 

Hungary as number two is also not surprising, as besides the suspended Russia, they won the most medals in 2020 and had one of the largest teams out of the unqualified nations. After that you have the major continental powerhouses which benefit from continental quotas while also being a present at world qualifiers and then you have the remaining mid-sized European nations (Slovenia is 11th).