How Many Athletes will Your Nation Qualify for the Summer Olympic Games 2020?

[Olympian1010 8,274]

Just now, Maxim Fastovsky said:

 

Probably more like 600, with the softball and baseball (if they qualify) teams at 25 each, no reason to think that there will be less

I expect at least 1,000 and will settle for no less (and yes I know this impossible). 

[Olympian1010 8,274]

 if we get more than 2, I’ll be happy. Our best chances are Athletics, Swimming, Sailing. Maybe we’ll get lucky with a wild card for archery. Golf and Basketball have no chance. I don’t really know of any other sports active on the island besides bobsleigh, and we really fucked that up the last time around .

 

 At worse: 2

 At best: 5

 most likely: 3

[Giovanni Gianni Cattaneo 142]

On 19/09/2019 at 13:09, Gianlu33 said:

Let's do a review after 1 year...

 

Let's start 
 

 Hi My friend, add my count and a nuemeric review (opt, realistic, pessimistic)

 

 

 Archery: Some troubles with the team... We can still qualify both team  (6-4-2)

 Artistic Swimming: We improve in the last 10 years, like in Rio the objective in archive the full quota.(10)

 Athletics: In London and in Rio we qualified 38 athletes, in Doha around 65. 40 will be a good number. (60-50-40)

 Badminton: No anyone, maybe Caponio with a lot of luck.(1-0-0)

 Baseball: Netherlands is still the favourite, it will be close  NO ONE, PASS FOR ISR (0)

 Basketball: With some luck our men's team can back at the games.(12-0-0)

 Beach Volleyball: Probabily 3 pairs (2 M +1 W) (6-6-6)

 Boxing: From 4 to 6 quotas I THINK A LITTLE MORE, 2-3 W AND 4-5 - (8-7-6)

 Canoeing - Slalom: Full quota set (4-3-3)

 Canoeing - Sprint: Around 6 athletes... I hope UHM VERY HARD (6-5-4)

 Cycling - BMX: With a lot of luck, only Fantoni.(1-0-0)

 Cycling - Mountain Bike: 3 men and 1 woman. (4-4-4)

 Cycling - Road: Italy will easy qualify the max contigent (5-5-5)

 Cycling - Track: Both pursuit team and the omnium. (5-5-5)

 Diving: Let's hope that Cagnotto will back... Around 5-6 (6-5-4)

 Equestrian: Italy qualified the eventing team, and for the jumping will be a 50-50 (6-6-3)

 Fencing: 24 athletes, why not?  (24-22-20)

 Field Hockey: No anyone (0-0-0)

 Football: What flop...(0)

 Golf: 2 M + 1 W MAYBE SECOND WOMAN (4-3-3)

 Gymnastics - Artistic: Around 6 athletes HOPE BOTH MEN AND WOMEN (9-5-2)

 Gymnastics - Rhythmic: Full quotas  (7-7-7)

 Gymnastics - Trampoline: Our biggest athlete is a 37 years old and he will watch the Games on his sofa (0)

 Handball: Italian handball? What is? (0)

 Judo: From 3 to 9 quotas 3? NOT SO TERRIBLE! (8-7-6)

 Karate: Very strict qualification process, from 3 to 5. AND MORE FROM QUALIFYNG TOURNAMENT (6-5-4)

 Modern Pentathlon: We have a great women's team and a nice men's team.. 3/4 quotas I guess (4-3-2)

 Rowing: From 23 to 29 quotas (29-27-25)

 Rugby Sevens: What?  0

 Sailing: Like in Rio, 13 quotas.(14-13-11)

 Shooting: From 8 to 12 (12-10-8)

 Skateboarding: Sure at last 2, maybe one women too in the street event. (3-2-2)

 Softball: Full quota 15

 Sport Climbing: 2 quotas (3-2-1)

 Surfing: 1 or 0 (1-1-0)

 Swimming: From 30 to 40 (40-36-34)

 Table Tennis: 1 or 0 (1-0-0)

 Taekwondo: Dell'Aquila is the biggest chance, maybe Rotolo and Alessio. (2-1-1)

 Tennis: 6 or 4 (6-5-4)

 Triathlon: It's hard to say.. maybe 4 or 5. (5-5-4)

 Volleyball: Both teams (24)

 Water Polo: Both teams (22)

 Weightlifting: From 2 to 3 (3-2-1)

 Wrestling: Chamizo is the only one that is sure to archive the qualification. Maybe other 2 (4-3-2)

 Qualified: 119

 Optimistic Total Athletes: 406(difference betweet 2018: 0) 390


 Realistic Total Athletes: 321 (dif. +26) 360

 Pessimistic Total Athletes: 254 (dif. +13) 310

 

[japanforever 0]

 

 

PREDICTION  FOR JAPAN  :

 

 

 

 

 

 Archery:              6 6 6

 Artistic Swimming: 8 8 8

 Athletics: 136 56 29           

 Badminton: 16 14 2

 Baseball: 24 24 24 

 Basketball:  32 32 32  

 Beach Volleyball: 8 6 4

 Boxing:     13 8 6 

 Canoeing - Slalom:4 4 4 

 Canoeing - Sprint:18 10 7       
 

 

  - Road:   9 4 4 

 Cycling - Track: 15 5  0

 

 Cycling - BMX:          6 4 4 

 Cycling - Mountain Bike:    6 2 2 

 Gymnastics - Trampoline:     4 3 2  

 Handball:           28 28 28    

 Judo:       14 14 14 

 Karate  :   8 8 8 

 Modern Pentathlon: 4 3 2   

  Rowing:      48 6 2 

 Rugby Sevens :  24 24 24 

 Sailing:   15 15 15 

 Shooting : 30 15 12

 Skateboarding:    12 8 4 

   Softball  15 15 15 
 Sport Climbing:  4 4 4

 Surfing: 4 4 2

 Swimming: 60 50 24

 Table Tennis : 6 6 6

 Taekwondo:  8 5 4

 Tennis:  12 6 0 

 Triathlon:  6 4 4 

 Volleyball: 24 24 24

 Water Polo:  22 22 22 

 Weightlifting: 8 6 6

 Wrestling:  18 12 8 


 Total Sports: 44

 Optimistic Total Athletes: 809

 Realistic Total Athletes: 583

 Pessimistic Total Athletes: 474

[japanforever 0]

Le 10/10/2019 à 17:35, japanforever a dit :

37

 

[Makedonas 2,239]

My predictions for Greece  
 

Archery: 0-1 (Evangelia Psarra is probably our only chance, it would be her 6th Olympic appearance but she is old now so I don't know)

Artistic Swimming: 2-8 (We will definitely qualify in the duet. Team is 50/50)

Athletics: 23-40 (We currently have 5 and there are many more who I'm 99% sure will make it off ranking, some others if they improve this year can make it and also hoping for a women's 4x400. We have many good young athletes that might not be ready for Tokyo but in Paris I expect a big team)

Badminton: 0

Baseball: 0 of course (but our former national team player Nick Markakis was an MLB All-star in 2018 , and Moustakas in 2015/17/19)

Basketball: 0-12 (our men's team should make it but they always choke and have bad luck with injuries in Olympic years)

Beach Volleyball: 0-2 (Arvaniti/Karagkouni have some chances to qualify. Would be Arvaniti's 4th Olympics. They missed 2016 because of her pregnancy and got lucky with the postponement of Tokyo because she had an ACL injury and would've missed 2020)

Boxing: 0-3

Canoeing - Slalom: 0-1 (small chance for Tsakmakis to make his fourth Olympics)

Canoeing - Sprint: 0-1 (I don't know much about this sport but I know we have a young guy Dimopoulos who is decent but probably too young/inexperienced for Tokyo)

Cycling - BMX: 0

Cycling - Mountain Bike: 1

Cycling - Road: 1

Cycling - Track: 1

Diving: 1-2

Equestrian: 0

Fencing: 1-2

Field Hockey: 0

Football: 0

Golf: 0-1 (there is some Greek guy from South Africa who is trying to qualify for Greece but I know nothing about golf and don't know if he is any good)

Gymnastics - Artistic: 1-2 (assuming Petrounias makes it)

Gymnastics - Rhythmic: 0-1 (chance for Eleni Kelaiditi. Our group surely won't qualify which would be the first time since 1996. They aren't good anymore)

Gymnastics - Trampoline: 0

Handball: 0

Judo: 3-4

Karate: 0-2 (Eleni Chatziliadou was world champion in 2018 so she should make it, but she was injured and her ranking fell so I'm not sure what her current status is)

Modern Pentathlon: 0

Rowing: 4-10 (we already qualified women's pair and will almost certainly make it in women's single sculls and men's single sculls. Also a very good chance for lightweight women's double sculls. Outside chances for women's double sculls, men's four and men's lightweight double sculls but a lot of these athletes are too young and probably will make it in 2024)

Rugby Sevens: 0

Sailing: 8-10 (we already have 8)

Shooting: 3

Skateboarding: 0

Softball: 0

Sport Climbing: 0? (I know absolutely nothing about this sport)

Surfing: 0? (I also don't have a clue)

Swimming: 10-18 (we already have 7 and I think we'll get several more. Outside chance for men's 4x200 freestyle which would give us more athletes that probably can't make it individually)

Table Tennis: 1-2

Taekwondo: 0-4 (Telikostoglou should make it as he won silver at 2019 World Championships. Tzeli was a medalist at the 2018 Youth Olympics and should have a better chance to make it now that she got an extra year. We have a few others with outside chances)

Tennis: 2

Triathlon: 0? (no idea)

Volleyball: 0

Water Polo: 13 (unless South Africa and/or Russia don't go and our women make it too)

Weightlifting: 2

Wrestling: 1-2


Total Sports: 28

Optimistic Total Athletes: 154

Realistic Total Athletes: 117

Pessimistic Total Athletes: 78

 

(My math might be off. Every time I added them up I got different numbers 

[Makedonas 2,239]

My updated predictions for Greece  
 

Archery: 0-1 (Evangelia Psarra is probably our only chance, it would be her 6th Olympic appearance but she is old now so I don't know)

Artistic Swimming: 2-8 (We will definitely qualify in the duet. Team is 50/50)

Athletics: 23-35 (We currently have 6 and there are many more who I'm 99% sure will make it off ranking, some others if they improve this year can make it and also hoping for a women's 4x400. We have many good young athletes that might not be ready for Tokyo but in Paris I expect a big team)

Badminton: 0

Baseball: 0 of course (but our former national team player Nick Markakis was an MLB All-star in 2018 , and Moustakas in 2015/17/19)

Basketball: 0-12 (our men's team should make it but they always choke and have bad luck with injuries in Olympic years)

Beach Volleyball: 0-2 (Arvaniti/Karagkouni have some chances to qualify. Would be Arvaniti's 4th Olympics. They missed 2016 because of her pregnancy and got lucky with the postponement of Tokyo because she had an ACL injury and would've missed 2020)

Boxing: 0-3

Canoeing - Slalom: 0-1 (small chance for Tsakmakis to make his fourth Olympics)

Canoeing - Sprint: 0-1 (I don't know much about this sport but I know we have a young guy Dimopoulos who is decent but probably too young/inexperienced for Tokyo)

Cycling - BMX: 0

Cycling - Mountain Bike: 0-1 (Our team ranking fell a lot in recent months and we are no longer in the qualification zone)

Cycling - Road: 1

Cycling - Track: 1

Diving: 1-2

Equestrian: 0

Fencing: 1

Field Hockey: 0

Football: 0

Golf: 0-1 (there is some Greek guy from South Africa who is trying to qualify for Greece but I know nothing about golf and don't know if he is any good)

Gymnastics - Artistic: 1 (assuming Petrounias makes it)

Gymnastics - Rhythmic: 0-1 (chance for Eleni Kelaiditi. Our group surely won't qualify which would be the first time since 1996. They aren't good anymore)

Gymnastics - Trampoline: 0

Handball: 0

Judo: 2-4

Karate: 0-2 (Eleni Chatziliadou was world champion in 2018 so she should make it, but she was injured and her ranking fell so I'm not sure what her current status is)

Modern Pentathlon: 0

Rowing: 4-10 (we already qualified women's pair and men's single sculls and will almost certainly make it in women's single sculls. Also a decent chance for lightweight women's double sculls. Outside chances for one or two more boats, but a lot of these athletes are too young and probably will make it in 2024 instead)

Rugby Sevens: 0

Sailing: 8

Shooting: 3

Skateboarding: 0

Softball: 0

Sport Climbing: 0? (I know absolutely nothing about this sport)

Surfing: 0? (I also don't have a clue)

Swimming: 10-18 (we already have 7 and I think we'll get several more. Outside chance for men's 4x200 freestyle which would give us more athletes that probably can't make it individually)

Table Tennis: 1

Taekwondo: 0-4 (Telikostoglou should make it as he won silver at 2019 World Championships. Tzeli was a medalist at the 2018 Youth Olympics and should have a better chance to make it now that she got an extra year. We have a few others with outside chances)

Tennis: 2

Triathlon: 0? (no idea)

Volleyball: 0

Water Polo: 12 (unless South Africa and/or Russia don't go and our women make it too)

Weightlifting: 1-2

Wrestling: 1-2


Total Sports: 28

Optimistic Total Athletes: 140

Realistic Total Athletes: 103

Pessimistic Total Athletes: 74

[merlinsbeard 23]

My predictions for Turkey  
 

I think we will definitely exceed 2016 (103 athletes) and we might exceed 2012 which is our best (114 athletes)

 

 

 Total Sports: 19

 Optimistic Total Athletes: 128

 Realistic Total Athletes: 106

 Pessimistic Total Athletes: 95

 

 

 

 

 Archery: 2-4 (depending on team qualifications in which I think we have a decent chance)

 Artistic Swimming: 0

 Athletics: 20-25 

 

 Badminton: 2-3

 Baseball: 0 

 Basketball: 0-12 (I think our men team's chance to qualify is around 30%)

 Beach Volleyball: 0

 Boxing: 4-7

 Canoeing - Slalom: 0

 Canoeing - Sprint: 0

 Cycling - BMX: 0

 Cycling - Mountain Bike: 0

 Cycling - Road: 2

 Cycling - Track: 0

 Diving: 0

 Equestrian: 0

 Fencing: 1

 Field Hockey: 0

 Football: 0

 Golf: 0

 Gymnastics - Artistic: 5

 Gymnastics - Rhythmic: 0

 Gymnastics - Trampoline: 0

 Handball: 0

 Judo: 4-6

 Karate: 5-7

 Modern Pentathlon: 1-2

 Rowing: 1-3

 Rugby Sevens: 0

 Sailing: 8

 Shooting: 4-5

 Skateboarding: 0

 Softball: 0

 Sport Climbing: 0

 Surfing: 0

 Swimming: 8-10

 Table Tennis: 0-1

 Taekwondo: 5

 Tennis: 0-1

 Triathlon: 0

 Volleyball: 12

 Water Polo: 0

 Weightlifting: 2-3

 Wrestling: 9

 

[Makedonas 2,239]

25 minutes ago, merlinsbeard said:

 Fencing: 1-2


 Sailing: 8-10 
 

I'm pretty sure all fencing and sailing qualifications are already done.

[merlinsbeard 23]

2 minutes ago, Makedonas said:

I'm pretty sure all fencing and sailing qualifications are already done.

Thanks, made the correction