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as I said so many times, to have a good idea you have to follow all 7 weights but still I try to make a list for women. but that's far from being accurate take a look at 55kg, I think these girls are safe Diaz Nabieva Lopez Yamasaki (Oceania) Leblanc-Bazinet (Pan America) Shermetova uncertain Liao (CHN has lots of options) Escobar (she is eligible for both 55kg and 59kg and recently participated in both!) Chinshanlo (simply bcz KAZ has 1 quota to use, don't know if they have other options) Ham (not sure if KOR has lots of options but she will take the Asian quota if KOR wants it) European and African quotas are still up for grab Konotop has a very good chance to qualify. she will participate at the Juniors Worlds. ----------------------- and 59kg only 3 girls look 100% safe at least from my quick look Kuo Smith (at least Europe) Ramhouni uncertain Escobar (same as above) Wini (up to Australian 55kg girl) Ando (if JPN doesn't qualify more than 3, they will use the host quotas) I remove Koha (LAT) we know her story. COL, ROU, VIE all have a weightlifter high in the ranking. (CHN too but it's a sure thing they don't use this weight.) that was a nice battle between girls from COL, VEN and MEX last night, Mexican girls lifted more but the girl from Colombia will outrank the rest. I think all 3 of them will qualify at the end but that's not a sure thing Tchakounte (FRA) also has a good chance if Zoe Smith finishes in top 8 which I believe she will

81kg both guys participating at this event didn't improve their points. and World Juniors won't change the ranking I believe the followings are 100%safe Pizzolato (Top 8) Bonnat (Top 8) Rejepov (Top 8) Maurus (Top 8) Suharevs (Top 8) Muller (Top 8) Mata (Top 8 or Europe) Bahloul (Africa) These guys most probably will go too McTaggart (Oceania) Lyu I didn't put McTaggart in the safe zone only because a guy from Australia (who also qualifies at 73kg) is above him. but I think the Australian will pick 73 and McTaggart will qualify at 81 of course if NZL accepts the quota. Mendez is almost safe too. but a guy from Cuba who will participate at 89kg tonight can take his place but he most probably picks 96kg (and not 81kg) I will update this section after knowing his results tonight. Mendez most probably will join the "safe list" tonight only 2 quotas are left. Rodallegas of Colombia will take one of them if they are not suspended. if they are by any chance, ESP will be in top 8 and the European quota goes to Beytula (BUL) but we heard from the Bulgarian users that he is out of the picture. so Qerimaj qualifies in that case. and from what I see nobody is going to take the Asian quota ! UZB will send 2 medal contenders in 67 and 109. Ajay Singh (IND) is suspended for doping, PRK is withdrawing, JPN has 6 better weightlifters in other weights, the Iranian guy Soltani injured himself badly at the Asian Champs (he wouldn't be selected anyway), Iraq is facing suspension. the only possibility is Ulanov (KAZ), but they also can send only 1 male weightlifter and probably Igor Son in 61kg has a better chance.

I know he has the some problem as our 96kg weightlifter, bombed out in one of the periods and even collecting big poitns in other windows couldn't bring him to the qualification zone. his chance is very slim, very very slim. he qualifies only if all European above him finish in top 8. if we remove PRK, UZB (they will pick other weights), RUS. in the new ranking ESP is 9th, MDA is 10th and GER is 11th. you need 3 guys above them to withdraw so all 3 of them can finish in top 8. I just don't see that happening.

OK the website is up and running. only minor change for 73kg ranking. lots of guys in this weight will participate at the World Juniors, but looking at the points gap these guys are 100% safe now Cummings (Top 8) Mayora (Top 8) Calja (Top 8) Ben Hnia (Top 8) Cardenas (Pan America) Wakeling (Oceania) Moum (Africa) I believe these guys will be there too Shi Andreev Miyamoto Won Sanchez (ESP) is correctly 10th and the best ranked European but Martin Rubu (MDA) can take his place after the World Juniors if PRK withdraws and the ranking doesn't change Won will be in Top 8 and that opens the door for Abdullah (INA) and Meredov (TKM) for the Asian quota. both of them will participate at the Juniors Worlds

IWF Ranking website is not working tonight, so I can't calculate the changes in the ranking. I don't even know the ranking but here are the important results of tonight, I mean those who are still in race to qualify Men's 73kg Mayora - 330kg Lang - 328kg Cardenas - 317kg Mayora was safe and Cardenas was probably out of the race. not sure how many points Max Lang is going to gain from here. Men's 81kg Mendez - 335kg Kasai - 320kg I highly doubt these results make a difference for them. Mendez was in good situation (almost safe) and Kasai with these poor results won't be selected for the Japanese team. if Japan doesn't pick Kasai, (as far as I remember ) there was nobody else from Asia to take that Asian quota ! Women's 55kg Lopez - 195kg Hernandez - 188kg Rodriguez - 187kg Sterckx - no mark Women's 59kg Gomez - 220kg Figueroa - 216kg Escobar - 216kg I have no idea about the women's ranking in both weights. just posted some top non-Colombian results!

thanks I didn't know that. I'm familiar with sports in Italy, I mean not as much as you guys obviously but still ... he is obviously not famous in Tehran but people in wrestling community know him very well. and he probably received thousands of comments from the Iranians because of what he did in the European Championship bronze medal match he didn't try to score on Zhamalov in last 30 seconds when the Russian was visibly injured and in pain. even somehow didn't use one of his hands (not sure if that was intentional) but at least some media here published that as a symbol of fairplay !

#1 clown in the world (or maybe #2, we had a guy suggested injecting disinfectant) Mahmoud AN registered himself for the next month election. while because of the coronavirus he was supposed to bring just 1 person with himself, he brought an army! (who cares about COVID anyway, just lots of people die everyday) a group of his supporters (less than 100) spent a week next to his house, finally "convincing" him to go register to "save" the country. (I don't know if I should laugh or cry) in a normal country he should be in jail or a mental hospital by now. ho ca

oh well , I assume this guy is/was a legend in India, 2 time Olympic medalist and the only Indian World Champion in this sport. that's really sad and disappointing. Wrestler murder case: Delhi Police issues lookout notice against absconding wrestler Sushil Kumar https://www.indiatoday.in/sports/other-sports/story/sushil-kumar-lookout-notice-issued-delhi-police-absconding-murder-23-year-old-sagar-dhankad-1800703-2021-05-10

oh yes . I was looking at the wrong ranking. he is the 1st reserve and based on previous experiences, we always have at least one or two withdrawals in badminton. even more sometimes. some countries have their own standards.

5 male doubles players are also qualified in mixed doubles. + unused host quota. makes it 40 instead of 34 @intoronto he is the 3rd reserve, he is next after NZL but only because NZL is getting the Oceania quota. some players above him are also eligible to qualify. NGR and POL. but the Nigeria guy will qualify in men's doubles. so Sri Lanka is in fact the 2nd reserve.

I think this is becoming more and more unlikely. all of their 3 weightlifters received the original suspension but it seems Colombia WL federation is making the process longer intentionally by bringing it to CAS. it's a lengthy process, even Vietnam and Romania are not banned yet. (despite having 3 official suspensions) Colombia is hoping to receive that 1 year ban after Tokyo.

not yet but yes that's possible if we remove PRK, Mexico is still 9th (behind ). but he can be in top 8 if Colombia gets suspended or if Japan decides to send someone else or even if any of these guys get injured which is always possible in this sport.

that's extremely weird ! but that's a bad news for Han (and also Jeremy), because Triyatno will grab the Asian quota. assuming PRK really withdraws, GEO will be in top 8 now, the European quota goes to Brandhuber but he is also eligible for 61kg, if he picks 61kg, Hernandez will qualify

also no change for 67kg division in Colombia. only Pineda (GUA) improved his score slightly but that doesn't change his position in the ranking. I think only Jeremy (IND) is still active in the World Juniors. these guys are 100% safe, TUR and UZB may have other options too but I'm 100% sure they will pick these guys. Ergashev (Top 8) Uzbek (Top 8) Zanni (Top 8) Matam (Top 8) Chkheidze (Europe) Munoz (Pan-America) Ioane (Oceania) Andriatsitohaina (Africa) Deni or Triyatno (Top 8 or Asia) @Griff88 which one has more chance ? (Triyatno may qualify at 73 though) I also think CHN and JPN will select these guys Chen Konnai the last 2 spots are between this weight is less complicated. if COL and PRK participate they will take the remaining quotas. if only COL participates the last quota most probably goes to KOR. if both don't participate, KOR and GER will qualify IND can qualify only if KOR doesn't want to use this quota. since they have more than 4 eligible weightlifters and this guy also can qualify at 61kg if he wants.

oh well. no this is still complicated see that's another thing I should consider when I make the list. some of these athletes are banned but their names are still there. she just participated at the Pan American Champs. that should be something very new so that makes the quota almost a sure thing for Montero but if she qualifies in top 8 (which is possible) another Brazilian Luana Madeira will qualify instead.

some minor changes in women's 61kg ranking after this event. only Jensen (DEN) improved her points by something like 150pts but that doesn't help her. other athletes like Michel and Berrio didn't improve their ranking points some of the athletes still can improve their points at the World Juniors. there is a very interesting case about Nina Sterckx (BEL) while she only competed at 55kg and 59kg recently. she registered herself at 49kg for the World Juniors. she doesn't need that, she already participated in an event in that weight. but that means she wants to go to Tokyo at all costs ! I don't know about her chance at 55kg (have to check it later) but in 49kg she has a good chance to steal the quota from the Italians ! I wanted to make a list like I did for the men's weights but that's impossible unless I check all 7 weights for all countries. unfortunately I can't do that. but let's have a short list at least for this weight Mirabai Delacruz Piron Aisah Toua * Piron couldn't qualify under the old rules but now all of a sudden she is 100% safe. still the fact she didn't participate anywhere recently is worrisome .maybe she is injured ?! if Colombia is allowed to participate Berrio is safe. Rosa is almost safe because Romania most probably will be banned, PRK will withdraw. RUS has some other options, if one of them happens, she will qualify so I say that's almost a sure thing. I would say Michel is safe too but Sterckx still can improve her points and then chose to participate in this weight. even if that happens Michel still can qualify another way, so I think her chance is something like 90%.

thanks. that solved one of my million problems to have the final list of qualified weightlifters 109 is the most unpredictable in term of withdrawals. if we rank them by their best totals Hristov is 8th, but Yang is not going to Tokyo. one of the Russians will be out (and maybe even both of them, Russia has 1 quota but I believe they are going to use it here) . Martirosyan was a lock but now after bombing out at the Europeans and the recent accident, not anymore. Aramnau is not in a good shape and from what i heard this is more likely to not select him from Belarus (they have only 1 quota as well) only Akbar Djuraev is a sure thing and most probably will take one of the medals. if you remove these guys. Hristov has to compete with Chumak, Plesnieks, Michalski and Naniev for the bronze and maybe even silver (if Martirosyan doesn't get selected) he definitely has a chance for medal , these guys are more or less in the same level.

that's the main problem but some countries are about to face suspension. Romania, Vietnam are almost a sure thing. Colombia maybe. and we still don't know if PRK participates or not. and some weightlifters may qualify in more than one weight (Brandhuber (GER) and Han (KOR)) we also don't know what they are going to do.

Colombia event didn't make a change in the ranking for 61kg. we had two weightlifters here trying to improve their rankings (from CUB and ESP) but they both failed. from what I saw the African Championships won't make a difference and the only weightlifter in the World Juniors who can make a change is Ruiu (ITA). still it's impossible to make a list of qualified weightlifters, so many variables. but these guys are 100% safe Irawan (Top 8) Mishvelidze (Top 8) Baru (Oceania) Garcia (Pan America) Andriantsitohaina (Africa) I believe these guys will be selected as well Li Itokazu the remaining 6 quotas will be between these countries @Federer91 do you have any idea about two Bulgarian weightlifters in Tokyo ? I see 3 or maybe 4 guys eligible to qualify. Grozdev (61), Andreev (67), Hristov (109) and maybe Beytula (73) ?

thanks. one problem solved technically Iran didn't refuse it. they would probably take it if they had the chance. (simply because 2>1) but two other Iranians finished 2nd in other events. and per rules Iran has to pick between M1X and W1X so that means LM2X: LW2X: M1X: W1X: the last 1X quotas are between Iran and Thailand Kuwait is the only NOC who participated at the AQT and finished the races , yet not qualified for the Olympics

this is what I posted in another thread https://www.jara.or.jp/national/2021/202105007_asian_oceanian_TOKYO2020_qualification.html This link says that Japan select LW2X and M1X Iran has to pick between M1X and W1X, they both finished 2nd and Indonesia has to pick between LM2X and LW2X, they both finished 4th, but they are 3rd actually removing JPN LM2X and IRN LW2X by my count the followings are 100% qualified no matter what LM2X: LW2X: M1X: W1X: it's a sure thing the remaining quotas go for KOR and HKG are 5th in LW2X and LM2X, Indonesia's choice will decide about them too. and whoever doesn't qualify here will take the W1X spot. and Thailand has to wait for Iran's decision. if Iran picks W1X, Thailand will qualify in M1X and vice versa there will be no reallocation unless someone doesn't accept the quota which is unlikely ----------- is this the first time a female Qatari athlete qualifies ? (I mean without wild card)

https://www.jara.or.jp/national/2021/202105007_asian_oceanian_TOKYO2020_qualification.html This link says that Japan select LW2X and M1X now it's up to Indonesia and Iran to make a decision Iran has to pick between M1X and W1X, they both finished 2nd and Indonesia has to pick between LM2X and LW2X, they both finished 4th, but they are 3rd actually removing JPN LM2X and IRN LW2X by my count the followings are 100% qualified no matter what Iran and Indonesia do LM2X: LW2X: M1X: W1X: it's a sure thing the remaining quotas go for KOR and HKG are 5th in LW2X and LM2X, Indonesia's choice will decide about them too. and whoever doesn't qualify here will take the W1X spot. and Thailand has to wait for Iran's decision. if Iran picks W1X, Thailand will qualify in M1X and vice versa

considering the Colombia event and World Juniors start list. by my count these athletes are 100% qualified. 61kg: Irawan Mishvelidze Baru (Oceania) 67kg: Ergashev Zanni Matam Munoz (Pan-America) Ioane (Oceania) 73kg: Cummings Mayora Calja Ben Hnia Wakeling (Oceania) 81kg: Pizzolato Bonnat Rejepov Maurus Suharevs Muller Mata (Europe) McTaggart (Oceania) 96kg: El-Bakh Pliesnoi Santavy Opeloge (Oceania) 109kg: Djuraev Chumak Michalski Plesnieks (at least Europe) Kitts (Pan America) Lydement (Oceania) +109kg: Talakhadze Davoudi Reis Assad Toychyyev Bidani Wilkes (Pan America) Liti (Oceania) ------------------- has to pick 4 from 61, 67, 73, 81, 96 and 109 (no chance for 109) has to pick 2 from 96, 109 and +109 (sure thing). they want 96 but not this guy currently in top 8. has to pick 2 from 61, 73, 109 (and maybe 81) may qualify in 6 weights (all except 81) 61, 73 and 96 are more likely to qualify still alive in all 7 weights! 61, 67 and 73 are almost guaranteed. 96 is more likely to get the last one has to pick 1 from 109 and +109. they have guys high in ranking in other weights too but no chance for them has to pick 1 from 61, 96, 109 and +109. (probably no chance for 61) has to pick 1 from 73, 96, 109 and +109. most likely 109 has to pick 2 and I assumed that will be 67 and 109 since both of them are medal contender

startlist for the Colombia event https://www.iwf.net/wp-content/uploads/downloads/2021/05/START_BOOK_VERIFICACIÓN_FINAL.pdf I have to say this list is NOT final, for example Iran has only one weightlifter traveling to Colombia while 4 are listed here. there is NOBODY from Oceania in the list. so those guys I listed before are qualified for Tokyo if they don't reject the quota

Nakhon Patom in Thailand (instead of China) will host the AVC Beach Continental Cup from 25 to 27 June