Since qualification has been ramping up lately, decided to do another prediction for (Again, these may be a tad realistic)
T: 354-392 (121-137 M / 190-205 F /17-19 TBD/26-31 Idk)
Archery (2) - One of Crispin Duenas/Eric Peters in the men's event, and Stephanie Barrett in the women's event, therefore qualifying a mixed team.
Artistic Swimming (8-10) - Our best chance at qualifying (Either a duet or team) would be the 2024 World Championships, as the United States and Mexico have both surpassed us this Olympic cycle and will take the quotas at Pan Ams. I'm gonna say we qualify a team, but just barely. Skip
Athletics (57)
Men (25)
100m- Aaron Brown, Andre DeGrasse, Jerome Blake
200m- Aaron Brown, Andre DeGrasse, Jerome Blake
800m- Marco Arop, Brandon McBride
1500m- William Paulson/Robert Heppenstall, Charles Philibert-Thiboutot, Cameron Proceviat
5000m- Justyn Knight, Mo Ahmed, Charles Philibert-Thiboutot
10000m- Mo Ahmed
400m Hurdles - Malik Metivier
3000m Steeplechase - John Gay, Matthew Hughes/Jean Simon Desgagnes, Ryan Smeeton
4x100m Relay- Andre DeGrasse, Aaron Brown, Brendon Rodney, Jerome Blake
Marathon- Rory Linketter, Trevor Hofbauer/Ben Priesner, Cam Levins
High Jump- Django Lovett
Hammer Throw- Adam Keenan, Ethan Katzburg (Rowan Hamilton just misses out)
Decathlon- Pierce LePage, Damian Warner
20km Race Walk- Evan Dunfee
Women (32)
100m- Khamica Bingham, Crystal Emmanuel
200m- Crystal Emmanuel, Aiyanna Stiverne
400m- Kyra Constantine, Natasscha McDonald
800m- Jazz Shukla, Lindsay Butterworth
1500m- Gabriela DeBues-Stafford, Lucia Stafford
10000m- Natascha Wodak
100m Hurdles- Michelle Harrison
400m Hurdles- Sage Watson, Savannah Sutherland
3000m Steeplechase- Regan Yee, Celi McCabe
4x400m Relay- Kyra Constantine, Sage Watson, Natassha McDonald, Aiyanna Stiverne (And a few of Madeline Price, Micha Powell, Alicia Brown for heats)
Pole Vault- Alysha Newman, Anicka Newell
Shot Put- Sarah Mitton, Brittany Crew
Long Jump- Christabel Nettey
Javelin Throw- Liz Gleadle
Hammer Throw- Camryn Rogers, Jillian Weir
Triple Jump- Caroline Erdhardt, Mikeisha Welcome (I believe she's attempting to change nationalities to Canada, don't know if it'll be in time for Paris)
Marathon- Leslie Sexton, Malindi Elmore, Natascha Wodak
Heptathlon- Nicole Ostertag/Georgia Ellenwood
Badminton (8) - Michelle Li in women's singles, Brian Yang in men's singles, Rachel Honderich/Kristen Tsai in women's doubles, Adam Dong/Nyl Yakura in men's doubles, and Ty Lindeman/Josephine Wu in mixed doubles.
Basketball (28) - Women's 3x3 Team, Men's Team, and Women's Team.
Beach Volleyball (4-6) - Pairings keep switching up, running out of time for CAN2 to make it through points. Brandie/Mel will most likely qualify through Olympic Ranking, and maybe a pairing through NORCECA? (Thinking one of Pavan/McBain, McNamara/McNamara, Bansley/Bukovec). Possibly Schacter/Dearing in the men's tournament also.
Boxing (6) -
Tammara Thibeault- Women’s 75kg
Charlie Cavanaugh- Women’s 66kg
Priyanka Dhillon- Women’s 50kg
Scarlett Delgado- Women’s 54kg
Caroline Veyre- Women’s 57kg
Wyatt Sanford- Men’s 63.5kg
Keoma-Ali Al-Ahmadieh (Men’s 57kg) just misses out.
Breaking (1-2) - B-Boy Phil. Maybe B-Girl Tiff through the OQS.
Canoe: Sprint/Slalom (16) - Just used my predictions from my previous post since I'm unsure
Canoe Sprint (13)
Katie Vincent - C-1 200m / C-2 500m
Sophia Jensen - C-1 200m / C-2 500m
Toshka Besharah-Hrebacka - K-2 500m / K-4 500m
Adreanne Langlois - Women’s K-2 500m / K-4 500m
Michelle Russell - Women’s K-1 500m
Riley Melanson - Women’s K-4 500m
Natalie Davidson - Women’s K-4 500m
Nicholas Mateev - Men’s K-4 500m, Men’s K-2 500m
Simon McTavish - Men’s K-4 500m, Men’s K-2 500m
Pierre-Luc Poulin - Men’s K-4 500m
Laurent Lavigne - Men’s K-4 500m
Connor Fitzpatrick - Men’s C-1 1000m, Men's C-2 1000m
Roland Varga - Men’s C-1 1000m, Men's C-2 1000m
Canoe Slalom (3)
Alex Baldoni - Men’s C-1, Men’s KX-1
Lois Betteridge- Women’s C-1
Florence Mateu - Women’s K-1
Cycling (19) -
Track Cycling (15)
Kelsey Mitchell- Women’s Sprint, Women’s Keirin, Women’s Team Sprint
Lauriane Genest- Women’s Sprint, Women’s Keirin, Women’s Team Sprint
Sarah Orban- Women’s Team Sprint
Allison Beveridge- Women’s Omnium
Maggie Coles-Lyster- Women’s Omnium, Women’s Madison
Sarah Van Dam- Women’s Madison
Women’s Team Pursuit
Dylan Bibic- Men’s Omnium, Men’s Madison
Nick Wammes- Men’s Sprint, Men’s Keirin, Men’s Team Sprint
Ryan Dodyk- Men’s Sprint, Men’s Team Sprint
James Hedgcock- Men’s Keirin, Men’s Team Sprint
Mathias Guillemette- Men’s Madison
Road Cycling (4)
Leah Kirchmann - Women’s Time Trial
Alison Jackson - Women’s Road Race/ Women’s Time Trial
Michael Woods- Men’s Road Race
Hugo Houle- Men’s Road Race/Men’s Time Trial
Mountain Biking (2)
Laurie Arsenault in the women's event, and Carter Woods in the men's event.
BMX Racing (2)
James Palmer in the men's event, and Molly Simpson in the women's event.
Diving (7) -
Bryden Hattie- Men’s 3m Springboard
Nathan Zsombor-Murray- Men’s 10m Platform, Men’s 10m Synchronized Platform
Rylan Wiens- Men’s 10m Platform, Men’s 10m Synchronized Platform
Mia Valee- Women’s 3m Springboard, Women’s 3m Synchronized Springboard
Pamela Ware- Women’s 3m Springboard, Women’s 3m Synchronized Springboard
Caeli McKay- Women’s 10m Platform, Women’s 10m Synchronized Platform
Celina Toth- Women’s 10m Platform, Women’s 10m Synchronized Platform
Equestrian (9) - Should qualify a full team (Jumping, Eventing, Dressage) through Pan Ams.
Fencing (12) -
Eleanor Harvey - Women’s Foil, Women’s Team Foil
Jessica Guo - Women’s Foil, Women’s Team Foil
Kelliegh Ryan - Women’s Foil, Women’s Team Foil
Sabrina Fang - Women’s Team Foil
Alexandre Verett - Women’s Epee
Gabriella Page - Women’s Sabre
Maximilien Van Haaster - Men’s Foil, Men’s Team Foil
Blake Brozus - Men’s Foil, Men’s Team Foil
Eli Schenkel - Men’s Foil, Men’s Team Foil
Francois Cauchon- Men's Team Sabre
Shaul Gordon- Men's Team Sabre
Fares Arfa - Men’s Sabre, Men's Team Sabre
Field Hockey (13-26) - One quota in either the men's or women's tournament. (More likely in the men's tournament)
Football (18) - Women's team should qualify.
Golf (4) - Brooke Henderson and Maude Aimee Leblanc in the women's event, Corey Conners and Nick Taylor in the men's event.
Artistic Gymnastics (14) - Women’s team has already secured qualification. If our men's team can replicate their performance from last year's World Championships, they'd qualify as well.
Artistic Gymnastics (11)
Women’s Team- Ellie Black, Shallon Olsen, Emma Spence, Sydney Turner
Ellie Black - Women’s Balance Beam, Women’s All-Around
Brooklyn Moors - Women’s All Around, Women’s Floor
Shallon Olsen - Women’s Vault
Laurie Denoumee - Women’s Vault
Men’s Team - Felix Dolci, William Emard, Rene Cournoyer, Chris Kaji, Jason Rampersad. Don't know the event situation with these athletes.
Trampoline Gymnastics (3)
Jermey Chartier - Men’s Event
Sophiane Methot - Women’s Event
Samantha Smith - Women’s Event
Judo (7) -
Kelly Deguchi - Women’s -52kg
Christa Deguchi - Women’s -57kg, Team Event
Catherine Beauchemin-Pinard - Women’s -63kg, Team Event
Coralie Godbout - Team Event
Arthur Margelidon - Men’s -73kg, Team Event
Francois Gauthier-Drapeau - Men’s -81kg, Team Event
Kyle Reyes - Men’s -100kg, Team Event
Rowing (25-30) -
Used numbers from Tokyo/Rio and the recent WCHs to do my predictions.
Rugby 7s (13-26) -
Women's team should qualify through Ran 7s. Men's team is looking unlikely for a quota, now that USA failed to qualify through the WS. But home crowd advantage helps, and if you catch them on a bad day you could certainly pull off an upset.
Sailing (6) -
Sarah Douglas - Women’s Dinghy
Georgia Lewin-Lafrance - Women’s Skiff
Fillah Karim - Men’s Dinghy
Arie Mofatt - Men’s Skiff
Nataliya Leshko - Women’s Kite
Tom Ramshaw - Men’s Dinghy
Shooting (1) -
Don't know who, but I think we'll qualify someone.
Skateboarding (4) -
Ryan Decenzo, Cordano Russell, Micky Papa/Matt Berger - Men’s Street
Fay Ebert - Women’s Park
Sport Climbing (2) -
Alannah Yip/Madison Fisher in women’s combined, Sean McColl/Ethan Pitcher in men's combined/speed.
Surfing (2-3) -
Erin Brooks and one of the Olin sisters. Maybe we could qualify Cody Young.
Swimming (29) -
Men (12)
Hau-Li Fan - 10km Open Water
Finlay Knox - 200m IM
Josh Liendo - 50m Freestyle, 100m Freestyle, 100m Butterfly
Ilya Kharun - 100m Butterfly, 200m Butterfly
Javier Acevado - 100m Backstroke
Gabe Mastromatteo - 100m Breastroke
4x100m Freestyle Relay
4x100m Medley Relay
Women (17)
Kylie Masse - 100m Backstroke, 200m Backstroke
Maggie MacNeil - 100m Butterfly
Penny Oleksiak - 100m Freestyle, 200m Freestyle
Summer McIntosh - 200m Freestyle, 400m Freestyle, 200 IM, 400 IM, 200 Butterfly
Katerine Savard - 100m Butterfly
Kelsey Wog - 100m Breastroke, 200m Breastroke
Taylor Ruck - 100m Freestyle, 200m Backstroke
Ingrid Wilm - 100m Backstroke
Tessa Cieplucha - 400m IM
Ella Jansen - 400m Freestyle
Sydney Pickrem - 200m Breastroke, 200m IM
Sophie Angus - 100m Breastroke
4x100m Freestyle Relay
4x200m Freestyle Relay
4x100m Medley Relay
1-2 in the W distance freestyles (800/1500) out of O'Cronin, Finlin, Bellio, and Dunford.
Additional Relay Athletes: Rebecca Smith, Rachel Nicol, Yuri Kisil, Ruslan Gasiev, Markus Thornmeyer, Jeremy Bagshaw, Stephen Calkins, James Dergousoff, Mary Sophie Harvey
Table Tennis (2) -
Eugene Wang in men’s singles, and Mo Zhang in women’s singles.
Taekwondo (6)
Skylar Park - Women’s -57kg
Ashley Kraayeveld - Women’s -67kg
Tae Ku Park - Men’s -68kg
Nicholas Hoefling/Braven Park - Men’s -58kg
Marc Andre Bergeron - Men’s +80kg
Yvette Hui Hai Yong - Women’s -49kg
Tennis (8) -
Felix Auger-Aliassime - Men’s Singles, Mixed Doubles
Denis Shapovalov - Men’s Singles, Men’s Doubles
Leylah Fernandez - Women’s Singles
Bianca Andresscu - Women’s Singles
Rebecca Marino - Women’s Singles
Vasek Pospisil - Men’s Doubles
Sharon Fichman - Women’s Doubles
Gabriela Dabrowski - Women’s Doubles, Mixed Doubles
Triathlon (4)
Dominika Jamnicky - Women’s Event, Team Event
Emy Legault - Women’s Event, Team Event
Tyler Mislawchuk - Men’s Event, Team Event
Charles Paquet - Men’s Event, Team Event
Waterpolo (12) -
Women’s team assuming USA qualifies through the World Championships. Men's team could qualify, but would need an upset over USA and possibly a victory over BRA to qualify. Don't see it happening.
Weightlifting (2) -
Maude Charron - Women’s 59kg
Boady Santavy - Men’s 102kg
Wrestling (7) -
Erica Weibe - Women’s 76kg
Linda Morais - Women’s 68kg
Ana Godinez - Women’s 62kg
Madison Parks - Women’s 50kg
Karla Godinez - Women’s 57kg
Amar Dhesi - Men’s 125kg
Lachlan McNeil - Men’s 65kg
Don't know how Canada will choose their team for Paris 2024s=, there's so much talent in our team. This would mean Justina Di Stasio, Olivia Di Bacco and Diana Wiecker all miss out, despite being good enough to qualify/potentially medal.
Rhythmic Gymnastics, Modern Pentathlon, Handball, and Volleyball are sports I have Canada failing to qualify in. I hope I'm wrong though, really hoping at least one of our volleyball teams qualifies.