You are absoIutly correct about the big modification. I saw my first system gave too much advantage to a predicter who could be lucky with the correct podium place. And on the other hand, I gave too much of a disadvantage for a predicter who could guess more medallists. I think my second system benefit those who are good at predicting medalists more than the current system.
I think this whole discussion started because Heywoodu (and myself) think it is not harder to predict a gold medallist than a bronze medallist, but the current point system benefits a correct gold medallist prediction more than and correct silver or bronze medallist.
If I took your example from above, and instead of a correct predicted bronze medallist, User B predicted the correct gold medallist.
Results:
1. Aksel Lund Svindal
2. Kjetil Jansrud
3. Beat Feuz
User A predicted:
1. Kjetil Jansrud
2. Beat Feuz
3. A.L. Svindal
User B predicted:
1. Aksel Lund Svindal
2. C. Innerhofer
3. D. Paris
User A
User B
current system
4 points
4 points
wumo's first system
3 points
4 points
wumo's second system
6 points
3 points
I would agree with you that User A is, in my example, the better predicter, but the result says differently.
But as you write last in your post, I think it should be up to the user who runs the contest to decide what system to be used.
I would like to thank you, @Dunadan, for your constructive criticism of my system, and come with your opinion on the prediction point system. You have been on the forum for much longer than I have and participated in more prediction contests than I have. You should know the point system and what works, so thanks for your input.