heywoodu 13,812 Posted November 4, 2020 #7171 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, dcro said: Unless those are 100% Biden, it's irrelevant. Not exactly. I believe I heard around 70-75% of the for now uncounted ballots were sent out to registered Democrats. Which does not automatically mean they all voted Biden, of course, but that would be a high enough number to definitely make it close enough for Pennsylvania to not be called yet. If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heywoodu 13,812 Posted November 4, 2020 #7172 Share Posted November 4, 2020 This whole thing is playing out nearly exactly as Sanders said here (not sure when this was, but clearly before Election Day) If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vic Liu 1,635 Posted November 4, 2020 #7173 Share Posted November 4, 2020 12 minutes ago, heywoodu said: Not exactly. I believe I heard around 70-75% of the for now uncounted ballots were sent out to registered Democrats. Which does not automatically mean they all voted Biden, of course, but that would be a high enough number to definitely make it close enough for Pennsylvania to not be called yet. Even Joe won Pen state makes no difference. Unless Joe additionally won at least one state from WI, MI, Georgia or North Carolina. If the current outcome is correct, it's very unlikely to happen. opruh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heywoodu 13,812 Posted November 4, 2020 #7174 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Vic Liu said: Even Joe won Pen state makes no difference. Unless Joe additionally won at least one state from WI, MI, Georgia or North Carolina. If the current outcome is correct, it's very unlikely to happen. But that's just not unlikely at all. He still has fairly realistic chances mostly in Wisconsin and Michigan, not so much in North Carolina. Georgia will depend entirely on how many votes are still coming out of the Atlanta area (mostly Democratic) and Pennsylvania could get close, but is just impossible to say for now. If Nevada (not sure, mostly rural area to be counted, so Trump) and Arizona (looks excellent) stay blue, Wisconsin and Michigan would be enough to win and Pennsylvania wouldn't even be needed. Trump is definitely the favourite at this point, but it's really simply not decided yet, at all. konig 1 If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcro 10,193 Posted November 4, 2020 #7175 Share Posted November 4, 2020 8 minutes ago, heywoodu said: mostly in Wisconsin 100k lead with 90% votes in. No way. #banbestmen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vic Liu 1,635 Posted November 4, 2020 #7176 Share Posted November 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, heywoodu said: But that's just not unlikely at all. He still has fairly realistic chances mostly in Wisconsin and Michigan, not so much in North Carolina. Georgia will depend entirely on how many votes are still coming out of the Atlanta area (mostly Democratic) and Pennsylvania could get close, but is just impossible to say for now. If Nevada (not sure, mostly rural area to be counted, so Trump) and Arizona (looks excellent) stay blue, Wisconsin and Michigan would be enough to win and Pennsylvania wouldn't even be needed. Trump is definitely the favourite at this point, but it's really simply not decided yet, at all. When I say unlikely based on AP results shows 94% Wisconsin votes counted and Trump leading 51.0%vs47.7%. If it's not 94% counted but an unknown numbers of mail-in votes to count, then the situation will be very different for sure. opruh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heywoodu 13,812 Posted November 4, 2020 #7177 Share Posted November 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, dcro said: 100k lead with 90% votes in. No way. Again, that too depends on where the remaining votes are coming from. He is the favourite, yes, but both Dane County and Milwaukee County - home to the two major cities - have quite a significant amount to report in yet and both are strongly Democratic (currently 75 and 60 percent Biden, which is expected to be a tad higher in the mail ballots). It's not just numbers, it's also where they are coming from. Like in Michigan, Trump is the favourite, but Biden definitely still has a realistic chance. I mean, if he doesn't, the current betting odds of around 1.7 for Trump must be absolutely free money for anyone who is convinced Trump can't lost it anymore. If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NearPup 2,377 Posted November 4, 2020 #7178 Share Posted November 4, 2020 On 03/11/2020 at 02:00, NearPup said: I mean given 100,000,000 people voted already (yours truly included) it’s probably already been mostly decided. I think some people on here will be pretty confused by the results tbh. I am confused about the results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NearPup 2,377 Posted November 4, 2020 #7179 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Biden is now ahead in Wisconsin by 11,000 votes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcro 10,193 Posted November 4, 2020 #7180 Share Posted November 4, 2020 It's over. Biden wins. Michigan is arguably more likely to flip than Wisconsin. #banbestmen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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