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And I had her wikipedia page open when I wrote that. Good catch, pretty clear which Lindsey I was thinking about at the moment. Interesting on the short track, I wasn't looking that deeply at is but good to know there's some medal chances. Might balance out a potential snowboarding collapse. -
Filip Gravenfors (freestyle skiing) Broke his collarbone during Sweden’s pre-Olympic training camp https://www.instagram.com/p/DUD6BfYgqQO/?igsh=MXNoMjBjaWlyazc1OA== All the best in your recovery Filip! -
Entries nominated by the different NOC´s in the first post of this thread. in the team event without pair, is one of the most WTF moment in history of the olympics -
Very nice analysis, a few things here. Bobsleigh: In Love's last 7 races, she hasn't finished better than 8th, unlikely she’ll medal. Also just a small correction, it's Kailie, you must've got her confused with someone else Short Track Speed Skating: I'd say there's a really good chance you win at least 2-3 medals. Stoddard has been on fire this season, she's won 8 medals in 12 events, Santos Griswold has a decent chance in each of the women's distances, mainly the 500m. Women's relay won medals at two of the WCs, and the mixed relay has a chance if other top nations (Korea, Netherlands, Canada, China) crash in the semifinals, don't think they match up raw power wise. Snowboarding: Choi, Shimizu, and possibly Kudo (more inconsistent) will push Kim if she is indeed at her best, but it's hard to bet against someone like her. Mastro is an outside chance in halfpipe, competition might be too much for her. Men's snowboard cross has no chance , and mixed team with Gaskill/Baumgartener or Vedder is probably an outside chance.
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Poland, he is employe in this airport ( i mean a brave) -
Someone has to tally USA up, I'll make it as short as I can. Alpine Skiing: 2-5. Shiffrin and Vonn have a chance to medal in any event they are a part of. Small chance for a men's athlete to medal like in 2022. 1 gold and 1 silver to Shiffrin. Gold in women's team. 3 total. Bobsled: 1-3. Women's monobob team has the former gold medalist (Kaillie Humphries), the most recent world champion (Kayasha Love), and a medalist in both (Elana Meyers Taylor). Two medals in the event is very possible with a two woman as a chance. 1 gold in monobob Cross-Country ski: 1-4. Jesse Diggins has been ripping up the world circuit since her 2022 silver in 30km free and bronze in sprint. She'll get another medal this year, and could go for a legacy games with 4. 2 gold and 1 silver to diggins. So 3 total Figure Skating: 3-5. Ilia Malinin for men's, Madison Chock and Evan Bates for ice dancing, and the team event are some of the safest medals for team USA. I would expect another medal or two from the women's singles, but it's thin ice there between 2 medals or 0 in that event. 1 gold to Ilia, Chock and Bates, and the team. 1 silver to Liu in women's. 4 total Freestyle skiing: 6-11. The best winter sport for team USA, with 8 medals in the last Olympics and 9 at the 2025 worlds. High medal chances in men's aerials, slope, half and women's dual moguls, aerials, and mixed aerial teams. Good chances in men's big air and women's single moguls. Double medals in the strongest events is also likely. I'd say 9 is reasonable as the inclusion of double moguls could give 1-3 just in the women's event. 9 in total, too many to count Ice Hockey: 1-2. The women's team medals, they have done it every time and shouldn't stop this year. An NHL lead men's team should be getting a medal but a chance encounter with Canada could slow things down. Gold or silver for women's, bronze for men's. 2 Short Track Speed Skating: 0-1. There's 8 events the US has qualified for, it's a chaotic sport, one odd medal seems possible but not likely. 0 likely Skeleton: 0-1. Mystique Ro won 2 medals at the most recent world's albeit on home ice in Lake Placid. She has 2 chances to show up in individual and mixed relay and could win a medal. Bronze to Ro. 1 Snowboard: 0-4. This is a rough year for US snowboarding. Although we invented the sport, like skateboarding, the Japanese have mastered it. Chole Kim sits as the sole star for the team and if she's recovered from her recent injury should win halfpipe, but it's a looming question. There's chances in men's slope and big air from Ollie Martin or maybe Red Gerrard. The 4th medal would come from Men's snowboard cross where there's 4 top athletes. Maybe a bit harsh, we could go 5 or 6 if things align, but we could also reasonably get nothing. 3 seems doable, 1 gold to Kim, 1 bronze to Marin, 1 cross medal in men's or mixed team. 3 Speed skating: 3-6. I had no idea the US team was this strong. Jordan Stolz is that guy and based on recent championships should medal in the 3 shortest distances if not win a few. Add in a very strong team pursuit squad for men's and a top 5 women's team and good athletes in the mass start event and we could see this as US's second best sport. 3 medals to Stolz, one in men's pursuit. 4 So tallied up the range is 17-42, which is basically a meaningless range to be honest because neither extreme is possible. I went back over and gave an official prediction with 30 medals total. 5 more then in Beijing. Maybe optimistic, but I think that makes sense with extra chances in double moguls, a stronger men's hockey team, and the Stolz having a good games. Reasonable range is 24-32
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By Quaker2001 · Posted
For the Canadian crowd out there.. -
By De_Gambassi · Posted
Basically, that. I'd be a bit more hopeful on alpine skiing (1-2) . Noël + Rassat make for a very, very good chance in men's slalom by itself and all the other outsiders + the men's team make for a solid second shot IMO. Also, Laffont has been back this week-end and it seems she was doing good. I had a go before reading your post, and it was almost exactly the same for the other disciplines: Alpine : 1-2 Biathlon : 6-10 (yes, exactly the same range) Nordic : 0-1 Snowboarding : 2 Freestyle : 1-2 (including a fit Laffont) Ski Mountaineering : 2-3 Speed Skating ; 0-1 Figure skating : 1 Total : 13-22 (let's say 17-18) -
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All the Olympic Qualifying Events which have released the official qualification systems have been added to our calendars here: 2026 Qualification Calendar 2027 Qualification Calendar 2028 Qualification Calendar You can easily access these calendars from this menu everywhere: If you spot any missing qualification event please report it to me here!
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