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Boxing Qualification for Summer Olympic Games 2016


MantaRaymarc
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4 minutes ago, hckosice said:

Tankó out for injury :(  well, this assume everything about our luck...so no combat sport for us in Rio.. and no Boxing since 1996

hey,there is still one more chance for him.

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let's have a quick look at how the whole drama could develop...

 

Men's -49kg

the bottom half of the draw is as simple as it looks...Rufat Huseynov (AZE) will cruise into the final (and the Olympic spot) with the usual help of the judges...

in the top half, the Turkish guy is very, very weak, but I guess he will be taken with force at least into the decider against Zamotaev (UKR, no.1 seed) in the quartrfinals...I hope that at least the Ukranian can stop him (if it was a fair game, the spot would be contested between the Ukrainian, Cappai - ITA - and Jagodzinski - POL - but we all know that ths is not a fair game at all)...

my picks: UKR, POL and AZE to qualify...

 

Men's -52kg

this class is quite open...in the top half we have the Irish Irvine as no.1 seed, the German Hamza Touba and the Italian veteran Picardi as the best fighters on paper (but we also have a Turkish man, not to be forgotten)...

in the bottom half, my favourite is Muhammad Ali (GBR), but Asenov (BUL) has always had a certain luck with the judges and Riscan (MDA) is always a dangerous boxer...

my picks: IRL, BUL and GBR to Rio...

 

Men's -56kg

Qais Ashfaq (GBR) and Butsenko (UKR) should be the semifinalists in the top half of the draw, meanwhile in the bottom part the 1st round match-up between Chalabiyev (AZE) and Gojan (MDA) is the actual top fight of this class, but, once again, we can't forget that there is a Turkish boxer, who could mess up the whole field, especially in this class, where he's been gifted the no.4 seed...

my picks: GBR, AZE and TUR to the Games...

 

Men's -60kg

top half: the fight between Sofiane Oumiha (FRA) and the German Robert Harutyunyan (which would take place in the second round, if everything goes according to plan) should establish this side's finalist...

the bottom half is a lot more open, with Domenico Valentino (ITA) being the classiest man in the field, but with also a few other serious pretenders to the Olympic spots (from David Joyce, IRL, no.3 seed to Joseph Cordina, GBR, no.2 seed...without forgetting the Hungarian Miklos Varga and the man from Belarus Safaryants)...

my picks: GER, GBR and BLR to qualify...

 

Men's -64kg

the top half of the draw is quite easy for both the Ukranian Petrov and the Cuban (starting for Azerbaijan) Sotomayor...

the bottom half should see Petrauskas (LTU) through to the semifinals, meanwhile the other spot is really everybody's chance (I secretly hope in a stunning performance by the young Italian Arecchia, medallist at the last Youth Olympics)...

my picks: AZE, UKR and LTU to the Games...

 

Men's -69kg

top half of the draw almost unpredictable, even the no.1 sed Stanionis (LTU) can't consider himself above the rest of the field...

bottom half with Mangiacapre (ITA) clearly being the best boxer, but with many opponents who could easily spoil the party for the Azzurri (especially the Hungarian Bacsai in a possible second round match-up)...

my picks: LTU, ITA and GER to qualify...

 

Men's -75kg

top half with 4 strong pretenders to the only 1 or 2 places for the Games: Christian Mbilli-Assomo (FRA), Michael O'Reilly (IRL), Antony Fowler (GBR) and Bogdan Juratoni (ROU)...

bottom half with less quality...Mytrofanov (UKR) should get the spot accessing the final bout...and I hope Cavallaro (ITA) can at least make it through to the semis and fight for the Games in the play-off bout (Paskali, GER, no.3 seed and the Hungarian Harksa should be his strongest rivals)...

my picks: FRA, UKR and ITA to qualify...

 

Men's -81kg

top half with a fake no.1 seed (th Dutch Peter Mullenberg)...the fight will be almost certainly between one of the most overrated boxer ever, Teymur Mammadov (AZE) and the almost unknown Russian (formerly from Georgia) Kushitashvili...the only outsider could be Mehmet Unal (TUR)...we know with which methods...

the bottom half on paper will be an easy task for Oleksandr Khyzhniak (UKR), with the German Serge Michel as only trustable opponent...

my picks: AZE, UKR and GER to qualify...

 

Men's -91kg

Abdulkadir Abdullayev (AZE) is the no.1 seed and the favourite to earn the Olympic spot in the top half, but he shouldn't underestimate Darren O'Neill (IRL) in the possible quarterfinals matchup nor the the man from Turkey in the eventual semifinal bout...

The Pole Jakubowski and the Belarussian Karneyeu, instead, are the 2 best fighters in the bottom half, at least on paper...it would be an interesting semifinal if they really meet at that stage...

my picks: AZE, BLR and (I hope) POL to qualify (but I really fear the local "hero")...

 

Men's +91kg

Unfortunately for Italy and Great Britain, I don't see how AZE, RUS and TUR won't get the available spots in this class (maybe Joseph Joyce has a better chance against Babanin in the top half of the draw, but the bottom part is definitely closed for anybody not coming from AZE and TUR)...

 

finally, my Women's picks:

 

-51kg: GBR and the winner of the early rounds bout between ITA and BUL

-60kg: IRL and her legitimate successor as the best women's fighter pound for pound, 17 year young multi-youth champion of everything Irma Testa (ITA)

-75kg: GBR and RUS

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40 minutes ago, hckosice said:

Tankó out for injury :(  well, this assume everything about our luck...so no combat sport for us in Rio.. and no Boxing since 1996

 

You are currently holding a continental quota in judo.

#banbestmen

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9 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

Why is Müllenberg a "fake no. 1 seed" and what's wrong with Fontijn in the women's 75kg? :p 

Mullenberg is a "fake" no.1 because there are at least 3 fighters (AZE, UKR and RUS) who are clearly better than him (and 2 of them already got many international medals to prove that, the only not yet so successful cruiserweight - at senior level - is the young Georgian boxing for Russia)...:evil:

 

on the women's side, there's nothing wrong with Fontjin...she is definitely a very good boxer...

it's just my personal idea that Savannah Marshall (GBR) will win the fight beween them (if they actually end up meeting in the semis)...nothing more than a simple prediction (and don't worry...I usually miss more predictions than I guess right)...;)

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