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Qualification for LA28 Road to LA 2028

clemsonbeav

By clemsonbeav,
in Road to LA28

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clemsonbeav Collaborator

clemsonbeav   540

Posted
Posted (edited)

Gonna try and keep track of what we qualify for automatically, where we can pick up other slots, etc.

 

Sport Host Country Quota Additional Quota Opportunities Estimated Total M Estimated Total W
3x3 Basketball 1 team per gender None 4 4
Archery 3 (recurve) + 1 (compound) per gender (assuming we enter 3+1 in WCh) None 4 4
Artistic Gymnastics 1 per gender 4 per gender, most probably coming in WCh in 2026 or 2027 5 5
Artistic Swimming 8 (1 team and 1 duet from it) None 0 8
Badminton 1 per gender Up to 14 more, based on BWF ranking 3 4
Basketball 1 team per gender None 12 12
Baseball / Softball 1 team per gender None 24 15
Beach Volleyball 1 team per gender 1 more team per gender, pending ranking and/or winning tournaments 4 4
Boxing TBD, prob 3 Up to 1 per event 4 4
Canoe - Slalom 1 per gender Up to 2 more per gender (pending rankings and/or tournaments) 1 1
Canoe - Sprint 2 per gender Up to 6 more per gender (pending rankings and/or tournaments) 3 2
Coastal Rowing 1 per gender None 1 1
Cricket 1 team per gender None 15 15
Cycling - BMX Freestyle 1 per gender Up to 1 more per gender (pending tournaments) 2 2
Cycling - BMX Racing 1 per gender Up to 2 more per gender (pending ranking, and/or tournaments) 3 2
Cycling - Mountain Bike 1 per gender Up to 1 more per gender (pending rankings) 2 2
Cycling - Road 2 per gender (Road Race only) Up to 2 more per gender for RR (depending on Nations Ranking, we will probably have 1 more man, 0 more women), up to 2 per gender for time trial (1 is based on Nations Ranking, the other is pending a Top 10 finish in TT in 2027 WCh) 3 2
Cycling - Track None Lots available, just gotta have the rankings 5 2
Diving 4 per gender (synchro events) 4 more available based on tourneys 8 8
Equestrian 1 team of 3 per discipline None 9
Fencing 6 slots total (in addition to what we earn) 12 more possible (6 per gender) 9 9
Field Hockey 1 team per gender None 16 16
Flag Football 1 team per gender None 10 10
Golf 1 per gender Up to three more (rankings) 4 3
Handball 1 team per gender None 14 14
Judo 7 per gender None 7 7
Lacrosse 1 team per gender None 11 11
Modern Pentathlon 1 per gender 1 more per gender possible 1 1
Rhythmic Gymnastics 1 team, 1 individual 1 more individual possible 0 7
Rowing 1 per gender up to 21 more 22 18
Rugby Sevens 1 team per gender None 12 12
Sailing 7 per gender None 7 7
Shooting 6 per gender Up to 6 more per gender 9 9
Skateboarding Prob 2 per gender Prob up to 4 more per gender 6 6
Soccer 1 team per gender None 18 18
Sport Climbing 1 per gender per discipline (B/L/S) Up to one more per gender per discipline 4 4
Squash 1 per gender Up to one more per gender 1 2
Surfing 1 per gender Up to two more 2 3
Swimming (inc. OWS) TBD (pool), 1 per gender (open water) Up to 26 per gender total for pool, 2 for open water 27 27
Table Tennis 3 per gender None 3 3
Taekwondo 2 per gender Up to 2 more per gender 2 2
Tennis 3 per gender Up to 3 more per gender 6 6
Track & Field TBD TBD 58 58
Trampoline 1 per gender 1 more possible per gender 1 1
Triathlon 2 per gender 1 more per gender 2 3
Volleyball 1 team per gender None 12 12
Water Polo 1 team per gender None 11 11
Weightlifting 3 per gender None (unless bonus Best Lifter) 3 3
Wrestling None Up to 12 M and 6 W 10 6
    Estimated Total: 391 386
      9
    Estimated Grand Total 786

 

 

Calendar

12-16 Aug 2026 - Rhythmic Gymnastics WCh 2026 (Top 3 get a quota)

17-25 October 2026 - World Gymnastics WCh (Top 3 finish = we get a team)

1-15 Nov 2026 - ISSF WCh (lots of quotas available...and then pay attention to every ISSF PanAm+Global event after that, starting 21 Nov PanAm event in Lima)

3-7 Nov 2026 - Urban Cycling WCh (potential BMX freestyle extra quota if we win)

4-9 November 2026 - NORCECA Beach Volleyball Championship (win = we get a team)

13-19 Nov 2026 - World Surf Games 2026 - Top 1 gets a quota

26 Jun-18 Jul 2027 - World Aquatics 2027 WCh Budapest (top 8 = we get a quota for Water Polo, Top 3 for open water)

2027 - UIPM World Cup Final (win = we get a quota)

July 2027 - PanAm Games (Sport Climbing - If we win, we get a quota for that discipline, Diving - If we win, we get an individual quota, Modern Pentathlon - win and/or be top 2 NORCECA, opportunity for MTB, Squash - win = quota, Surf - win = quota)

August 2027 - Beach Volleyball WCh (win = we get a team, if we haven't already)

16-22 August 2027 - World Archery WCh (make sure we enter 3+1 to receive our quota)

August 2027 - World Climbing Championships (if we win, we get a quota for that discipline)

23-29 Aug 2027 - Rowing WCh (lots of quotas up for grabs)

24 August-5 September 2027 - UCI World Championship (Extra Time Trial Quota if we place in top 10, potential BMX Racing/Freestyle extra quota, opportunity to qualify MTB)

2027 - BMX Racing PanAmCh

11-19 Sep 2027 - Wrestling WCh (medallists qualify)

15-19 Sep 2027 - Rhythmic Gymnastics WCh 2027 (Top 12 get a quota)

World Surf Games 2027 - Top 1 gets a quota

2027 - UIPM WCh 2027 - Quota if we're top non-qualified

28 September-6 October 2027 - World Gymnastics WCh (Top 9 finish = we get a team, if we haven't already)

October 2027 - Swimming WC - Qualify for new 50m events

November 2027 - Trampoline WCh (Top 8 get a slot)

December 2027 - Taekwondo Grand Prix Championship Series (win = quota)

2028 - Diving World Cup Stops 1 and 2 - Last chance to score big and get a quota

2028 - Rowing Continental Regatta (probably won't need)

2028 - Rhythmic Gymnastics PanAm Comp (Top 1 gets a quota)

2028 - PanAm Taekwondo Comp (but probably won't be eligible to participate)

2028 - PanAm Wrestling Tourney (top 2 get a slot)

2028 - World Wrestling Last Chance Qualifier (top 1 gets a slot)

2028 - Trampoline PanAm Comp (Potential slot)

2028 - OQE for Open Water Swimming (TBD)

2028 - World Surf Games 2028 - Top 10 = quota

April 2028 - Fencing Zonal Qualifiers

2028 - Canoe Slalom PanAms and Global Qualifier, Canoe Sprint PanAms

2028 - Last Chance Rowing Regattas

21-27 May 2028 - 2028 BMX Racing WCh (potential extra quota)

2028 - UIPM WCh 2028 (quota to top 3 non-qualified)

2028 - Sport Climbing OQS (last chance to qualify)

 

Rankings to Check

Rhythmic Gymnastics World Cup Ranking - 30 Jun 2027

Canoe Slalom Olympic Ranking - 3 Oct 2027

UCI Road Nations Ranking - 19 Oct 2027

Canoe Sprint Olympic Rankings - 31 Dec 2027

AQUA (pool) Points - 1 Jan 2028

Wrestling Rankings - 2028

Taekwondo Olympic Rankings - 6 January 2028

AQUA Open Water Rankings - 1 Feb 2028

FIVB Beach Volleyball Ranking - March 2028

FEI Fencing Ranking - 1 April 2028

UCI Track Olympic Rankings - 11 Apr 2028

Trampoline WC Ranking - 30 Apr 2028

ISSF Rankings - 1 May 2028

BWF LA28 Ranking - 2 May 2028

Triathlon Ranking - 18 May 2028

Squash Rankings - 22 May 2028

Weightlifting Best Lifter - 23 May 2028

BMX Racing Ranking - 30 May 2028

Mountain Bike Ranking - 30 May 2028

IGF Rankings - June 2028

UIPM Rankings - June 2028

Surfing Rankings - June 2028

Tennis Rankings - June 2028

 

Edited by clemsonbeav
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clemsonbeav Collaborator

clemsonbeav   540

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Posted (edited)

And just like that...holy dang...an estimated 786 athletes.  Like, just our men and just our women will be larger than most nations.

 

(Only :USA , :FRA , :AUS , :GER , :JPN , :ITA , :CHN , and :ESP were just as large or larger than just our men or just our women in Paris 2024.)

 

Screenshot 2026-03-14 at 10.22.33 AM.png

 

That's ridiculous.  How in the world are we supposed to keep track of all of this.  :p 

Edited by clemsonbeav
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