Summer Olympic Games 2016 Totallympics Predicted Medal Table

[heywoodu 16,003]

 

Hello

 

As most of you know, many people are usually mostly laughing about sites and people who try and come up with predicted medal tables for the Olympics (such as the Infostrada/Gracenote Virtual Medal Table). If there's so much negative response to those kind of things, surely there must be confidence that we can do better without statistical analysis, but with our combined knowledge of the Olympic sports? 

 

I mean, there's no way we're all going to agree on the same things, but looking at the vast amount of knowledge on here about basically every sport, surely we can come up with predictions at least a majority can agree on?

 

I'm not entirely sure how to exactly complete a total medal table, but we gotta start somewhere. One suggestion might be that you post some predictions on events you think you know enough about, including some in your opinion top favourites, lesser favourites, outsiders and some who would need a huge upset in order to medal. Since we're making a medal table and not individual predictions, it might be useful to note them down as nations instead of individual athletes.

 

An example might be the following, in which I'm pretending to know a whole lot about the women's discus throw. Five stars is the maximum and is for the top favourites, whereas one star suggests a medal is not impossible, but not very likely (let's say a 5-10% medal chance):

 

Athletics - Women's discus throw:

* * * * *  Croatia (Perkovic), Cuba (Perez & Caballero)

* * * Germany (Fischer & Müller), Australia (Samuels)

* * China (Su, Feng), France (Robert-Michon)

* USA (Ashley, Card), Great Britain (Lally)

 

Obviously more than one person is welcome to post predictions for the same event, which I could combine into a "total Totallympics prediction".

 

Horrible idea? Best idea ever? Suggestions? 

 

 

[Gianlu33 5,276]

Amazing idea  I'll try to help you whit Rhythmic gymnastics if you want

[Gianlu33 5,276]

Rhythmic Gymnastic - Women's Individual All-Around:

* * * * *  Russia (Kudryavtseva and Mamun)

* * * Belarus (Staniouta or Halkina)

** Ukraine

* Israel (Rivkin or Filanovski)

 

Rhythmic Gymnastic - Women's Group All-Around:

* * * * *  Russia

*** Bulgaria

** Spain, Italy

* Israel, Belarus

 

@thiago_simoes you agree whit me?

[Agger 1,700]

Damn you for stealing an idea I was planning to start soon! 

[LDOG 2,468]

Let's give it a try with some team sports:

 

Volleyball - Men:

* * * * *  Brazil

* * * *  USA, Russia

* * * France, Italy, Poland 

* * Argentina, Iran

* Canada

 

Volleyball - Women:

* * * * *  Brazil, USA

* * * * China, Russia, Serbia

* * *  Italy, Netherlands

* *  Japan

* South Korea

 

Football - Men:

* * * * *  Brazil

* * * *  Argentina, Germany, Mexico, Portugal

* * * Colombia, Denmark, Nigeria, Sweden 

* * Algeria, Japan

* South Korea

 

Football - Women:

* * * * *  USA

* * * *  France, Germany, Sweden

* * * Brazil, Canada

* * China

* New Zealand

 

Rugby Sevens - Men:

* * * * *  Fiji, South Africa

* * * *  Australia, New Zealand

* * * Argentina, Great Britain

* * France, Kenya, USA

* Japan

 

Rugby Sevens - Women:

* * * * *  Australia, New Zealand

* * * *  Canada, Great Britain

* * * France, USA

* * Russia

* Brazil, Spain

 

Field Hockey - Men:

* * * * *  Australia, Netherlands

* * * *  Argentina, Belgium, Germany

* * *  Great Britain, India

* * New Zealand

* Spain

 

Field Hockey - Women:

* * * * *  Netherlands

* * * *  Argentina, Australia

* * * Great Britain, New Zealand, USA

* * China, Germany

* South Korea

 

 

 

[heywoodu 16,003]

17 minutes ago, Agger said:

Damn you for stealing an idea I was planning to start soon! 

Whoops

 

To be fair, I did already suggest it months ago when people were laughing about the VMT predictions

[Agger 1,700]

35 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

Whoops

 

To be fair, I did already suggest it months ago when people were laughing about the VMT predictions

 

So did I!

[hukbrazil 18]

Womens Handball

***** Norway
**** Russia, Montenegro
*** Brazil, Romania, Spain, Sweden, Netherlands
** France, South Korea

[hukbrazil 18]

Triathlon - Men

***** Spain (Javier Gómez Noya, Mario Mola), Great Britain (Alistair Brownlee)

*** Great Britain (Jonathan Brownlee), Spain (Fernando Alarza)

** France (Vincent Luis), South Africa (Richard Murray)

* Portugal (João José Pereira)

 

Triathlon - Women

***** United States (Gwen Jorgensen)

*** New Zealand (Andrea Hewitt), United States (Sarah True, Katie Zaferes), Great Britain (Non Stanford, Vicky Holland)

** Switzerland (Nicola Spirig)

* Netherlands (Rachel Klamer), Bermuda (Flora Duffy)

[dcro 10,210]

Not sure if this is a good idea, this thread could very well serve as the great cheating place for all of prediction contests that we are going to have!