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Your safest Gold Medal Picks for Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024


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In this thread we will take a look at athletes / teams that have the best chance to win gold in Paris.

 

You can choose athletes / teams from any event / sport, that according to you, have the best chance to win gold. You can pick as many athletes / teams as you wish.

 

Once replies start coming in, I will start updating this post to include a list with the most popular picks.

 

Updated up to post #82

 

6 - :CAN Summer McIntosh - Swimming - Women's 400 IM

5 - :AUS Australia - Swimming - Women's 4x200 freestyle

5 - :SWE Armand Duplantis - Athletics - Men's pole vault

5 - :USA Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone - Women's 400 hurdles athletics

4 - :AUS Australia - Swimming - Women's 4x100m freestyle 

4 - :CHN Wang Zongyuan / Long Daoyi - Diving - Men's 3m synchronized springboard 

4 - :CHN Lian Junjie / Yang Hao - Diving - Men's 10m synchronized platform

4 - :CHN Chang Yani / Chen Yiwen - Diving - Women's 3m synchronized springboard

4 - :CHN Chen Yuxi / Quan Hongchan - Diving - Women's 10m synchronized platform

4 - :CHN Wang Zongyuan - Diving - Men's 3m springboard

4 - :CHN China - Table tennis - Women's team

4 - :CHN China - Table tennis - Men's team

4 - :USA Katie Ledecky - Swimming - Women's 1500m freestyle

3 - :CHN Li Wenwen - Weightlifting - Women's +87 kg

3 - :FRA Leon Marchand - Swimming - Men's 400m IM

3 - :GBR Emily Craig / Imogen Grant - Rowing - Women's lightweight double sculls

3 - :NED Harry Lavreysen - Track cycling - Men's individual sprint

2 - :AUS Ariarne Titmus - Swimming - Women's 400m freestyle

2 - :CHN Hou Zhihui - Weightlifting - Women's 49 kg

2 - :GBR Emma Finucane - Track cycling - Women's individual sprint

2 - :KOR South Korea - Archery - Men's team

2 - :NED Netherlands - Women's field hockey

2 - :ROU David Popovici - Swimming - Men's 200m freestyle

2 - :SLO Janja Garnbret - Sport climbing - Women's boulder/lead

2 - :SWE Sarah Sjoestroem - Swimming - Women's 50m freestyle

2 - :USA Ryan Crouser - Athletics - Men's shot put

:AUS Matthew Wearn - Sailing - Men's ILCA 7

:BEL Nafissatou Thiam - Athletics - Women's heptathlon

:CAN Ethan Katzberg - Athletics - Men's hammer throw

:CHN China - Artistic swimming - Team

:CHN Wang Liuyi / Wang Qianyi - Artistic swimming - Duet 

:CHN Li Fabin - Weightlifting - Men's 61 kg

:CHN Luo Shifang - Weightlifting - Women's 59 kg

:GEO Lasha Talakhadze - Weightlifting - Men's +102 kg

:GBR Tom Pidcock - Mountain biking - Men's cross country

:GBR Ethan Hayter - Track cycling - Men's omnium

:GRE Miltiadis Tentoglou - Athletics - Men's long jump

:ITA Ruggero Tita / Caterina Banti - Sailing - Nacra 17

:JPN Uta Abe - Judo - Women's -52 kg

:JPN Hifumi Abe - Judo - Men's -66kg

:KEN Faith Kipyegon - Athletics - Women's 1500m

:LTU Mykolas Alekna - Athletics - Men's discus throw

:NED Netherlands - Track cycling - Men's team sprint

:NED Karolien Florijn - Rowing - Women's single sculls

:NOR Jakob Ingebrigtsen - Athletics - Men's 5000m

:POL Iga Swiatek - Tennis - Women's singles

:POL Aleksandra Miroslaw - Sport climbing - Women's speed

:ESP Jordi Xammar / Nora Brugman - Sailing - Mixed 470

:USA USA - Athletics - Women's 4x400m 

:USA Chloe Dygert - Road cycling - Women's time trial

:USA Simone Biles - Artistic gymnastics - Women's all around

:USA Grant Holloway - Athletics - Men's 110m hurdles

:USA USA - Men's basketball

:USA USA - Women's basketball

:USA USA - Artistic gymnastics - Women's team

:USA USA - Swimming - Women's 4x100m medley relay

Edited by maestro
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In rowing, the :GBR women’s lightweight double are my lock of all locks. Can’t see any way they’re beaten outside of injury

 

will add more later but they’re the first that came to mind 

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15 minutes ago, dodge said:

In rowing, the :GBR women’s lightweight double are my lock of all locks. Can’t see any way they’re beaten outside of injury

 

will add more later but they’re the first that came to mind 

Some sports are more given to 'locks' than others. Rowing is won of the 'lockiest'.

I'd add the :NED in men's team sprint in track cycling. I think one of 'em needs to actually fall off not win, and even then Harrie could probably remount and win.

The :USA in men's basketball will be a hard enough nut to crack, I suspect...

 

After that, you're getting into 'roasting hot favourites but not quite a lock' territory - Men's 4 x 200 freestyle for :GBR can be beaten theoretically by a couple of teams, but it's gonna be pretty bloody tough - remember in Tokyo the new Olympic champ Dean had an absolute stinker of a leg, and they still won at a cantor. They are bringing an identical team back and if anything, Richards and Guy look better than last time. :AUS women's 4 x 100 in same boat...

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:USA Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone - 400 hurdles athletics

:USA Team USA - 4x400 women athletics

:USA Katie Ledecky - 1500 freestyle swimming

:CHN Qin Haiyang - 100 and 200 breaststroke swimming

:AUS Team Australia - 4x100 and 4x200 freestyle women swimming

:USA Chloe Dygert - time trial cycling

:USA Simone Biles - gymnastics all around

 

 

 

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:SWE Duplantis, :NED Womens Field Hockey and :POL Swiatek.

 

Also, not gold but i really think that :FRA is going to win a medal in Mens Rugby 7.

Edited by MatiReimundo
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7 minutes ago, MatiReimundo said:

:SWE Duplantis, :NED Womens Field Hockey and :POL Swiatek.

 

Also, not gold but i really think that :FRA is going to win a medal in Mens Rugby 7.

In tennis, nothing is a given, especially at the Olympics. Lots of upsets occur. 
 

She is the heavy favourite yeah, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see her not win gold (even with her three in a row at Roland Garros, the Olympic venue)

Edited by Josh
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Too many team events with :USA , :CHN 

 

as for individuals just picking a couple of them

 

:CHN Li Wenwen in weightlifting
:USA Crouser in shot put

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1, Short Track - 10, Skeleton - 1, Snowboarding - 4, Speed Skating - 18)  North Macedonia: 4 (+1) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)  Norway: 81 (-9) (Alpine Skiing - 16, Biathlon - 11, Cross-Country Skiing - 16, Curling - 7, Freestyle Skiing - 5, Nordic Combined - 3, Ski Jumping - 7, Ski Mountaineering - 3, Snowboarding - 3, Speed Skating - 10)  Poland: 55 (-5) (Alpine Skiing - 3, Biathlon - 8, Bobsleigh - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Figure Skating - 4, Luge - 5, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 4, Ski Jumping - 5, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 4, Speed Skating - 9)  Portugal: 4 (+1) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Speed Skating - 1)  Romania: 28 (-6) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 6, Bobsleigh - 4, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 1, Luge - 6, Ski Jumping - 4, Snowboarding - 2)    San Marino: 1 (NEW) (Alpine Skiing - 1)  Serbia: 4 (0) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)  Slovakia: 54 (+1) (Alpine Skiing - 4, Biathlon - 6, Bobsleigh - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 1, Ice Hockey - 25, Luge - 8, Short Track - 1, Ski Jumping - 1, Ski Mountaineering - 3)  Slovenia: 38 (-3) (Alpine Skiing - 9, Biathlon - 9, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Nordic Combined - 2, Ski Jumping - 7, Snowboarding - 4)  Spain: 19 (0) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 5, Ski Mountaineering - 4, Snowboarding - 4, Speed Skating - 1)  Sweden: 115 (-1) (Alpine Skiing - 9, Biathlon - 12, Cross-Country Skiing - 16, Curling - 11, Figure Skating - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 15, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 2, Ski Jumping)  Switzerland: 179 (+1) (Alpine Skiing - 22, Biathlon - 10, Bobsleigh - 18, Cross-Country Skiing - 12, Curling - 11, Figure Skating - 3, Freestyle Skiing - 21, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 1, Nordic Combined - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 5, Ski Mountaineering - 4, Snowboarding - 18, Speed Skating - 3)  Türkiye: 8 (+1) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2, Short Track - 2, Ski Jumping - 2)  Ukraine: 44 (0) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 10, Cross-Country Skiing - 6, Figure Skating - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 9, Luge - 8, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 2, Snowboarding - 1)   Oceania (3 nations)    Australia: 54 (-3) (Alpine Skiing - 3, Bobsleigh - 4, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Figure Skating - 4, Freestyle Skiing - 16, Luge - 1, Short Track - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 14)  New Zealand: 20 (0) (Alpine Skiing - 4, Freestyle Skiing - 10, Snowboarding - 6)  Vanuatu: 1 (0) (Freestyle Skiing - 1)   Other (1 nation)    Individual Neutral Athletes: 17 (0) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 3, Freestyle Skiing - 1, Luge - 2, Short Track - 2, Ski Mountaineering - 1, Speed Skating - 3)    Refugee Olympic Team: 1 (NEW) (Biathlon - 1)
    • Road to Junior World Championship International Test Matches   Tuesday 23rd December, 2025 ---------------------------------   -   1-3  -   2-13  -   3-7
    • Decent team, on european level ofc. In a normal tournament would certainly be a Quarterfinal contender.   In a NHL level gonna be, hard slash impossible, to keep the rhythm for the guys though, but definitely a nice roster on a WCh level for sure.   Nice satisfaction for Bellemare, one great last dance for this huge hockey legend. Fully deserved. He and Da Costa + Texier have possibilities to provide something and surprise some defences also in Milano.
    • Of all the valid points one can make, I'd say someone's mastery of the English language shouldn't really be one on an international forum like this. I think at least 80% of us don't have English as native language, and there's logically going to be a difference in levels.   Again, not disagreeing with the actual contents of what you and people here are saying, but attacking one's language skills (other than an innocent joke here or there, for which this isn't exactly the right place of discussion I assume) feels unnecessary and kind of takes away from the actual content
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