[POLL] - Which country will win the most total medals on Day 1 at the Paris 2024 Olympics?

[phelps 7,812]

  On 6/16/2024 at 7:31 AM, Styrka said:

At first glance, between the swimming, fencing, cycling and even skateboarding events, I would say that the clear favorite is with close behind.

 

Bolder choices : as pointed by @phelps, but also with a bit of chauvinism !

I think French delegation is a serious favourite for a medal in two events :

• Rugby
• Shirine Boukli in Judo W -48kg

 

... and a clear outsider in many more :

• Marie-Florence Candassamy is the reigning World Champion / Auriane Mallo was 1st and 3rd in the last two events this year (W Epee)
• Our male sabre team is maybe our weakest in the six events of Fencing, but they still scored many podiums this year in the World Cup
• Luke Mkheidze was 3rd in 2021, won one Grand Chelem and finished 2nd in two Grand Chelem tournaments this year (Judo M -60kg)
• Océanne Muller et Lucas Kryzs had really good results this year too in the mixed event (Shooting - Mixed Team Air Rifle)
• Aurélien Giraud was world champion in 2023 (and current world champion ?) in Street Skateboarding

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I'd say  is among the clear favourites also in men's Street Skateboarding...Giraud and Milou have great credentials

[Josh 11,101]

  On 6/16/2024 at 8:44 AM, phelps said:

I'd say  is among the clear favourites also in men's Street Skateboarding...Giraud and Milou have great credentials

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Agree,  should also be in the mix (some obviously way more likely than others…)

[TeamGB 187]

Current World Champs (not including Doha 2024 for swimming)

Men's Time Trial - 

Women's Time Trial - 

Women's 3m Synchro - 

Women's Individual Epee

Men's Individual Sabre - 

Women's 48kg - 

Men's 60kg - 

Men's Rugby 7's - 

Mixed Team Air Rifle - 

Men's Street - 

Men's 400m Free - 

Women's 400m Free - 

Men's 4x100m Free - 

Women's 4x100m Free - 

 

Medal Table 

 - 4,2,0

 - 2,2,1

 - 2,0,2

 - 2,0,1

 - 1,1,2

 - 1,1,0

 - 1,0,0

 - 1,0,0

 - 0,4,1

 - 0,1,0

 - 0,1,0

 - 0,1,0

 - 0,1,0

 - 0,0,2

 - 0,0,1

 - 0,0,1

 - 0,0,1

 - 0,0,1

 - 0,0,1

 - 0,0,1

 -0,0,1

 - 0,0,1

- 0,0,1

 

 

[bestmen 2,831]

voted Australia too , but usa will steal medals of swimming cause test of Labs are not in live nd without transparency 

[RussB 189]

From a GBR perspective there will be high hopes of a medal in the 4x1 men’s free relay (it’s going to be tight for gold with USA and AUS, with other contenders not out of the reckoning).

 

but main hope for the day will be Tarling. I have Tarling as the favourite for gold on such a flat parcours, followed by Evenepoel and Ganna.

[phelps 7,812]

  On 6/16/2024 at 12:02 PM, RussB said:

From a GBR perspective there will be high hopes of a medal in the 4x1 men’s free relay (it’s going to be tight for gold with USA and AUS, with other contenders not out of the reckoning).

 

but main hope for the day will be Tarling. I have Tarling as the favourite for gold on such a flat parcours, followed by Evenepoel and Ganna.

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looking at this week's  trials (and at the champs back in April), men's 4*100m free relay is not even a medal contender...it's  then  and finally  vs  for bronze

[RussB 189]

  On 6/16/2024 at 1:56 PM, phelps said:

looking at this week's  trials (and at the champs back in April), men's 4*100m free relay is not even a medal contender...it's  then  and finally  vs  for bronze

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Fortunately the Olympics won’t follow the times of the trials precisely. China for instance perform certainly doesn’t follow a uniform pattern looking at previous champs. I expect Aus will be much faster than trials. US favs of course, but Brits will be hopeful of pushing them close.

[phelps 7,812]

  On 6/16/2024 at 2:09 PM, RussB said:

Fortunately the Olympics won’t follow the times of the trials precisely. China for instance perform certainly doesn’t follow a uniform pattern looking at previous champs. I expect Aus will be much faster than trials. US favs of course, but Brits will be hopeful of pushing them close.

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yeah, in fact I expect  to be not so good as people might think after the Trimetazidine controversy

 

meanwhile  depends too much on Chalmers being perfectly healthy and in top shape, which at the moment is a big "if"

 

we'll see...surely, on paper this is going to be one of the races to watch, with 5 strong medal candidates

[TeamGB 187]

  On 6/16/2024 at 2:09 PM, RussB said:

Fortunately the Olympics won’t follow the times of the trials precisely. China for instance perform certainly doesn’t follow a uniform pattern looking at previous champs. I expect Aus will be much faster than trials. US favs of course, but Brits will be hopeful of pushing them close.

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The issue for China is that if all the other nations put their strongest swimmers on the same leg as Pan, presumably 1st, then the Chinese team would lose a fair chunk of time compared to if he was swimming alone.

 

[RussB 189]

  On 6/16/2024 at 2:16 PM, phelps said:

yeah, in fact I expect  to be not so good as people might think after the Trimetazidine controversy

 

meanwhile  depends too much on Chalmers being perfectly healthy and in top shape, which at the moment is a big "if"

 

we'll see...surely, on paper this is going to be one of the races to watch, with 5 strong medal candidates

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Yeah this I agree with. It will be fast and close between the top few. I know confidence is high in the UK squad on this one, but probably need a jump forward by Alex/Jacob to really be a good medal threat.