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I’m "stealing" your method. I’m often very bad at this kind of prediction, but I still find it very fun to do. France's Medal Prospects Sports Where France Should Medal Biathlon – France usually wins between 5 and 7 medals at the Olympic Games, but since 2022, we’ve been more in the 10+ medals range at the World Championships. It’s no secret that France’s success at these Olympics will depend entirely on biathlon results. The good news is that Lou Jeanmonnot and Julia Simon are absolute monsters on the Antholz Anterselva track. The bad news is that our men’s team hasn’t reached a single individual podium on this track since 2021 (same for Justine Braisaz-Bouchet, who nevertheless did win an Individual race in Antholz five years ago). On top of that, the Italians—Giacomel and Vitozzi in particular—are likely to be untouchable. Still, given the current form of the French team this year and the relatively large number of biathlon events, I don’t think it’s impossible to break the biathlon medal record, or even the record for titles at a single Olympics for . 6–10 medals. Ski Mountaineering – At least one medal in each event doesn’t seem unrealistic, and the Emily Harrop / Thibault Anselmet duo are favorites for gold. 2–3 medals. Figure Skating – Guillaume Cizeron and Laurence Fournier Beaudry are favorites for a podium spot in ice dance, I assume. Adam Siao Him Fa and Kevin Aymoz are not really in contention this year—no chance of reaching the podium this time. 1 medal. Sports Where France Could Medal Snowboarding – As at every Olympics, our snowboard cross team shows up in force, with many athletes who have already reached the podium multiple times in World Cups and World Championships. France always ends up leaving with one, sometimes two medals, but I feel the team tends to underperform most of the time (snowboard cross remains a fairly unpredictable sport). Léa Casta was last year’s world leader, Chloé Trespeusch is coming off three consecutive podiums, and three different men have reached the podium this year in World Cup events… But I fear Charlotte Bankes will be unbeatable among the women, and Adam Lambert looks very strong this year for the men. Romain Allemand is one of our major hopes for 2030 in big air/slopestyle—we’ll see whether he can already perform this year or simply discover the Olympic atmosphere. 2–3 medals. Freestyle Skiing – As mentioned in another topic, the absence of Tess Ledeux really hurts. Perrine Laffont is also injured but is expected to be at the Games, probably not in her best shape. That’s four major medal chances gone. All hopes therefore rest on our ski cross teams. Among the women, Marielle Berger-Sabbatel is our best chance, but she often prefers winning the small final rather than making it to the big final —and the competition is fierce in this event. Among the men, Youri Duplessis Kergomard is a regular World Cup podium finisher but rarely performs at championships (except last year, when he finished 2nd before being disqualified). 0–1 medal. Speed Skating – I honestly know nothing about it, but I understand that the French team is in the middle of a resurgence. There are expectations around Timothy Loubineaud, but this pressure is completely new to him (and he has admitted several times that it’s very bad for his mental health), so I’m not sure he’ll perform well at the Games. 0–1 medal. Alpine Skiing – France’s glory years are a long way behind us now. Cyprien Sarrazin is still injured, and I think everything has to be pinned on the men’s slalom. Clément Noël is the reigning Olympic champion, and Paco Rassat has won two races this year. Still, like Timothy Loubineaud, all the pressure will be on their shoulders to save French alpine skiing results… which makes it very tough for them. Unless we get a pleasant surprise elsewhere (Miradoli among the women, or a man in downhill). 0–1 medal. Cross-Country Skiing – Unfortunately, results in cross-country skiing haven’t been good this year. Chanavat is coming back from injury, Claudel has completely disappeared, and Jouve and Chappaz are getting older… There’s always a small chance in the men’s relay, as every four years, but aside from Lapalus and Desloges, we’re lacking new talent. 0–1 medal. Sports Where France Won't Medal All other sports – No chance. Summary Final prediction – 11–21 medals. I’ve read some people here saying that France could be a pleasant surprise at these Olympic Games. I agree that the momentum is excellent for 2030, but the French team is still a bit “young” for this year. Beating the medal record (15) would already be a great success.
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Jokes aside, while I really hope for Kingsbury to win double gold, Homan to win gold, and Strate to win Canada's first individual ski jumping medal, most of all... my biggest wishes are for Eliot Grondin to win gold in snowboard cross and the men's hockey team to win gold, I'd probably be crying tears of happiness if that happened. It would mean that much to me. -
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By Monzanator · Posted
More useless nomination drama as NOC nominated DNF merchant Michal Jasiczek over Piotr Habdas (who returned from injury). Just like in the Komorowska/Sawicka drama the eventual pick is only eligible in slalom (which Jasiczek probably DNF's anyway). -
Final week of sports before a few days off for the Olympics! Australian Open, Scotties semifinal/final, Ski Cross WC Val di Fassa, Parallel GS WC Rogla, probably some alpine skiing depending on if I have time or not
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By Grassmarket · Posted
Headline of the year right here! Tiger Woods’ ex-girlfriend set for Winter Olympics return following miracle comeback after six years Tiger Woods’ ex-girlfriend set for Winter Olympics return following miracle comeback after six years -
By Topicmaster1010 · Posted
I would personally be shocked if you guys didn't win 15+ golds this year. Jordan Stolz/US team pursuit + the female alpine skiers + the figure skaters + ice hockey + the freestyle ski/snowboard team should provide plenty of gold medals. -
By El Analyzer · Posted
Group 2 6 PTS 5 PTS 5 PTS 5 PTS 2 PTS 2 PTS today's matches Group 1 VS VS VS Group 2 VS VS VS -
By Triplecast · Posted
US has won exactly 9 golds at 5 successive Winter Games (06-22) so I expect 9 golds this Games as well. -
Come on man, don’t keep being pessimistic Yeah that would be disappointing, however Italians have performed well enough the past few seasons that I don’t think it’ll happen. Think you’ll be more in the 23-25 medal rang Yep, I’m hoping so too, always nice to see athletes winning Olympic medals at home.
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