Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day

[rafalgorka 1,821]

Partial medal table in the end of day 9 (165 events without boxing bronze medals in W 54kg, M 51kg, M 63.5kg, M 80kg, M 92kg 

 

23-13-14---50

19-31-16---66

15-11-12---38

14-7-11---32

12-10-10---32

8-9-6---23

8-6-5---19

6-9-8---23

5-6-7---18
5-5-1---11

4-6-11---21

3-6-4---13

3-4-1---8
3-0-1---4

2-3-0---5

2-1-5---8

2-1-3---6

2-1-2---5

2-1-1---4

2-1-1---4

2-1-1---4

2-0-6---8

2-0-3---5

2-0-2---4

1-3-3---7

1-2-5---8

1-2-4---7

1-2-3---6

1-2-2---5

1-2-1---4

1-1-2---4

1-1-1---3

1-1-0---2

1-1-0---2

1-0-1---2

1-0-1---2

1-0-1---2

1-0-1---2

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

0-4-2---6

0-2-1---3

0-1-2---3

0-1-1---2

0-1-1---2

0-1-1---2

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-0-3---3

0-0-3---3

0-0-2---2

0-0-2---2

0-0-2---2

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

 

 

 

 

Edited October 16, 2023 by rafalgorka

[Josh 13,628]

Day 8 (August 3, 2024)

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Men’s Floor

 

Side note: We’re less than a year out from the Olympics, why are the apparatus schedules still not out yet?

 

Gold-  Artem Dolgopyat

Silver-  Carlos Yulo

Bronze-  Milad Karimi

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Women’s Vault

Gold-  Simone Biles

Silver-  Rebecca Andrade

Bronze-  Alexa Moreno

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Men’s Pommel Horse

Gold-  Rhys McClenaghan

Silver-  Max Whitlock

Bronze (Tie!)-  Khoi Young

Bronze (Tie!) -  Lee Chih-Kai

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Women’s Uneven Bars

Gold-  Qiu Qiyuan

Silver-  Nina Derwael

Bronze-  Kaylia Nemour

 

No medal for US here, Shilese Jones places 4th. 

 

Archery- Women’s Indivdual

Gold-  Lim Si-Hyeon

Silver-  Alejandra Valencia

Bronze-  Casey Kaufhold

 

Reigning Olympic champion An San upset in the quarterfinals.

 

Athletics- Men’s Decathlon

Gold-  Pierce LePage

Silver-  Leo Neugebauer

Bronze-  Damian Warner

 

Athletics- Women’s Triple Jump

Gold-  Yulimar Rojas

Silver-  Liadagmis Povea

Bronze-  Thea Lafond

 

First ever Olympic medal for Dominica! Leyanis Perez Hernandez 4th (14.95m).  Maryna Bekh Romanchuk 7th (14.41m) after having a bad day. 

 

Athletics- Men’s Shot Put

Gold-  Ryan Crouser

Silver-  Joe Kovacs

Bronze-  Tom Walsh

 

Lets try this again… 

 

Athletics- Mixed 4x400m Relay

Gold-  United States

Silver-  Netherlands

Bronze-  Dominican Republic

 

US wins gold and breaks the WR with another no-name team. Too much to make up for Femke Bol on the anchor leg, but she does win a nice silver for the Netherlands. Reigning Olympic champions Poland finish in 4th. 
 

Athletics- Women’s 100m

Gold-  Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce

Silver-  Elaine Thompson-Herah

Bronze-  Marie-Josée Ta Lou

 

Sha’carri Richardson either fails to make the team, or false starts in the final. 

 

Badminton- Women’s Doubles

Gold-  Chen Qingchen/Jia Yifan

Silver-  Baek Ha-Na/Lee So-Hee

Bronze-  Apriyani Rahayu/Siti Fadia Silva Ramadhanti

 

Equestrian- Team Dressage

Gold-  Germany

Silver-   Denmark

Bronze-  Great Britain

 

Fencing- Women’s Sabre Team

Gold-  France

Silver-  South Korea

Bronze-  Hungary

 

Judo- Mixed Team

Gold-  Japan

Silver-  France

Bronze-  Georgia

Bronze-  Israel

 

Joint 5th for  Netherlands and  Brazil. 
 

Road Cycling- Men’s Road Race

Gold-  Mathieu Van Der Poel

Silver- Tadej Pogačar

Bronze-  Wout Van Aert

 

Rowing- Women’s Single Sculls

Gold-  Karolien Florijn

Silver-  Emma Twigg

Bronze-  Tara Rigney

 

Rowing- Men’s Single Sculls

Gold-  Oliver Zeidler

Silver-  Stefanos Ntouskos

Bronze- Kjetil Borch

 

Rowing- Women’s Eight

Gold-  Romania

Silver-  Canada

Bronze-  United States

 

Rowing- Men’s Eight

Gold-  Great Britain

Silver-  Netherlands

Bronze-  Germany

 

Swimming- Men’s 100m Butterfly

Gold-  Caleb Dressel

Silver-  Kristof Milak

Bronze-  Maxime Grousset

 

Swimming- Women’s 200m Individual Medley

Gold-  Summer McIntosh

Silver-  Alex Walsh

Bronze-  Kate Douglass

 

Swimming- Women’s 800m Freestyle

Gold-  Katie Ledecky
Silver-  Ariarne Titmus

Bronze-  Li Bingje

 

Swimming- Mixed 4x100m Medley Relay

Gold-  China

Silver-  United States

Bronze-  Australia

 

Table Tennis- Women’s Singles

Gold-  Sun Yingsha

Silver-  Shin Yu-Bin

Bronze-  Hina Hataya

 

Tennis- Men’s Singles

 

 Grigor Dimitrov wins bronze with a 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 win over  Casper Ruud

 

Tennis- Women’s Singles

Gold-  Iga Swiatek

Silver-  Karolina Muchova

 

Tennis- Men’s Doubles

Gold-  Máximo González/Andrés Molteni

Silver-  Kevin Krawietz/Tim Pütz

 

Shooting- Women’s 25m Pistol

Gold-  Anna Korakaki

Silver-  Camille Jedrzejewski

Bronze-  Doreen Vennekamp

 

Shooting- Men’s Skeet

Gold-  Vincent Hancock

Silver-  Marcus Svensson

Bronze-  Azmy Mehelba

 

No medal for Greece. 

 

Boxing- Women’s 60kg

Bronze-  Yang Wenlu

Bronze-  Kellie Harrington

 

Medal Table After Day 8

 19-6-11– 36

 16-21-21– 58

 10-10-9– 29

 9-9-10– 28

 9-7-8– 24

 8-10-11– 29

 8-3-4– 15

 7-6-6– 19

 7-1-4– 12

 6-8-8– 22

 5-2-2– 9

 4-6-7– 17

 3-4-3– 10

 3-3-1– 7

 3-2-3– 8

 3-2-1– 6

 2-4-2– 8

 2-2-3– 7

 2-2-1– 5

 2-2-1– 5

 2-1-4– 7

 2-1-1– 4

 1-3-2– 6

 1-2-2– 5

 1-2-1– 4

 1-2-1– 4

 1-1-1– 3

 1-1-0– 2

 1-0-2– 3

 1-0-1– 2

 1-0-1– 2

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 0-2-1– 3

 0-1-3– 4

 0-1-3– 4

 0-1-2– 3

 0-1-2– 3

 0-1-2– 3

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-0-2– 2

 0-0-2– 2

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

Edited November 6, 2023 by Josh

[Rafa Maciel 1,737]

On 10/15/2023 at 8:06 PM, Josh said:

Tennis- Men’s Doubles

Bronze-  Neal Skupski/Joe Salisbury

 

Tight three set battle against  Rajeem Ram/Austin Krajicek. 

Injury permitting, I'm 90% certain that Skupski won't be paired with Salisbury - he will instead opt to go with Dan Evans. They have been the preferred GB doubles pair for Davis Cup this year, have performed pretty well together and seem to get on really well both on and off the court. 

 

Salisbury will likely have the choice of Norrie, Murray or Draper as his partner and I think there's a good chance he would opt to go with Murray in a repeat of their pairing from Tokyo where they had a decent run to the quarter-finals and were pretty close to getting through to the medal matches. 

 

Not sure if that would change your medal prediction.

[phelps 8,766]

11 hours ago, Josh said:

Day 8 (August 3, 2024)

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Men’s Floor

 

Side note: We’re less than a year out from the Olympics, why are the apparatus schedules still not out yet?

 

(...)

Day 9 (Saturday, Aug. 3rd)
men's Floor
women's Vault
men's Pommel Horse

Day 10 (Sunday, Aug. 4th)
men's Rings
women's Uneven bars
men's Vault

Day 11 (Monday, Aug 5th)
women's Balance Beam
men's Parallel Bars
women's Floor
men's Horizontal Bar

 

p.s. Wikipedia has a different lineup, but it can't be correct...you just need to watch the total time of each session to understand that the last day is the only one that can accomodate 4 finals instead of 3 

[phelps 8,766]

about Tennis predictions

 

don't forget that it will be a tournament on clay just after Wimbledon and before the American hard courts campaign

 

I'll be really surprised if many top players will enter the Olympic event, except maybe for the true clay court specialists

 

right now, for instance, I give Sinner's withdrawal just after Wimbledon 2024 at 1.15, not more than that  

Edited October 17, 2023 by phelps

[mpjmcevoy 380]

13 hours ago, Rafa Maciel said:

Injury permitting, I'm 90% certain that Skupski won't be paired with Salisbury - he will instead opt to go with Dan Evans. They have been the preferred GB doubles pair for Davis Cup this year, have performed pretty well together and seem to get on really well both on and off the court. 

 

Salisbury will likely have the choice of Norrie, Murray or Draper as his partner and I think there's a good chance he would opt to go with Murray in a repeat of their pairing from Tokyo where they had a decent run to the quarter-finals and were pretty close to getting through to the medal matches. 

 

Not sure if that would change your medal prediction.

That's increasingly my call too Skupski/Evans (who are a damn good pair if Evans finds form) and Salisbury/Murray with Norrie and Draper doing singles only

 

Will be interesting, given how highly ranked Skupski and Salisbury are whether one  or other can get into the mixed doubles with a mid ranking woman

[Rafa Maciel 1,737]

9 minutes ago, mpjmcevoy said:

That's increasingly my call too Skupski/Evans (who are a damn good pair if Evans finds form) and Salisbury/Murray with Norrie and Draper doing singles only

 

Will be interesting, given how highly ranked Skupski and Salisbury are whether one  or other can get into the mixed doubles with a mid ranking woman

They should be close to getting a quota - Katie Boulter will be the most likely candidate but she will probably need to get into low-40s to be confident of qualifying. In Tokyo the last combined ranking was 54 so if the window closed today, they would be right on the edge of qualifying.

 

Boulter is currently ranked about 50 and other than ITF level events, she isn't really defending a lot of points until the grass season which comes after the qualifying window closes. This should give her more opportunity to compete on the main tour next year and with guaranteed entry for Aus Open and French Open, there's a decent chance she can make more progress before the qualifying period closes.

[rafalgorka 1,821]

Sun 04.08. day 9 (BOXING bronze medals)

 

W 54kg Charley Davison GBR, Preeti Pawar IND

 

M 51kg Thitisan Panmot THA, Federico Serra ITA

 

M 63.5kg Lai Chu-en TPE, Lasha Guruli GEO

 

M 80kg Toqtarbek Tanatqan CHN, Eumir Marcial PHI

 

M 92kg Davlat Boltaev TJK, Jack Marley IRL

 

[rafalgorka 1,821]

Medal table in the end of day 9 (165 with additional boxing bronze medals in W 54kg, M 51kg, M 63.5kg, M 80kg, M 92kg)

 

23-13-15---51

19-31-16---66

15-11-13---39

14-7-11---32

12-10-10---32

8-9-6---23

8-6-5---19

6-9-9---24

5-6-7---18
5-5-1---11

4-6-11---21

3-6-4---13

3-4-1---8
3-0-2---5

2-3-1---6

2-1-5---8

2-1-3---6

2-1-2---5

2-1-1---4

2-1-1---4

2-1-1---4

2-0-6---8

2-0-3---5

2-0-3---5

1-3-3---7

1-2-5---8

1-2-4---7

1-2-3---6

1-2-2---5

1-2-1---4

1-1-2---4

1-1-1---3

1-1-0---2

1-1-0---2

1-0-1---2

1-0-1---2

1-0-1---2

1-0-1---2

1-0-1---2

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

0-4-2---6

0-2-1---3

0-1-2---3

0-1-1---2

0-1-1---2

0-1-1---2

0-1-1---2

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-0-3---3

0-0-3---3

0-0-2---2

0-0-2---2

0-0-2---2

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

 

[rafalgorka 1,821]

Mon 05.08 Day 10

 

166. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS - M Parallel Bars

167. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS - W Floor (and probably W Beam as @phelps mentioned above)

168. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS - M Horizontal Bar

169. ATHLETICS - M Pole Vault

170. ATHLETICS - W Discus Throw

171. ATHLETICS - W 5000m

172. ATHLETICS - W 800m

173. BADMINTON - W Singles

174. BADMINTON - M Singles

175. BASKETBALL 3x3 - M Tournament

176. BASKETBALL 3x3 - W Tournament

177. CANOE SLALOM - M Kayak Cross

178. CANOE SLALOM - W Kayak Cross

179. SHOOTING - M 25m Rapid Fire Pistol

180. SHOOTING - Mixed Team Skeet

181. TRACK CYCLING - W Team Sprint

182. TRIATHLON - Mixed Team Relay

 

TEAM SPORTS:

FOOTBALL - M Semis

HOCKEY - W Quarters (M Quarters were on Day 9)

VOLLEYBALL - M Quarters