Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day

[orangeman 1,989]

2 hours ago, Josh said:

 

Canadian bias kicking in, no way we win 8 golds and 15 total in the first 9 days. We won 7 (golds) and 24 (total) at Tokyo 2020 haha. 

Yeah, but we didn't have Summer McIntosh in Tokyo (well, we did, but not prime Summer).  We haven't had a double gold medal winner at the SOG since Donovan Bailey in 1996, let alone a mutli-gold medal winner.  

[Josh 10,495]

Day 10 (August 5, 2024)

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Men’s Parallel Bars

Gold-  Zhou Jingyuan

Silver-  Lukas Dauser

Bronze-  Carlos Yulo

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Women’s Floor

Gold-  Simone Biles

Silver-  Jessica Gadirova

Bronze-  Jordan Chiles

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Women’s Balance Beam

Gold- Simone Biles

Silver-  Urara Ashikawa

Bronze-  Rebecca Andrade

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Men’s Horizontal Bar

Gold-  Daiki Hashimoto

Silver-  Felix Dolci

Bronze-  Tin Srbić

 

Athletics- Men’s Pole Vault

Gold-  Mondo Duplantis (obviously)

Silver-  Ernest Obiena

Bronze-  KC Lightfoot

 

Athletics- Women’s Discus Throw

Gold-  Valerie Allman

Silver-  Sandra Perkovic

Bronze-  Feng Bin

 

Disappointing 6th for reigning World Champion Laulauga Tausaga, but not totally unexpected given her recent form. Jorinde Van Klinken replicates her 4th from Worlds. 

 

Athletics- Women’s 5,000m

Gold-  Gudaf Tsegay

Silver-  Faith Kipyegon

Bronze-  Beatrice Chebet

 

My predictions are so incredibly boring, so decided to pick Tsegay instead of Kipyegon 

 

First (of many) gold for Ethiopia at Paris!

 

Athletics- Women’s 800m

Gold-  Mary Moraa

Silver-  Athing Mu

Bronze-  Keely Hodgkinson

 

First gold for Kenya at Paris! Moraa and Mu both clock times under 1:54.70. 

 

Badminton- Men’s Singles

Gold-  Li Shifeng

Silver-  Viktor Axelsen

Bronze-  Kunvalut Vitidsarn

 

First medal for Thailand. 

 

Badminton- Women’s Singles

Gold-  An Se-Young

Silver-  Akane Yamaguchi

Bronze-  Chen Yufei

 

3x3 Basketball- Men’s Tournament

Gold-  Serbia

Silver-  United States

Bronze-  Belgium

 

4th for  Latvia. 
 

3x3 Basketball- Women’s Tournament

Gold-  Canada

Silver-  France

Bronze-  United States

 

Canoe Slalom- Men’s Kayak Cross

Gold-  Joseph Clarke

Silver-  Mario Leitner

Bronze-  Martin Dougoud

 

Canoe Slalom- Women’s Kayak Cross

Gold-  Jessica Fox

Silver-  Eva Terčelj

Bronze-  Viktoriia Us

 

No British or German athletes on the podium, and same for Stefanie Horn. 

 

Shooting- Men’s 25m Rapid Fire Pistol

Gold-  Clement Bessaguet

Silver-  Li Yuehong

Bronze-  Christian Reitz

 

Shooting- Mixed Team Skeet

Gold-  Diana Bacossi/Gabriele Rossetti

Silver-  Amber Ruter/Ben Llewellin

Bronze-  Efthimios Mitas/Emmanouela Katzouraki

 

Track Cycling- Women’s Team Sprint

Gold-  Germany (Pauline Grabosch/Emma Hinze/Lea Friedrich)

Silver-  Great Britain (Lauren Bell/Sophie Capewell/Emma Finucane)

Bronze-  China (Bao Shanju/Guo Yufang/Yuan Liying)

 

Triathlon- Mixed Team Relay

Gold-  France

Silver-  Great Britain

Bronze-  Germany

 

Medal Table After Day 10

 25-22-30– 77

 24-10-15– 49

 12-12-9– 33

 10-14-11– 35

 10-12-14– 36

 10-9-11– 30

 10-5-6– 21

 9-7-7– 23

 9-3-5– 17

 7-8-8– 23

 5-8-7– 20

 5-2-2– 9

 4-4-5– 13

 4-2-3– 9

 3-3-1– 7

 3-2-1– 6

 3-2-1– 6

 3-1-1– 5

 2-5-3– 10

 2-3-3– 8

 2-3-2– 7

 2-2-1– 5

 2-1-4– 7

 2-0-2– 4

 1-3-4– 8

 1-3-2– 6

 1-3-1– 5

 1-2-4– 7

 1-1-2– 4

 1-1-1– 3

 1-1-1– 3

 1-1-0– 2

 1-0-1– 2

 1-0-1– 2

 1-0-1– 2

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 0-2-4– 6

 0-2-3– 5

 0-2-1– 3

 0-2-1– 3

 0-1-3– 4

 0-1-2– 3

 0-1-2– 3

 0-1-2– 3

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-0-3– 3

 0-0-3– 3

 0-0-2– 2

 0-0-2– 2

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 

@rafalgorka some news. Sinkovic brothers are switching back to men’s pairs for Paris. May change up your predictions. 

Edited November 17, 2023 by Josh

[Josh 10,495]

@rafalgorka edited my previous post a couple of hours ago with the women’s 54kg boxing bronze medalists, and made a change to men’s golf, just letting you know 

[rafalgorka 1,517]

15 minutes ago, Josh said:

 

@rafalgorka some news. Sinkovic brothers are switching back to men’s pairs for Paris. May change up your predictions. 

wow. didn't know. that's a gamechanger.

[Nickyc707 382]

On 11/7/2023 at 10:25 AM, Josh said:

Know nothing about artistic gymnastics, so I’m just using results from the most recent Olympics, last couple World Championships, European Championships/Games, Asian Games/Championships to do my predictions. 

Day 9 (August 4, 2024)

 

Archery- Men’s Individual

Gold-  Marcus D’Almeida

Silver-  Kim Woo-Jin

Bronze-  Brady Ellison

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Men’s Rings

Gold-  You Hao

Silver-  Adem Asel

Bronze-  Eleftherios Petrounias

 

7th (!) medal so far for Greece, maybe I’m being too optimistic haha. 
 

Artistic Gymnastics- Women’s Beam

Gold-  Simone Biles

Silver-  Tang Xijing

Bronze-  Zhou Yaqin

 

  Urara Ashikawa 4th. 

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Men’s Vault

Gold-  Arthur Davtyan

Silver-  Jake Jarman

Bronze-  Wataru Tanigawa

 

 Carlos Yulo 4th. 

 

Athletics- Women’s High Jump

Gold-  Nicola Olyslagers

Silver-  Yaroslava Mahuchikh

Bronze-  Vashti Cunningham

 

 Iryna Gerashchenko 4th, and  Eleanor Patterson 5th. 

 

Athletics- Men’s Hammer Throw

Gold-  Ethan Katzberg

Silver-  Wojciech Nowicki

Bronze-  Pawel Fadjek

 

Athletics- Men’s 200m

Gold-  Noah Lyles

Silver-  Andre DeGrasse

Bronze-  Letsile Tebogo

 

 Erriyon Knighton 4th. 

 

Badminton- Mixed Doubles

Gold-  Zheng Siwei/Huang Yaqiong

Silver-  Seo Seung-Jae/Chae You-Jung

Bronze-  Yuta Wantanabe/Arisa Higashino

 

Equestrian- Team Dressage

Gold-  Isabelle Werth

Silver-  Jessica von Bredow-Werndl

Bronze-  Cathrine Ladrup-Dufour

 

4th/5th for  Charlotte Fry and Charlotte Dujardin. 

 

Fencing- Men’s Team Foil

Gold-  Italy

Silver-  France

Bronze-  United States

 

Golf- Men’s Individual

Gold-  Rory McIlroy

Silver-  Sepp Straka

Bronze-  Scottie Scheffler

 

Road Cycling- Women’s Road Race

Gold-  Demi Vollering

Silver-  Marlen Reusser

Bronze-  Lotte Kopecky

 

Not exactly sure though.  If any of my medalists seem unlikely given the course, then feel free to correct me.

 

Shooting- Women’s Skeet

Gold-  Danka Bartakova

Silver-  Diana Bacossi

Bronze-  Dania Jo Vizzi

 

Swimming- Women’s 50m Freestyle

Gold-  Sarah Sjoestrom

Silver-  Emma McKeon

Bronze-  Shayna Jack

 

Swimming- Men’s 1500m Freestyle

Gold-  Bobby Finke

Silver-  Gregorio Paltrinieri 

Bronze-  Ahmed Hafnaoui

 

Swimming- Men’s 4x100m Medley Relay

Gold-  United States

Silver-  China

Bronze-  Australia

 

Swimming- Women’s 4x100m Medley Relay

Gold-  United States

Silver-  Australia

Bronze-  Canada

 

Table Tennis- Men’s Singles

Gold-  Fan Zhendong

Silver-  Wang Chuqin

Bronze-  Darko Jorgic

 

Tennis- Men’s Singles

Gold-  Rafael Nadal

Silver-  Novak Djokovic

 

5 set thriller. 

 

Tennis- Women’s Doubles

Gold-  Coco Gauff/Jessica Pegula

Silver-  Barbora Krejcikova/Katerina Siniakova

Bronze-  Storm Sanders/Ellen Perez

 

Boxing- Women’s 54kg

Bronze-  Stanimira Petrova

Bronze-  Huang Hsiao-Wen

 

Boxing- Men’s 51kg

Bronze-  Roscoe Hill

Bronze-  Tomoya Tsuboi

 

Boxing- Men’s 63.5kg

Bronze-  Hovhannes Bachkov

Bronze-  Baatarsükhiin Chinzorig

 

Boxing- Men’s 80kg

Bronze-  Wanderley Pereira

Bronze-  Nurbek Oralbay

 

Boxing- Men’s 92kg

Bronze-  Davlat Boltaev

Bronze-  Lazizbek Mullojonov

 

Medal Table After Day 9

 22-21-27– 70

 22-9-12– 43

 10-11-9– 30

 9-12-14– 35

 9-10-10– 29

 9-7-11– 27

 9-4-4– 17

 8-7-7– 22

 8-2-5– 15

 7-8-8– 23

 5-2-2– 9

 4-8-7– 19

 4-4-4– 12

 4-2-3– 9

 3-3-1– 7

 3-2-1– 6

 3-1-1– 5

 2-5-2– 9

 2-3-3– 8

 2-2-1– 5

 2-2-1– 5

 2-2-1– 5

 2-1-4– 7

 2-0-2– 4

 1-3-3– 7

 1-3-2– 6

 1-2-3– 6

 1-1-2– 4

 1-1-0– 2

 1-0-1– 2

 1-0-1– 2

 1-0-1– 2

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 0-3-1– 4

 0-2-3– 5

 0-1-3– 4

 0-1-3– 4

 0-1-2– 3

 0-1-2– 3

 0-1-2– 3

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-0-3– 3

 0-0-3– 3

 0-0-2– 2

 0-0-2– 2

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 

Canadian bias kicking in, no way we win 8 golds and 15 total in the first 9 days. We won 7 (golds) and 24 (total) at Tokyo 2020 haha. 

Is that individual or team dressage, Josh?

[rafalgorka 1,517]

Back to square one.

 

1. DIVING - W Synchro 3m Springboard

 

1. China Q

2. United States

3. Great Britain Q

4. Italy Q

5. Mexico

6. Canada

7. Australia

8. France Q

 

2. FENCING - W Epee Ind

 

1. Marie-Florence Candassamy FRA

2. Vivian Kong HKG

3. Alberta Santuccio ITA

4. Alexandra Louis Marie FRA

5. Sun Yiwen CHN

Anna Kun HUN

Nathalie Moellhausen BRA

Alexandra Ndolo KEN

 

3. FENCING - M Sabre Ind

 

1. Sandro Bazadze GEO

2. Eli Dershwitz USA

3. Aron Szilagyi HUN

4. Bolade Apithy FRA

5. Ziad El-Sissy EGY

Kento Yoshida JPN

Luca Curatoli ITA

Ali Pakdaman IRI

 

4. JUDO - W -48kg

 

1. Natsumi Tsunoda JPN

2. Assunta Scutto ITA

3. Shirine Boukli FRA

3. Milica Nikolic SRB

5. Catalina Costa POR

5. Abiba Abuzhakynova KAZ

7. Katharina Menz GER

7. Marusa Stangar SLO

 

5. JUDO - M -60kg

 

1. Ryuju Nagayama JPN

2. Francisco Garrigos ESP

3. Dilshodbek Baratov UZB

3. Balabay Aghayev AZE

5. Lee Ha-Rim KOR

5. Enkhtaivan Ariunbold MGL

7. Giorgi Sardalashvili GEO

7. Dilshot Khalmatov UKR

 

6. ROAD CYCLING - M Ind Time Trial

 

1. Remco Evenepoel BEL

2. Filippo Ganna ITA +1

3. Josh Tarling GBR +1

4. Stefan Kung SUI

5. Wout van Aert BEL

6. Stefan Bissegger SUI

7. Nelson Oliveira POR

8. Rohan Dennis AUS

 

Update in my predictions: Tadej Pogacar SLO was 2nd here previously but I think he will not participate in this event, rest a bit after Tour de France and focus on the road race next weekend.

 

7. ROAD CYCLING - W Ind Time Trial

 

1. Chloe Dygert USA

2. Demi Vollering NED

3. Grace Brown AUS

4. Marlen Reusser SUI

5. Christina Schweinberger AUT

6. Ellen van Dijk NED

7. Anna Henderson GBR

8. Juliette Labous FRA

 

8. RUGBY SEVENS - M Tournament

 

1. Fiji Q

2. New Zealand Q

3. Argentina Q

4. Ireland Q

5. France Q

Australia Q

Samoa Q

South Africa

 

9. SHOOTING - Mixed Team 10m Air Rifle

 

1. China

2. India

3. Iran

4. France

5. Poland

6. China 2

7. Korea Rep.

8. Germany

 

10. SKATEBOARDING - M Street

 

1. Aurelien Giraud FRA

2. Nyjah Huston USA

3. Gustavo Ribeiro POR

4. Sora Shirai JPN

5. Vincent Milou FRA

6. Kelvin Hoefler BRA

7. Jagger Eaton USA
8. Mattias Dell Olio ARG

 

11. SWIMMING - M 400m Free

 

1. Ahmed Hafnaoui TUN

2. Samuel Short AUS

3. Lukas Martens GER

4. Elijah Winnington AUS

5. Kim Woo-Min KOR

6. Antonio Djakovic SUI

7. Felix Auboeck AUT

8. Petar Mitsin BUL

 

12. SWIMMING - W 400m Free

 

1. Ariarne Titmus AUS

2. Summer McIntosh CAN

3. Katie Ledecky USA

4. Erika Fairweather NZL

5. Bingjie Li CHN

6. Bella Smith USA

7. Lani Pallister AUS

8. Isabel Gose GER

 

13. SWIMMING - W 4x100m Free Relay

 

1. Australia Q

2. United States Q

3. China Q

4. Canada

5. Netherlands

6. Great Britain

7. Sweden

8. Japan

 

14. SWIMMING - M 4x100m Free Relay

 

1. Australia Q

2. Italy Q

3. Great Britain

4. China

5. Canada

6. Korea Rep.

7. Brazil

8. Japan

 

Unites States Q - DSQ in heats

[Dragon 1,844]

13 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

wow. didn't know. that's a gamechanger.

Although they will be in the mid 30s in 2014 and should not be as strong as they were in the past.

[Josh 10,495]

Day 11 (August 6, 2024)

 

Later on, when the weightlifting medal events happen, I’ll do it under the assumption that China will send athletes in men’s 61kg/89kg/102kg and women’s 49kg/+81kg and 81kg.

 

Athletics- Women’s Hammer Throw

Gold-  Brooke Andersen

Silver-  Deanna Price

Bronze-  Camryn Rogers

 

Athletics- Men’s Long Jump

Gold-  Wayne Pinnock

Silver-  Miltiadis Tentoglou

Bronze-  Simon Ehammer

 

Athletics- Men’s 1500m

Gold-  Jakob Ingebrigtsen

Silver-  Timothy Cheruiyot

Bronze-  Jake Wightman

 

First gold medal for Norway at Paris. 

 

Athletics- Women’s 3000m Steeplechase

Gold-  Beatrice Chepkoech

Silver-  Norah Jeruto

Bronze-  Winfred Yavi

 

First medal for Bahrain at Paris! Intense battle for bronze between  Jackline Chepkoech and Yavi, only 0.30 separating them. 
 

Athletics- Women’s 200m

Gold-  Shericka Jackson

Silver-  Shelly Ann Fraser Pryce

Bronze-  Gabby Thomas

 

Won’t be a historic first ever Olympic medal for Saint Lucia as Julien Alfred finishes in 4th. 
 

Boxing- Women’s 50kg

Bronze-  Giordana Sorrentino

Bronze-  Wu Yu

 

 Laura Fuertes and  Wassila Lkhadiri 5th.  

 

Boxing- Women’s 60kg

Gold-  Beatriz Ferreira

Silver-  Estelle Mosselly

 

Boxing- Women’s 66kg

Bronze-  Morella McCane

Bronze-  Amy Broadhurst

 

 Janjaem Suwannapheng and Charlie Cavanaugh 5th.

 

Boxing- Men’s 71kg

Bronze-  Wanderson De Oliviera

Bronze-  Sarkhan Aliyev

 

Diving- Women’s 10m Platform

Gold-  Chen Yuxi

Silver-  Quan Hongchan

Bronze-  Andrea Spendolini Sirieix

 

Failed dive by Caeli McKay in the final (this also happened with another Canadian Pamela Ware in Tokyo), and she finishes dead last.  
 

Equestrian- Individual Jumping

Gold-  Hendrik Von Eckermann

Silver-  Martin Fuchs

Bronze-  Jerôme Guery

 

Sailing- Men’s ICLA 7

Gold-  Matthew Wearn

Silver-  Pavlos Kontides

Bronze-  Tonči Stipanović

 

First medal for Cyprus at Paris. 
 

Sailing- Women’s ICLA 6

Gold-  Marit Bouwmeester

Silver-  Emma Plasschaert

Bronze-  Maud Jayet

 

Very tight race for the medals with only a few points separating second to fifth. Unfortunately that means no podium for  Anne-Marie Ridom and reigning World Champion  Mária Érdi

 

Track Cycling- Men’s Team Sprint

Gold-  Netherlands (Roy van den Berg/Jeffrey Hoogland/Harrie Lavreysen)

Silver-  Australia (Matthew Glaetzer/Leigh Hoffman/Matthew Richardson)

Bronze-  France (Timmy Gillion/Rayan Halal/Sébastien Vigier)

 

Wrestling- Men’s 60kg Greco Roman

Gold-  Zholaman Sharshenbekov

Silver-  Victor Ciobanu

Bronze-  Mehdi Mosennejad

Bronze-  Kenichiro Fumita

 

First medal, and first gold for Kyrgyzstan at Paris. First medal for Moldova as well.  Edmond Nazaryan and  Kerem Kamal 5th.

 

Wrestling- Men’s 130kg Greco Roman

Gold-  Amir Zare

Silver-  Taha Akgül

Bronze-  Geno Petriashvili

Bronze-  Giorgi Meshvilidishvili
 

First gold for Iran at Paris.  Mason Parris and  Mönkhtöriin Lkhavagerel 5th.

 

Wrestling- Women’s 76kg Freestyle

Gold-  Adeline Gray

Silver-  Yuka Kagami

Bronze-  Epp Maë

Bronze-  Samar Amer

 

First medal for Estonia at Paris.  Milamys Marín and  Aiperi Kyzy 5th. 

 

TEAM SPORTS/UPDATES (turboyev, krjpek judo, women’s doubles tennis, sinkovic rowing changes) (ignore this i’m just trying to remind myself to change predictions.)

 

Medal Table After Day 11

 27-23-32– 82

 25-11-16– 52

 12-13-10– 35

 10-14-13– 37

 10-13-14– 37

 10-10-12– 32

 10-5-6– 21

 9-8-8– 25

 9-7-8– 24

 9-3-5– 17

 5-8-7– 20

 5-4-6– 15

 5-2-2– 9

 4-2-3– 9

 4-2-1– 7

 3-3-1– 7

 3-2-1– 6

 3-2-0– 5

 3-1-2– 6

 2-6-5– 13

 2-3-3– 8

 2-3-3– 8

 2-2-1– 5

 2-2-1– 5

 2-1-5– 8

 2-0-2– 4

 1-4-4– 9

 1-3-5– 9

 1-3-2– 6

 1-3-1– 5

 1-1-2– 4

 1-1-2– 4

 1-1-1– 3

 1-0-3– 4

 1-0-1– 2

 1-0-1– 2

 1-0-1– 2

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 1-0-0– 1

 0-2-4– 6

 0-2-3– 5

 0-2-1– 3

 0-2-1– 3

 0-2-1– 3

 0-1-3– 4

 0-1-3– 4

 0-1-2– 3

 0-1-2– 3

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-1– 2

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-1-0– 1

 0-0-3– 3

 0-0-2– 2

 0-0-2– 2

 0-0-2– 2

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

 0-0-1– 1

Edited December 5, 2023 by Josh

[Prakash_k 68]

On 11/16/2023 at 2:57 AM, rafalgorka said:

China

2. India

3. Iran

4. France

5. Poland

6. China 2

7. Korea Rep.

8. Germany

IRAN & KOR yet  to be  qualify.  Ind china has 2 team France 1  usa 1 Germany 1 Poland 1 . 

[rafalgorka 1,517]

7 minutes ago, Prakash_k said:

IRAN & KOR yet  to be  qualify.  Ind china has 2 team France 1  usa 1 Germany 1 Poland 1 . 

I can only imagine how happy you (i mean all users from India here) would be if there was a gold for India on the first day in this event. Good luck!!!

Edited November 18, 2023 by rafalgorka