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Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day


rafalgorka
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Partial medal table in the end of day 9 (165 events without boxing bronze medals in W 54kg, M 51kg, M 63.5kg, M 80kg, M 92kg 

 

:CHN 23-13-14---50

:USA 19-31-16---66

:GBR 15-11-12---38

:FRA 14-7-11---32

:AUS 12-10-10---32

:JPN 8-9-6---23

:NED 8-6-5---19

:ITA 6-9-8---23

:GER 5-6-7---18
:CAN 5-5-1---11

:KOR 4-6-11---21

:BRA 3-6-4---13

:ESP 3-4-1---8
:GEO 3-0-1---4

:IND 2-3-0---5

:ROU 2-1-5---8

:HUN 2-1-3---6

:SWE 2-1-2---5

:CZE 2-1-1---4

:SLO 2-1-1---4

:TUN 2-1-1---4

:UKR 2-0-6---8

:SRB 2-0-3---5

:IRL 2-0-2---4

:POL 1-3-3---7

:NZL 1-2-5---8

:GRE 1-2-4---7

:ISR 1-2-3---6

:CRO 1-2-2---5

:BEL 1-2-1---4

:SVK 1-1-2---4

:AZE 1-1-1---3

:MEX 1-1-0---2

:VEN 1-1-0---2

:FIN 1-0-1---2

:JAM 1-0-1---2

:LTU 1-0-1---2

:TUR 1-0-1---2

:FIJ 1-0-0---1

:PHI 1-0-0---1

:UGA 1-0-0---1

:SUI 0-4-2---6

:HKG 0-2-1---3

:DEN 0-1-2---3

:CUB 0-1-1---2

:ETH 0-1-1---2

:NOR 0-1-1---2

:ALG 0-1-0---1

:KAZ 0-1-0---1

:KUW 0-1-0---1

:MDA 0-1-0---1

:PER 0-1-0---1

:RSA 0-1-0---1

:TJK 0-1-0---1

:AUT 0-0-3---3

:UZB 0-0-3---3

:ARG 0-0-2---2

:KOS 0-0-2---2

:POR 0-0-2---2

:AND 0-0-1---1

:ARM 0-0-1---1

:CIV 0-0-1---1

:COL 0-0-1---1

:EST 0-0-1---1

:IRI 0-0-1---1

:JOR 0-0-1---1

 

 

 

 

Edited by rafalgorka

 

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Day 8 (August 3, 2024)

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Men’s Floor

 

Side note: We’re less than a year out from the Olympics, why are the apparatus schedules still not out yet?

 

Gold- :ISR Artem Dolgopyat

Silver- :PHI Carlos Yulo

Bronze- :KAZ Milad Karimi

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Women’s Vault

Gold- :USA Simone Biles

Silver- :BRA Rebecca Andrade

Bronze- :MEX Alexa Moreno

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Men’s Pommel Horse

Gold- :IRL Rhys McClenaghan

Silver- :GBR Max Whitlock

Bronze (Tie!)- :USA Khoi Young

Bronze (Tie!) - :TPE Lee Chih-Kai

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Women’s Uneven Bars

Gold- :CHN Qiu Qiyuan

Silver- :BEL Nina Derwael

Bronze- :ALG Kaylia Nemour

 

No medal for US here, Shilese Jones places 4th. 

 

Archery- Women’s Indivdual

Gold- :KOR Lim Si-Hyeon

Silver- :MEX Alejandra Valencia

Bronze- :USA Casey Kaufhold

 

Reigning Olympic champion :KOR An San upset in the quarterfinals.

 

Athletics- Men’s Decathlon

Gold- :CAN Pierce LePage

Silver- :GER Leo Neugebauer

Bronze- :CAN Damian Warner

 

Athletics- Women’s Triple Jump

Gold- :VEN Yulimar Rojas

Silver- :CUB Liadagmis Povea

Bronze- :DMA Thea Lafond

 

First ever Olympic medal for Dominica!:CUB Leyanis Perez Hernandez 4th (14.95m). :UKR Maryna Bekh Romanchuk 7th (14.41m) after having a bad day. 

 

Athletics- Men’s Shot Put

Gold- :USA Ryan Crouser

Silver- :USA Joe Kovacs

Bronze- :NZL Tom Walsh

 

Lets try this again… :p

 

Athletics- Mixed 4x400m Relay

Gold- :USA United States

Silver- :NED Netherlands

Bronze- :DOM Dominican Republic

 

US wins gold and breaks the WR with another no-name team. Too much to make up for Femke Bol on the anchor leg, but she does win a nice silver for the Netherlands. Reigning Olympic champions Poland finish in 4th. 
 

Athletics- Women’s 100m

Gold- :JAM Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce

Silver- :JAM Elaine Thompson-Herah

Bronze- :CIV Marie-Josée Ta Lou

 

Sha’carri Richardson either fails to make the team, or false starts in the final. 

 

Badminton- Women’s Doubles

Gold- :CHN Chen Qingchen/Jia Yifan

Silver- :KOR Baek Ha-Na/Lee So-Hee

Bronze- :INA Apriyani Rahayu/Siti Fadia Silva Ramadhanti

 

Equestrian- Team Dressage

Gold- :GER Germany

Silver-  :DEN Denmark

Bronze- :GBR Great Britain

 

Fencing- Women’s Sabre Team

Gold- :FRA France

Silver- :KOR South Korea

Bronze- :HUN Hungary

 

Judo- Mixed Team

Gold- :JPN Japan

Silver- :FRA France

Bronze- :GEO Georgia

Bronze- :ISR Israel

 

Joint 5th for :NED Netherlands and :BRA Brazil. 
 

Road Cycling- Men’s Road Race

Gold- :NED Mathieu Van Der Poel

Silver- :SLO Tadej Pogačar

Bronze- :BEL Wout Van Aert

 

Rowing- Women’s Single Sculls

Gold- :NED Karolien Florijn

Silver- :NZL Emma Twigg

Bronze- :AUS Tara Rigney

 

Rowing- Men’s Single Sculls

Gold- :GER Oliver Zeidler

Silver- :GRE Stefanos Ntouskos

Bronze- :NOR Kjetil Borch

 

Rowing- Women’s Eight

Gold- :ROU Romania

Silver- :CAN Canada

Bronze- :USA United States

 

Rowing- Men’s Eight

Gold- :GBR Great Britain

Silver- :NED Netherlands

Bronze- :GER Germany

 

Swimming- Men’s 100m Butterfly

Gold- :USA Caleb Dressel

Silver- :HUN Kristof Milak

Bronze- :FRA Maxime Grousset

 

Swimming- Women’s 200m Individual Medley

Gold- :CAN Summer McIntosh

Silver- :USA Alex Walsh

Bronze- :USA Kate Douglass

 

Swimming- Women’s 800m Freestyle

Gold- :USA Katie Ledecky
Silver- :AUS Ariarne Titmus

Bronze- :CHN Li Bingje

 

Swimming- Mixed 4x100m Medley Relay

Gold- :CHN China

Silver- :USA United States

Bronze- :AUS Australia

 

Table Tennis- Women’s Singles

Gold- :CHN Sun Yingsha

Silver- :KOR Shin Yu-Bin

Bronze- :JPN Hina Hataya

 

Tennis- Men’s Singles

 

:BUL Grigor Dimitrov wins bronze with a 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 win over :NOR Casper Ruud

 

Tennis- Women’s Singles

Gold- :POL Iga Swiatek

Silver- :CZE Karolina Muchova

 

Tennis- Men’s Doubles

Gold- :ARG Máximo González/Andrés Molteni

Silver- :GER Kevin Krawietz/Tim Pütz

 

Shooting- Women’s 25m Pistol

Gold- :GRE Anna Korakaki

Silver- :FRA Camille Jedrzejewski

Bronze- :GER Doreen Vennekamp

 

Shooting- Men’s Skeet

Gold- :USA Vincent Hancock

Silver- :SWE Marcus Svensson

Bronze- :EGY Azmy Mehelba

 

No medal for Greece. 

 

Boxing- Women’s 60kg

Bronze- :CHN Yang Wenlu

Bronze- :IRL Kellie Harrington

 

Medal Table After Day 8

:CHN 19-6-11– 36

:USA 16-21-21– 58

:FRA 10-10-9– 29

:GBR 9-9-10– 28

:JPN 9-7-8– 24

:AUS 8-10-11– 29

:GER 8-3-4– 15

:ITA 7-6-6– 19

:CAN 7-1-4– 12

:NED 6-8-8– 22

:HUN 5-2-2– 9

:KOR 4-6-7– 17

:BRA 3-4-3– 10

:NZL 3-3-1– 7

:ESP 3-2-3– 8

:ROU 3-2-1– 6

:SUI 2-4-2– 8

:CZE 2-2-3– 7

:ISR 2-2-1– 5

:CRO 2-2-1– 5

:GEO 2-1-4– 7

:IRL 2-1-1– 4

:GRE 1-3-2– 6

:BEL 1-2-2– 5

:POL 1-2-1– 4

:SWE 1-2-1– 4

:TUN 1-1-1– 3

:JAM 1-1-0– 2

:SVK 1-0-2– 3

:RSA 1-0-1– 2

:AZE 1-0-1– 2

:UGA 1-0-0– 1

:ARG 1-0-0– 1

:VEN 1-0-0– 1

:LTU 1-0-0– 1

:SRB 0-2-1– 3

:UKR 0-1-3– 4

:MEX 0-1-3– 4

:SLO 0-1-2– 3

:CUB 0-1-2– 3

:NOR 0-1-2– 3

:ETH 0-1-1– 2

:IND 0-1-1– 2

:UZB 0-1-1– 2

:HKG 0-1-1– 2

:DEN 0-1-0– 1

:PHI 0-1-0– 1

:BER 0-1-0– 1

:MGL 0-1-0– 1

:COL 0-1-0– 1

:PER 0-1-0– 1

:KOS 0-1-0– 1

:SMR 0-1-0– 1

:FIJ 0-1-0– 1

:KAZ 0-0-2– 2

:TPE 0-0-2– 2

:TUR 0-0-1– 1

:POR 0-0-1– 1

:AUT 0-0-1– 1

:TJK 0-0-1– 1

:ALG 0-0-1– 1

:DMA 0-0-1– 1

:DOM 0-0-1– 1

:CIV 0-0-1– 1

:INA 0-0-1– 1

:BUL 0-0-1– 1

:EGY 0-0-1– 1

Edited by Josh
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On 10/15/2023 at 8:06 PM, Josh said:

Tennis- Men’s Doubles

Bronze- :GBR Neal Skupski/Joe Salisbury

 

Tight three set battle against :USA Rajeem Ram/Austin Krajicek. 

Injury permitting, I'm 90% certain that Skupski won't be paired with Salisbury - he will instead opt to go with Dan Evans. They have been the preferred GB doubles pair for Davis Cup this year, have performed pretty well together and seem to get on really well both on and off the court. 

 

Salisbury will likely have the choice of Norrie, Murray or Draper as his partner and I think there's a good chance he would opt to go with Murray in a repeat of their pairing from Tokyo where they had a decent run to the quarter-finals and were pretty close to getting through to the medal matches. 

 

Not sure if that would change your medal prediction.

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11 hours ago, Josh said:

Day 8 (August 3, 2024)

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Men’s Floor

 

Side note: We’re less than a year out from the Olympics, why are the apparatus schedules still not out yet?

 

(...)

Day 9 (Saturday, Aug. 3rd)
men's Floor
women's Vault
men's Pommel Horse


Day 10 (Sunday, Aug. 4th)
men's Rings
women's Uneven bars
men's Vault


Day 11 (Monday, Aug 5th)
women's Balance Beam
men's Parallel Bars
women's Floor
men's Horizontal Bar

 

p.s. Wikipedia has a different lineup, but it can't be correct...you just need to watch the total time of each session to understand that the last day is the only one that can accomodate 4 finals instead of 3 ;)

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about Tennis predictions

 

don't forget that it will be a tournament on clay just after Wimbledon and before the American hard courts campaign

 

I'll be really surprised if many top players will enter the Olympic event, except maybe for the true clay court specialists

 

right now, for instance, I give Sinner's withdrawal just after Wimbledon 2024 at 1.15, not more than that :p :whistle:

Edited by phelps
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13 hours ago, Rafa Maciel said:

Injury permitting, I'm 90% certain that Skupski won't be paired with Salisbury - he will instead opt to go with Dan Evans. They have been the preferred GB doubles pair for Davis Cup this year, have performed pretty well together and seem to get on really well both on and off the court. 

 

Salisbury will likely have the choice of Norrie, Murray or Draper as his partner and I think there's a good chance he would opt to go with Murray in a repeat of their pairing from Tokyo where they had a decent run to the quarter-finals and were pretty close to getting through to the medal matches. 

 

Not sure if that would change your medal prediction.

That's increasingly my call too Skupski/Evans (who are a damn good pair if Evans finds form) and Salisbury/Murray with Norrie and Draper doing singles only

 

Will be interesting, given how highly ranked Skupski and Salisbury are whether one  or other can get into the mixed doubles with a mid ranking woman

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9 minutes ago, mpjmcevoy said:

That's increasingly my call too Skupski/Evans (who are a damn good pair if Evans finds form) and Salisbury/Murray with Norrie and Draper doing singles only

 

Will be interesting, given how highly ranked Skupski and Salisbury are whether one  or other can get into the mixed doubles with a mid ranking woman

They should be close to getting a quota - Katie Boulter will be the most likely candidate but she will probably need to get into low-40s to be confident of qualifying. In Tokyo the last combined ranking was 54 so if the window closed today, they would be right on the edge of qualifying.

 

Boulter is currently ranked about 50 and other than ITF level events, she isn't really defending a lot of points until the grass season which comes after the qualifying window closes. This should give her more opportunity to compete on the main tour next year and with guaranteed entry for Aus Open and French Open, there's a decent chance she can make more progress before the qualifying period closes.

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Sun 04.08. day 9 (BOXING bronze medals)

 

W 54kg Charley Davison GBR, Preeti Pawar IND

 

M 51kg Thitisan Panmot THA, Federico Serra ITA

 

M 63.5kg Lai Chu-en TPE, Lasha Guruli GEO

 

M 80kg Toqtarbek Tanatqan CHN, Eumir Marcial PHI

 

M 92kg Davlat Boltaev TJK, Jack Marley IRL

 

 

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Medal table in the end of day 9 (165 with additional boxing bronze medals in W 54kg, M 51kg, M 63.5kg, M 80kg, M 92kg)

 

:CHN 23-13-15---51

:USA 19-31-16---66

:GBR 15-11-13---39

:FRA 14-7-11---32

:AUS 12-10-10---32

:JPN 8-9-6---23

:NED 8-6-5---19

:ITA 6-9-9---24

:GER 5-6-7---18
:CAN 5-5-1---11

:KOR 4-6-11---21

:BRA 3-6-4---13

:ESP 3-4-1---8
:GEO 3-0-2---5

:IND 2-3-1---6

:ROU 2-1-5---8

:HUN 2-1-3---6

:SWE 2-1-2---5

:CZE 2-1-1---4

:SLO 2-1-1---4

:TUN 2-1-1---4

:UKR 2-0-6---8

:IRL 2-0-3---5

:SRB 2-0-3---5

:POL 1-3-3---7

:NZL 1-2-5---8

:GRE 1-2-4---7

:ISR 1-2-3---6

:CRO 1-2-2---5

:BEL 1-2-1---4

:SVK 1-1-2---4

:AZE 1-1-1---3

:MEX 1-1-0---2

:VEN 1-1-0---2

:FIN 1-0-1---2

:JAM 1-0-1---2

:LTU 1-0-1---2

:PHI 1-0-1---2

:TUR 1-0-1---2

:FIJ 1-0-0---1

:UGA 1-0-0---1

:SUI 0-4-2---6

:HKG 0-2-1---3

:DEN 0-1-2---3

:CUB 0-1-1---2

:ETH 0-1-1---2

:NOR 0-1-1---2

:TJK 0-1-1---2

:ALG 0-1-0---1

:KAZ 0-1-0---1

:KUW 0-1-0---1

:MDA 0-1-0---1

:PER 0-1-0---1

:RSA 0-1-0---1

:AUT 0-0-3---3

:UZB 0-0-3---3

:ARG 0-0-2---2

:KOS 0-0-2---2

:POR 0-0-2---2

:AND 0-0-1---1

:ARM 0-0-1---1

:CIV 0-0-1---1

:COL 0-0-1---1

:EST 0-0-1---1

:IRI 0-0-1---1

:JOR 0-0-1---1

:THA 0-0-1---1

:TPE 0-0-1---1

 

 

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Mon 05.08 Day 10

 

166. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS - M Parallel Bars

167. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS - W Floor (and probably W Beam as @phelps mentioned above)

168. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS - M Horizontal Bar

169. ATHLETICS - M Pole Vault

170. ATHLETICS - W Discus Throw

171. ATHLETICS - W 5000m

172. ATHLETICS - W 800m

173. BADMINTON - W Singles

174. BADMINTON - M Singles

175. BASKETBALL 3x3 - M Tournament

176. BASKETBALL 3x3 - W Tournament

177. CANOE SLALOM - M Kayak Cross

178. CANOE SLALOM - W Kayak Cross

179. SHOOTING - M 25m Rapid Fire Pistol

180. SHOOTING - Mixed Team Skeet

181. TRACK CYCLING - W Team Sprint

182. TRIATHLON - Mixed Team Relay

 

TEAM SPORTS:

FOOTBALL - M Semis

HOCKEY - W Quarters (M Quarters were on Day 9)

VOLLEYBALL - M Quarters

 

 

 

 

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