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Topicmaster1010

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Everything posted by Topicmaster1010

  1. At the pro swim series today, Katie Ledecky swam 15:24.51 in the 1500m freestyle. That's the 2ND FASTEST performance of all time only trailing her world record from 2018.
  2. Here's all the confirmed NHLers so far that I could find. Some big names are going. Once the 1st round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs is over, more names should be added Austria Marco Kasper, F (Detroit Red Wings) Canada Macklin Celebrini, F (San Jose Sharks) Travis Konecny, F (Philadelphia Flyers) Brandon Montour, D (Seattle Kraken) Ryan O'Reilly, F (Nashville Predators) Zayne Parekh, D (Calgary Flames) (only pre-tournament games are confirmed) Travis Sanheim, D (Philadelphia Flyers) Mackenzie Weegar, D (Calgary Flames) Bo Horvat and Kent Johnson aren't confirmed but they are both willing to play if asked apparently. Sidney Crosby is considering. Czechia Filip Hronek, D (Vancouver Canucks) Jakub Lauko, F (Boston Bruins) David Pastrnak, F (Boston Bruins) Karel Vejmelka, G (Utah Hockey Club) Dan Vladar, G (Calgary Flames) Finland Justus Annunen, G (Nashville Predators) Juuso Parssinen, F (New York Rangers) Juuse Saros, G (Nashville Predators) Teuvo Teravainen, F (Chicago Blackhawks) Eeli Tolvanen, F (Seattle Kraken) Germany Philipp Grubauer, G (Seattle Kraken) Moritz Seider, D (Detroit Red Wings) Sweden Rasmus Andersson, D (Calgary Flames) Mikael Backlund, F (Calgary Flames) Leo Carlsson, F (Anaheim Ducks) William Eklund, F (San Jose Sharks) Samuel Ersson, G (Philadelphia Flyers) Filip Forsberg, F (Nashville Predators) Adam Larsson, D (Seattle Kraken) Elias Lindholm, F (Boston Bruins) Isac Lundestroem, F (Anaheim Ducks) Marcus Pettersson, D (Vancouver Canucks) Alexander Wennberg, F (San Jose Sharks) Mika Zibanejad, F (New York Rangers) United States Matty Beniers, F (Seattle Kraken) Bobby Brink, F (Philadelphia Flyers) Logan Cooley, F (Utah Hockey Club) Matt Coronato, F (Calgary Flames) Joey Daccord, G (Seattle Kraken) Conor Garland, F (Vancouver Canucks) Cutter Gauthier, F (Anaheim Ducks) Clayton Keller, F (Utah Hockey Club) Michael Kesselring, D (Utah Hockey Club) Jackson LaCombe, D (Anaheim Ducks) Mason Lohrei, D (Boston Bruins) Michael McCarron, F (Nashville Predators) Frank Nazar, F (Chicago Blackhawks) Drew O'Connor, F (Vancouver Canucks) Andrew Peeke, D (Boston Bruins) Brady Skjei, D (Nashville Predators) Will Smith, D (San Jose Sharks) Jeremy Swayman, G (Boston Bruins) Tage Thompson, F (Buffalo Sabres) Alex Vlasic, D (Chicago Blackhawks)
  3. A few days ago, I posted the results from the quota simulation I've been working on. I thought I would do a breakdown of Canada's earned/projected quotas here. Overall, based on the results of the 2024-25 World Cup Seasons, Canada is projected to send a team of 215 athletes to Milan-Cortina, a decrease of 10 athletes from 2022. Alpine Skiing (11 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 11 (6 men + 5 women) # of athletes in 2022: 13 (5 men + 8 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 10 # of events in 2022: 11 Overall, this is a decrease of 2 athletes from 2022. The men's side, however, is projected to increase by one. Brodie Seger and Jeffrey read both being ranked in the top 30 on the World Cup Start List has opened the way for Cameron Alexander and Jack Crawford to qualify via the Olympic allocation list. Liam Wallace (who I've never heard of before but I think he competes in the Nor-Am Cup) also helps qualify Canada a quota through the Olympic Allocation List. The women's side has taken a hit though with Marie-Michele Gagnon and Erin Mielzynski retiring and Roni Remme switching to Germany. Valerie Grenier and Kiki Alexander both help Canada earn additional quotas through the Olympic Allocation List. This is in addition to earning the maximum 2 quotas from athletes ranked in the top 30 on the World Cup Start List. Britt Richardson (giant slalom), Laurence St. Germain (slalom) and Ali Nullmeyer) are all in the top 30 in their events along with Grenier (Super-G and Giant Slalom). In terms of possible additional quotas, Raphael Lessard, Riley Seger, and Cassidy Gray are all within striking distance of the final skiers ranked on the Olympic Allocation list and could help gain additional quotas for Canada. Canada also an additional basic quota for each gender. Biathlon (8 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 8 (4 men + 4 women) # of athletes in 2022: 8 (4 men + 4 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 8-9 # of events in 2022: 10 Canada has successfully qualified 4 athletes in each gender through the Nations Cup Rankings. The women comfortably qualified in 16th while the men just made it in 20th. Good thing that Russia and Belarus are both banned or else we would likely only be sending 1 man to the Olympics. Bobsleigh (14 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 14 (8 men + 6 women) # of athletes in 2022: 18 (12 men + 6 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 4 # of events in 2022: 4 Thanks to the retirements of Justin Kripps and Chris Spring, Canada is only projected to qualify 2 men's sleds. Pat Norton and Taylor Austin finished the season 16th and 17th on the combined 2-man and 4-man World Ranking List and if they repeat these results next season, should have no problems qualifying 2 sleds for Canada. On the women's side, Cynthia Appiah, Melissa Lotholz, and Kristen Bujnowski finished 12th, 13th and 15th in the women's combined monobob and 2-woman world rankings. Canada's 3rd sled is behind Germany and the US but well ahead of the other nations so qualifying 3 sleds shouldn't be any problems. I think 14 athletes should be a safe guess for our final team size. Cross-Country Skiing (13 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 13 (6 men + 7 women) # of athletes in 2022: 9 (4 men + 5 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 12 # of events in 2022: 12 A boom of young talent (especially on the women's side) + the bans of Russia and Belarus have helped Canada qualify more athletes than they did 4 years ago. Currently, only 8 quotas per gender are official (1 each through the basic quota + 3 each through the Olympics Nations Ranking) with the extra allocations projected to take place after the qualification period is over on January 18. Curling (11 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 11 (5 men + 6 women) # of athletes in 2022: 12 (6 men + 6 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 3 # of events in 2022: 3 Canada has already qualified a team in men's and women's curling and the mixed doubles should also qualify. The only reason that the number is 11 and not 12 is because Brett Gallant is currently projected to qualify in both the men's and mixed doubles tournament but given the high level of competition in Canada, that could easily change. Figure Skating (12 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 12 (6 men + 6 women) # of athletes in 2022: 13 (7 men + 6 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 5 # of events in 2022: 5 The performances of Canadian figure skaters from the 2025 World Championships have earned Canada 7 quotas (1 man + 1 woman + 2 pairs + 3 ice dance) which results in 12 athletes. That number is locked in. That's 1 less athlete compared to 2022 (when Canada had an additional male quota). In addition, Canada is currently 5th on the team ranking list and is one of only 3 countries to qualify athletes in each event which should comfortably earn a them a spot in the team event. If the 2025 results determined the Olympic team, than the Canadian team would look something like this: Men: Roman Sadovsky Women: Madeline Schizas Pairs: Stellato-Dudek/Deschamps, Pereira/Michaud Ice Dance: Gilles/Poirier, Lajoie/Lagha, Fabbri/Ayer Freestyle Skiing (32 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 32 (16 men + 16 women) # of athletes in 2022: 32 (16 men + 16 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 15 # of events in 2022: 13 Qualifying the maximum quota of 32 athletes should be no problem. If there weren't any maximum quota restraints, then Canada would be projected to qualify 39 athletes (4 in each event except women's slopestyle/big air with 3) according to the current quota allocation list. However, the maximum quota of 32 athletes will result in some cuts. I tried to determine which quotas Canada would reject. The women's cuts weren't surprising: 2 in aerials + 1 in moguls/dual moguls. The men's cuts however, were a bit more unexpected: 1 in moguls/dual moguls + 1 in halfpipe + 2 in slopestyle/big air. The freeski team hasn't done too well this year. So based on the results from this year, this would be the projected Canadian team: Men: Aerials (4): Alexandre Duchaine, Lewis Irving, Miha Fontaine, Victor Primeau Moguls (3): Mikael Kingsbury, Julien Viel, Elliot Vaillancourt Ski Cross (4): Reece Howden, Kevin Drury, Jared Schmidt, Kristofer Mahler Halfpipe (3): Brendan MacKay, Andrew Longino, Dylan Marineau Slopestyle/Big Air (2): Evan McEachran, Dylan Deschamps Women: Aerials (2): Marion Thenault, Charlie Fontaine Moguls (3): Maia Schwinghammer, Laurianne Desmarais-Gilbert, Jessica Linton Ski Cross (4): India Sherret, Courtney Hoffos, Marielle Thompson, Abby McEwen (likely one of Schmidt or Phelan would replace McEwen) Halfpipe (4): Cassie Sharpe, Rachael Karker, Amy Fraser, Dillan Glennie Slopestyle/Big Air (3): Megan Oldham, Olivia Asselin, Skye Clarke Ice Hockey (48 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 48 (25 men + 23 women) # of athletes in 2022: 48 (25 men + 23 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 2 # of events in 2022: 2 Both men's and women's teams are already qualified. I do not watch enough hockey to due roster projections. Luge (6 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 6 (2 men + 4 women) # of athletes in 2022: 6 (3 men + 3 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 3 # of events in 2022: 4 Based on the results of the 2024-25 World Cup, Canada would qualify 2 sleds in women's singles, 1 in men's doubles and 1 in women's doubles. However, the men didn't start to compete until halfway through the season and finished only a few points behind the last athlete to qualify. The top athletes from the best 15 nations qualify so with a full season of results, 1 Canadian man should be able to qualify which would also give Canada a spot in the team relay. For the rest of the events, the current number of quotas should be pretty safe. Canada would have been in a position to qualify 3 athletes in women's singles under the old qualification system but the IOC reduced the # of quotas in women's singles to make room for women's doubles. Based on last year's results, this would be the luge team for the Olympics: Women's Singles (2): Caitlin Nash, Trinity Ellis (Embyr-Lee Susko will also challenge) Men's Doubles (1): Wardrope/Zajanski Women's Doubles (1): Podulsky/Allan Nordic Combined (0 athletes) No Short Track (10 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 10 (5 men + 5 women) # of athletes in 2022: 10 (5 men + 5 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 9 # of events in 2022: 9 Barring a complete catastrophe, Canada should easily qualify the maximum # of athletes in each discipline along with all relay teams. Skeleton (2 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 2 (0 men + 2 women) # of athletes in 2022: 3 (1 men + 2 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 1 # of events in 2022: 2 The men's team is in complete disarray. No one was ranked high enough on the World Rankings to earn a quota. The highest ranking Canadian was 51st. On the women's side, Mirela Rahneva's retirement meant that Canada is no longer projected to earn 3 quotas. Only 2 countries can qualify 3 quotas and our current 3rd athlete is not even close enough to Germany and Great Britain's 3rd athlete. Hallie Clarke and Jane Channell should easily be able to earn 2 quotas for Canada though. Hopefully the men can step up their game next season and help earn Canada a quota. Ski Jumping (3 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 3 (0 men + 3 women) # of athletes in 2022: 10 (1 men + 2 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 2 # of events in 2022: 4 Alexandria Loutitt, Abigail Strate and Nicole Maurer are all in comfortable position to qualify for next year's Olympics. No men competed in the World Cup or Continental Cup last year. Maybe some other ski jumpers will compete next year and have a chance at a quota. Ski Mountaineering (2 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 2 (1 men + 1 women) # of athletes in 2022: 0 Projected # of events in 2026: 3 # of events in 2022: 0 With 1 race remaining (per speculation), Canada is in a position to earn a mixed relay continental quota over the US by 1 POINT. Canada is 12th in the rankings while the US is 13th so if they can pass Sweden or Poland in the rankings, then they can still qualify through the World Rankings even if the US were to pass them. In the women's sprint, Emma Cook-Clarke is currently ranked 17th. If Canada doesn't qualify a mixed relay, she would have to pass 4 athletes in the rankings to qualify through the sprint rankings. Snowboarding (20 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 20 (10 men + 10 women) # of athletes in 2022: 23 (11 men + 12 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 10 # of events in 2022: 11 Through the allocation list, Canada is projected to qualify athletes in every event except for men's halfpipe. The athletes currently in qualification position are as follows: Men: Parallel Giant Slalom (2): Arnaud Gaudet, Ben Heldman Snowboard Cross (4): Eliot Grondin, Evan Bichon, Liam Moffatt, James Savard-Ferguson Slopestyle/Big Air (4): Cameron Spalding, Liam Brearley, Francis Jobin, Eli Bouchard Women: Parallel Giant Slalom (2): Aurelie Moisan, Kaylie Buck Snowboard Cross (4): Meryeta Odine, Audrey McManiman, Tess Critchlow, Rose Savard-Ferguson Halfpipe (3): Elizbeth Hosking, Felicity Geremia, Brooke Dhondt Slopestyle/Big Air (1): Laurie Blouin There are a few athletes that are close to being in qualification position. Liam Gill is 4 spots away from a quota in men's halfpipe, and Juliette Pelchat is the first unqualified athlete in women's slopestyle/big air. Jasmine Baird was also injured last season so if she's back in form next season, then she could also earn a quota. At the same time, a bunch of snowboard cross athletes just made the qualification list and both Savard-Ferguson's hold the last qualification spot. Speed Skating (13 athletes) Projected Athletes in 2026: 13 (7 men + 6 women) # of athletes in 2022: 16 (8 men + 8 women) Projected # of events in 2026: 13 # of events in 2022: 14 I was a bit shocked to see only 13 projected athletes but it makes sense given the underwhelming 2024-25 World Cup season. The men's team pursuit was so bad that they didn't rank high enough to be projected for a quota which resulted in losing one projected athlete. Here's who's projected to qualify in each individual event. The women's athlete count was hurt by athletes like Blondin and Maltais qualifying for many events + earning only 2 out of 3 possible quotas in certain events. I would hope for 16 athletes per gender again. Men: 500m (3): Laurent Dubreuil, Anders Johnson, Christopher Fiola 1000m (3): Laurent Dubreuil, Connor Howe, Anders Johnson 1500m (2): Connor Howe, David la Rue 5000m (2): Ted-Jan Bloemen, Graeme Fish 10000m (2): Ted-Jan Bloemen, Graeme Fish Mass Start (1): David la Rue Women: 500m (2): Carolina Hiller, Beatrice Lamarche 1000m (2): Beatrice Lamarche, Rose Laliberte-Roy 1500m (2): Ivanie Blondin, Valerie Maltais 3000m (3): Isabelle Weidemann, Ivanie Blondin, Valerie Maltais 5000m (2): Isabelle Weidemann, Ivanie Blondin Mass Start (2): Ivanie Blondin, Valerie Maltais
  4. Biedermann's super-suited world record is gone! Lukas Märtens Throws Down 3:39.96 WORLD RECORD In 400 Free, Breaking 2009 Super-Suited Mark
  5. Yesterday, MSH clocked a 1:56.46 200 free time at the Canadian Open. That's 0.3 seconds faster than she was at the meet last year so hopefully a sign of good things to come this summer.
  6. Final Pools have been announced. Colombia -> Pool A Brazil -> Pool B Taiwan -> Pool C Nicaragua -> Pool D
  7. As probably one of the biggest swimming fans on the forum, not too thrilled about stroke 50's being added. There's already enough events. However, if it means that they're getting rid of semifinals for the 200m events, then that's a trade off I'll to take.
  8. Made a minor update already. FIS updated the qualification standings for the snowboard slopestyle/big air despite the fact that I already gathered the data after the last event. My guess is that they forgot to adjust the standings so that only the top 6 slopestyle and top 4 big air results for each athlete count. This has resulted in the following changes in snowboard: +1 +1 -1 There is only one subtraction because on the men's side, Jonas Hasler is the athlete who now misses qualification but he is already qualified in the halfpipe so an extra quota is gained overall.
  9. Milano-Cortina 2026 Quota Simulation: 2024-25 Data Edition April 2025 Original Simulation September 2025 Update Christmas 2025 Update
  10. He's done it! Greatest goal scorer in NHL history
  11. Meanwhile, there is apparently a swimmer named Autumn McIntosh Ward, McIntosh Lead Group Of Fast Swimmers At Missouri Valley Age Group Championships Now we just need a Spring McIntosh and a Winter McIntosh to complete the full set.
  12. Two notable swims from today. First Kyle Chalmers put up a time of 47.27 in the 100m freestyle at the Bergen Swim Festival. However, he was outdone later in the day by Luca Urlando who put up a 200m butterfly time of 1:52.37 at the Pro Swim Series . That ranks him as the 4th fastest performer of all time and the 14th fastest performance of all time.
  13. This will be complicated even more by the fact that Russia and possibly Belarus will take quotas from teams that could use them for the team event.
  14. Men's Quotas: 3 quotas: 2 quotas: 1 quota: are able to send another athlete to the final qualifier
  15. Gilles/Poirier win silver at the world championships. Lajoie/Lagha finish 7th.
  16. Ice Dance Quotas: 3 quotas: 2 quotas: 1 quota: are able to send another team to the final qualifier is the team to miss out
  17. Asselin missed a bronze by 0.75
  18. Really high level on display in the men's big air final. 6 scores over 90+ just in round 1.
  19. Women's Quotas: 3 quotas: 2 quotas: 1 quota: are able to send another skater to the final qualifier. One quota from these world championships will be reallocated to the final qualifier because Switzerland wasn't able to fulfill the requirements for two skaters.
  20. NOC's qualified for the free dance (and eligible for earn Olympic quotas): x3 x3 x2 x2 x2 x2 20 teams qualified but only 19 will earn quotas.
  21. Looks like Fabbri/Ayer are in track to be the first team to miss the free dance meaning they would have to qualify at the final qualifier of the top two pairs get enough placement points to earn 3 quotas
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