on Day 1
Cycling Road - M Ind Time Trial - Ganna, very disappointing if he doesn't get a medal, most likely Gold
Cycling Road - W Ind Time Trial
Diving - W Synchro 3m Springboard - reasonable chances for Pellacani & Bertocchi, all but a safe medal, though
Fencing - W Epee Ind - I expect at least a medal, but given this year's results, it might also be a double, if not a clean sweep
Fencing - M Sabre Ind - some chances also here for us, but it's gonna be a lot more difficult than in the women's Epee
Judo - W -48kg - Scutto must get a medal...she's the world no.1 and bronze medallist in the last 3 world champs
Judo - M -60kg
Rugby Sevens - M Tournament
Shooting - Mixed Team Air Rifle
Skateboarding - M Street
Swimming - M 400m Free
Swimming - W 400m Free
Swimming - W 4x100m Free
Swimming - M 4x100m Free - we're defending the silver medal from Tokyo here, but if we get a bronze medal it's already a big success
so, I expect to be between 4 and 7 medals
in the most optimistic case, we could be in contention with and maybe even for the most medals on Day 1