Bulgaria and medals, not really hand to hand this century. I was very pessimistic for Tokyo and somehow we got 6 medals. If we get the same, or even more this time, then it would be another success.
And speaking of potential medalists
Boxing - Javier Ibanez , who is actually Cuban;
Taekwondo - Kimia Alizadeh , who is actually Iranian;
Wrestling - Magomed Ramazanov, who is actually Russian;
Wrestling - Semen Novikov , who is actually Ukrainian;
Wrestling - Aik Mnatsakanian, who is actually / Georgiо-Armenian
Anyone else wanting international participation can apply in their local BG consulate
As for the medals:
Rhythmic Gymnastics - probably 2
Weightlifting - 1 is almost certain, with a chance for a second;
Boxing - this could go from 1 to 4, very much depending on draws, referees etc.;
Taekwondo - good chance for 1;
Wrestling - not confident here, 1-2 if lucky;
Very outside chances in fencing and shooting. Kostadinova hasn't been steady in the past year or so, and shooting has one of the tightest competitions, so getting a medal like in Tokyo is going to be a miracle.
I'd say a final tally of 6, with 8 if we have a positive outcome in some sports.