OlympicsFan

Yes and Görges let Danilovic play very well ...

Yeah, thats one way of looking at it. The other way is that Jule was serving horribly and wasnt fully there after her great Wimbledon run. In the end its probably a combination of both.

Why even have qualification at all? Lets just allow everyone to compete, the IAAF strategy so to say.

Is it a true irish team or an england light version (playing with players who werent good enough the make the english team)? I hope its the first.

Argentinian fans are probably crying out of joy, finally they can see their players winning, considering that it didnt really go that well for their first team so far.

I think its a good idea. Do you feel the same about other sports? For example the dutch werent allowed to play at the football world cup just because they werent good enough during qualification which ended a year before the world cup.

About womens 200 back: Franklin was certainly faster as a junior (2:04.06 at the 2012 olympics), but FINA doesnt count those times. I think junior world records were introduced in 2014 or 2015 and only times achieved since then + times swum at previous editions of junior world championships count as junior world records. In many other events the official junior world records arent the fastest times ever swum by a junior, for example: In mens 400 free the junior world record officially is 3:44.60 by Mack Horton from 2014, while Ian Thorpe swam 3:40.59 as a junior at the 2000 olympics. Danila Izotov swam 1:43.90 in the 200 free as a junior in 2009, but the record is 1:46.40 by Ivan Girev from 2017. Michael Phelps swam 1:55.94 in the 200 IM as a junior, at the 2003 world championships but the record is 1:57.06 by Qin Haiyang from 2017. Kosuke Hagino swam 4:08.94 in the 400 IM as a junior at the 2012 olympics, but the record is 4:14.00 by Sean Grieshop from 2014. On the womens side 24.33 by Rikako Ikee from 2017 in the 50 free is a record instead of 23.99 by Cate Campbell from 2009. In the 100 back the record is 58.95 by Regan Smith from last year instead of 58.33 by Franklin from 2012. In the 200 fly its 2:06.29 by Hasegawa instead of 2:04.72 by Jiao Liuyang. In the 200 IM its 2:09.98 by Ikee instead of 2:07.57 by Ye Shiwen and in the 400 IM its 4:39.01 by Rosie Rudin instead of 4:28.43 by Ye Shiwen. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_junior_world_records_in_swimming

Athletics: My current prediction is 63, so it should be something between 60 and 70. Basketball: I think the men's team has a good chance, i would say only Spain, Serbia and France are stronger. Lithuania, Latvia, Greece, Turkey, Italy, Slovenia are all about on the same level at best. Boxing: I think 6 is too optimistic. On the womens side i would say only Apetz has a chance and on the mens side there are 5 guys with a chance, but only if you count Harutyunyan who became a pro last year. My guess would be 3-4 (Apetz, Baraou, Ibrahim and maybe Harutyunyan). Fencing: I dont see Germany qualifying 9 athletes. I think 6 or 7 would be the best possible outcome. Football: I think the mens team will struggle to say the least, the guys born in 1997 or later are very weak. Judo: 12-14 is definitely too optimistic in my opinion, i think 8 would be good. Rowing: The situation is pretty promising, but i for example dont see Germany qualifiying a boat in womens eight. Sailing: I think you are too optimistic, but lets see, my guess would be 4-6 boats (Buhl, Jurczok/Lorenz and 2 out of the remaining categories). Taekwondo: I think 3 would be very good given the current situation. Volleyball: I think no team qualifying is definitely more realistic than both qualifying. I think the mens team is clearly stronger, but they have a more difficult path to qualify. So what would be your conclusion? How many german athletes realistically in Tokyo? Will it be a bigger team than in Rio (athletes in new sports excluded)?

I would say its rather like asking why womens ice hockey is at the olympics. Besides that i dont see how rugby, basketball, field hockey or even volleyball can be called euro-centric. The same is true for curling and ice hockey at the winter olympics.

https://swimswam.com/whats-at-stake-at-2018-u-s-nationals-all-selection-procedures-here/ I think he won't be able to swim the 100 free individually at the 2019 worlds, but only the relay. I guess he can still gain an individual spot in the 100 fly or 50 free.

Do you have any medal chance on the mens side? On the womens side probably: 100 m (if Schippers competes), 200 m, 400 m, 5000 m, 10000 m?, 100 m hurdles, heptathlon, 4 x 100 m relay. I would say 5 medals would be more realistic.

Let's say that 8:44 converts to about 8:20 for 3000 m flat, then we are looking at the 6th or 7th best time over 3000 m flat ever (only behind 6 chinese girls and Obiri). The 7th best 3000 m flat time on the men's side would be 7:28, which would convert to 7:48-7:49 for 3000 m SC, so you also consider the men's 3000 m SC world record soft? Another example Warholm ran 45.0 and 47.6 this season, so if we say that the hurdles add about 2,5 seconds, then a appropriate 400 m hurdles world record would be something like 46.1-46.2 (7th fastest 400 m ever is Merritt with 43.65, add 2,5 seconds and you get 46.1-46.2), about 0,5 seconds faster than the current world record.

Yeah, the dutch relay could have won the bronze medal probably, in the 4 x100 it's a three way fight for silver and bronze.

Incredible results for Italy once again, fencing is for them what canoeing (or luge if we talk about winter sports) is for Germany. With very smart funding they continue to keep their dominance alive. I hope that Japan will get (much) better in the next 2 years. Who knows, maybe France will soon start to invest a lot for 2024 olympics, trying to challenge the italian dominance.

I hope that Adrienne Sternlicht will be nominated (for obvious reasons). Just a shame that they all have to wear helmets, i think if FEI would allow them to ride without helmets, riding would win a lot of younger fans. Do you know whether she is related to Barry Sternlicht? If so, this would be another very interesting person in show jumping (after Georgina Bloomberg and Jessica Springsteen). By the way, her last name means something like "starlight" in german (Stern = star, Licht = light) ...

The dutch relay would have probably been the favorite for silver, no this might open the door for Switzerland. The german relay will be fast in the long run, but with Mayer out and Pinto not fully fit something around 42.3-42.4 seems to be the limit.

1) I don't know when the schedule was made, if it was made a couple of months ago, then i dont agree. Back then Spelmeyer still had to be considered a realistic contender for the final. 2) We dont have to discuss that this schedule is stupid, but i kind of like it. I think its gonne be fun to see all those women compete for individual medals and then to come back only an hour later to compete against each other again, they will have a chance for very fast redemption. 3) Germans are know for their efficiency, this way those girls can get all their competitions done on the same day, so we will have less costs for transport, less environmental pollution and they dont all have to stay for a very long time in Berlin in case they have something else to do. Edit: Last year at the world championships Spelmeyer was the 2nd best european athlete, so i guess the question whether your point is valid can only be answered by looking at when the schedule was created.

Great win for 17 year old Rudolf Molleker against David Ferrer in Hamburg, up to around 240 in live rankings, another win would bring him close to the top 200. He hasnt much to defend for the rest of the year, so maybe he can finish around 150. With him, Auger-Aliassime and Kuhn we could have 3 18 year olds entering the top 100 next season. I think in 3-4 years the top 20 will be very young with those guys + Zverev, Shapovalov, Tsitsipas, Kyrgios, Thiem and so on.

Thanks, so indeed a worrying state german eventing is in, you dont think Auffarth will be back for 2020? Dujardin also plans to come back, do you think she will become a dominant force again?

Do you mean a "How many athletes will your nation qualify" thread?

I think it would also be nice to have a "Biggest favorites for 2020 olympics" thread, so that after the 2020 olympics we could look back at the predictions and compare them to the actual results, i think this would create a lot of "How the hell was XY ever considered a favorite" moments and would maybe help against the "post-olympic slump" a bit.

As a german fencing fan you can never expect too little these days ... men's sabre used to be an almost guaranteed medal, Schmidt also completely out of shape and Ebert completely without a chance against one of the italian athletes. I think this time more german athletes will qualify for the olympics (women's foil team and men's sabre team mostly), but at this point the chance for ONE MEDAL is probably below 50 %.

Do german fans have to worry about eventing and dressage? Surprisingly jumping was the best event for Germany in Aachen and the german team looked more than vulnerable in eventing/dressage. Where are Sprehe, Rothenberger, Auffahrt and Jung? Would you still call the german eventing team (Jung, Auffahrt, Krajewski, Hoy/Klimke) favorites for the WEG and what about the dressage team?

I think only Germany beat them in group stage. Good generation for Israel, but probably no NBA talent. In my opinion U20 is less important than U18 anyway. Too many top talents were missing, France was missing 10 guys or so and Germany was also missing 3 out of their usual starting 5. U20 isn't a great indicator for future success in my opinion.

Wow, thats slow ... have you ever been faster? I remember running around 2,8 km in 12 minutes when i was 14 or 15.