We are now 3/4 through the Olympics, we have so far won 18 medals which is six short of my prediction of 24, let's see how the six categories are doing.
Freestyle Skiing - 2/5
Snowboarding - 6/5
Short Track - 4/4
Speed Skating - 3/4
Curling/Ice Hockey - 0/3
Others - 3/3
Short track and the other categories have now met my standards while snowboarding was nice enough to outdo my expectations and win an additional medal. Sadly the three remaining categories don't look so hot. Freestyle skiing still has half-pipe and ski cross which is good for us, but it does force our team to be near perfect in events where all it takes is a minor mistake to fail.
Speed skating is pretty much down to women's mass start. Blondin has had a poor start to the games, but hopefully the team pursuit gold medal will help her get into the rhythm. Besides that the only other option would be if Dubreuil or Howe decide to have a great performance in their weaker event in the men's 1000m.
While we will get a medal in women's ice hockey, the other two will be hard to secure. The men's ice hockey team was eliminated which only leaves our two curling teams. The men are in the semis and women can qualify if they defeat Denmark. The chances are there for both, but they could easily finish fourth with the way they have been performing.
Should any of the above fail the only other events which could help us will be in bobsled. Overall of the 23 remaining events we have a medal chance in 11 of them (unless we pull off a ski jumping and luck into a mixed team alpine skiing medal) where we must win 6 medals just to meet expectations. A team figure skating medal may come in the future, but I feel the games will be long gone by then.