evil betty

I wonder if they will do what they did for South Korea in 2018; will they just allow the host to compete in the team event without meeting the qualifying criteria. China has enough jumpers who meet the minimum eligibility so I think it is possible.

Well they picked her as their flag bearer so I am guessing the NOC is in the loop. Still weird though. https://www.coa.ad/maeva-estevez-classificada-per-beijing-2022/

Strange though, the FIS lists it as 'not confirmed by NOC'. Not sure how that is possible if it was claimed through reallocation.

Don't mean to beat a dead horse, but why wouldn't the FIS list say that Canada has refused PGS quotas if they are not going to use them? Noticed wikipedia has a statement that 5 were refused but the source is FIS list that does not say that. Is it possible that more will still be announced?

Yes, but the question remains; if the FIS posts a 'less confirmed than allocated' is it final? Or could it still change?

In the FIS lists, can an NOC confirm only part of the quota now and the rest later in the week? So is it possible that it looks like declining but the NOC is just confirming some of it and then still confirming the rest before the deadline?

would Croatia declining the team event impact this though? Because next in line would be NZL who would need a male quota to compete. Not sure how that would work.

Especially after the bizarre interpretation of the rules that allowed Frimpong in last time; was it the "clean list" or something so that 60 was really 100.

Apparently not, their official document states that only SWE is eligible for reallocation.

So official lists came out and monobob was strange. The first six countries were qualified from combined rankings, and then the next four were from the 2woman rankings, not combined. I can see the logic, but I never would have predicted that was what they meant. So GBR is in when they only raced monobob twice all season, and Italy is out (for now).

Actually Brazil and Nigeria are tied and the tie-breaker is the single best result; Nigeria 120, Brazil 88.

It was posted earlier that Croatia will not compete in the team event. I am curious then, if they pass, and there is no other country that has 2 male and 2 female quotas, does someone lose a quota so that New Zealand, Russia, or Belgium can participate?

so variola didn't start, and cipulis is done. Deen needs to go from 20th to 15th on the second run. Canada has qualified three for the 4man now.

Yeah, she is in 37th with 9 americans ahead of her, just switched from us team to brazil.

Novak is certainly eligible, just not qualified. The FIS have him listed https://www.fis-ski.com/DB/v2/quota/allocation/owg/fs/2022?gender=M&event=AE&page=1 here, and he is in 39th place. With max quotas removed he is still the 8th reserve.

Looks right to me. I crunched the numbers and now all Canada has to do to get a 3rd sled in the 4-man is have Spring finish in the top 20 (he needs 66 points). The russians could have made it interesting by switching up their drivers on the last weekend and giving Stulnev a WC start. Deen needs to outscore Variola by 102 for the last spot with 2 sleds (Variola's score improves if he finishes above 25th).

The IBU updated the qualify points list today after the last eligible race, is there any chance that there could still be any changes?

One day left with just a couple of things left to decide; In the Women's can Andreutti pull off a miracle (top 6) and catch Boch for the last quota in the 2s, GER and CAN are in with 3, USA, CHN, RUS, SUI are in with 2, then AUT, ROU, AUS, GBR, BEL are in with 1. The monobob has USA,GER,CAN,CHN in with 2 and then RUS, AUS, SUI, ROU, AUT, FRA, NED, KOR, SVK, JAM, UKR, ITA. Nigerian just missed a last day miracle. The 4man has all the countries decided but down to the wire between RUS and CAN for 3 sleds, and ITA, GBR, and (can Cipulis pull off a miracle) maybe LAT for the last spot with 2 sleds.

In tomorrow's monobob race, Silva has to finish 15th or better to catch Andreutti, unless Andreutti finishes 17th or better, for the last olympic spot. To catch Hunko of Ukraine Silva needs to be 13th or better, and Andreutti needs to be 16th or better.

holey cow Taylor Austin racing in a WC race tomorrow. Canada is certain of 3 sleds for Beijing anyway but might a good sign that they fully intend to send him.

I did already if you have a question

I think it is doubtful that they will update Olympic standings, however last time they published a detailed pdf pretty quickly. There was very little change from today's race anyway.

And Bulgaria did not start! So KAZ starts off well and needs to stay in top 13.

Well she is competing in Winterberg in a very reduced field, only 7 entered. A top 3 finish would put her ahead of silva from brazil in the final spot but..... If Silva finishes better than 17th in St. Moritz she improves her score and Hunko of Ukraine (also competing in Winterberg) could still finish ahead of both of them. Hunko also had a 3rd place (would improve her score by 18 points) taken away for some reason (the whole event in Altenberg is not being counted for some reason).

Looks like the FIS removed Azerbaijan from their alpine lists today. Strange that they were on there in the first place if there is no one who meets the minimum standards. The closest (I think) is Kostov who needs a couple more results.