website statistics
Jump to content

Cross-Country Skiing Discussion | Qualification to Winter Olympic Games Milano Cortina 2026 Road to Milano Cortina 2026


Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, Topicmaster1010 said:

Cross-Country Skiing NOC Quota Standings as of February 2nd

 

These are the quotas that get allocated to NOCs after the basic quota (1 male + 1 female) is allocated to NOC's who have athletes that have the required amount of points. These standings are NOT the same as the World Cup Nations Cup. The Nations cup only gives points to the top 30 athletes in a race while the Olympic rankings give points to every athlete which partakes in a race and also includes World Championships and World Junior Championships results. I attempted to calculate the standings using this document as I don't believe the list has been made public yet.

 

4 quotas

3 quotas

2 quotas

1 quota

 

Men

 

Rank NOC Points
1 :NOR Norway 13185
2 :SWE Sweden 9254
3 :FRA France 8930
4 :FIN Finland 7746
5 :USA United States 7291
6 :ITA Italy 6442
7 :GER Germany 6336
8 :SUI Switzerland 6145
9 :CZE Czechia 4144
10 :CAN Canada 4037
11 :AUT Austria 4035
12 :GBR Great Britain 3434
13 :SLO Slovenia 3164
14 :EST Estonia 3007
15 :AUS Australia 2129
16 :JPN Japan 1587
17 :LAT Latvia 1568
18 :POL Poland 1441
19 :KAZ Kazakhstan 1246
20 :AND Andorra 1170
21 :ESP Spain 1170
22 :IRL Ireland 1161
23 :HUN Hungary 812
24 :UKR Ukraine 712
25 :CHN China 621
26 :THA Thailand 336
27 :ARM Armenia 276
28 :ROU Romania 266
29 :SVK Slovakia 217
30 :BUL Bulgaria 193
31 :MGL Mongolia 137
32 :SRB Serbia 131
33 :ARG Argentina 118
34 :KOR Korea 115
35 :CRO Croatia 97
36 :CHI Chile 80
37 :COL Colombia 76
38 :MKD North Macedonia 47
39 :LTU Lithuania 47
40 :BEL Belgium 45
41 :LIE Liechtenstein 39

 

Women

 

Rank NOC Points
1 :NOR Norway 12310
2 :SWE Sweden 10634
3 :FIN Finland 9539
4 :GER Germany 9529
5 :USA United States 8562
6 :SUI Switzerland 6329
7 :FRA France 5039
8 :ITA Italy 4680
9 :CAN Canada 4533
10 :CZE Czechia 4298
11 :AUT Austria 3636
12 :EST Estonia 2190
13 :SLO Slovenia 1885
14 :KAZ Kazakhstan 1677
15 :UKR Ukraine 1304
16 :AUS Australia 1203
17 :POL Poland 588
18 :JPN Japan 510
19 :LAT Latvia 442
20 :TPE Chinese Taipei 194
21 :AND Andorra 183
22 :ARM Armenia 131
23 :KOR Korea 122

Awesome, thanks! I've been tracking the women's list as well (because of Brazil, obviously), and I believe I have some different numbers. I'll post it later, because I am very curious where I made some mistakes.

 

You counted the Tour de Ski overall standings for example, I think? I hadn't done that yet, but started realizing I probably need to.

 

Still in time, since only from today on (with the junior sprint) it starts to get real interesting in terms of the top-30 and so a potential extra Olympic ticket :p 

 

As for Brazil, it'll mostly be interesting to see if their 2 junior girls, 3 U23 girls and 3-4 women at the world championships (including a team sprint and relay) will beat out Taipei, Andorra and Armenia, who have 1 athlete who is better than every Brazilian, but don't really have a 2nd, let alone a 3rd athlete. I'd have to consult my other list, but off the top of my head other countries to look out for should be Argentina, Croatia, Great Britain, Spain (unless they decide not to focus on it, which I think might be the case given that their best competed at home yesterday and aren't in Schilpario) and a few others.

 

Also, China will absolutely be on this list. They started the season with no FIS points at all, I guess hadn't competed since Beijing, but already destroyed the points for a few races in Norway (by being in the top-5 while not having any FIS points). Their absence in recent years means they'll compete in the qualifying 7.5k in Trondheim in the world championships, since they don't qualify directly, which then will mean they'll destroy the points there as well, like :LAT Baiba Bendika did in Oberstdorf (which led to FIS changing it's qualifying rules :d).

 

Oh well, interesting weeks ahead, I already can't count the number of hours I have spent on this (rankings, calculations, and so on) both on my laptop and in my mind!

Edited by heywoodu

.

29 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

Awesome, thanks! I've been tracking the women's list as well (because of Brazil, obviously), and I believe I have some different numbers. I'll post it later, because I am very curious where I made some mistakes.

 

You counted the Tour de Ski overall standings for example, I think? I hadn't done that yet, but started realizing I probably need to.

 

Still in time, since only from today on (with the junior sprint) it starts to get real interesting in terms of the top-30 and so a potential extra Olympic ticket :p 

 

As for Brazil, it'll mostly be interesting to see if their 2 junior girls, 3 U23 girls and 3-4 women at the world championships (including a team sprint and relay) will beat out Taipei, Andorra and Armenia, who have 1 athlete who is better than every Brazilian, but don't really have a 2nd, let alone a 3rd athlete. I'd have to consult my other list, but off the top of my head other countries to look out for should be Argentina, Croatia, Great Britain, Spain (unless they decide not to focus on it, which I think might be the case given that their best competed at home yesterday and aren't in Schilpario) and a few others.

 

Also, China will absolutely be on this list. They started the season with no FIS points at all, I guess hadn't competed since Beijing, but already destroyed the points for a few races in Norway (by being in the top-5 while not having any FIS points). Their absence in recent years means they'll compete in the qualifying 7.5k in Trondheim in the world championships, since they don't qualify directly, which then will mean they'll destroy the points there as well, like :LAT Baiba Bendika did in Oberstdorf (which led to FIS changing it's qualifying rules :d).

 

Oh well, interesting weeks ahead, I already can't count the number of hours I have spent on this (rankings, calculations, and so on) both on my laptop and in my mind!

Oh the Tour de Ski Overall counts as well? That would explain the discrepancies then :d.

 

I'm sure Brazil will be in the top 30 in the end given the top 3 athletes are scored and they have better depth than some of the countries at the bottom of the rankings.

_

1 hour ago, Topicmaster1010 said:

Oh the Tour de Ski Overall counts as well? That would explain the discrepancies then :d.

 

I'm sure Brazil will be in the top 30 in the end given the top 3 athletes are scored and they have better depth than some of the countries at the bottom of the rankings.

There's some doubts as to whether all three of the top Brazilians will compete though, so we'll have to wait and see about that. Might be two of them plus another who is significantly lower down the rankings, that would not help. Most important is for them to, no matter what, compete in the relay. Four years ago they didn't, because they were too late to register and simply hadn't realized until January that the top-30 was....well, important.

.

55th place for :BRA Duda in today's U23 sprint qualifying. That's 11 points for Brazil in the ranking, alright, but more importantly for us: 11 points that @brunamouracan definitely make up in Trondheim.

 

Make up, you say? Yeah, here is the double situation: we want Brazil to get in the top-30 and have a second ticket, obviously, since it increases everyone's chance, including Bruna's. However, if Brazil has two tickets, the federation has decided that the first one will go to whoever gets the most points for the nations ranking. Duda is the only junior/U23 athlete who is in the fight for the Olympics, and therefore she obviously has a massive advantage simply because of her age - she can start in the U23 world championships, after all. She'll have the sprint, interval and mass start races to score points, plus the mixed relay.

 

That is quite a big points haul that is hard to overtake, considering she will of course also compete in Trondheim. The good thing about Trondheim is that, at least according to the federation's own rules, Duda is out of the team sprint, and so Bruna can make up quite a bit of points there. Finish way ahead of her in the sprint and the 10k as well, and the Schilpario points can be made up.

 

In other words, mixed feelings: we need Duda to do well in Schilpario, because of Brazil getting in the top-30, but we also need her not to do that well, or else a potential second ticket will simply be hers by virtue of being young enough to compete in the U23 world championships.

 

By the way, if Brazil ends up with 1 ticket, it will depend entirely on their internal rankings, which Bruna is leading with a large margin at the moment.

Edited by heywoodu

.

On 2/3/2025 at 10:28 AM, Grassmarket said:

Ok, top 4 for :NOR, valuable life lesson for everyone else there.  :p

But only a bronze in the under-23 sprints!

silver to Andorra. 2 gold, 1 silver, 1 bronser for Sweden!

14 hours ago, Kerkun said:

So did we get the first basic quota olympic qualifications today?

Yes. I was going to post the list of countries that got a basic quota after the championships were over but I can just keep editing this post as I doubt that there'll be many more countries that earn the basic quota.

 

The following NOC's have earned the basic quota (1 athlete) for the respective gender:

 

Men:

 

:ARG:AUS:AUT:BEL:BRA:BUL:CAN:CZE:EST:FIN:FRA:GER:GBR:ITA:JPN:KAZ:LAT:LIE:MNE:NOR:POL:ROU:SVK:SLO:ESP:SWE:SUI:TUR:UKR:USA

 

Women:

 

:AND:ARG:AUS:AUT:CAN:CRO:CZE:EST:FIN:FRA:GER:GBR:ITA:JPN:KAZ:LAT:NOR:POL:SVK:SLO:SWE:SUI:UKR:USA

Edited by Topicmaster1010

_

Jonna Sundling wins the swedish championship in sprint by 10 seconds ahead of Ribom and Hagström who still could be medal candidates at the WCH :lol:

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...