Cross-Country Skiing Discussion | Qualification to Winter Olympic Games Milano Cortina 2026

[heywoodu 16,468]

1 hour ago, Topicmaster1010 said:

Cross-Country Skiing NOC Quota Standings as of February 2nd

 

These are the quotas that get allocated to NOCs after the basic quota (1 male + 1 female) is allocated to NOC's who have athletes that have the required amount of points. These standings are NOT the same as the World Cup Nations Cup. The Nations cup only gives points to the top 30 athletes in a race while the Olympic rankings give points to every athlete which partakes in a race and also includes World Championships and World Junior Championships results. I attempted to calculate the standings using this document as I don't believe the list has been made public yet.

 

4 quotas

3 quotas

2 quotas

1 quota

 

Men

 

Rank	NOC	Points
1	Norway	13185
2	Sweden	9254
3	France	8930
4	Finland	7746
5	United States	7291
6	Italy	6442
7	Germany	6336
8	Switzerland	6145
9	Czechia	4144
10	Canada	4037
11	Austria	4035
12	Great Britain	3434
13	Slovenia	3164
14	Estonia	3007
15	Australia	2129
16	Japan	1587
17	Latvia	1568
18	Poland	1441
19	Kazakhstan	1246
20	Andorra	1170
21	Spain	1170
22	Ireland	1161
23	Hungary	812
24	Ukraine	712
25	China	621
26	Thailand	336
27	Armenia	276
28	Romania	266
29	Slovakia	217
30	Bulgaria	193
31	Mongolia	137
32	Serbia	131
33	Argentina	118
34	Korea	115
35	Croatia	97
36	Chile	80
37	Colombia	76
38	North Macedonia	47
39	Lithuania	47
40	Belgium	45
41	Liechtenstein	39

 

Women

 

Rank	NOC	Points
1	Norway	12310
2	Sweden	10634
3	Finland	9539
4	Germany	9529
5	United States	8562
6	Switzerland	6329
7	France	5039
8	Italy	4680
9	Canada	4533
10	Czechia	4298
11	Austria	3636
12	Estonia	2190
13	Slovenia	1885
14	Kazakhstan	1677
15	Ukraine	1304
16	Australia	1203
17	Poland	588
18	Japan	510
19	Latvia	442
20	Chinese Taipei	194
21	Andorra	183
22	Armenia	131
23	Korea	122

Awesome, thanks! I've been tracking the women's list as well (because of Brazil, obviously), and I believe I have some different numbers. I'll post it later, because I am very curious where I made some mistakes.

 

You counted the Tour de Ski overall standings for example, I think? I hadn't done that yet, but started realizing I probably need to.

 

Still in time, since only from today on (with the junior sprint) it starts to get real interesting in terms of the top-30 and so a potential extra Olympic ticket  

 

As for Brazil, it'll mostly be interesting to see if their 2 junior girls, 3 U23 girls and 3-4 women at the world championships (including a team sprint and relay) will beat out Taipei, Andorra and Armenia, who have 1 athlete who is better than every Brazilian, but don't really have a 2nd, let alone a 3rd athlete. I'd have to consult my other list, but off the top of my head other countries to look out for should be Argentina, Croatia, Great Britain, Spain (unless they decide not to focus on it, which I think might be the case given that their best competed at home yesterday and aren't in Schilpario) and a few others.

 

Also, China will absolutely be on this list. They started the season with no FIS points at all, I guess hadn't competed since Beijing, but already destroyed the points for a few races in Norway (by being in the top-5 while not having any FIS points). Their absence in recent years means they'll compete in the qualifying 7.5k in Trondheim in the world championships, since they don't qualify directly, which then will mean they'll destroy the points there as well, like Baiba Bendika did in Oberstdorf (which led to FIS changing it's qualifying rules ).

 

Oh well, interesting weeks ahead, I already can't count the number of hours I have spent on this (rankings, calculations, and so on) both on my laptop and in my mind!

Edited February 3, 2025 by heywoodu

[Topicmaster1010 6,612]

29 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

Awesome, thanks! I've been tracking the women's list as well (because of Brazil, obviously), and I believe I have some different numbers. I'll post it later, because I am very curious where I made some mistakes.

 

You counted the Tour de Ski overall standings for example, I think? I hadn't done that yet, but started realizing I probably need to.

 

Still in time, since only from today on (with the junior sprint) it starts to get real interesting in terms of the top-30 and so a potential extra Olympic ticket  

 

As for Brazil, it'll mostly be interesting to see if their 2 junior girls, 3 U23 girls and 3-4 women at the world championships (including a team sprint and relay) will beat out Taipei, Andorra and Armenia, who have 1 athlete who is better than every Brazilian, but don't really have a 2nd, let alone a 3rd athlete. I'd have to consult my other list, but off the top of my head other countries to look out for should be Argentina, Croatia, Great Britain, Spain (unless they decide not to focus on it, which I think might be the case given that their best competed at home yesterday and aren't in Schilpario) and a few others.

 

Also, China will absolutely be on this list. They started the season with no FIS points at all, I guess hadn't competed since Beijing, but already destroyed the points for a few races in Norway (by being in the top-5 while not having any FIS points). Their absence in recent years means they'll compete in the qualifying 7.5k in Trondheim in the world championships, since they don't qualify directly, which then will mean they'll destroy the points there as well, like Baiba Bendika did in Oberstdorf (which led to FIS changing it's qualifying rules ).

 

Oh well, interesting weeks ahead, I already can't count the number of hours I have spent on this (rankings, calculations, and so on) both on my laptop and in my mind!

Oh the Tour de Ski Overall counts as well? That would explain the discrepancies then .

 

I'm sure Brazil will be in the top 30 in the end given the top 3 athletes are scored and they have better depth than some of the countries at the bottom of the rankings.

[Grassmarket 4,313]

Good news is that we are live on YT as well.

 

 

[heywoodu 16,468]

1 hour ago, Topicmaster1010 said:

Oh the Tour de Ski Overall counts as well? That would explain the discrepancies then .

 

I'm sure Brazil will be in the top 30 in the end given the top 3 athletes are scored and they have better depth than some of the countries at the bottom of the rankings.

There's some doubts as to whether all three of the top Brazilians will compete though, so we'll have to wait and see about that. Might be two of them plus another who is significantly lower down the rankings, that would not help. Most important is for them to, no matter what, compete in the relay. Four years ago they didn't, because they were too late to register and simply hadn't realized until January that the top-30 was....well, important.

[Grassmarket 4,313]

Ok, top 4 for , valuable life lesson for everyone else there.  

[heywoodu 16,468]

55th place for  Duda in today's U23 sprint qualifying. That's 11 points for Brazil in the ranking, alright, but more importantly for us: 11 points that @brunamouracan definitely make up in Trondheim.

 

Make up, you say? Yeah, here is the double situation: we want Brazil to get in the top-30 and have a second ticket, obviously, since it increases everyone's chance, including Bruna's. However, if Brazil has two tickets, the federation has decided that the first one will go to whoever gets the most points for the nations ranking. Duda is the only junior/U23 athlete who is in the fight for the Olympics, and therefore she obviously has a massive advantage simply because of her age - she can start in the U23 world championships, after all. She'll have the sprint, interval and mass start races to score points, plus the mixed relay.

 

That is quite a big points haul that is hard to overtake, considering she will of course also compete in Trondheim. The good thing about Trondheim is that, at least according to the federation's own rules, Duda is out of the team sprint, and so Bruna can make up quite a bit of points there. Finish way ahead of her in the sprint and the 10k as well, and the Schilpario points can be made up.

 

In other words, mixed feelings: we need Duda to do well in Schilpario, because of Brazil getting in the top-30, but we also need her not to do that well, or else a potential second ticket will simply be hers by virtue of being young enough to compete in the U23 world championships.

 

By the way, if Brazil ends up with 1 ticket, it will depend entirely on their internal rankings, which Bruna is leading with a large margin at the moment.

Edited February 4, 2025 by heywoodu

[Swewi 510]

On 2/3/2025 at 10:28 AM, Grassmarket said:

Ok, top 4 for , valuable life lesson for everyone else there.  

But only a bronze in the under-23 sprints!

silver to Andorra. 2 gold, 1 silver, 1 bronser for Sweden!

[Kerkun 90]

So did we get the first basic quota olympic qualifications today?

[Topicmaster1010 6,612]

14 hours ago, Kerkun said:

So did we get the first basic quota olympic qualifications today?

Yes. I was going to post the list of countries that got a basic quota after the championships were over but I can just keep editing this post as I doubt that there'll be many more countries that earn the basic quota.

 

The following NOC's have earned the basic quota (1 athlete) for the respective gender:

 

Men:

 

 

Women:

 

Edited February 5, 2025 by Topicmaster1010

[Swewi 510]

Jonna Sundling wins the swedish championship in sprint by 10 seconds ahead of Ribom and Hagström who still could be medal candidates at the WCH