Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Qualification Quota Simulation (Version 2)

[rafalgorka 1,821]

I wonder if RSA decline their hockey and/or water polo quotas this time again

[Topicmaster1010 6,574]

Minor update (one more to come):

 

Artistic Swimming:

 +2

 -2

 

Football:

 +18

 -18

[Fly_like_a_don 1,162]

On 1/4/2024 at 12:07 AM, rafalgorka said:

I wonder if RSA decline their hockey and/or water polo quotas this time again

They don't reject quotas. It was a thing of the past. Like Tokyo both hockey and Water Polo teams will be there.

[Topicmaster1010 6,574]

Update:

 

Boxing:

 

Thanks to ogreman's wonderful work in this post, we now have a better boxing rankings. I made a few changes though.

• Kept the universality places unchanged from my previous work. 
• Decided not to include the refugee athlete from the simulation because in 2020, refugee athletes weren't apart of the official quota
• Still decided to include Russian athletes in the rankings because we have no idea whether or not they'll be excluded from the OQT's

 

+6

 +5

 +3

 +2

 +1

 -1

 -2

 -3

 -6

[PatyOlympic 43]

I'm a little concerned about South Korea, this will be our smallest delegation since 1984. Even though we have a chance of returning to top-10 of the medal table this time, the number of athletes qualified reflects a lot in the situation of our sport in general. 

Edited January 14, 2024 by PatyOlympic

[Vic Liu 1,701]

On 1/2/2024 at 5:40 PM, Topicmaster1010 said:

 

 People's Republic of China: 383 (+102)

(Archery - 6, Artistic Swimming - 8, Athletics - 51, Badminton - 16, Basketball - 12, 3x3 Basketball - 8, Boxing - 8, Breaking - 2, Slalom Canoe - 3, Sprint Canoe - 13, BMX - 2, Mountain Biking - 2, Road Cycling - 3, Track Cycling - 10, Diving - 8, Equestrian - 2, Fencing - 9, Field Hockey - 16, Golf - 4, Artistic Gymnastics - 10, Rhythmic Gymnastics - 6, Trampoline - 4, Judo - 6, Modern Pentathlon - 3, Rowing - 24, Sailing - 13, Shooting - 21, Skateboarding - 2, Sport Climbing - 7, Swimming - 38, Table Tennis - 6, Taekwondo - 6, Tennis - 6, Triathlon - 1, Indoor Volleyball - 12, Beach Volleyball - 2, Water Polo - 11, Weightlifting - 6, Wrestling - 16)

My subjective prediction based on my understanding of athletes's status

 

 People's Republic of China: 398

(Archery - 6, Artistic Swimming - 8, Athletics - 55, Badminton - 16, Basketball - 12, 3x3 Basketball - 8, Boxing - 9, Breaking - 3, Slalom Canoe - 3, Sprint Canoe - 18, BMX - 2, Mountain Biking - 2, Road Cycling - 3, Track Cycling - 8, Diving - 9, Equestrian - 2, Fencing - 10, Field Hockey - 16, Golf - 4, Artistic Gymnastics - 10, Rhythmic Gymnastics - 6, Trampoline - 4, Judo - 6, Modern Pentathlon - 4, Rowing - 25, Sailing - 13, Shooting - 22, Skateboarding - 2, Sport Climbing - 6, Swimming - 42, Table Tennis - 6, Taekwondo - 6, Tennis - 7, Triathlon - 1, Indoor Volleyball - 12, Beach Volleyball - 4, Water Polo - 11, Weightlifting - 6, Wrestling - 11)

[hckošice 16,613]

6 months to go, and still only 13 quotas

 

 

No worries Slovak sport is doing fine, no worries, they say...

 

Edited January 26, 2024 by hckošice

[Adriano 836]

13 minutes ago, hckošice said:

6 months to go, and still only 13 quotas

 

 

No worries Slovak sport is doing fine, no worries, they say...

 

Beyond M4-500 what was your biggest lost? Where you will gain also more quotas? What  is your Expedition?

[hckošice 16,613]

13 minutes ago, Adriano said:

Beyond M4-500 what was your biggest lost?

Salkazanov

 

and at lesser extent Sagan (MTB) and Mokošová, but nothing can equal the canoeing sprint K4 fiasco, nothing.

 

13 minutes ago, Adriano said:

Where you will gain also more quotas?

Next edition when we will be a Tripartite country I guess...

 

13 minutes ago, Adriano said:

What  is your Expedition?

Less than 30 for sure, do not see how we will be even able to come close to our smallest team ever from Tokyo. the declining downward trajectory games after games is pretty clear, but that´s the reality... maybe we will need to change continent

Edited January 26, 2024 by hckošice

[Adriano 836]

14 minutes ago, hckošice said:

Salkazanov

 

and at lesser extent Sagan (MTB) and Mokošová, but nothing can equal the canoeing sprint K4 fiasco, nothing.

 

Next edition when we will be a Tripartite country I guess...

 

Less than 30 for sure, do not see how we will be even able to come close to our smallest team ever from Tokyo. the declining downward trajectory games after games is pretty clear, but that´s the reality... maybe we will need to change continent

And new disciplines  probably in LA is not for your country also?;( no C2 canoe slalom etc.