Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day

rafalgorka · October 26, 2023

Day 13 Thu 08.08

218. ATHLETICS - W Long Jump

1. Ivana Vuleta SRB

2. Malaika Mihambo GER

3. Alina Rotaru-Kottmann ROU

Vuleta winning quite easily. Mihambo back after injury but can't get close to Vuleta.

219. ATHLETICS - M Javelin Throw

1. Neeraj Chopra IND

2. Jakub Vadlejch CZE

3. Julian Weber GER

Tough victory for Chopra. Vadlejch leading until last round but massive 6th throw by Chopra and he gets his 2nd olympic gold. Two other Indian athletes in top 8. Pakistani Nadeem 7th.

220. ATHLETICS - M 200m

1. Noah Lyles USA

2. Letsile Tebogo BOT

3. Zharnel Hughes GBR

Lyles close to Bolt WR. Hughes wins bronze by 0,01 sec. Erriyon Knighton USA 4th.

221. ATHLETICS - W 400m Hurdles

1. Femke Bol NED

2. Rushell Clayton JAM

3. Shamier Little USA

When Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone says she will run 400m flat in Paris, Bol is an overwhelming favourite and she wins this one very easily, her 2nd gold in Paris after mixed relay.

222. ATHLETICS - M 110m Hurdles

1. Grant Holloway USA

2. Hansle Parchment JAM

3. Shunsuke Izumiya JPN

Holloway well under 12.90. Izumiya with massive Japanese NR.

223. BOXING - W 54kg

1. Chang Yuan CHN

2. Stanimira Petrova BUL

3. Charley Davison GBR

3. Preeti Pawar IND

Huge controversy in boxing. Chinese wins but Bulgarians and almost every other in the arena are protesting loudly.

224. BOXING - M 51kg

1. Hasanboy Dusmatov UZB

2. Billal Bennama FRA

3. Thitisan Panmot THA

3. Federico Serra ITA

This time a deserved win for UZB.

225. CANOE SPRINT - M C2 500m

1. Germany

2. Spain

3. China

Germany well ahead. Romania 4th.

226. CANOE SPRINT - M K4 500m

1. Germany

2. Hungary

3. Australia

Germany wins but this race is a bit disappointing. Everything is so quick. Almost everybody say they miss K4 1000m event. A group of Czech and Slovak fans with a big sign: "Bring back 1000!".

227. CANOE SPRINT - W C2 500m

1. China

2. Canada

3. Spain

China wins this one. Now every gold is crucial in this CHN vs USA overall medal table rivalry.

228. CANOE SPRINT - W K4 500m

1. New Zealand

2. Poland

3. China

Lisa Carrington wins her 6th olympic gold medal. Medal #9 for Poland in Paris. And we have also a men's volleyball team in medal so we are in the double digits!

229. DIVING - M 3m Springboard

1. Wang Zongyuan CHN

2. Osmar Olvera MEX

3. Andrew Capobianco USA

Second Chinese surprisingly out in the semis, after some massive errors. Can it happen in the real world?

230. HOCKEY - M Tournament

1. Germany

2. Netherlands

3. Belgium

Australia 4th.

231. SAILING - M Kite

1. Maximilian Maeder SGP

2. Axel Mazella FRA

3. Riccardo Pianosi ITA

232. SAILING - W Kite

1. Lauriane Nolote FRA

2. Eleanor Aldridge GBR

3. Gisela Pulido ESP

233. SPORT CLIMBING - M Speed

1. Bassa Mawem FRA

2. Samuel Watson USA

3. Matteo Zurloni ITA

What a shocking competition, many say. CHN and INA athletes very surprisingly out of Top 4. Marcin Dzieński POL the same.

234. SWIMMING - W 10km Marathon

1. Leonie Beck GER

2. Sharon van Rouwendaal NED

3. Katie Grimes USA

235. TAEKWONDO - M 68kg

1. Bradly Sinden GBR

2. Ulugbek Rashitov UZB

3. Zaid Abdul Kareem JOR

3. Jin Ho-jun KOR

236. TAEKWONDO - W 57kg

1. Luo Zongshi CHN

2. Jade Jones GBR

3. Lo Chia-ling TPE

3. Luana Marton HUN

237. TRACK CYCLING - M Omnium

1. Benjamin Thomas FRA

2. Elia Viviani ITA

3. Iuri Leitao POR

Great competition between Thomas and Viviani.

238. TRACK CYCLING - W Keirin

1. Lea Friedrich GER

2. Martha Bayona COL

3. Ellesse Andrews NZL

This is a great day for Germany in Paris. 5th gold for them. I told you, second half of the games will be better for them.

239. WEIGHTLIFTING - W 59kg

1. Kamila Konotop UKR

2.Kuo Hsing-chun TPE

3. Yenny Alvarez COL

No Chinese athlete in this category.

240. WEIGHTLIFTING - M 73kg

1. Rahmat Erwin Abdullah INA

2. Weeraphon Wichuma THA

3. Masanori Miyamoto JPN

No Chinese here, either.

241. WRESTLING GRECO-ROMAN - M 67kg

1. Luis Orta CUB

2. Hasrat Jafarov AZE

3. Joni Khetsuriani GEO

3. Mate Nemes SRB

242. WRESTLING GRECO-ROMAN - M 87kg

1. David Losonczi HUN
2. Ali Cengiz TUR

3. Zhan Beleniuk UKR

3. Jalgasbay Berdimuratov UZB

Losonczi wins over Istvan Takacs in an internal Hungarian battle which is quite controversial. But then he quiets the opponents winning gold in Paris. Only 3rd gold for Hungary so far, maybe I should check my predictions for Hungarian favourites once again.

243. WRESTLING FREESTYLE - W 53kg

1. Akari Fujinami JPN

2. Lucia Yepez ECU

3. Emma Malmgren SWE

3. Antim Panghal IND

rafalgorka · October 26, 2023

Partial medal table in the end of day 13 (243 events, without M Football bronze medalists and Boxing W 57kg, M 75 kg bronze medalists)

34-22-20---76

29-37-24---90

20-10-16---46

19-17-18---54

13-12-11---36

12-13-10---35

11-8-11---30

10-8-6---24

8-12-12---32

5-8-2---15

5-7-12---24

5-7-8---20

4-7-5---16

4-2-4---10

4-0-4---8

3-3-3---9

3-2-5---10

3-2-1---6

3-1-7---11
3-0-3---6

2-4-3---9

2-4-1---7

2-3-8---13

2-2-4---8

2-2-2---6

2-1-7---10

2-1-3---6

2-1-2---5

2-0-1---3

2-0-0---2

1-4-3---8

1-3-1---5

1-2-4---7

1-2-3---6

1-2-2---5

:INA 1-2-0---3

1-1-3---5

1-1-2---4

1-1-1---3

1-1-0---2

1-0-2---3

1-0-1---2

1-0-0---1

:MAR 1-0-0---1

:SGP 1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

0-3-1---4

0-2-1---3

0-1-3---4

0-1-2---3

0-1-1---2

0-1-0---1

:BOT 0-1-0---1

:ECU 0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-0-3---3

0-0-2---2

0-0-1---1

:CPV 0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

Edited October 26, 2023 by rafalgorka

rafalgorka · October 26, 2023

On 10/25/2023 at 5:23 PM, Prakash_k said:

How is this sport in term of predictability? Indonesian are very much sure about kusuma dewi gold

Like @phelps said noone can't be very sure of anything in the event.

Maybe I am biased here as a Pole but I predict a gold medal for Poland here. Ola Mirosław is WR holder, but she made a huge error in 2023 WCH semi and she lost 2023 European Games final to Natalia Kałucka. Kusuma is a World Champion. So you never know... I predict it will be a close battle. Mirosław can win but she can be out of medals, like Iga Świątek. On the other hand, Natalia Kałucka or her twin sister Aleksandra can get a medal for Poland in Paris as well. We will see...

rafalgorka · October 26, 2023

@Prakash_k i am very interested in your wrestling greco-roman predictions...

rafalgorka · October 27, 2023

Day 13 Thu 08.08 ctd.

BOXING - bronze medalists

W 75kg Lovlina Borgohain IND, Tammara Thibeault CAN

M 57kg Javier Ibanez Diaz BUL, Jahmal Harvey USA

TEAM SPORTS:

M FOOTBALL - Bronze Medal Game:

:BRA beats :ARG on penalties

M BASKETBALL semis:

:USA beats :CAN

:FRA beats :SRB

W HANDBALL semis:

:FRA beats :DEN

:NOR beats :SWE

W VOLLEYBALL semis:

:TUR beats :SRB 3-2 match for ages

:USA beats :BRA

W WATER POLO semis:

:NED beats :ESP

:HUN beats :USA - probably biggest sensation in team sports so far. US is vulnerable in W Water Polo, they showed it 2023 WCH and now HUN team makes a sensational win as well, rather bigger sensation than ITA win vs USA in WCH. Is this one of these events where US lose gold which eventually leave them behind China in final medal table? Or they will catch China in the final weekend??? Stay tuned.

Edited October 27, 2023 by rafalgorka

rafalgorka · October 27, 2023

Medal table in the end of day 13 (243 events PLUS M Football bronze medalists and Boxing W 57kg, M 75 kg bronze medalists)

34-22-20---76

29-37-25---91

20-10-16---46

19-17-18---54

13-12-11---36

12-13-10---35

11-8-11---30

10-8-6---24

8-12-12---32

5-8-3---16

5-7-12---24

5-7-8---20

4-7-6---17

4-2-4---10

4-0-4---8

3-3-4---10

3-2-5---10

3-2-1---6

3-1-7---11
3-0-3---6

2-4-3---9

2-4-1---7

2-3-8---13

2-2-4---8

2-2-2---6

2-1-7---10

2-1-3---6

2-1-2---5

2-0-1---3

2-0-0---2

1-4-3---8

1-3-1---5

1-2-4---7

1-2-3---6

1-2-2---5

:INA 1-2-0---3

1-1-3---5

1-1-2---4

1-1-1---3

1-1-0---2

1-0-2---3

1-0-1---2

1-0-0---1

:MAR 1-0-0---1

:SGP 1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

0-3-1---4

0-2-1---3

0-1-3---4

0-1-2---3

0-1-1---2

0-1-0---1

:BOT 0-1-0---1

:ECU 0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-0-3---3

0-0-2---2

0-0-1---1

:CPV 0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

rafalgorka · October 27, 2023

Day 14 Fri 09.08

33 gold medal events!!!

https://olympics.com/en/news/olympic-games-paris-2024-full-schedule-and-day-by-day-competitions

244. ATHLETICS - W 4x100m Relay (USA vs JAM W sprint drama ctd.)

245. ATHLETICS - W Shot Put

246. ATHLETICS - M 4x100m Relay

247. ATHLETICS - W 400m

248. ATHLETICS - M Triple Jump

249. ATHLETICS - W Heptathlon

250. ATHLETICS - W 10,000m

251. ATHLETICS - M 400m Hurdles

252. BEACH VOLLEYBALL - M or W Tournament (I'd say W...)

253. BOXING - W 50kg - Buse Cakiroglu TUR vs Wu Yu CHN

254. BOXING - W 66kg - Busenaz Surmeneli TUR vs Yang Liu CHN

255. BOXING - M 71kg - Sewon Okazawa JPN vs Vahid Abasov SRB

256. BOXING - M 92kg - Aziz Abbes Mouhidiine ITA vs Julio Cesar La Cruz CUB

257. BREAKING - W Ind.

258. CANOE SPRINT - M K2 500m

259. CANOE SPRINT - W C1 200m

260. CANOE SPRINT - W K2 500m

261. DIVING - W 3m Springboard

262. FOOTBALL - M Tournament (final: FRA vs ESP)

263. HOCKEY - W Tournament (bronze medal game: GER vs ARG; gold medal game: NED vs AUS)

264. RHYTHMIC GYMNASTICS - W Ind. All-Around

265. SPORT CLIMBING - M Boulder/Lead

266. SWIMMING - M 10km Marathon

267. TABLE TENNIS - M Team

268. TAEKWONDO - M 80kg

269. TAEKWONDO - W 67kg

270. TRACK CYCLING - M Sprint

271. TRACK CYCLING - W Madison

272. WEIGHTLIFTING - M 89kg

273. WEIGHTLIFTING - W 71kg

274. WRESTLING FREESTYLE - M 57kg

275. WRESTLING FREESTYLE - M 86kg

276. WRESTLING FREESTYLE - W 57kg

And there will be a bronze-medal game in FOOTBALL - W Tournament AUS vs NED

and a bronze-medal game in VOLLEYBALL - M Tournament BRA vs USA

Other Team Sports:

BASKETBALL - W Semis USA vs AUS and FRA vs CHN

HANDBALL - M Semis FRA vs GER and DEN vs EGY

WATER POLO - M Semis HUN vs ESP and GRE vs ITA

Edited October 27, 2023 by rafalgorka

rafalgorka · October 27, 2023

After end of Day 16 I will come back to square one and try to do sth like this (with my prediction updates)...

Or i won't do that because I won't have time or I will get bored with this thread, who knows...

Day 1 Sat 27.07

1. DIVING - W Synchro 3m Springboard

1. China Q

2. United States

3. Great Britain Q

4. Italy Q

5. Mexico

6. Canada

7. Australia

8. France Q

Similar results to 2023 WCH, but this time USA will be able to repeat their qualifying score in the final

Edited October 27, 2023 by rafalgorka

MagyarBabu · October 27, 2023

DAY 13 - August 8th

DIVING - Men's 3m Springboard

1. :CHN Z. Wang

2. :CHN D. Long

3. :MEX O. Olivera

ATHLETICS - Women's Long Jump

1. :JAM A. Smith

2. :ITA L. Iapichino

3. :SRB I. Vuleta

ATHLETICS - Men's Javelin Throw

1. :IND N. Chopra

2. :CZE J. Vadlejch

3. :GRN A. Peters

ATHLETICS - Men's 200m

1. :USA N. Lyles

2. :BOT L. Tebogo

3. :UGA T.G. Orogot

ATHLETICS - Women's 400m Hurdles

1. :NED F. Bol

2. :JAM R. Clayton

3. :USA S. Little

ATHLETICS - Men's 110 Hurdles

1. :JAM R. Broadbell

2. :JAM H. Parchment

3. :USA G. Holloway

BOXING - Women's 57kg

1. :FRA A. Zidani

2. :BUL S. Staneva

3. :ITA I. Testa :KAZ K. Ibragimova

BOXING - Men's 51kg

1. :KAZ S. Bibossinov

2. :ESP M. Molina Salvador

3. :MAR S. Mortaji :UZB H. Dusmatov

CANOE SPRINT - Women's C2 500m

1. :CHN P.R. of China

2. :ESP Spain

3. :CAN Canada

CANOE SPRINT - Men's C2 500m

1 :GER Germany

2. :ESP Spain

3. :FRA France

CANOE SPRINT - Women's K4 500m

1. :POL Poland

2. :NZL New Zealand

3. :AUS Australia

CANOE SPRINT - Men's k4 500m

1. :UKR Ukraine

2. :GER Germany

3. :HUN Hungary

SAILING - Women's Kitesurf

1. :FRA L. Nolot

2. :GBR E. Aldridge

3. :USA D. Moroz

SAILING - Men's Kitesurf

1. :SLO T. Vodišek

2. :FRA A. Mazella

3. :SGP M. Maeder

FIELD HOCKEY - Men

1. :BEL Belgium

2. :GER Germany

3. :AUS Australia

SPORT CLIMBING - Men's SPrint

1. :CHN P. Wu

2. :KAZ R. Khaibullin

3. :INA V. Leonardo

SWIMMING - Women's 10km Marathon

1. :GER L. Beck

2. :FRA C.L. Jouisse

3. :NED S. Van Rouwendaal

WRESTLING - Men's Greco-Roman 67kg

1. :AZE H. Jafarov

2. :IRI M.A. Geraei

3. :GEO J. Khetsurani :KGZ A. Ismailov

WRESTLING - Men's Greco-Roman 67kg

1. :SRB Z. Datunashvili

2. :TUR A. Cengiz

3. :IRI N. Alizadeh :HUN D. Losonczi

WRESTLING - Women's Freestyle 53kg

1. :JPN A. Fujinami

2. :ECU L. Yépes

3. :USA D. Parrish :IND A. Panghal

TAEKWONDO - Women's -57kg

1. :CHN Z. Luo

2. :GBR J. Jones

3. :TUR H.K. İlgün :TPE L. Chia-Ling

TAEKWONDO - Men's -68kg

1. :KOR H.J. Jin

2. :GBR B. Sinden

3. :TUR H. Recber :UZB U. Rashitov

MagyarBabu · October 27, 2023

TRACK CYCLING - Women's Keirin

1. :COL M. Bayona

2. :GER L. Friedrich

3. :NZL E. Andrews

TRACK CYCLING - Men's Omnium

1. :FRA B. Thomas

2. :GBR O. Wood

3. :POR I. Leitão

WEIGHTLIFTING - Women's 59kg

1. :CHN S. Luo

2. :UKR K. Konotop

3. :NGR R.F. Lawal

WEIGHTLIFTING - Men's 73kg

1. :THA W. Wichuma

2. ~~A. Churkin~~

3. :KOR J. Bak

Edited October 27, 2023 by MagyarBabu

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