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General (15)
1 - Pacific Island nations in Oceania (including New Zealand, not Australia) will win more medals than Caribbean nations. 4
2 - At least six south american nations will medal. 12
3 - At least two NOCs will win their first olympic medal.
4 - Mexico will finish higher than Colombia in the medal table. 6
5 - At least two of these NOCs (which haven't won a medal since Sydney 2000 or before) will medal again in Paris 2024: Barbados, Costa Rica, Guyana, Haiti, Iraq, Lebanon, Luxembourg, Mozambique, Pakistan, Peru, Sri Lanka, Suriname, Tanzania, Tonga, Uruguay, US Virgin Islands, Zambia.
6 - Will Italy and the Netherlands win more total gold medals than France.
7 - Will Ethiopia finish in the top 20 of the medal count? (Tie for 20th =Yes). 11
8 - At least one individual podium from Tokyo 2020 will be repeated (same people in the same positions).
9 - At least one individual medallist from Beijing 2008 will win an individual medal.
10 - Baltic countries (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania) will win a combined total of 10 or more medals. 10
11 - Denmark will end with 5 (all-time best) or more Gold medals. 10
12 - Bosnia&Herzegovina or Albania will win their first Olympic medal.
13 - Hong Kong will finish above Chinese Taipei on the Medal Table. 3
14 - Indonesia and Thailand will be only two countries/NOCs from Southeast Asia that will win gold medals from this region. 5
15 - Top three Asian nations at the overall medal table placement: China, Japan, South Korea. 11
Aquatics - Diving (2)
16 - North Korea will win at least one medal. 7
17 - The four chinese synchronized teams will win with at least 172 points in total to their opponents in second places in the four synchronized events. For comparison the chinese synchronized teams have won with 173,58 points (WCH 2023) and 170,86 points (WCH 2024).
Aquatics - Swimming (8)
18 - Australia will win more gold medals than the USA.
19 - Summer McIntosh will win four or more medals.
20 - The winner of the women's 100m Backstroke will go under 57 seconds.
21 - Leon Marchand will win 2 or more gold medals.
22 - One of Caeleb Dressel, Kristof Milak or Adam Peaty will win an individual gold medal. 8
23 - An athlete will make a false start during one of the finals sessions. 12
24 - Australia will win a medal in all 7 relays. 10
25 - There will be a podium consisting of only junior swimmers (all born in 2006 or younger). 12
Aquatics - Synchronized Swimming (1)
26 - At least one NOC will win its first Olympic medal.
Aquatics - Water Polo (2)
27 - The USA women's team will lose a match.
28 - Only one nation will reach the semifinals in both competitions.
Archery (2)
29 - At least one non-Asian country will win a gold medal in any event.
30 - South Korea will only win one gold medal. 3
Athletics (10)
31 - Men’s 100m- These three USA sprinters (N.Lyles/K.Bednarek/F.Kerley) will reach the final .
32 - Italy will win at least 5 medals.
33 - Canada will win both hammer throw events.
34 - Norway will be in the top 5 of medal table.
35 - Only one athlete will defend his/her Tokyo gold medal (relays excluded). 6
36 - Eritrea will win at least one medal. 10
37 - Ukraine will win more than one medal in women's high jump.
38 - At least one of the medal winners in any relay will later be disqualified due to a wrong exchange or crossing the line to another lane.
39 - France will win more gold medals than Great Britain .
40 - Finland will win more medals than Sweden. 9
Badminton (2)
41 - Three seeded players will be eliminated in the group stage.
42 - Gregoria Tunjung will win a medal.
Basketball (2)
43 - Men's Tournament - United States will lose the gold medal match. 6
44 - Women's Tournament - Two different continents will be represented in the gold medal match. 6
Basketball 3x3 (2)
45 - Women's Tournament - The podium will consist of NOCs from three different continents. 1
46 - Men's Tournament - There will be one NOC who will win all its matches in the group stage.
Boxing (3)
47 - Ireland will be the NOC who will win most medals among European NOCs.
48 - Cuba will fail to win any medal. 2
49 - Australia will win more than 1 medal.
Breakdance (2)
50 - B-Girls event- D. Bancevic (LTU) (B-Girl Nicka) or A. Fukushima (JPN) (B-Girl Ayumi) will win the gold medal.
51 - B-Boys event- The final matchup will be P. Kim (CAN) (B-Boy Phil Wizard) vs. V. Montalvo (USA) (B-Boy Victor). 1
Canoeing - Slalom (2)
52 - At least 2 non-European NOCs will win a medal. 3
53 - In either women's W K1 & W C1, at least one winner of the qualification will fail to advance to the final from semifinal. 3
Canoeing - Sprint (2)
54 - In at least one of the K1-events for women or men, a NOC will win gold and silver. 4
55 - Germany will top the medal table.
Cycling - BMX (2)
56 - France will have all three male riders in the BMX racing Olympic final.
57 - United States will win 1 medal or less in the BMX freestyle events.
Cycling - Mountain Bike (2)
58 - Switzerland will win at least one gold and silver medal. 7
59 - A non-European NOC will win at least one medal. 7
Cycling - Road (2)
60 - Men's - The Benelux-countries (Belgium, Luxembourg and Netherlands) will win at least 3 medals. 4
61 - Women's - There will be 3 different NOCs on the podium in the women's road race. 4
Cycling - Track (3)
62 - Harrie Lavreysen will not lose a single race/heat (including qualification and knockout) in the individual spint.
63 - France will not win gold medal.
64 - European NOCs will win at least 9 out of the 12 medals in the sprint events for both men and women, individual and team. 2
Equestrian (2)
65 - At least two out of the three defending Olympic gold medallist in the three team events from Tokyo 2020 will defend their gold medals.
66 - The medalists in the individual dressage event will also win a medal in the team dressage event. 8
Fencing (3)
67 - Team events - At least one of the African NOC's will win its quarterfinal match and advance to a semfinal. 6
68- Individual events - At least 2 out of the 6 individual 2023 world champions will win gold.
69 - Either France, Hungary, Italy or fencers from these NOCs will be presented at every podium. 1
Field Hockey (2)
70 - The top scorer of the women's competition will be a dutch player. 5
71 - Great Britain will win a medal (men's or women's).
Football (2)
72 - Spain will at least win either the women's or men's gold medal. 9
73 - At least one player born 2000 or before will receive a red card in the men's tournament. 1
Golf (1)
74 - USA will not win a medal in either women's or men's event. 2
Gymnastics - Artistic (3)
75 - At least two NOCs will win their first Olympic medal.
76 - Men's - Daiki Hashimoto will be the only male gymnasts to defend an olympic title in one of the individual events.
77 - Women's - Qiu Qiyuan will win at least two medals in the apparatus events.
Gymnastics - Rhythmic (1)
78 - Bulgaria will defend their Olympic title in the team event. 7
Gymnastics - Trampoline (1)
79 - China will win gold in both men's and women's event.
Handball (2)
80 - Men's - France will defend its Olympic gold from Tokyo 2020.
81 - Women's - France will not make the final.
Judo (3)
82 - At least one athlete will win gold by winning all fights by Ippon.
83 - France will win more gold medals than Japan. 6
84 - Japan will win the team event.
Modern Pentathlon (2)
85 - Egypt will fail to win any medals in both men's and women's events. 7
86 - At least one of the two defending Olympic gold medallists (Joe Choong and Kate French) will defend their gold medal. 9
Rowing (2)
87 - Romania will win at least 5 medals.
88 - Netherlands will top the medal table.
Rugby Sevens (2)
89 - The women's final will feature Australia and New Zealand.
90 - At least one medal match will be decided in extra-time. 5
Sailing (3)
91 - France, Netherlands and Italy will be the top 3 NOCs in the medal table.
92 - Maximilian Maeder will win Singapore's first Olympic medal in Sailing. 6
93 - Great Britain will not win any medals in men's events. 4
Shooting (3)
94 - China will win Gold in 50% or more (7+ Gold) of the total events.
95 - India will win at least 3 medals.
96 - At least one NOC will win more than one medal in a single mixed team event.
Skateboard (2)
97 - Teenagers (age 19 or younger) will win every gold medal in the skateboarding events. 9
98 - There will not be a medalists from the Tokyo 2020-podiums in skateboarding street events that will be at the podiums in Paris 2024. 6
Sport Climbing (2)
99 - The women’s lead semi final will have more tops than the final. 12
100 - Men's speed climbing podium will consist of only Asian NOCs. 10
Surfing (2)
101 - A European NOC will win at least one medal. 5
102 - At least one medallist will have been through Round 2. 5
Table Tennis (2)
103 - Wang/Sun (CHN) will lose maximum one set during the mixed double tournament. 5
104 - France will be only non-Asian NOC to win a medal. 8
Taekwondo (2)
105 - The NOC to win most medals will at maximum win 3 medals in total.
106 - There will not be a NOC who will win two or more gold medals.
Tennis (2)
107 - At least one player (man or woman) that has never advanced further than the round of 16 at the French Open singles tournament will win a singles medal in Paris 2024. 10
108 - An unseeded team will make final in women's doubles event.
Triathlon (2)
109 - Mixed Relay event - The difference between the 1st-placed and 2nd-placed NOCs will be less than 12 seconds.
110 - France will win an individual medal in either men's or women's event. 8
Volleyball - Indoor (2)
111 - Men's - Poland will win at least a silver medal. 2
112 - A team from the Asian Volleyball Confederation will win a medal (men's or women's).
Volleyball - Beach (2)
113 - Women’s event- A North American duo (USA/CAN) will win the gold medal.
114 - Men’s event- Bryl/Losiak (POL) will advance further in the tournament than Diaz/Alayo (CUB)? (If both are eliminated at the same stage e.g. Round of 16, then “No” will count)
Weightlifting (2)
115 - United States will be placed 2nd in the medal table.
116 - At least two world records will be broken (snatch, clean and jerk or overall).
Wrestling (4)
117 - Kyrgyzstan will win at least one gold medal (first Olympic gold in their history).
118 - Freestyle - Albania will win a medal.
119 - Greco-Roman - At least 4 out 6 finals will be decided within a one point difference (Example: 2-1, 3-2... or 1-1, 2-2..etc.) . [YES
120 - Women's - Japan will win medals in at least 5 classes.
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