Dennis

17 event quotas (3x 500m/1000m/1500m/5000m, 2x 10000m/Mass Start + team pursuit), but only 9 skater quotas, so a maximum of 9 different Dutch male skaters can go to Beijing to compete. Today the national ice skating association (KNSB) has published how they will determine which 9 skaters will go. Once again, the Dutch association asked scientists from the University of Groningen to come up with these matrices. The matrix shows the selection order for the skater quotas, based on the distances on which the mathematicians believe the Dutch have the highest chance of earning a gold medal in Beijing. The top 6 highest ranked skaters in the final matrix will always go. It is very likely that the 7th and 8th highest ranked skater will also go and that the national association will select the number 9th based on who they think is the best fit for either the team pursuit or the mass start and who is not already part of the top 8 skaters. Selection order Men Women 1 #1 1.000m #1 5.000m 2 #1 5.000m #1 Mass Start 3 #1 1.500m #1 3.000m 4 #2 1.000m #2 3.000m 5 #1 10.000m #1 500m 6 #1 Mass Start #1 1.000m 7 #2 1.500m #1 1.500m 8 #1 500m #2 5.000m 9 #3 1.000m #2 1.500m 10 #3 1.500m #2 1.000m 11 #2 5.000m #3 3.000m 12 #2 10.000m #3 1.500m 13 #2 500m #3 1.000m 14 #3 5.000m #2 500m 15 #3 500m #3 500m For example, if we fill in the matrixes based the results of the national championships that were held in the last week of October, then they would select the following skaters: Selection order Men Women 1 Kai Verbij Irene Schouten 2 Jorrit Bergsma Irene Schouten 3 Thomas Krol Irene Schouten 4 Hein Otterspeer Antoinette de Jong 5 Jorrit Bergsma Jutta Leerdam 6 Bart Hoolwerf Jutta Leerdam 7 Kjeld Nuis Antoinette de Jong 8 Kai Verbij Sanne in 't Hof 9 Thomas Krol Ireen Wüst 10 Chris Huizinga Femke Kok 11 Patrick Roest Carlijn Achtereekte 12 Patrick Roest Jutta Leerdam 13 Dai Dai N'tab Ireen Wüst 14 Marwin Talsma Femke Kok 15 Hein Otterspeer Michelle de Jong Green = 100% sure based on results during trials, Yellow = very likely based on trials, but could potentially be replaced by another skater to improve the team pursuit/mass start team, Red = will probably be replaced, Black = not qualified based on trials, but can be manually selected by the national association. Grey = also fills in a higher spot in the matrix, so this result doesn't count

The video is unavailable for me. What race was it?

Exactly. Belgium for example has 6 quotas on the mens side but only 2 skaters to fill in those 6 spots (Swings/Vosté). Czech Republic has 7 quotas on the womens side, but only 2 skaters who will normally fill in those quotas (Sablikova/Zdrahalova) So on the womens side I foresee no issues, probably around 77-78 different skaters will fill in those quota. On the mens side, I think the total number will be around 87-90. That’s why I was wondering if they would use the unused quota from the women, but there is no rule about that.

97 different skaters won at least one spot for their NOC

Maximum number of athletes per NOC: Country Women Men Total 9 9 18 8 8 16 8 8 16 8 7 15 8 7 15 8 5 13 6 6 12 5 7 12 4 8 12 6 5 11 5 5 10 8 2 10 4 5 9 1 6 7 7 0 7 2 3 5 3 2 5 2 1 3 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 If all countries will use the maximum number of skaters, a total of 210 names will be sent to the IOC (108 women and 102 men), but the maximum number of qualification places is 166 (83 women and 83 men). That should not be too much of an issue on the women's side as 77 different skaters won a quota for their NOC. On the men's side however, I expect that the quota of 83 is too little. I'm curious to see what will happen in that situation. According to the rules, it could lead to a reduction of event quota on the 500m, 1.000m and 1.500m. @Benolympique

I prefer this system then. Of course it would be nice to see Denmark and New Zealand in the Olympics, but Russia 100% deserves to be there after the weird disqualification because they showed slightly too much skin.

You were quicker haha

Women's mass start quota: x1 x1 x2 x2 x1 x1 x2 x1 x2 x1 x2 x2 x1 x1 x1 x1 x2 Reserves: indeed qualified at last Sandrine Tas also won her first quota for Belgium after being 1st reserve on the women's 500m and 2nd reserve on the women's 1.000m

It looks as if Claudia Pechstein has qualified again on the mass start. She won her first Olympic medal in 1992 and will turn 50 three days after the mass start final in Beijing 2022.

And the guaranteed quotas for the men's 1.000m: x1 x3 x1 x1 x1 x1 x3 x2 x3 x2 x1 x1 The 10 quota based on time will be final after the B-Group later tonight.

The group with has not been decided yet. That will be exciting tomorrow with - and then - . All three countries need to win to be sure of the 1/4 finals.

Stolz just casually skating a sub 1:07 on the 1.000m at age 17 The previous junior world record was 1:07.76 skated by Koki Kubo. This makes Stolz one of the contenders for an Olympic medal.

It's very likely she will. However, if there's a skater who might get lapped if it will be a fast race, then I would bet my money on her. In that case, she would be disqualified.

Women's 1.500m quota so far as the top 20 in the ranking is fixed: x2 x3 x1 x1 x3 x2 x3 x1 x1 x2 x1 The 10 quota based on time will be final after the B-Group later tonight.

Men's quota on the 500m: x1 x2 x2 x1 x1 x2 x2 x3 x1 x2 x3 x2 x3 x3 x2 Reserves: Estonia now the 26th country with a secured quota.

It's very unlikely will qualify a team pursuit team on points, unless they finish and one of the following teams does not finish or gets disqualified: They will most likely not qualify on time. It would be a very lucky qualification because they get a lot of points just by starting in the A group. They should have been demoted to the B group twice, had it not been for the disqualification of the Russian team during World Cup 1 (for a very stupid reason btw), or the fall of the Japanese team last week.

Nooooo! He also got disqualified on Friday.

Great news! Did not expect this anymore!

MAX! Very weird finish though, after lap 53 I was 100% sure he wouldn't win anymore. Here there were also fireworks in my street

Not taking the quotas into account for the distances that will be skated tonight, we have a total of 25 countries already secured of at least one quota: In 2018, 29 different countries competed. Differences so far: No participation in 2018, but quota secured for 2022: Participated in 2018, no quota secured for 2022 (yet): will send its first ever skater to the Olympics (women's 500m) and no skater from had qualified since 1992 and now they qualified both a male and female speed skater. Marten Liiv will almost certainly qualify tonight for both men's 500 and 1.000m, so Estonia will be the 26th country added to the list. Loubineaud is now 2nd reserve on the men's 5.000m, 3rd on the men's 10.000m and 4th on the men's mass start. No reasonable hope for any of the other countries to qualify. I'm most disappointed by . They also don't have any talents coming up in the junior circuit.

Women's team pursuit quota, unless a miracle happens in the B-group:

Final quota men's mass start: x1 x1 x2 x2 x1 x1 x1 x1 x2 x2 x2 x2 x2 x1 x2 Host quota: x1 Reserves: Rule D.2.6 of the qualification document may be applied: Additional competitors for the Mass Start event, up to a maximum of 30 competitors, may be entered during Games time. Additional starting positions will then be made available to athletes who have been entered and participated in at least one (1) distance/event. The allocation of these additional starting positions will be done according to the Reserve list for the Mass Start event (as per D.2.5), with priority to NOCs without an already entered athlete in the Mass Start event However, the Belarussian guy has not qualified for any individual distance and have 0 quota on individual distances. So this rule may only be applied to Peter Michael who JUST missed out on a qualifying spot on the 5k and might fall out of the qualification spots after the B-group 1.500m later tonight.

Hoolwerf He got a lot of criticism, because he was 24th in the World Cup ranking on the mass start after 2/3 competitions. If he wouldn't be in the top 24 after the final competition today, the Netherlands would lose their maximum number of quota for men of 9. Got the pressure of a whole speed skating loving nation on his back and now he wins the final race!

Women's 1.000m quota for now. The top 20 of the Olympic qualification ranking is fixed. 10 more skaters will be added after the B-Group has finished. Qualified based on ranking: x3 x1 x2 x1 x2 x3 x2 x3 x1 x2

Roest finished 19th in the final ranking, which is enough, but still