Summer Olympic Games Los Angeles 2028 Simulation - with Chat GPT

[rafalgorka 1,808]

71. 

Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 3000 m Steeplechase Podium

🥇 Lamecha Girma (🇪🇹 Ethiopia) – 7:52.30 (Olympic Record)
🥈 Soufiane El Bakkali (🇲🇦 Morocco) – 7:53.40 (Season Best)
🥉 Simon Koech (🇰🇪 Kenya) – 7:54.85 (Personal Best)

72. 

Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 4×100 m Relay Podium

🥇 United States 🇺🇸 – 36.92 (Olympic Record)
🥈 Botswana 🇧🇼 – 37.10 (African Record)
🥉 Jamaica 🇯🇲 – 37.30 (Season Best)

73. 

Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 4×400 m Relay Podium

🥇 United States 🇺🇸 – 2:55.60 (Olympic Record)
🥈 Botswana 🇧🇼 – 2:55.95 (African Record)
🥉 Jamaica 🇯🇲 – 2:56.90 (Season Best)

74. 

Predicted LA 2028 Men’s High Jump Podium (Real-data based)

🥇 JuVaughn Harrison (🇺🇸 USA) – 2.39 m (Olympic Record)
🥈 Hamish Kerr (🇳🇿 New Zealand) – 2.37 m (National Record)
🥉 Woo Sang-hyeok (🇰🇷 South Korea) – 2.35 m (Season Best)

 

 

[rafalgorka 1,808]

Medal table 74/353

 

 0-1-0---1

 9-6-8---23

 2-3-0---5

 1-0-0---1

 8-2-6---15

 1-1-0---2

 15-6-4---25

 0-1-0---1

 0-0-1---1

 0-0-1---1

 1-1-0---2

 2-0-1---3

 1-3-3---7

 1-2-2---5

 1-0-0---1

 0-0-1---1

 0-0-1---1

 2-2-4---8

 1-3-1---5

 2-0-0---2

 3-6-2---11

 1-0-3---4

 0-1-3---4

 1-0-1---2

 5-1-1---7

 0-1-0---1

 0-2-3---5

 0-2-0---2

 2-0-1---3

 0-1-3---4

 0-1-2---3

 0-1-0---1

 2-1-0---3

 0-0-1---1

 1-0-0---1

 0-1-1---2

 0-1-0---1

 0-0-2---2

 1-1-1---3

 0-2-1---3

 11-21-16---46

 

TBC

[rafalgorka 1,808]

Event 75 – Men’s Pole Vault (LA 2028)

🥇 Gold – Armand Duplantis (SWE)

• Projected height: ~6.30 m (World & Olympic Record range)

• Why:

  • Already the dominant vaulter before 2025, and still winning Worlds in 2025.

  • At 28, he’s in the sweet spot for speed, strength, and timing.

  • Even a small improvement in approach speed + pole stiffness can add a few cm at this level.

  • Hard to rationally pick anyone else over him in 2028 if he’s healthy.

🥈 Silver – Emmanouil Karalis (GRE)

• Projected height: ~5.98–6.00 m (National Record territory)

• Why:

  • 2025 world silver puts him clearly in the “best of the rest” group.

  • Natural progression from mid-20s to 28 should add a few centimetres.

  • Technically efficient, good runway speed — exactly the profile of a 6.00 m guy in peak years.

🥉 Bronze – Kurtis Marschall (AUS)

• Projected height: ~5.92–5.95 m (Oceania Record territory)

• Why:

  • 2025 world bronze and a history of steady improvements.

  • At 30 he’s still in prime vault age; jumps in the high-5.8x to mid-5.9x range are plausible and medal-worthy.

  • It’s easy to see him as the “solid championship guy” who hits 5.90+ when it counts.

[rafalgorka 1,808]

Medal Table 75/353 

 

Spoiler

 

 0-1-0---1

 9-6-9---24

 2-3-0---5

 1-0-0---1

 8-2-6---15

 1-1-0---2

 15-6-4---25

 0-1-0---1

 0-0-1---1

 0-0-1---1

 1-1-0---2

 2-0-1---3

 1-3-3---7

 1-2-2---5

 1-1-0---2

 0-0-1---1

 0-0-1---1

 2-2-4---8

 1-3-1---5

 2-0-0---2

 3-6-2---11

 1-0-3---4

 0-1-3---4

 1-0-1---2

 5-1-1---7

 0-1-0---1

 0-2-3---5

 0-2-0---2

 2-0-1---3

 0-1-3---4

 0-1-2---3

 0-1-0---1

 2-1-0---3

 0-0-1---1

 1-0-0---1

 1-1-1---3

 0-1-0---1

 0-0-2---2

 1-1-1---3

 0-2-1---3

 11-21-16---46

 

TBC

 

 

[rafalgorka 1,808]

76. LA 2028 Podium Projection – Men’s Long Jump

Here’s the projected podium with marks and rationale:

Medal	Athlete	Nation	Projected Mark	Rationale
🥇 Gold	Mattia Furlani (ITA)	Italy 🇮🇹	8.50 m (Olympic Record)	At 23, still improving; with 8.39 in 2025 as baseline, and given ideal conditions + home-Games energy (for Europe/West), he could jump into 8.50 range.
🥈 Silver	Shi Yuhao (CHN)	China 🇨🇳	8.45 m	At 28, in his physical prime; likely to improve technique and consistency; 8.45 is realistic medal mark.
🥉 Bronze	Tajay Gayle (JAM)	Jamaica 🇯🇲	8.40 m	Veteran status, big-meet performer; may not improve much beyond 8.34 baseline, but remains strong for podium.

[rafalgorka 1,808]

Medal Table 76/353 

 

Spoiler

 

 0-1-0---1

 9-6-9---24

 2-3-0---5

 1-0-0---1

 8-2-6---16

 1-1-0---2

 15-7-4---26

 0-1-0---1

 0-0-1---1

 0-0-1---1

 1-1-0---2

 2-0-1---3

 1-3-3---7

 1-2-2---5

 1-1-0---2

 0-0-1---1

 0-0-1---1

 2-2-4---8

 1-3-1---5

 2-0-0---2

 4-6-2---12

 1-0-4---5

 0-1-3---4

 1-0-1---2

 5-1-1---7

 0-1-0---1

 0-2-3---5

 0-2-0---2

 2-0-1---3

 0-1-3---4

 0-1-2---3

 0-1-0---1

 2-1-0---3

 0-0-1---1

 1-0-0---1

 1-1-1---3

 0-1-0---1

 0-0-2---2

 1-1-1---3

 0-2-1---3

 11-21-16---46

 

TBC

 

Edited November 11 by rafalgorka

[rafalgorka 1,808]

Early thoughts after 76 events completed.

 

It is fun but it is nothing good at all, still better than GRACENOTE heh.

 

The main problem is ChatGPT is not using 2025 world championships / world cup results or 2025 top lists (swimming, athletics). Looks like their knowledge usually ends at mid-2024 and then it's all about predictions, even predicts on sth which happened already on real (like some of 2025 wch). That's disappointing. One has to teach it all the time to look after 2025 results...

Edited November 11 by rafalgorka

[rafalgorka 1,808]

@Fer GUA do you think Luis Grijalva is really a contender for a 5000m medal in LA???

 

What was his form in 2025 season???

Edited November 11 by rafalgorka

[rafalgorka 1,808]

I can see he DNS in 5000 event at 2025 WCH. You know why? @Fer GUA

[rafalgorka 1,808]

Chat GPT predicted Bronze for GBR in 800m. But who is Ben Pattie, anyone??? Is it a real athlete?

 

let’s assume they think there will be a Bronze for team GB due to a newcomer, a new unexpected talent, no-name. Sb like Patryk Dobek in Tokyo 2021

Edited November 11 by rafalgorka