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Prognoza - Igrzyska Los Angeles 2028 Road to LA 2028


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Otwieram wątek LA, jesteśmy po pierwszych MŚ w roku poolimpjjskim. Jakie są wasze aktualne oczekiwania na dziś - ile kwalifikacji / medali.

Edited by Sindo
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Macie może jakieś pierwsze przewidywania odnośnie wielkości składu w Los Angeles?  

 

Wrzuciłem swoje pierwsze, stanowczo zbyt optymistyczne i nie za bardzo przemyślane prognozy w wątku angielskojęzycznym. Może macie ochotę podzielić się swoimi prognozami - tu albo po angielsku?

 

Pozdrawiam

#TeamMoura-heywoodu

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4 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

Macie może jakieś pierwsze przewidywania odnośnie wielkości składu w Los Angeles?  

 

Wrzuciłem swoje pierwsze, stanowczo zbyt optymistyczne i nie za bardzo przemyślane prognozy w wątku angielskojęzycznym. Może macie ochotę podzielić się swoimi prognozami - tu albo po angielsku?

 

Pozdrawiam

Widzę, że las rąk, więc ja się podzielę swoją opinią :d

 

 

Badminton - 0 (nasza zapaść w badmintonie trwa i nie widać widoków na lepszą przyszłość. Pojawił się debel kobiet Hankiewicz/Marczak, ale ciężko oceniać pozytywnie ich szanse póki co)

 

Boks - 5-6 (4 kobiety i 2 mężczyzn)

 

Gimnastyka sportowa - 0 

 

Gimnastyka artystyczna - 6 (wierzę w naszą zbiorówkę i Lila Lewińska indywidualnie pewnie powinna się dostać)

 

Trampolina - 0 

 

Golf - 1 (Meronk)

 

Hokej na trawie - 0 (choć liczę, że mężczyźni zagrają w dobijaku)

 

Jeździectwo - 4 (drużyna WKKW i Sysojeva)

 

Judo - 3 (Szymańska, Pacut-Kłoczko/Kuczera + kwota kontynentalna)

 

Kajakarstwo górskie - 3 (Zwolińska w C1 i K1)

 

Kajakarstwo sprint - 14-18 (liczę na komplet, ale daję sobie jakiś margines błędu)

 

Kolarstwo BMX - 0

 

Kolarstwo górskie - 1 (ktoś u kobiet powinien być)

 

Kolarstwo szosowe - 5 (4 kobiety i mężczyzna)

 

Kolarstwo torowe - 7-11 (liczę na powtórkę z Paryża + jakaś drużyna na dochodzenie)

 

Koszykówka - 0 (drużyna mężczyzn może grać w dobijaku i być blisko awansu)

 

Koszykówka 3x3 - 4-8 (myślę, że przy zwiększonym limicie drużyn jedna drużyna to mus, a liczę na dwie)

 

Lekkoatletyka - 55-60 (liczę na 5 sztafet)

 

Łucznictwo - 1 (zawsze coś wpada)

 

Pięciobój nowoczesny - 2-4 (Na pewno Karbownik i jakiś mężczyzna na ten moment, jak poprawimy tor przeszkód to możemy liczyć na komplet)

 

Piłka nożna - 0 (przy zmniejszonym limicie mężczyzn szanse są minimalne)

 

Piłka ręczna - 0-14 (jestem pozytywnie nastawiony do kobiecej drużyny po ostatnim Euro, oby w ciągu tych 3 lat jeszcze bardziej się rozwinął nasz zespół, a jest szansa wejść z dobijaka)

 

Piłka wodna - 0 (nie ma co wyjaśniać)

 

Pływanie - 20-22 (jest sporo talentów i nowych twarzy, które mogą się zrobić minimum np. Mazurkiewicz, Leśniewska, Hlushchenko, jest też mająca już polskie obywatelstwo Justina Kozan, także myślę że razem z 4-5 sztafetami powinniśmy powyżej tych 20 osób wysłać)

 

Pływanie długodystansowe - 1-2 (U mężczyzn Piotr Woźniak, u kobiet Klaudia Tarasiewicz)

 

Pływanie synchroniczne - 0 (to nikogo nie zdziwi pewnie)

 

Podnoszenie ciężarów - 0-1 (może ktoś się wzbije na olimpijski poziom albo Zielińska ponownie na niego wskoczy, ale póki co nie zanosi się)

 

Rugby 7 - 0 (choć liczę na dobijak kobiet)

 

Siatkówka - 24 (też nie ma co wyjaśniać)

 

Siatkówka plażowa - 2-4 (Bryl/Łosiak i mam nadzieję Ciężkowska/Łunio)

 

Skateboarding - 0 

 

Skoki do wody - 2 (bardzo chciałbym jakiś synchon, ale obstawiam Łukaszewicza z 10 metrów i Błażowską albo Skrzek z trampoliny 3 metrowej)

 

Strzelectwo - 5-6 (klasycznie karabin kobiet i mężczyzn, pistolet kobiet + Bernal w trapie)

 

Szermierka - 13 (drużyny szpadzistek, florecistów, szablistek i Walczyk-Klimaszyk we florecie)

 

Taekwondo - 0 (przykre realia)

 

Tenis stołowy - 2-6 (Bajor i Redzimski powinni wejść, ale liczę też na drużynę)

 

Tenis ziemny - 6-7 (3 singlistki, 2 singlistów, 1 deblista + ew. 1 deblistka)

 

Triathlon - 1-2 (Słupek na pewno, jak zdrowie będzie to i Klimas może powalczyć)

 

Wioślarstwo - 8-12 (powinno być trochę lepiej niż w Paryżu)

 

Wspinaczka sportowa - 2 (Oczywiście na czas kobiet)

 

Zapasy - 5 (1 w klasyku, 2 kobiety, 2 w stylu wolnym)

 

Żeglarstwo - 10 (2x Windsurfing, ILCA6, 470 mikst, 2x 49er, Kite kobiet)

 

Realnie: 212 osób

Optymistycznie: 263

 

Potencjał mamy niewątpliwie na 230+, a takim celem powinno być przebicie wyniku z Paryża

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  • 2 weeks later...

Nie mamy systemów, ale wydaje się to co napisałeś bardzo rozsądnie. Uważam, że jeździectwo można zacząć asekuracyjnie jak ty. W judo uważam, że będzie jednak lepiej na pewno o 1 osobę (zastanawiam się czy Kuczera dociągnie). Optymistycznie te kajaki, choć czwórki z rankingiem mają szansę jeslk będzie takowy, oby kanadyjki dwójki nie zawiodły tym razem. Gimnastyka - zbiorówka idzie do przodu mocno w to wierzę. Przedstawię swoje na dniach. Dzięki za rozpoczęcie. Bardzo bym chciał emocje w ręcznej i dobijaki.

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