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Who is a lock to win a Gold Medal at the Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024

Timezone

By Timezone,
in Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024

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Timezone Apprentice

Timezone   27

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, dullard said:

They've misfired too many times to call them a lock.

They did break their own WR by over 1.5 seconds and beat 2nd place USA by over 4 seconds. Have current world record holder in 200m freestyle in Mollie O 'Callaghan and 3rd fastest swimmer ever in Ariarne Titmus (also owns fastest relay split ever) 

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Josh
Josh

I’m convinced that half of you don’t understand what a “lock” is    A lot of athletes/teams mentioned are favourites, but hardly locks. 

heywoodu
heywoodu

The main reason I'm hoping for her not to win   Nothing against her personally, but I do like to see champions not avoid every possible competition...

Makedonas
Makedonas

I don't think so. They didn't win a medal at the World Championships last year, and this year they won gold but had a few narrow wins.

dullard Collaborator

dullard   744

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Timezone said:

They did break their own WR by over 1.5 seconds and beat 2nd place USA by over 4 seconds. Have current world record holder in 200m freestyle in Mollie O 'Callaghan and 3rd fastest swimmer ever in Ariarne Titmus (also owns fastest relay split ever) 

It's true but I still feel uncomfortable calling this relay a lock given the history. One thing they have going for them is the relay doesn't clash with the 100 free anymore.

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nenad Collaborator

nenad   454

Posted
Posted
13 hours ago, intoronto said:

Is anything really guaranteed in sport? 

Well, I can guarantee you USA will win men's basketball gold. Because this is not an individual sport for something to happen to a favorite like a fall, or illness or something stupid. 

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mpjmcevoy Collaborator

mpjmcevoy   375

Posted
Posted
4 hours ago, heywoodu said:

But there is just no way they are anywhere near a 'lock' for gold, with the rise back to the top of the Australians, the Brits who always have something extra at the Olympics and Hoogland who is going down rather than up.

I agree, although I wonder if the BritSurge was more specifically about Jason Kenny than GB sprinters in general - Hoy ruled the roost the whole time when he was on top, as did Vicky Pendleton in a kind of dual monarchy with Anna Meares. It was Kenny who had the unusual talent for peaking. That said, the dutch sprinters are alien-level good at the moment, even if Hoogland is on the downslope.

 

FWIW, I can see the Brit WOMEN sprinters doing a worldie behind Finucane, who already looks a  generational talent, maybe even more than Becky James (who GBR have sorely missed the last two cycles)

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mpjmcevoy   375

Posted
Posted
44 minutes ago, nenad said:

Well, I can guarantee you USA will win men's basketball gold. Because this is not an individual sport for something to happen to a favorite like a fall, or illness or something stupid. 

Their bus could crash. Nothing, nothing is ever 100% locked. But yes, the USA men's team come close.

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mpjmcevoy Collaborator

mpjmcevoy   375

Posted
Posted
12 hours ago, mattiekav119 said:

Dare I say Faith Kipyegon :KEN

She's a legend and a super hot favourite, but no way is she a lock - too many good 1500m runners who could have 'that' day in, say, a wet race.

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Timezone Apprentice

Timezone   27

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, nenad said:

Well, I can guarantee you USA will win men's basketball gold. Because this is not an individual sport for something to happen to a favorite like a fall, or illness or something stupid. 

If Embiid doesn't play which is likely considered his injury history USA will find it hard to stop  Serbia who came 2nd in last year World Cup and have bonus of adding the best player in the world. 

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heywoodu Mentor

heywoodu   16,142

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, mpjmcevoy said:

I agree, although I wonder if the BritSurge was more specifically about Jason Kenny than GB sprinters in general - Hoy ruled the roost the whole time when he was on top, as did Vicky Pendleton in a kind of dual monarchy with Anna Meares. It was Kenny who had the unusual talent for peaking. That said, the dutch sprinters are alien-level good at the moment, even if Hoogland is on the downslope.

 

FWIW, I can see the Brit WOMEN sprinters doing a worldie behind Finucane, who already looks a  generational talent, maybe even more than Becky James (who GBR have sorely missed the last two cycles)

The Dutch sprinters have been better than they are now, so if there's one moment for them to be beaten, it's the Paris Olympics. Probably their last big thing in this team. Couple of years ago I'd have given them 90-95% or so, now I'd give it at best 75, which is far from a lock :p 

.

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