Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day

[rafalgorka 1,394]

Sure, nothing certain about Świątek. But I do hope you are wrong here.

 

This is W tennis anyway, so anything can happen.

Still I believe she can win this thing:

- it's on clay, she won RG 3 times before, we'll see how she plays in 2024 RG before the olympics,

- she will be focused on the olympics, she said many times before that this is an important tournament for her, her father was an olympian in Seoul in rowing (quadruple sculls) but they finished out of Final A (7th) and he was very dissapointed; when she lost to Badosa in Tokyo she was really disappointed, even crying on the court when the match ended.

 

But ofc:

- i believe this will be a tournament with majority of top players participating, i don't think many will skip it like it happened before, it's Paris, Roland Garros, maybe some players who are not good on clay will say no;

- even when she plays well at RG in June, it doesn't mean much - Radwańska was in Wimbledon final in 2012 and then she lost the 1st rd game against Julia Goerges; I love Aga, a big fan of her, probably I'm a bigger fan of Aga than Iga, but Aga seemed not to care about olympics too much, I still remember what she said in the interview after the match, she looked like she doesn't care;

- and sad thing is Iga refuses to play for Poland in the Fed Cup this season, which - if i remember correctly - is somehow mandatory when you want to play at the olympics (these rules are pretty complicated) but i hope she will be eligible to play in the end. She can be invited as the former Grand Slam champion, but i think it won't be necessary and Wozniacki will take this place.

 

Anyway, this is W tennis, this one can be won by a very random player.

Still, we don't have many bigger chances for gold in Paris than her (M volleyball, W speed sports climbing, M hammer throw (although it can be gold for CAN as you know)... so i hope you are wrong.

Edited October 11, 2023 by rafalgorka

[rafalgorka 1,394]

The same with M volleyball - nothing certain, even after such an awesome 2023 season for us. We can lose 6th QF in a row, obviously can happen, who knows.

 

W speed climbing - Ola Mirosław can beat WR after WR, but she can fail like in 2023 WCH SF.

 

M hammer throw - Nowicki will fight hard for a revenge after 2023 WCH loss, but Katzberg may be really strong again.

 

So we don't have anyone like Summer McIntosh, almost certain gold, in our team.

[MagyarBabu 86]

DAY 4 - July, 30th

 

 

 

ARTISTIC GYMNASTIC - Women's Team

1.  USA

2.  Great Britain

3.  Brazil

 

 

FENCING - Women's Team Epée

 

1.  France

2.  Poland

3.  R. of Korea

 

 

RUGBY SEVEN - Women

 

1.  France

2.  New Zealand

3.  Australia

 

 

SHOOTING - Air Pistol Mixed Team

 

1.  Germany

2.  Türkiye

2.  China 

 

 

JUDO - Women's -63kg

 

1.  C. Agbegnenou

2.  S. Özbas

3.  L. Fazliu  M. Horikawa

 

JUDO - Men's -81kg

 

1.  T. Grigalashvili

2.  M. Cassé

2.  S. Mollaei  S. Muki

 

 

SHOOTING - Men's Trap

 

1.  D.S. Mein

2.  Any Italian athlete

2.  R. Maček (biggest surprise of the Games)

 

 

TABLE TENNIS - Mixed Doubles

 

1.  P.R. of China

2.  Japan

3.  France

 

 

SURFING - Women

 

1.  C. Moore

2.  J. Defay

3.  T. Wright

 

SURFING - Men

 

1.  F. Toledo

2.  G. Colapinto

3.  L. Mesinas

 

 

SWIMMING - Women's 100m Backstroke

 

1.  K. McKewon

2.  R. Smith

3.  K. Berkoff

 

SWIMMING - Men's 800m Freestyle

 

1.  A. Hafnaoui

2.  S. Short

3.  D. Wiffen

 

SWIMMING - Men's 4x200 Freestyle

 

1.  USA

2.  Great Britain

3.  France

 

 

TRIATHLON - Men's Individual

 

1.  A. Yee

2.  L. Bergère

3.  V. Vilaça

 

 

 

Edited October 12, 2023 by MagyarBabu

[MagyarBabu 86]

MEDAL TABLE After DAY 4 (59/329)

 

 

 CHN  9-4-3

 FRA  8-6-6

 USA  6-11-6

 AUS  5-5-4

 JPN  5-5-1

 GBR  3-4-5

 GEO  3-0-0

 ITA  2-2-5

 GER  2-2-2

 KOR  2-1-1

 NZL  2-1-0

 TUN 2-0-0

 HUN 1-3-2

 BRA 1-1-2

 CAN 1-1-2

 BEL 1-1-0

 BUL 1-0-1

 GRE 1-0-1

 MGL 1-0-1

 LTU 1-0-0

 ROU 1-0-0

 SVK 1-0-0

 SUI 0-2-0

 KOS 0-1-2

 TUR 0-1-2

 NED 0-1-1

 DEN 0-1-0

 EGY 0-1-0

 FIJ 0-1-0

 MEX 0-1-0

 MDA 0-1-0

 POL 0-1-0

 SRB 0-1-0

 UZB 0-0-3

 CZE 0-0-2

 ISR 0-0-2

 SLO 0-0-2

 ARG 0-0-1

 AZE 0-0-1

 HKG 0-0-1

 IND 0-0-1

 IRI 0-0-1

 IRL 0-0-1

 KAZ 0-0-1

 PER 0-0-1

 POR 0-0-1

 RSA 0-0-1

 UKR 0-0-1

[rafalgorka 1,394]

When we combine Josh, MagyarBabu and my Day 1 results together it may look like that (still hoping sb joins us here):

1st place - 3 pts, 2nd place - 2 pts, 3rd place - 1 pt.

 

Day 1 Sat 27.07

 

1. DIVING - W Synchro 3m Springboard

 

CHN - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

USA - J 2 M 2 R 2 --- 6

GBR - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

CAN - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

 

2. FENCING - W Epee Ind

 

M Candassamy FRA - J 3 M 2 R 3 --- 7

V Kong HKG - J 0 M 0 R 2 --- 2

A Santuccio ITA - J 0 M 0 R 1 --- 1

S Yiwen CHN - J 2 M 0 R 0 --- 2

S Se-ra KOR - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

A Louis Marie FRA - J 0 M 3 R 0 --- 3

A Kun HUN - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

 

3. FENCING - M Sabre Ind

 

S Bazadze GEO - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

E Dershwitz USA - J 1 M 0 R 2 --- 3

A Szilagyi HUN - J 3 M 1 R 1 --- 5

B Apithy FRA - J 0 M 2 R 0 --- 2

 

4. JUDO - W -48kg

 

N Tsunoda / W Koga JPN - J 3 M 2 R 3 --- 8

A Scutto ITA - J 0 M 1 R 2 --- 3

S Boukli FRA - J 1 M 3 R 1 --- 5

M Nikolic SRB - J 2 M 0 R 1 --- 3

A Abuzhakynova KAZ - J 1 M 1 R 0 --- 2

 

5. JUDO - M -60kg

 

R Nagayama / N Takato JPN - J 3 M 0 R 3 --- 6

F Garrigos ESP - J 2 M 0 R 2 --- 4

D Baratov UZB - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

B Aghayev AZE - J 0 M 0 R 1 --- 1

L Ha-rim KOR - J 1 M 2 R 0 --- 3

D Khalmatov UKR - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

G Sardalashvili GEO - J 0 M 3 R 0 --- 3

A Enkhtaivan MGL - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

 

6. ROAD CYCLING - M Ind Time Trial

 

R Evenepoel BEL - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

T Pogacar SLO - J 0 M 0 R 2 --- 2

F Ganna ITA - J 2 M 1 R 1 --- 4

J Tarling GBR - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

S Kung SUI - J 0 M 2 R 0 --- 2

 

7. ROAD CYCLING - W Ind Time Trial

 

C Dygert USA - J 3 M 0 R 3 --- 6

D Vollering NED - J 0 M 2 R 2 --- 4

G Brown AUS - J 0 M 3 R 1 --- 4

M Reusser SUI - J 2 M 0 R 0 --- 2

E van Dijk / A Markus NED - J 1 M 1 R 0 --- 2

 

8. RUGBY SEVENS - M Tournament

 

FIJ - J 2 M 2 R 3 --- 7

NZL - J 3 M 3 R 2 --- 8

ARG - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

AUS - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

 

9. SHOOTING - Mixed Team 10m Air Rifle

 

CHN 1 - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

IND - J 1 M 0 R 2 --- 3

IRI - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

KOR - J 2 M 0 R 0 --- 2

CHN 2 - J 0 M 2 R 0 --- 2

 

10. SKATEBOARDING - M Street

 

A Giraud FRA - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

N Huston USA - J 3 M 2 R 2 --- 7

G Ribeiro POR - J 0 M 0 R 1--- 1

Y Horigome JPN - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

V Milou FRA - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

 

11. SWIMMING - M 400m Free

 

A Hafnaoui TUN - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

S Short AUS - J 3 M 2 R 2 --- 7

L Martens GER - J 1 M 0 R 1 --- 2

E Winnington AUS - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

 

12. SWIMMING - W 400m Free

 

A Titmus AUS - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

S McIntosh CAN - J 3 M 1 R 2 --- 6

K Ledecky USA - J 1 M 2 R 1 --- 4

 

13. SWIMMING - W 4x100m Free Relay

 

AUS - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

USA - J 2 M 2 R 2 --- 6

CHN - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

CAN - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

 

14. SWIMMING - M 4x100m Free Relay

 

AUS - J 2 M 2 R 3 --- 7

ITA - J 1 M 0 R 2 --- 3

GBR - J 0 M 3 R 1 --- 4

USA - J 3 M 1 R 0 --- 4

[Jinzha 538]

5 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

@Jinzha good for you!!! 

and what are the biggest Dutch medal chances on days 1-5???

I'd say the medal chances to look forward to so far for are: 

Day 1 - Ellen van Dijk and Demi Vollering (W individual time trial)

Day 2 - Puck Pieterse (W cross-country), Arno Kamminga (M 100m breast)

Day 3 - no big chances, but potentially Archery men team, Mathieu van der Poel (M cross-country), Maikel van der Vleuten (jumping), Tes Schouten (W 100m breast)

Day 4 - Joanne van Lieshout (Judo W -63 kg)

Day 5 - Sanne van Dijke (Judo W -70 kg), Marrit Steenbergen (W 100m free), men & women quadruple sculls

[MagyarBabu 86]

DAY 5, July 31st

 

 

 

ARTISTIC GYMNASTIC - Men's Ind. All-Around

 

1.  B. Zhang

2.  D. Hashimoto

3.  I. Kovtun

 

 

 

CANOE SLALOM - Women's C1

1.  ???G. Satková???

2.  J. Fox

3.  ???E. Lilik???

 

 

 

CYCLING BMX - Women's Freestyle

 

1.  H. Roberts

2.  S. Sun

3.  H. Zhou

 

CYCLING BMX - Men's Freestyle

 

1.  R. Nakamura

2.  L. Martin

3.  A. Jeanjean

 

 

 

FENCING - Men's Team Sabre

 

1.  Hungary

2.  R. of Korea

3.  Italy

 

 

 

DIVING - Women's 10m Syncro Platform

 

1.  P.R. of China

2.  USA

3.  Great Britain

 

 

 

JUDO - Women's -70kg

 

1.  L. Cvjetko

2.  S. Niizoe

3.  M. Butkereit  E. Teltsidou

 

JUDO - Men's -90kg

 

1.  L. Maisuradze

2.  D. Bobonov

3.  R. Macedo  M. Fatiyev

 

 

 

SHOOTING - Women's Trap

 

1.  F. Gálvez

2.  Z. Rehák-Štefečeková

3.  C. Lin Yi

 

 

 

TRIATHLON - Women's Individual

 

1.  B. Potter

2.  G. Taylor-Brown

3.  C. Beaugrand

 

 

 

ROWING - Women's Quadruple Scull

 

1.  Great Britain

2.  Netherlands

3.  Switzerland

 

ROWING - Men's Quadruple Scull

 

1.  Poland

2.  Netherlands

3.  Italy

 

 

 

SWIMMING - Women's 100m Freestyle

 

1.  M. O'Callaghan

2.  S. Sjöström

3.  S. Haughey

 

SWIMMING - Men's 200m Butterfly

 

1.  K. Milák

2.  L. Marchand

3.  K. Chmielewski

 

SWIMMING - Men's 200m Breastroke

 

1.  H. Qin

2.  Z. Stubblety-Cook

3.  Z. Dong

 

SWIMMING - Women's 1500m Freestyle

 

1.  K. Ledecky

2.  B. Li

3.  S. Quadarella

 

SWIMMING - Men's 100m Freestyle

 

1.  D. Popovici

2.  J. Alexy

3.  M. Richards

Edited October 12, 2023 by MagyarBabu

[MagyarBabu 86]

MEDAL TABLE After Day 5 (76/329)

 

 

 CHN 12-6-3

 USA  8-13-6

 FRA  8-7-8

 AUS 6-8-4

 JPN 6-7-1

 GBR 5-5-7

 GEO 4-0-0

 HUN 3-3-2

 ITA 2-2-8

 GER 2-2-4

 KOR 2-2-1

 NZL 2-1-0

 ROU 2-0-0

 TUN -

 BRA 1-1-3

 CAN 1-1-2

 POL 1-1-1

 BEL 1-1-0

 SVK -

 CZE 1-0-2

 GRE -

 BUL 1-0-1

 MGL -

 CRO 1-0-0

 LTU -

 ESP -

 NED 0-3-1

 SUI 0-2-1

 UZB 0-1-3

 KOS 0-1-2

 TUR -

 DEN 0-1-0

 EGY -

 FIJ   -

 MEX -

 MDA -

 SRB -

 SWE -

 AZE 0-0-2

 HKG -

 ISR -

 SLO -

 UKR -

 ARG 0-0-1

 TPE -

 IND -

 IRI -

 IRL -

 KAZ - 

 PER -

 POR -

 RSA -

 

 

 

 

 

[Prakash_k 38]

20 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

When we combine Josh, MagyarBabu and my Day 1 results together it may look like that (still hoping sb joins us here):

1st place - 3 pts, 2nd place - 2 pts, 3rd place - 1 pt.

 

Day 1 Sat 27.07

 

1. DIVING - W Synchro 3m Springboard

 

CHN - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

USA - J 2 M 2 R 2 --- 6

GBR - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

CAN - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

 

2. FENCING - W Epee Ind

 

M Candassamy FRA - J 3 M 2 R 3 --- 7

V Kong HKG - J 0 M 0 R 2 --- 2

A Santuccio ITA - J 0 M 0 R 1 --- 1

S Yiwen CHN - J 2 M 0 R 0 --- 2

S Se-ra KOR - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

A Louis Marie FRA - J 0 M 3 R 0 --- 3

A Kun HUN - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

 

3. FENCING - M Sabre Ind

 

S Bazadze GEO - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

E Dershwitz USA - J 1 M 0 R 2 --- 3

A Szilagyi HUN - J 3 M 1 R 1 --- 5

B Apithy FRA - J 0 M 2 R 0 --- 2

 

4. JUDO - W -48kg

 

N Tsunoda / W Koga JPN - J 3 M 2 R 3 --- 8

A Scutto ITA - J 0 M 1 R 2 --- 3

S Boukli FRA - J 1 M 3 R 1 --- 5

M Nikolic SRB - J 2 M 0 R 1 --- 3

A Abuzhakynova KAZ - J 1 M 1 R 0 --- 2

 

5. JUDO - M -60kg

 

R Nagayama / N Takato JPN - J 3 M 0 R 3 --- 6

F Garrigos ESP - J 2 M 0 R 2 --- 4

D Baratov UZB - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

B Aghayev AZE - J 0 M 0 R 1 --- 1

L Ha-rim KOR - J 1 M 2 R 0 --- 3

D Khalmatov UKR - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

G Sardalashvili GEO - J 0 M 3 R 0 --- 3

A Enkhtaivan MGL - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

 

6. ROAD CYCLING - M Ind Time Trial

 

R Evenepoel BEL - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

T Pogacar SLO - J 0 M 0 R 2 --- 2

F Ganna ITA - J 2 M 1 R 1 --- 4

J Tarling GBR - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

S Kung SUI - J 0 M 2 R 0 --- 2

 

7. ROAD CYCLING - W Ind Time Trial

 

C Dygert USA - J 3 M 0 R 3 --- 6

D Vollering NED - J 0 M 2 R 2 --- 4

G Brown AUS - J 0 M 3 R 1 --- 4

M Reusser SUI - J 2 M 0 R 0 --- 2

E van Dijk / A Markus NED - J 1 M 1 R 0 --- 2

 

8. RUGBY SEVENS - M Tournament

 

FIJ - J 2 M 2 R 3 --- 7

NZL - J 3 M 3 R 2 --- 8

ARG - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

AUS - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

 

9. SHOOTING - Mixed Team 10m Air Rifle

 

CHN 1 - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

IND - J 1 M 0 R 2 --- 3

IRI - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

KOR - J 2 M 0 R 0 --- 2

CHN 2 - J 0 M 2 R 0 --- 2

 

10. SKATEBOARDING - M Street

 

A Giraud FRA - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

N Huston USA - J 3 M 2 R 2 --- 7

G Ribeiro POR - J 0 M 0 R 1--- 1

Y Horigome JPN - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

V Milou FRA - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

 

11. SWIMMING - M 400m Free

 

A Hafnaoui TUN - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

S Short AUS - J 3 M 2 R 2 --- 7

L Martens GER - J 1 M 0 R 1 --- 2

E Winnington AUS - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

 

12. SWIMMING - W 400m Free

 

A Titmus AUS - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

S McIntosh CAN - J 3 M 1 R 2 --- 6

K Ledecky USA - J 1 M 2 R 1 --- 4

 

13. SWIMMING - W 4x100m Free Relay

 

AUS - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

USA - J 2 M 2 R 2 --- 6

CHN - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

CAN - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

 

14. SWIMMING - M 4x100m Free Relay

 

AUS - J 2 M 2 R 3 --- 7

ITA - J 1 M 0 R 2 --- 3

GBR - J 0 M 3 R 1 --- 4

USA - J 3 M 1 R 0 --- 4

Hoping for overall 3-4 medal for india in shooting.

[rafalgorka 1,394]

@MagyarBabu a gold for Poland in M Quadruple Sculls would be nice but i don't know how much possible it is...

 

Tokyo olympics 1. NED 2. GBR 3. AUS 4. POL

 

ECH 2022 1. ITA 2. POL 3. ROU

 

WCH 2022 1. POL 2. GBR 3. ITA

 

ECH 2023 1. POL 2. NED 3. ITA

 

WCH 2023 1. NED 2. ITA 3. POL

 

We will see... Hope you are right and I have underestimated them predicting only bronze here