Paris 2024 - Very Early Predictions - Event 1/329 - Swimming - Men's 400m Freestyle

[rafalgorka 1,522]

Here is some data to help with predictions

[rafalgorka 1,522]

In this poll I won't make the voters' names public. I wonder if there will be more or less votes because of that, comparing to Imaginary Summer Olympic Series.

[rafalgorka 1,522]

I know that this is not the best time for such a poll now, everybody's watching football now, but for me 4 football matches a day or +30 football matches in a row is too much for me... I need some diversity...

[rafalgorka 1,522]

Voting in this one ends on Dec 6th.

[dullard 699]

So much can change in swimming in two years making this really difficult.

 

Some other possible contenders:

 

Ahmed Hafnaoui (Olympic Champion who focused on study this year)

Thomas Neill (another 3:44 Australian whose season was ruined by a rough case of covid this year)

David Popovici (if he swims it he can't be dismissed as a contender for gold)

Lorenzo Galossi (fast rising Italian junior)

 

 

🥇Lorenzo Galossi

🥈Elijah Winnington

🥉Lukas Martens

 

 

Edited December 2, 2022 by dullard

[Dunadan 1,103]

Galossi for gold 😎

[rafalgorka 1,522]

@dullard thanks for your comment.

 

That's what I wanted from this series of polls.

That we will get some info on maybe not the most obvious and well-known Paris contenders.

 

If Galossi wins Gold in Event#1, how many swimming gold medals will Italy get in total after such a thing on Day1??? ;-)

 

Good luck against ARG, chances are small, but still bigger than POL has against FRA, I think.

Edited December 3, 2022 by rafalgorka

[rafalgorka 1,522]

I voted

 

1. Elijah Winnington AUS

2. Lukas Martens GER

3. Antonio Djakovic SUI

 

Forgot about Galossi, you all may be right about him. Djakovic was first to come to my mind as someone who will improve fast.

 

I understand 20 months away it's too long and our predictions are not very serious, but I just like this kind of stuff...

 

I only think that other version of such a poll is better, predicting only a winner, and then counting the votes in 1, 2, 3 order like in imaginary olympics series.

More athletes to choose from in each poll though.

[rafalgorka 1,522]

I think results of this poll are:

 

1. Elijah Winnington AUS

2. Lukas Martens GER

3. Lorenzo Galossi ITA

 

Thanks for voting.

 

From the next poll in this series, we will vote only for a winner, but first three in the voting will be our predicted medalists (I have chosen this method to find out who the medalists are in this first poll)

And the voters' names won't be hidden.

 

Medal table

 

1-0-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-0-1---1

[rafalgorka 1,522]

Anyway, If I chose the medalists using the results of our voting for Gold/Silver/Bronze, results of our poll could be considered the same as above.

1. Winnington 2. Martens 3. Any other T (Galossi???)

Edited December 7, 2022 by rafalgorka