rafalgorka

My kids say this may be one of the candidates for a Polish entrance this year.

I wonder if RSA decline their hockey and/or water polo quotas this time again

This is awfully lot of quota for POL in W boxing (5). Well, I would love it if it works like that but I seriously doubt it. If they couldn't make it in the European Games at home, I don't see it coming in the world tournaments (I know that probably the best boxers will not be there as they are already qualified but still...). I say 2 quotas for POL, maybe 3 (that would be awesome). And i do hope you are right about Damian Durkacz and he will be through - would be nice to have at least one male boxer in Paris for a NOC which had so many olympic medals in boxing in the past.

This is a great work @Ogreman Thanks a lot for this one!

Small comparison Tokyo vs Paris predictions Europe ALB 9-6 AND 2-6 ARM 17-19 AUT 73-79 AZE 44-43 BEL 123-168 BIH 7-6 BUL 42-39 CRO 60-74 CYP 15-16 CZE 109-94 DEN 104-116 EST 33-22 FIN 45-62 FRA 380-540 hosts GEO 33-30 GER 392-403 GBR 375-330 GRE 75-62 HUN 172-185 ISL 4-11 IRL 120-107 ISR 89-85 ITA 366-367 KOS 11-9 LAT 32-37 LIE 5-3 LTU 42-61 LUX 12-13 MLT 6-5 MDA 20-22 MON 6-7 MNE 34-33 NED 267-207 MKD 8-4 NOR 93-103 POL 206-210 POR 92-77 ROU 102-96 SMR 5-6 SRB 87-111 SVK 41-28 SLO 53-80 ESP 328-365 SWE 133-119 SUI 113-120 TUR 105-90 UKR 149-124 Many NOC stay more or less the same, but there are some quite big changes.

NGR and RSA can’t qualify both in W football because they are both in the same half of the bracket. It will be one from: GHA ZAM TUN MAR and one from: CMR NGR TAN RSA i think it will be MAR and NGR I would love to see TAN advance though but it will not happen

Many people dead after explosions near Soleimani’s tomb in Iran. This Middle East thing doesn’t look good at all

Rio!!! Lucky you… that’s our big plan - Rio in 3-4 years time! A bit worried about crime there though

Adrian Moryto is out of ECH due to injury. That’s the end of our very slim chances to do sth in this tournament I’m afraid 😐🤷‍♂️

And the whole season of my local football and athletics club (we have a small but nice stadium just 200m close to where we live)

Speed skating wch…

Us gymnastics trials…

But for now - 4 hills tournament in Innsbruck today and tour de ski and I surely forgot handball m ech and all the Paris qualification events , especially in team sports : handball, m basketball, m football Uefa champions league in spring - FC Barcelona 💪

Outside shots: Golf M masters , Athletics World indoors and European Ch, us trials swimming wch, us trials, Aus trials F1 season Biathlon WCh figure skating wch Alpine skiing world cup Road cycling m- spring classics, Tour de France, wch copa America footbsll volleyball vnl nba play offs hockey wch in cze with pol team in it tennis grand slam - Wimbledon is my fav rugby six nations ski flying wch athletics diamond league i have probably missed sth

One of the stats which I will be looking for the most after Paris: it is only 3 years after Tokyo, not 4 years gap like normal so how many Tokyo medalists will get a medal in Paris again ? will it be really much more than e.g. London-Rio 4 years gap comparison??? it should be more but it may go other way as well because of other issues (no RUS, more events than before, COVID issues…)

What are your trip plans for 24 if you don’t mind asking? Any places worth recommendations? we would like to go to Venezuela in Feb but we are not sure it is safe there with this whole Guyana / Essequibo thing… I wonder what our users from America think about it, Brazilian users perhaps will find some spare time to write about it… thanks in advance! in Sep after Paris Olympics we want to go to Balkans, probably Montenegro , we will see Florida would be good option as well but we have to avoid the bad weather, hurricans etc… so maybe it’s in 25

What’s the sports event in 24 you are waiting for the most outside of Paris Olympics ??? I would say UEFA euro 24

My biggest hope is that Poland will have 0 doping issues in Paris though. Noone does anything stupid this time. 0 is my fav number here

Tried to count it for Poland myself… I am worried that rugby W team will not qualify… that’s -12 i don’t see we can qualify in diving… that’s -3. Or maybe one individual - that would be -2 i don’t know much about rhythmic gymnastics but I don’t see it happen either… -1 i think we qualify 3 athletes in sports climbing - Ola Mirosław is already in and I think we get one more girl and one more boy in speed - that’s +1 50 quotas in athletics is a lot but I think it may be even more although we won’t be that strong like in Tokyo for sure, we were so lucky in Tokyo that things like that just can’t happen twice . I think we qualify a lot of relays and we send everyone who is in by world rankings . One possible drama is whether our heptathlete goes (Ada Sułek who is pregnant now but she is already qualified) . Heads (CEOs) of our Athletics Team don’t like her because she critized them heavily in Eugene WCH so as I know Polish reality now they will want her to prove that she’s in good form before the Olympics and they won’t send her if she’s not… but other will go without any extra tests… so I say it’s rather 60 quota in athletics +10 but there will be surely 2 or 3 injuries so it’s +7 in the end . But only 2 medals in athletics this time and I won’t be surprised if there is no gold overall around 195-200

Still fighting with this flu or whatever this thing is. So I am able to write here during usual working hours at least. On our Polish forum one user wrote that Maryia Zhodzik may be eligible to represent Poland in Paris in high jump. A girl for Belarus, jumps much higher than Polish women these days. But she had some doping issues, Wikipedia says. So I am not 100% happy that she can join our team even if I love HJ so much .

Day 8 Sat - swimming - M 100 fly final, not 100 free

Cuba - modern pentathlon - 3 ???

I like you call one particular NOC the way it should be called - Taiwan. And the flag is good as well 💪

Thanks a lot once again for your work! It’s awesome. in your spare time, please share with us list of events you think Poland will qualify for 210 quotas is too much this time imo but I hope you are right, not me

one of my first Olympic memories. Andrzej Gołota in Seoul. A very oldschool video, somehow funny after all these years