rafalgorka

I can see he DNS in 5000 event at 2025 WCH. You know why? @Fer GUA

@Fer GUA do you think Luis Grijalva is really a contender for a 5000m medal in LA??? What was his form in 2025 season???

Early thoughts after 76 events completed. It is fun but it is nothing good at all, still better than GRACENOTE heh. The main problem is ChatGPT is not using 2025 world championships / world cup results or 2025 top lists (swimming, athletics). Looks like their knowledge usually ends at mid-2024 and then it's all about predictions, even predicts on sth which happened already on real (like some of 2025 wch). That's disappointing. One has to teach it all the time to look after 2025 results...

Medal Table 76/353

76. LA 2028 Podium Projection – Men’s Long Jump Here’s the projected podium with marks and rationale: Medal Athlete Nation Projected Mark Rationale 🥇 Gold Mattia Furlani (ITA) Italy 🇮🇹 8.50 m (Olympic Record) At 23, still improving; with 8.39 in 2025 as baseline, and given ideal conditions + home-Games energy (for Europe/West), he could jump into 8.50 range. 🥈 Silver Shi Yuhao (CHN) China 🇨🇳 8.45 m At 28, in his physical prime; likely to improve technique and consistency; 8.45 is realistic medal mark. 🥉 Bronze Tajay Gayle (JAM) Jamaica 🇯🇲 8.40 m Veteran status, big-meet performer; may not improve much beyond 8.34 baseline, but remains strong for podium.

Medal Table 75/353

Event 75 – Men’s Pole Vault (LA 2028) 🥇 Gold – Armand Duplantis (SWE) Projected height: ~6.30 m (World & Olympic Record range) Why: Already the dominant vaulter before 2025, and still winning Worlds in 2025. At 28, he’s in the sweet spot for speed, strength, and timing. Even a small improvement in approach speed + pole stiffness can add a few cm at this level. Hard to rationally pick anyone else over him in 2028 if he’s healthy. 🥈 Silver – Emmanouil Karalis (GRE) Projected height: ~5.98–6.00 m (National Record territory) Why: 2025 world silver puts him clearly in the “best of the rest” group. Natural progression from mid-20s to 28 should add a few centimetres. Technically efficient, good runway speed — exactly the profile of a 6.00 m guy in peak years. 🥉 Bronze – Kurtis Marschall (AUS) Projected height: ~5.92–5.95 m (Oceania Record territory) Why: 2025 world bronze and a history of steady improvements. At 30 he’s still in prime vault age; jumps in the high-5.8x to mid-5.9x range are plausible and medal-worthy. It’s easy to see him as the “solid championship guy” who hits 5.90+ when it counts.

Medal table 74/353 0-1-0---1 9-6-8---23 2-3-0---5 1-0-0---1 8-2-6---15 1-1-0---2 15-6-4---25 0-1-0---1 0-0-1---1 0-0-1---1 1-1-0---2 2-0-1---3 1-3-3---7 1-2-2---5 1-0-0---1 0-0-1---1 0-0-1---1 2-2-4---8 1-3-1---5 2-0-0---2 3-6-2---11 1-0-3---4 0-1-3---4 1-0-1---2 5-1-1---7 0-1-0---1 0-2-3---5 0-2-0---2 2-0-1---3 0-1-3---4 0-1-2---3 0-1-0---1 2-1-0---3 0-0-1---1 1-0-0---1 0-1-1---2 0-1-0---1 0-0-2---2 1-1-1---3 0-2-1---3 11-21-16---46 TBC

71. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 3000 m Steeplechase Podium 72. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 4×100 m Relay Podium 73. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 4×400 m Relay Podium 74. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s High Jump Podium (Real-data based)

Medal table 70/353 0-1-0---1 9-6-8---23 2-1-0---3 1-0-0---1 8-2-6---15 1-1-0---2 15-6-4---25 0-1-0---1 0-0-1---1 0-0-1---1 0-1-0---1 2-0-1---3 1-3-3---7 1-2-2---5 1-0-0---1 0-0-1---1 0-0-1---1 2-2-4---8 1-3-1---5 2-0-0---2 3-6-2---11 1-0-1---2 0-1-3---4 1-0-0---1 5-1-0---6 0-2-3---5 0-2-0---2 2-0-1---3 0-0-3---3 0-1-2---3 0-1-0---1 2-1-0---3 0-0-1---1 1-0-0---1 0-1-1---2 0-1-0---1 0-0-2---2 1-1-1---3 0-2-1---3 8-21-16---43 TBC

61. Predicted LA 2028 Compound Mixed Team Podium ATHLETICS 62. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 100 m Podium 63. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 200 m Podium 64. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 400 m Podium 65. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 800 m Podium 66. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 1500 m Podium 67. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 5000 m Podium 68. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 10 000 m Podium 69. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 110 m Hurdles Podium 70. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 400 m Hurdles Podium

Medal table 60/353 9-6-8---23 8-2-6---15 1-1-0---2 15-6-4---25 0-1-0---1 0-0-1---1 0-0-1---1 2-0-1---3 1-3-2---6 1-2-2---5 1-0-0---1 0-0-1---1 2-2-4---8 0-3-1---4 2-0-0---2 3-6-2---11 0-1-2---3 5-1-0---6 0-2-2---4 0-1-0---1 0-0-3---3 0-1-2---3 0-1-0---1 2-1-0---3 0-0-1---1 1-0-0---1 0-1-1---2 0-1-0---1 0-0-2---2 0-2-1---3 7-16-13---34 TBC

54. Women’s Duet (Technical + Free Combined) Medal Nation Projected Score (Combined) Rationale 🥇 China 🇨🇳 283.40 (OR) The Wang twins’ synchronization and impeccable difficulty execution keep them untouchable; minimal artistic deductions. 🥈 Ukraine 🇺🇦 280.65 (NR) Fiedina’s expressiveness and improved base difficulty edge Japan; perfect blend of power and artistry. 🥉 Japan 🇯🇵 279.80 Still world-class, but slight decline in stamina and precision by 2028; superb musicality. 55. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s Team Artistic Swimming Podium 56. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s Individual Archery Podium 57. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s Team Archery Podium 58. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s Individual Archery Podium 59. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s Team Archery Podium 60. Predicted LA 2028 Mixed Team Archery Podium

Medal table 53/353 9-6-8---23 8-2-6---15 1-1-0---2 13-4-3---20 0-1-0---1 0-0-1---1 0-0-1---1 2-0-1---3 1-3-2---6 1-2-2---5 1-0-0---1 0-0-1---1 2-2-4---8 2-0-0---2 3-6-2---11 0-1-0---1 0-1-0---1 0-2-2---4 0-1-0---1 0-0-3---3 0-1-2---3 0-1-0---1 2-1-0---3 0-0-1---1 1-0-0---1 0-1-1---2 0-1-0---1 0-0-1---1 7-16-12---33 TBC

51. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s Synchronized 10 m Platform Podium 52. Men’s Water Polo Tournament at the 2028 Olympics in Los Angeles: 🥇 Serbia (SRB) – Their defence-first system, depth of experienced players, and recent Olympic golds give them the strongest chance of repeating. 🥈 Croatia (CRO) – Consistently one of the world’s top teams; expect them to push Serbia hard for gold. 🥉 Hungary (HUN) – Their youth development and traditional strength make them the most likely team to take the bronze. 53. LA 2028 Podium Projection – Women’s Water Polo Tournament Medal Nation Rationale 🥇 Greece 🇬🇷 Having secured gold at the 2025 Worlds and with a balanced roster, Greece are poised for gold in 2028. 🥈 Hungary 🇭🇺 Silver in 2025 and a strong upward trajectory make Hungary the likely silver medalist. 🥉 Spain 🇪🇸 Bronze in 2025, strong historical performances, and consistent elite level position them for bronze in LA.

Medal table 50/353 9-6-8---23 8-2-5---14 1-1-0---2 12-4-3---19 0-0-1---1 2-0-1---3 1-2-2---5 1-2-2---5 0-0-1---1 2-1-3---6 2-0-0---2 3-6-2---11 0-1-0---1 0-1-0---1 0-2-2---4 0-1-0---1 0-0-3---3 0-1-2---3 0-1-0---1 2-1-0---3 0-0-1---1 0-1-1---2 0-1-0---1 0-0-1---1 7-16-12---33 TBC

41. Predicted LA 2028 Mixed 4×100 m Medley Relay Podium 42. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 10 km Open Water Podium 43. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 10 km Open Water Podium DIVING 44. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 3 m Springboard Podium 45. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 10 m Platform Podium 46. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s Synchronized 3 m Springboard Podium 47. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s Synchronized 10 m Platform Podium 48. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 3 m Springboard Podium 49. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 10 m Platform Podium 50. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s Synchronized 3 m Springboard Podium

Medal table 40/353 9-4-8---21 8-2-3---12 1-1-0---2 5-1-2---8 0-0-1---1 2-0-1---3 1-0-0---1 0-1-2---3 0-0-1---1 1-1-2---4 2-0-0---2 3-6-2---11 0-1-0---1 0-1-0---1 0-1-0---1 0-0-3---3 0-1-2---3 0-1-0---1 2-1-0---3 0-0-1---1 0-1-1---2 0-1-0---1 6-16-11---31 TBC

31. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 100 m Breaststroke Podium 32. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 200 m Breaststroke Podium 33. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 50 m Butterfly Podium 34. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 100 m Butterfly Podium 35. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 200 m Butterfly Podium 36. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 200 m Individual Medley Podium 37. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 400 m Individual Medley Podium 38. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 4×100 m Freestyle Relay Podium 39. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 4×200 m Freestyle Relay Podium 40. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 4×100 m Medley Relay Podium

Medal table 30/353 6-3-6---15 3-1-1---5 1-1-0---2 4-1-1---6 2-0-1---3 1-0-0---1 0-1-2---3 0-0-1---1 1-1-2---4 2-0-0---2 3-5-2---10 0-1-0---1 0-1-0---1 0-0-3---3 0-1-2---3 0-1-0---1 2-1-0---3 0-0-1---1 0-0-1---1 0-1-0---1 5-11-7---21 TBC

21. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 50 m Freestyle Podium 22. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 100 m Freestyle Podium 23. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 200 m Freestyle Podium 24. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 400 m Freestyle Podium 25. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 800 m Freestyle Podium 26. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 1500 m Freestyle Podium 27. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 50 m Backstroke Podium 28. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 100 m Backstroke Podium 29. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 200 m Backstroke Podium 30. Predicted LA 2028 Women’s 50 m Breaststroke Podium They think Titmus comes back...

Medal table 20/353 1-2-5---8 0-0-1---1 1-1-0---2 3-1-0---4 2-0-1---3 1-0-0---1 0-1-2---3 1-1-2---4 2-0-0---2 3-4-2---9 0-1-0---1 0-1-0---1 0-1-2---3 0-1-0---1 2-1-0---3 0-1-0---1 4-4-5---13 TBC

11. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 100 m Breaststroke Podium 12. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 200 m Breaststroke Podium 13. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 50 m Butterfly Podium 14. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 100 m Butterfly Podium 15. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 200 m Butterfly Podium 16. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 200 m Individual Medley Podium 17. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 400 m Individual Medley Podium 18. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 4×100 m Freestyle Relay Podium 19. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 4×200 m Freestyle Relay Podium 20. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 4×100 m Medley Relay Podium

Medal table 10/353 1-1-2---4 0-0-1---1 1-0-0---1 1-0-0---1 0-1-2---3 0-1-0---1 2-0-0---2 1-2-1---4 0-1-0---1 0-1-2---3 2-1-0---3 0-1-0---1 2-1-2---5 TBC

4. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 400 m Freestyle Podium 5. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 800 m Freestyle Podium 7. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 50 m Backstroke Podium 8. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 100 m Backstroke Podium 9. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 200 m Backstroke Podium 10. Predicted LA 2028 Men’s 50 m Breaststroke Podium