avlar

Ну, що останній кваліфікаційний турінр? Хоч би погода у Львові не підвела, бо багатьом треба показати високі результати для рейтингу https://uaf.org.ua/images/otherdocuments/calendar/2024/2024.06.28-30_lviv/2024.06.28-30_rozklad.pdf

I found my old predicyions from medal chances on November. So I can compare my feelings about chances then and now. - 2 medals in Diving. 10m (Men). Single and Synchro. - 2 in Swimming. Romanchuk / Bukhov. - 4 in Canoe. K4M, C1W, C2W - wildwater W. - 4 in Artistic Gymnastics. All for men - AA, VT, PB + HB/VT/TE. - 4 in Wrestling. 3 in WW (Koliadenko, Hrushina, Livach) and 1 in GR (Belenyuk). - 3 in Shooting. Pistol M/W, Rifle - M. - 4 in Athletics. 2 in women HJ, M HT and W TJ. - 1 in Judo. W. - 3 in Fencing. WEpee team, WSabre, WSabre team. - 1 in Boxing. Khyznyak, Abduraimov. - 1 in Weightlifting. W59. - 1 in Football. - 1 in Tennis - WSingles - 1 in Rowing - W4x. The method is much more simpler than GraceNote`s one: to count all the possible medals whcih will not suprise me and divide it by 2 ))) So 32 / 2 = 16 medals

Зараз виправимо на 18 ))

Арчая буду мати 2 )) Мені досі цікаво, чому наша федерація говорила про потенційні нові 3 квоти за перерозподілом. Плюс під час презентації олімпійської форми пролунало у фоні від наших веслувальників, що АІНівці можуть не поїхати.

Я взагалі не візьмуся це порахувати - там посунеться стільки людей ) Але новини, звісно, приємні з боротьби - це ж треба було таке утнути.

Table at the first post updated after the belarus self-rejection Now Archai gets quota twice - so UWW will decide the order.

Still nothing. IOC is going to announce the next group of AINs very soon. But we do not know whether Canoe will be included or not. russians rejected C1M quota - so they are going to keep C2M. Will see...

And officially got another reallocation - C1M - quota was declined by

Чумікрву приберуть зі списків. До речі, НОК білорусі так і промовчав щодо участі своїх спортсменів. Судячи з усього, мовчки відправлять всіх, хоча грозилися не посилати тих, хто не виграв квоти особисто

Дуже цікаво. Може бути і сьогодні навіть. Я думаю, що виправлять велоспорт і боротьбу + можуть додати теніс та академічне веслування. Теоретично, і стрільба може бути - там троє білорусів треба тільки оцінити. Дзюдо, плавання, каное, п`ятиборство навряд чи можуть встигнути. Хоча...

Ого! То було б супер!

Yes. Atheltes mentioned in Ukrainian letters to the IOC as war-supporters are here

А білоруси там геть не відібралися, так? Мене ще дуже цікавить доля пар АІНінівців. Вона б вже теж мала скоро прояснитися

Вже й Маміашвілі відписався, що вони 9 людей послали. Єдине припущення, що UWW може чекати якогось офіційного паперу від МОК, що квоти вільні. Так само і каное зависло. Незрозуміло, що там з потенційним перерозподілом самоанскьої квоти Алтухову. * * * Трибуна вивісила якийсь дивний список завойованих квот. https://ua.tribuna.com/uk/blogs/najilah/3106546-usi-olimpijski-liczenziyi-ukrayiny-zbirna-debyutuye-v-dvox-vyd/ Пропустили людей у веслуванні, зарахували квоту Лискун у стрибках у воду, яка досі не підтверджена. Фактично, маємо 121 за моїми підрахунками. + 4 квоти у дзюдо, які треба формально підтвердити + 2 у п'ятиборстві, які треба формально підтвердити (сподіваюся. що у Чекана без сюсрпризів) ------------------ + 2 потенційний перерозподіл у боротьбі ------------------ + 1 потенційно у каное для Алтухова + 1 потенційно у стрибках в воду для Лискун (боюся, до Науменка перерозподіл не дійде) + ? в легкій атлетиці. Там 6 квот зараз за рейтингом і десь ще 6 можна, гадаю додати за підсумками чемпіонату України Тобто 143 людини максимум. І ще треба відняти 3 стрибунів у воду, які в усіх підрахунках рахуються двічі. І, можливо, в ЛА у дівчат спортивна ходьба - ще -1 людина, бо хтось буде стартувати і естафету, і особистий вид. Тож, реально, десь поїде 133-139 спортсменів.

Here is a translation from google of the passages about wrestling. It is extremely interesting! The president of the Romanian Wrestling Federation, Răzvan Pîrcălabu, announced that Arnăut qualified after the International Olympic Committee decided to declare several athletes from Russia and Belarus ineligible. "Yesterday we had a meeting of the Executive Office within the UWW and following the discussions the list of the last athletes qualified for the Olympic Games in Paris was approved. And Răzvan Arnăut qualified in the 60 kilogram category. It is extraordinary news for us because here, the number of Romanian fighters qualified for Paris increases to five, exactly as we had at Tokyo 2020. If Alexandra Anghel also managed to get the ticket, which was very close to qualifying, now with Arnăut I had 6 qualified, exactly the goal I had set for Paris. Because that's what I wanted, to have at least one more athlete than in Tokyo. But it's good anyway, with Răzvan Arnăut, our chances of a medal have increased," said Pîrcălabu, quoted by Agerpres. The FRL official explained how the replacements for Russian and Belarusian athletes excluded from the Olympic Games were determined. Pîrcălabu also announced that, following this decision of the IOC, Andrea Ana's route to Paris 2024 has been eased, as she will get rid of a very strong opponent. "The reason why these last athletes qualified is related to political issues. Specifically, the International Olympic Committee sent the UWW a list of 8 athletes who qualified but are ineligible for the Paris Olympics for political and military reasons It is about Russians and Belarusians. So we had to consider replacing them. There were several discussions in the Executive Office regarding the criteria for replacing the qualified. Some of the members wanted to qualify based on the ranking at the World Championships, and another, including myself, argued that it was right that the athlete immediately below the line in the competition should receive the right to participate in Paris the respective Russian or Belarusian qualified. How is it logical, that is, if the qualification for the World Cup was obtained, to go up next on the list from the World Cup, if it was at a qualification tournament, to go up next from that competition. In the 60 kilogram category, the Russian athlete in question had qualified in Istanbul, where Arnăut was next on the list. The fact that I am a member of the Executive Office allowed me to defend Romania's cause and thus we managed to reach 5 qualified athletes. Following the decision taken at the UWW level, Andrea Ana's route to Paris in the 53 kg category was made easier, in the sense that among the 8 ineligible athletes there is also the athlete from Belarus who had eliminated her in the round of 16 in Tokyo (n.e. Vanesa Kolodinskaia, bronze medalist in Tokyo). Belarus is an Olympic, world and European medalist, but now she will not be able to participate. So Andreea Ana will no longer meet her on the route to Paris," added the FRL president.

Онофрійчук або Онопрієнко? От де реально другої квоти браукє. Ой, чую, буде чергова публічна розбірка в нашій гімнастиці.

I would say we can get announcements on tennis and possibly modern pentathlon next week. I suppose rowing will be there too. Judo will have final rankings next week. but IJF needs some time for formalities. And the IOC will need time to check the entries - it will be a very big group of AINs. So they will need another week, I think. World Aquatics will have final entries for swimiing next week too. There are not so many athletes to be checked. So they may be the same time as judo. Shooting and Canoe are the very uncertain. Shooting (normal) reallocation procedure is very complicated and long. I doubt if ISSF will send AIN entries to the IOC until all normal reallocations are done. And Canoe is delayed by russians. ICF is waiting for them to reject C1 or C2 quota from the European qualifier. * * * By the way, I am very surprised with the absence of the rowing in the first group of sports from the IOC. Qualification process inf rowing finished "centuries ago" and they have only 1 AIN boat to check. At the same time deadline for reallocation in Rowing is 23.06.24. So World Rowing may be waiting for this date to send entries to the IOC. But on the other hand we stiil unaware of the fate of AIN pairs/doubles for Paris. And rowing is exactly the case, as well as tennis and canoe.

He had no intention to partcipate because of the flat profile of the race - it gives him no chances

So we have the first confirmed quota for Arnaut in wrestling - thaks to @IoNuTzZ I am a little bit surprised by our national federation. Its representative stated that may get 3 quotas in wrestling via reallocation. Right now I see 2 quotas for us only. And an important update forJudo. Table of possible reallocations was extened by @Illya Sports Athlete(s) Alternate Discipline Possible Reallocation NOC Reasons to reallocate Judo TASOEV Inal BASHAEV Tamerlan M100+ ? ? Participation in pro-war event featuring Z-symbols and propaganda Pro-war activities in social networks Judo KANIKOVSKIY Matvey ADAMIAN Arman M100 ? ? Participation in pro-war event featuring Z-symbols and propaganda Judo IGOLNIKOV Mikhail - or LORSANOV Mansur via CQ M90 ? ? Participation in pro-war event featuring Z-symbols and propaganda Judo ARBUZOV Timur - or KARAPETYAN David via CQ M81 ? ? Judo LAVRENTEV Danil MAKHMADBEKOV Makhmadbek M73 ? ? Participation in pro-war event featuring Z-symbols and propaganda Judo CHOPANOV Murad - or ABULADZE Yago via CQ M66 ? ? Judo ABDULAEV Ramazan BLIYEV Ayub M60 ? ? Judo STARTSEVA Elis - W78+ ? ? Participation in pro-war event featuring Z-symbols and propaganda Judo TAIMAZOVA Madina - W70 ? ? Participation in pro-war event featuring Z-symbols and propaganda Photos with Z Propaganda event involving children from the occupied territories of Ukraine Judo LILUASHVILI Dali - or BADUROVA Kamila via CQ W63 ? ? Participation in pro-war event featuring Z-symbols and propaganda Judo KURBONMAMADOVA Daria - W57 ? ? Judo GILIAZOVA Sabina - or DUDINA Kristina via CQ W48 ? ?

So we have first confirmation of the reallocation. But we still do not know the way of reallocation beacause quota for Arnaut was clear without any alternative

It is a pity, but in 69kg quota stays for AIN as far as I know. No signs of rejection of that quota (( But I will be happy to fail in this case )

Standing updated bu the IOC https://olympics.com/en/sport-events/olympic-qualifier-series-2024-budapest/global-standings/sport-climbing-mens-speed

Тримаємо кулаки за дівчат у Брейкінгу - хороша кваліфікація, і тепер є реальний шанс на квоту Дві основні конкурентки - Анті та Ванесса - в одній групі - і там же сильна американка. І наші дівчата вдвох разом - там же сильна японка + кореянка, але вихід з групи має дууууже наблизити Олімпіаду https://olympics.com/en/sport-events/olympic-qualifier-series-2024-budapest/results/phase/breaking-b-girls-round-robin

https://ukrwrestling.com.ua/blog/2024/06/21/eduard-proshchuk-ye-peredumovy-dlia-zbilshennia-litsenziy-na-olimpiadu-2024/

No sign of official reallocation. Our federation today stated that it expect up to 3 more quotas for Ukraine after the AIN quotas reallocation. Thus it makes me believe that reallocation had not happen yet. At the same time I see Chumikova at Wiki - but she denied invitation.