orangeman

10th for Gagnon in women’s sprint free at the Fallun WC!

7th for Raleigh Tarte, 9th for Finn Redman in men’s junior sprint, and 10th for Ruby Serrouya in women’s junior sprint at the Junior Worlds!

Bronze for Miller/Fung in 10m synchro!
 
5th and 6th for Zsombor-Murray and Paul in 3m!

Score would have placed them 4th at Worlds last year!

4th for Paul/Zsombor-Murray in synchro 3m at the Montreal WC!

My extremely optimistic prediction for  Canada, we'll get a big increase but I'm almost surely going to be all wrong because nothing ever seems to go right for us, there's always so many disappointments.... 
 
@intoronto @orangeman @NearPup @Topicmaster1010 @JoshMartini007 @Safe Dragonfly feel free to share any thoughts/anything that needs adding (if the numbers in rowing/shooting should be higher lower/disciplines should be different), and if I've made mistakes then corrections are welcome. 
 
Aquatics
Artistic Swimming: 2, can't be optimistic about everything. 
Diving: 7. Three of Cullen/Wiens/Tessier in M 10m (I think at this stage leaving one behind would be a mistake...), Two of Jasmin/Erlam/Vallee/Palkhivala in W 3m, Miller in W 10m and Two of Zsombor-Murray/Paul/Fofana/Ciprick in M 3 (leaning towards the first two)
Open Water Swimming: 2. One male, one female. Emma Finlin and Eric Brown. 
Swimming: 31. With the stroke 50s being added, slight increase from Paris. 
Waterpolo: 26. Women's team, for sure, given the extra quotas. Men's team will be battling Brazil for the Pan American Games quota, far from a given but I think it can happen (hmmmm, probably won't though) 
Archery: 2. One male, one female. Eric Peters is the frontrunner for the men, and Stephanie Barrett for the women (Esebua/Chenier/Brug/Hawash are also in the mix), but the men's team also has a small chance (with Deevang Gupta and one of Crispin Duenas/Reece Wilson-Potyon) maybe. 
Athletics: I know we had 48 in Paris but hear me out... 62 59. Boosted by some young talent coming through the pipelines and I think and hope the men's 4x400m relay can qualify. 
Badminton: 6. Victor Lai in men's singles, Michelle Li in women's singles, Lai/Yakura in men's doubles, Choi/Wu in women's doubles. No Lindeman/Wu in mixed doubles.
Baseball/Softball: 15. Qualification in softball. 
Basketball: 28 again. Men's team is stacked with NBA talent and should qualify through the World Cup or the Final Olympic Qualification Tournament, although with what happened in Tokyo we'll see. Women's team almost fucked up their qualification at the Olympic Qualifying Tournament last time, hopefully that won't happen again. Women's 3x3 team should qualify, Paige Crozon/Katherine Plouffe/Saicha Grant-Allen are probably locks and the last spot will be between Bosch/Brown. 
Boxing: 4. Tammara Thibeault is focusing on pro boxing at the moment, but has stated she wants redemption in LA 2028 in 75kg. Unfortunately, Viktoria Penney who's a promising youngster on our team, currently competes in 80kg and will probably drop down a weight-class because cutting down 10kg is a nightmare which means only one of them will be able to compete. Keoma Ali-Ahmadieh has shown some strong form at the World Championships last year, Joshua Orfi did as well. Bryan Coldwell also has a chance. With Scarlett Delgado, Mackenzie Wright, and Marie Al-Ahmadieh continuing, all of which barely missed out on quotas last squad, our women's squad will be hungry.
Canoeing: 15. Katie Vincent, and two of Sloan MacKenzie/Sophia Jensen/Zoe Wojtyk in women's canoeing. Full squad in kayaking, and Fitzpatrick in men's canoeing. Alex Baldoni and Daniel Parry in the men's canoe slalom events (Parry is a promising youngster, may be too soon though), and one of Lea Baldoni/Lois Betteridge in the women's canoe slalom events. 
Cricket: 0. Nope, no chance. Our men might have a chance if it was 12 teams, but 6 absolutely not. 
Cycling: 24. In BMX freestyle, 1-2 of Mike Varga/Maxime Chalifoux/Jeffrey Whaley in the men's event. In BMX racing, Molly Simpson in the women's event for sure, and while Lucas Zhou is in contention for the men, along with Ryan Tougas I think both will miss out. Cole Punchard and one of Gunnar Holmgren/Carter Woods/Tyler Orschel in men's mountain biking, and Jennifer Jackson and one of Isabella/Ava Holmgren/Emily Johnson/Ella MacPhee/Rafaelle Carrier in women's mountain biking. Alison Jackson and one of Magdalene Vallires Mill/Olivia Baril/Sarah Van Dam in women's road race, Hugo Houle and Derek Gee in men's road race. Nick Wammes in men's sprint/keirin, Sarah Orban, Kelsey Mitchell and Lauriane Genest in women's team sprint, teams in women's and men's pursuit. No qualification in men's team sprint this time around.
Equestrian: Full team of 9 athletes
Fencing: 14. Team in women's foil, women's epee (if US can finish top 4), men's sabre (same with previous), men's foil, one of Nicolas Zhang/Fynn Fafard/Leon Xiao/Dylan French in men's epee, and Pamela Brind'Amour in women's sabre if she hasn't retired yet. 
Field Hockey: 16. Based off the qualification system, I'll say yes. Women are in a rebuild, so probably won't finish ahead of all of Uruguay/Chile/Mexico, however for the men I think there's a decent chance if we can make it to the bronze medal match against probably Chile, but it'll be a battle.
Flag Football: 10. Tossup with only 6 teams per gender, but I'll say the women's team qualifies. 
Football: 18. Women's team. Men's team has a very small chance, depending on the qualifying event roster, but don't see it at all. 
Golf: 4. Two per gender, as is typical. Brooke Henderson and one of Anna Huang/Alena Sharp/Maude Aimee Leblanc/Aphrodite Deng for the women, a combination of Corey Connors, Nick Taylor, Taylor Pendrith, MacKenzie Hughes for the men. 
Gymnastics:  12. Men's and women's teams in artistic gymnastics both qualify, men's is less sure though. It'll be between Felix Dolci, Ioannis Chronopoulos, Zachary Clay, Jayson Ramperstad, Chris Kaji, William Emmard, René Cournoyer, Aiden Li, Samuel Zakutney for the men's spots. Ellie Black, Lia Monica Fontaine, Aurelie Tran, Sydney Turner, Laurie Denoumee, Ava Stewart, Gabrielle Black, Denelle Pendrick, Rose Woo, Cassie Lee, and Ana Padurariu/Shallon Olsen (could be retired in some form, either overall or NT) for the women's spots. Sophiane Methot should qualify in trampoline for the women (Milette has no chance with the qualification system, unfortunately), and one of Remi Aubin/Gavin Dodd/Keegan Soehn/Etienne Cloutier for the men.
Handball: 
Judo: 7. One of Catherine Beauchemin-Pinard or Jessica Klimkait in women's 63kg (right now I trust the former more, Klimkait has only switched weight classes recently though so I hope she can succeed in the transition and it'll be a tight internal battle), Christa Deguchi in women's 57kg, Evelyn Beaton in women's 52kg, and Coralie Godbout in women's 78kg (20th and 21st in the rankings, somewhat surprising), Francois Gauthier Drapeau in men's 81kg, Kyle Reyes in men's 100kg, Arthur Margelidon in men's 73kg (hasn't competed since Paris, if he's not in form maybe Justin Lemire), and I have Julien Frascadore in men's 66kg missing out. 
Lacrosse: 24. Men's and women's teams qualify, anything else will be unacceptable (something would have to seriously go wrong but... until it happens)
Modern Pentathlon: Ermmmmmmm (Unless the new format favours a Canadian? Maybe Schultz? No idea)
Rowing: Hopefully 25? Katie Clark in women’s single sculls, women's eights, men's eights, women's quadruple sculls, men's double sculls etc. No idea if we have any chance in costal rowing? I assume Pidgen is our best chance @phelps 
Rugby Sevens: 24. Women's and men's teams both qualify, with the US getting host quotas it makes getting the North American quota a lot easier.  
Sailing: 7. Antonia and Georgia Lewin-Lafrance in 49er FX, Madeline Gillis/Galen Richardson in nacra 17, Arie Moffat/Will Jones in 49er, and one of Ryan Anderson/James Juhasz/Carlos Charbati in ICLA 7 (last is young, so he might not even be competing in it by 2027)
Shooting: 1-?. Madeline Boyd in women's skeet. Alex Wong in men's skeet? Shannon Westlake? Ty Ikeda?
Skateboarding: 4. Unless Reece Nelson switches from vert to park in the next year, which I doubt it, only Fay Ebert in park, even though Evie Pritchard/Olivia Jiang also have chances. Three of Cordano Russell, Ryan Decenzo, Matt Berger, Micky Papa, Christopher Setinas in men's street. 
Sport Climbing: 1. Madison Richardson in women's boulder. Think the Bautrand's and Pitcher in men's speed will miss out. Probably too soon for Kelley in boulder, Le/Villeneuve in speed.  
Squash: 1. Hollie Naughton in the women's event. Baillargeon has fallen down the rankings and probably won't qualify.
Surfing: 3. Erin Brooks hopefully  (she should've competed in Tahiti...) and one of Sanoa/Mathea Olin in the women's event, Cody Young in the men's event. Levi Young and Wheeler Hasburgh miss out. 
Taekwondo: 3. Skylar Park in women's 57kg, one of Leonarda Andric (women's 67kg) or Josipa Kafadar (women's 49kg), and one of Nicholas Hoefling/Braven Park (men's 58kg), Tae-Ku Park (men's 68kg) for the men. Ella Brewster has to do better than Park if she wants to qualify, I don't see it happening. 
Table Tennis: 2. We have chances to qualify both teams, but nah. I think it'll just be Edward Ly in men's singles and Mo Zhang in women's singles. 
Triathlon: 4. 2 per gender, as usual. Tyler Mislawchuk and Charles Paquet for the men, One of Dominika Jamnicky/Sophia Howell/Desirae Ridenour and Emy Legault for the women.
Tennis: 8. FAA, Shapo, Diallo in men's singles. Mboko, Fernandez, Andresscu, Marino in women's singles. Dabrowski in doubles. 
Volleyball: 4. Both teams could qualify, and neither team could qualify. Just so I have as little expectations as possible, I'll say neither. Humana-Parades/Wilkerson should qualify in women’s beach volleyball, I’m really confused on what the pairing situation is like so I’ll say we won’t qualify a second female team (and Belanger/Monkhouse are a tossup), but I think Schachter/Pickett can qualify in men’s beach volleyball through the NORCECA event. 
Weightlifting: 2 again. Maude Charron in women's 59kg, and Etta Love in women's 81kg+. Alex Bellemare comes up just short in men's 85/95kg, TBD weight-class. 
Wrestling: 6. Not sure if he has citizenship yet, but Peiman Biabani in men's 65kg freestyle (unfortunate for MacNeil) and Amar Dhesi in men's 125kg freestyle for the men. Alex Moore (men's 86kg freestyle) misses out). For the women, Ana Godinez (women's 62kg), one of Karla Godinez/Hannah Taylor (women's 57kg), Olivia Di Bacco (women's 68kg), Serena Di Benedetto (women's 53kg)
 
Rundown
Artistic Swimming: 2-8
Diving: 6-8 hopefully
Open Water Swimming: 1-2
Swimming: 26-32
Waterpolo: 13-26
Archery: 2-4
Athletics: 50-62
Badminton: 4-8, singles and at least one doubles
Baseball/Softball: 15
Basketball: 16-28 (because of the unpredictability of the men and disaster with the women, even though both should qualify)
Boxing: 2-6
Canoeing: 10-15, one of the K4's (probably the men if I had to guess) might miss out
Cricket: 0 and 0
Cycling: 15-24
Equestrian: 9
Fencing: 7-14
Field Hockey: 0-16
Flag Football: 0-20
Football: 18-36
Golf: 4
Gymnastics: 6-12
Judo: 5-8
Lacrosse: 24
Modern Pentathlon: 0 again 
Rowing: 13-29, right now
Rugby Sevens: 24
Sailing: 2-8, 49erFX then the rest are tossups along with Bugeja in kite
Shooting: 1-3, as usual
Skateboarding: 4
Sport Climbing: 0-1, maybe more if the US weren't able to get a second quota at Pan Ams but they are
Squash: 1-2, I see Baillargeon is still competing maybe he can surprise
Surfing: 1-3
Taekwondo: 1-3
Table Tennis: 2-6
Triathlon: 4
Tennis: 5-8
Volleyball: 2-30, I expect the number to be higher than that, whether it's qualifying a team or two in indoor, or a men's quota/second women's quota in beach volleyball I'm not sure
Weightlifting: 1-3, more likely 1.
Wrestling: 4-6, three in women's wrestling and one of the men above at least. 
 
12 teams, breaking our single games record of 9 set in 1976 at home in Montreal, and 437 athletes our highest total ever by a mile. 
 

Speed skating junior world championships:
Julia Snelgrove won silver medal in women's 500m

Disclosure, I can't watch this video right now, but I'll do what everyone does on the internet and assume what it says. This is exactly what needs to happen. Casuals and normies need to be talking about this. It's also why I said if the Canadian men won gold, it would completely distract from the larger problem. Hope it continues. 

FIBA Men’s World Cup 2027 Qualifiers:  -  85-96 in OT
 
Canada secured advancement to the second round with this win.
Marcus Carr contributed 35 points and 9 assists!! Kyle Wiltjer also added 18 points.

Imma just say, when you have THE SOCIAL talking about this, well, you really screwed up.

Starting this thread early, for Paralympic news and stuff. 

Although it was a terrible Olympics for Canada, and my two favourite sports (Hockey and Short Track) really didn't work out for us, there were a couple of fun times. 
 
-Women's Pursuit team winning gold because while it was not unexpected at all, it was still a great triumph against an amazing adversary. 
 
-Dubreuil getting a surprise bronze in speed skating 500m. 
 
-Really all of speed skating, Canada and otherwise. 
 
-I really want to say Dubois getting gold in short track, but the whole thing was a mess. 
 
-The last two ends of the men's curling gold medal game. 
 
-Kingsbury getting gold. But it was more relief than excitement, unfortunately. 
 
-I really like the luge relay. Canada was not involved, unfortunately, but it's always fun to watch. 
 
-Men's freeski big air final was nuts! In all the good ways. That was truly the highest level of competition I've seen in a very long time. 
 
-The dog crossing the finish line in cross country, which should have been the meme of the Olympics (not that...other thing).

https://www.cbc.ca/sports/olympics/winter/speed-skating/laurent-dubreuil-funding-crisis-amateur-athletes-canada-9.7104432
 
I'm glad this is being brought up by lots of people right now. As horrible as Canada's loss was on Sunday, a win would have totally masked all of this. 

Although it was a terrible Olympics for Canada, and my two favourite sports (Hockey and Short Track) really didn't work out for us, there were a couple of fun times. 
 
-Women's Pursuit team winning gold because while it was not unexpected at all, it was still a great triumph against an amazing adversary. 
 
-Dubreuil getting a surprise bronze in speed skating 500m. 
 
-Really all of speed skating, Canada and otherwise. 
 
-I really want to say Dubois getting gold in short track, but the whole thing was a mess. 
 
-The last two ends of the men's curling gold medal game. 
 
-Kingsbury getting gold. But it was more relief than excitement, unfortunately. 
 
-I really like the luge relay. Canada was not involved, unfortunately, but it's always fun to watch. 
 
-Men's freeski big air final was nuts! In all the good ways. That was truly the highest level of competition I've seen in a very long time. 
 
-The dog crossing the finish line in cross country, which should have been the meme of the Olympics (not that...other thing).

It was also nice to have actual crowds again. I think the Beijing organizers did the best they could given the COVID regulations that still existed in China at the time, but it sure did dampen the atmosphere *a lot*.

Spending the day in Venice, where the cell service wasn’t good enough for me to watch the Olympics.
 
More seriously, Mikaël Kingsbury winning the inaugural dual moguls gold medal.

Nothing, maybe with the exception of Tyler Tardi's Olympic videos on Instagram
 
Terrible Olympics, I'm glad it's over

I'm confused. I thought the games got cancelled. Must be an error by the bot.

Opening Ceremony, mixed relay in short track

I’d definitely add figure skating to the mix. Beyond Gogolev, we have incredible depth coming up. Lia Cho (13) is arguably the best young female skater in the world right now, and Quinn Startek (14) is another huge talent that many people are already talking about. Minsol Kwan (17) Camilla Volkova (15) Viktoria Barahatkina (15) and Sandrine Blais (17) are also very promising. Grayson Long (17) is also being talked about a lot and is currently working with Brian Orser.
 
In pairs, Lia Pereira is only 21, which means she still has a long career ahead with Trent if they stay together. But i think Ava Kemp (18) and Yohnatan Elizarov (23) will eventually take over as the next dominant pair.
 
In ice dance, LaLa (25/26) seem poised to step into Piper and Paul’s shoes and potentially even exceed them. They could realistically challenge the young American duo and position themselves strongly heading into the French Alps, even with the French team expected to dominate on home ice. On top of that, we also have a very promising young dance team in Layla Veillon (19) and Alexander Brandys (20). So there is a lot to be excited about for the future of figure skating for Canada as well.

In any case, I’ll just do 23 and under and say how old each of them are. Unfamiliar on a lot of the up and comers, so I’m definitely missing a lot. 
 
Haven’t Made Their Olympic Debuts
Short Track - Courtney Charlong (19), Qi Miao, Victoria Jean-Baptiste, Mathieu Pelletier (20), Anne-Sophie Bachand (21)
Snowboarding - Emeraud Maheux, Truth Smith 
Alpine Skiing - Jake Kertesz-Knight (20)
Freestyle Skiing - Emeline Bennett (22), Alexandre Duchaine (21), Kaleb Barnum, Nicholas Kastrusiak, Charlie Beatty, Matthew Lepine, Alexandra Montminy (19), Sage Stefani, Quinn Dawson
Speed Skating - Skylar Van Horne, Julia Snelgrove
 
Have Made Their Olympic Debuts
Alpine Skiing - Brit Richardson (22)
Cross Country Skiing - Alison Mackie (20), Xavier McKeever (22), Liliane Gagnon (23), Sonjaa Schmidt (23), Tom Stephen (23), Jasmine Drolet (23)
Figure Skating - Stephen Gogolev (21)
Freestyle Skiing - Miha Fontaine (22), Emile Nadeau (22), Victor Primeau (22), Ashley Koehler (22), Andrew Longino (23), Dylan Deschamps (23), Naomi Urness (21)
Luge - Embyr-Lee Susko (20), Allan/Podulsky (22/20)
Hockey - Not going to bother with the men, but Watts (22), Primerano (19), Kraemer (19) are some of the women’s names. 
Snowboarding - Eli Bouchard (18), Cameron Spalding (20), Juliette Pelchat (21), Aurelie Moisan (21)
Skeleton - Hallie Clarke (21)
Short Track - Florence Brunelle (22)

I was at my neihgbour/colleague's place for the game. We started drinking at 7am, and just carried on. It dulled the pain. 
 
Just want to shout out to everyone here on being such great companions to share the Olympics with. The outcome was disappointing, but fun to share it with all of you, nonetheless. 
 
Back to work/real life tomorrow. It's always sad when a Games ends, but maybe not so much this time. I just hope the right people look at this and do something. 

And finally, thank you to everyone who participated in the contest. It was a lot of fun to organize and I hope you guys had a fun time too.
 
And also thank you to everyone who was a part of the Team Canada Club during these Olympics. Even though it wasn't the Games we all wanted, the discussions with you guys on this club made these made for some great times and I'm incredibly thankful for this community! I hope to see all of you continue to stick around now that the Games are over.