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Vic Liu

Totallympics Medallist
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  1. Why China would decline females quota? China finished trials and announced current version list with 24 people. But we have 25 quotas. So China plans to return (not decline) one unused men's 10m air rifle quota to exchange one men's trap or men's skeet quota. It's permitted by the rule but China didn't find a NOC available to exchange quota yet. We are asking help for ISSF and waiting for confirmation.
  2. Since CHN are both next best ranking team in LM and LW, we are hoping that we would receive at least one reallocation quota (especially with unclear qualification document, it seems with more hope in the chaos). But Apparently, we are just playing naive.
  3. Rowing M1X: W1X: https://worldrowing.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/2020-Olympic-Paralympic-Qualification_150621.xls
  4. For the withdrawer more or less similar, it's both very unlucky for them. But for their opponents(and opponents' future opponents), not for withdrawers, it's the real unfair part. Why could they benefit from opponents's withdrawal for one specific reason? They could withdraw for 100 reasons, but one of them makes me go to the next round.
  5. Final list released, several continental quotas differences between speculation and final confirmation: https://worldrowing.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/2020-Olympic-Paralympic-Qualification_150621.xls
  6. Actually I always have this confusion the standing before or after the combination. I hate those documents with unclear explanations.
  7. It’s not that fair as it looks. it’s humanitarian but not fairness. For example, I lost in semi final but my opponent found COVID positive after that so I advance in final. And then I cherish this opportunity a lot, I defeated my opponent in final so I am the champion. To conclude I lost semifinal but I am the champion just because my opponent got a specific virus called COVID. But if he withdrew due to diarrhea then it’s a another story.
  8. I can do a overall update of China: 13 Badminton should be 14, I think it just a little counting error. 2 Modern Pentathlon should be eventually 4. The remaining 2 are still pending for confirmation of the federation(the women's quota is based on the assumption of wild card reallocation). 1 Tennis should be eventually 6. China directly qualified 3 women's single through ranking, but after the withdrawals and reallocation, China will qualify 6 women's full team. 2 Trampoline should be 4. The ranking period already ends just pending for announcement. 2 Beach Volleyball. FIVB already released the list. And another women and men's pair possibly qualify through Asian cup, so eventually number should be 4 or 6. 6 Judo. Women's 48, 57, 63, 78, 78+ by world ranking and women's 70 by continental quota. Some extra information of other pending issue: Golf should be eventually 4. 1 man and 2 women through ranking and 1 man pending for reallocation as top3 in waiting-list. Artistic Gymnastics should be 12 after Doha World Cup stage finished. Athletics is around 51-53 people including marathon and race walking, Swimming is around 30-32 people excluding open water. Diving with 16 quotas but China will send up tp 11 people squad though list not released yet. Based on my calculation and speculation, the final size of China will be around 410-415 without counting highly possible use of P cards.
  9. We are also very happy that they change the time. We may qualify before our match start if Jordan fails to win over Australia.
  10. Like what they did in US open again?
  11. Tian Tao is also suffering from injury though he finished ACh. Otherwise Tian has a good chance because China wants breakthrough in heavy weights.
  12. My prediction is 100% correct. 64kg Deng Wei is not selected because of her injury and absence of the public trial ACh. It’s unlucky but unsurprised.
  13. I hopr she doesn't know that. China counts on her qualifying through the match then Li Ranran can get the continental quota.
  14. Sorry to hear that. What reason do you think cauesd economy recession of Iran? Mainly because external reasons like US sanction/exchange rate/oil price or internal political reasons?
  15. Do you think is it still possible to change category or change lifter in the same category temporarily after arriving Tokyo? In my memory, China changed 49kgHou Zhihui to 55kg Li Yajun in Rio due to her sudden injury. @MHSN
  16. Basically you can presume the highest point holder among all unqualified athletes of your nation combined with both genders will receive one continental quota.
  17. My guess Women: 49 55 87 87+ Men: 61 67 73 81 We will have final answers in 2 or 3 days anyway.
  18. Good news for u. China will not choose women’s 59kg for sure and 90% will not choose men’s 96kg.
  19. When do we know which 4 categories each NOC choose?
  20. qualified in team event in Asian Championships at home. or will qualify tomorrow in individual.
  21. Men's team 1 2 3 (Originally I think China and Russia 50-50. But unfortunately key member of Russia Artur Dalaloyan tore Achilles's tendon) Women's team 1 2 3 Side Polls 1. Who are the dark horses in your nation's Olympic team could spring up a surprise medal? Some girl in balance beam, I am not sure which one. Generally Chinese girls are good at balance beam. Given Biles's performance on BB are not consistent and stable lately, China may have a chance to have a gold medal(only if she drops or big waive while we don't). 2.Is the decision to reduce the maximum number of gymnasts in countries having a team quota right? The decision seemingly favored weak countries with less depth and give them a chance to challenge the powerhouses. But I have to say no it does't work. 4 or 5 does't make a significant difference. On the contrary, powerhouses used to need balancing AA players and individual event players in a team, most probably 4+1 format or 3+2(who capable of several events). But now it's 4+2 format, 4 AA players and 2 individual events players. The gap is even larger and they don't even have to balance anything. the weaker countries can't get additional 2 individual quotas so it's their job to balance AA and individual in the limited 4 team quotas. 3.Do you see / wish to have parkour at the Olympics in future? No I don't want it happen. 4. Who'll be the men's and women's individual artistic gymnastics all round medallist? Men's Nikita Nagornyy Xiao Ruoteng Daiki Hashimoto Women's Simon Biles and one girl and another girl
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