Vic Liu

So to be short, Raeisi is pickep by Khamenei and expected to be the next no.1 person so Khamenei disqualified all his real rivals to help him win. Do I get it right? And another question what changes can we expect when the ultra conservative president take over the moderate one, both domestically and diplomatically?

On day1 for sure. Hopefully with at least 1 gold and 3 medals. I don't wanna see the Rio tragedy once again. Gold Chance: Women's 10m Air Rifle (30%) Women's 49kg Weightlifting (80%) Women's Individual Epée (20%) Medal Chance: Men's 10m Air Pistol (20%) Mixed Team Recurve Archery (30%)

Tian Tao and Deng Wei are both injured. So it's not surprising that they are not selected. Tian Tao underperformed in the Asian Championships which also served as national trial and Deng Wei was absent.

At that time OG had huge amount of points only less than Grand Slam in my memory. But now not only on money but also no points.

China finished trials but not announced the list yet. The debatable part is that if standard A in prelims and past events count when the number is not full in finals. My personal guess is that prelims count but past events don't. Still we don't know when to announce the list.

Thanks to Australia, we also qualify before the match starts.

Yes. We have 14 women, but with double starters. For both rifle and pistol, one individual event only, one attending individual and mixed, one mixed only.

Why China would decline females quota? China finished trials and announced current version list with 24 people. But we have 25 quotas. So China plans to return (not decline) one unused men's 10m air rifle quota to exchange one men's trap or men's skeet quota. It's permitted by the rule but China didn't find a NOC available to exchange quota yet. We are asking help for ISSF and waiting for confirmation.

Since CHN are both next best ranking team in LM and LW, we are hoping that we would receive at least one reallocation quota (especially with unclear qualification document, it seems with more hope in the chaos). But Apparently, we are just playing naive.

Rowing M1X: W1X: https://worldrowing.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/2020-Olympic-Paralympic-Qualification_150621.xls

For the withdrawer more or less similar, it's both very unlucky for them. But for their opponents(and opponents' future opponents), not for withdrawers, it's the real unfair part. Why could they benefit from opponents's withdrawal for one specific reason? They could withdraw for 100 reasons, but one of them makes me go to the next round.

Final list released, several continental quotas differences between speculation and final confirmation: https://worldrowing.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/2020-Olympic-Paralympic-Qualification_150621.xls

Actually I always have this confusion the standing before or after the combination. I hate those documents with unclear explanations.

It’s not that fair as it looks. it’s humanitarian but not fairness. For example, I lost in semi final but my opponent found COVID positive after that so I advance in final. And then I cherish this opportunity a lot, I defeated my opponent in final so I am the champion. To conclude I lost semifinal but I am the champion just because my opponent got a specific virus called COVID. But if he withdrew due to diarrhea then it’s a another story.

I can do a overall update of China: 13 Badminton should be 14, I think it just a little counting error. 2 Modern Pentathlon should be eventually 4. The remaining 2 are still pending for confirmation of the federation(the women's quota is based on the assumption of wild card reallocation). 1 Tennis should be eventually 6. China directly qualified 3 women's single through ranking, but after the withdrawals and reallocation, China will qualify 6 women's full team. 2 Trampoline should be 4. The ranking period already ends just pending for announcement. 2 Beach Volleyball. FIVB already released the list. And another women and men's pair possibly qualify through Asian cup, so eventually number should be 4 or 6. 6 Judo. Women's 48, 57, 63, 78, 78+ by world ranking and women's 70 by continental quota. Some extra information of other pending issue: Golf should be eventually 4. 1 man and 2 women through ranking and 1 man pending for reallocation as top3 in waiting-list. Artistic Gymnastics should be 12 after Doha World Cup stage finished. Athletics is around 51-53 people including marathon and race walking, Swimming is around 30-32 people excluding open water. Diving with 16 quotas but China will send up tp 11 people squad though list not released yet. Based on my calculation and speculation, the final size of China will be around 410-415 without counting highly possible use of P cards.

We are also very happy that they change the time. We may qualify before our match start if Jordan fails to win over Australia.

Like what they did in US open again？

Li Ranran finally sayonara

Most probably he will have steroid injection then.

Tian Tao is also suffering from injury though he finished ACh. Otherwise Tian has a good chance because China wants breakthrough in heavy weights.

My prediction is 100% correct. 64kg Deng Wei is not selected because of her injury and absence of the public trial ACh. It’s unlucky but unsurprised.

I hopr she doesn't know that. China counts on her qualifying through the match then Li Ranran can get the continental quota.

Sorry to hear that. What reason do you think cauesd economy recession of Iran? Mainly because external reasons like US sanction/exchange rate/oil price or internal political reasons?

What's the path for her to qualify then?

get the Asian individual quota.