Aquatics:
Artistic swimming: 0
Diving: 0
Open water swimming: 0
Swimming: 3-5 Hein, Saravia should go. Maybe Santillan, Dieleke, Ceballos too. Don't know if I'm missing someone else.
Water Polo: Since USA is qualified for the first time in decades it's not unthinkable to qualify in this sport. I'd say our men's team has a bit more of a chance since Canada men's team is weaker than their women's. Brazil has a stronger men's team but it's not impossible to beat. 0-12
Archery: we're always a coin toss apart from qualifying or not. Should be like that again. 0-1
Athletics: I'm actually optimistic to increase the numbers. 6-9
Badminton: Have never qualified and will not change soon. 0
Baseball: 0
Softball: we should've a stronger women's team honestly. 0
Basketball: This sport is currently dead here sadly. 0
Boxing: After failing to qualify anyone for the 1st time, only upwards is the way to go. 0-3
Canoe Slalom: Reallocations our only hope. 0-1
Canoe Sprint: Hope for some canoe presence this time. 2-4
Cricket: 0
Cycling
Road: we always get a quota. 1-2
Track: There are improvements but not enough to qualify. 0
BMX Freestyle: Torres will at least show up to defend his title I believe. Not certain since quotas are limited and he's a bit older. 0-1
BMX Racing: we always qualify for the men's event, shouldn't be different. 1
Mountain Biking: A marginal chance to make it. 0-1
Equestrian: We should get a quota, but not a certainty. 0-1
Fencing: Same as above but more than one is possible. 0-3
Field Hockey: Easy. 32
Flag Football: No... 0
Football: not sure if women's is already impossible. Men's is usually a 50/50. 0-18
Golf: A quota in men's golf is always at reach. 1-2.
Handball: only men's team has chance of around 40% I'd say. 0-12
Artistic Gymnastics: hopefully 1 each gender. 0-2
Trampoline Gymnastics: 0
Judo: Hoping for a continental quota. 1
Lacrosse: I don't think we have a federation. 0
Modern Pentathlon: Hoping for a quota. 0-1
Rowing: Are continental quotas still a thing? Only way we qualify. 0-1
Rugby Sevens: Men's. 12
Sailing: Nacra is in. Then some kite, windsurf and Laser quotas should come. 5-7
Shooting: Skeet M, Rifle M & maybe with less chance Rifle W. 1-3
Skateboarding: not an expert but don't think it should be disimilar to Paris? 0-2
Climbing: No chance, Canada too strong. 0
Squash: Dunno how many quotas are there but I think it isn't impossible for Romiglio. 0-1
Surfing: Unlikely but not impossible. 0-1
Table Tennis: i expect at least a quota with Lorenzo. 1-2
Taekwondo: continental qualification sees surprises and we aren't that bad. At the moment it doesn't seem like anyone should qualify but we'll see in two years. 0-1
Tennis: full men's team with maybe a token woman. 4-7
Triathlon: Nada. 0
Volleyball indoor: men's team has a chance to NOT qualify this time but they should in theory. 0-12
Beach V.: Capogrossos should qualify. Maybe a women's pair is also possible. 2-4
Weightlifting: 0
Wrestling: not impossible but not expecting it. 0-1
Pessimistic: 71
Likely: 120
Optimistic: 167