Ogreman

I thought it was a really good and enjoyable fight. It was the right decision though, Oumiha is ridiculously accurate and Sanford doesn't really move his head much so every single shot Oumiha threw landed. Second and third rounds were both close and Sanford landed some really good punches but while the French have gotten a couple of hometown decision, this wasn't one of them and I didn't have any issue with the scoring here. There is an important distinction to be made here between doing more of the work and landing more/ landing better punches. Doing more work is just a means to an end, the latter is the scoring criteria.

Not at the games, just haven't posted much during the games so apologies for that. Just haven't had as much time as I would have needed to do some of the things I had kind of wanted to get done. On the boxing, I just haven't had that many sophisticated thoughts on it beyond erratic judging and a dissapointing Irish display that I haven't fully got my head around. I missed a few sessions that I haven't had the chance to catch up on and the majority of the rest with the exception of the Irish fights it has been my second/third screen and boxing kind of needs your full focus. (plus that boxing thread has descended into some form of madness I do not think I can tame.) That said I do think my predictions/ rankings ultimately held up a little better than they were trending towards after the first few days but I won't have a full look back on them until after the boxing finishes and those first couple of days were just me wondering how I had spent so much time watching all of these fellas only to get so much so badly wrong. This does remind me I need to do a wrap up of my rowing form rankings but I was planning to update them daily and just didn't in the end. But yeah there were other things I wanted to do even smaller pieces of analysis on and just didn't get around to but I will post most of my thoughts once the games are over. So apologies, but it's nice to know someone misses me when I go somewhat quiet on this forum.

Look at the replay of the start lads. For me the Brits and the Americans are also over the line early. No idea how they don't restart a race where four boats are called back and for me it looks like at least 2 more are also over the line early. They slipped back because they took risks on the second and third leg which they didn't actually need to take. If they had just followed the Poles on the third leg, they would have medalled but they tacked early and try to go up the right hand side and it didnt work. Don't discredit their performance based on the medal race. They have been great all week and deserved a medal.

[hide] Event & Date Athletes Gold Silver Bronze Men's 20km Race Walk Day 1 August 1st 2024 Any Australian Athlete Caio Bonfim Evan Dunfee Li Yandong Wang Zhaozhao Zhang Jun x Brian Pintado Christopher Linke Massimo Stano Ryo Hamanishi Koki Ikeda x Yuta Koga Diego Garcia Carrera Alvaro Martin Paul McGrath Perseus Karlstroem x Any Other Athlete Women's 20km Race Walk Day 1 August 1st 2024 Jemima Montag Viviane Lyra Liu Hong Ma Zhenxia Yang Jiayu x Lorena Arenas Glenda Morejon Antonella Palmisano Nanako Fujii Alegna Gonzalez Kimberly Garcia Leon x Evelyn Inga Laura Garcia-Caro Maria Perez x Any Other Athlete Men's 10,000m Day 2 August 2nd 2024 Mohammed Ahmed Any Eriterian Athlete Berihu Aregawi Selemon Barega x Yomif Kejelcha Benard Kibet Nicholas Kipkorir Daniel Mateiko Adriaan Wildschutt Joshua Cheptegei x Jacob Kiplimo x Grant Fischer Any Other American Athlete Any Other Athlete Men's Shot Put Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Darlan Romani Filip Mihaljevic Tomas Stanek Leonardo Fabbri x Zane Weir Rajindra Campbell Bob Bertemes Jacko Gill Tom Walsh Chukwuebuka Enekwechi Ryan Crouser x Joe Kovacs x Payton Otterdahl Any Other Athlete Women's Triple Jump Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Leyanis Perez Hernandez x Lidagmis Povea Thea Lafond x Dariya Derkach Shanieka Ricketts Kimberly Williams Ana Peleteiro-Compaore Tugba Danismaz Maryna Bekh-Romanchuk x Tori Franklin Jasmine Moore Keturah Orji Any Other Athlete Mixed 4x400m Relay Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Bahamas Belgium Dominican Republic France Germany Great Britain x Ireland Jamaica Netherlands x Nigeria Poland Switzerland United States x* Any Other Nations Women's 100m Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Marie-Josee Ta Lou-Smith Dina Asher-Smith Any Other British Athlete Tiana Clayton Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce x Shericka Jackson Rosemary Chukwuma Ewa Swoboda Julien Alfred x Melissa Jefferson Sha'Carri Richardson x Twanisha Terry Any Other Athlete Men's Decathlon Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Damian Warner x Johannes Erm Karel Tilga Makenson Gletty Niklas Kaul Leo Neugebauer x Lindon Victor Any Norwegian Athlete x Ayden Owens-Delerme Heath Baldwin Harrison Williams Zachery Ziemek Any Other Athlete Women's High Jump Day 4 August 4th 2024 Nicola Olyslagers x Eleanor Patterson x Any German Athlete Morgan Lake Lamara Distin Maria Zodzik Angela Topic Lia Apostolovski Iryna Gerashchenko Yuliia Levchenko Yaroslava Mahuchikh x* Vashti Cunningham Rachel Glenn Any Other Athlete Men's Hammer Throw Day 4 August 4th 2024 Ethan Katzberg x* Any Chilean Athlete Yann Chaussinand Merlin Hummel Any Greek Athlete Bence Halasz x Eivind Henriksen Pawel Fajdek Wojciech Nowicki x Mykhaylo Kokhan Daniel Haugh Rudy Winkler Any Other Athlete Men's 100m Day 4 August 4th 2024 Letsile Tebogo x Any Canadian Athlete Zharnel Hughes Lamont Marcell Jacobs Ackeem Blake Oblique Seville x Kishane Thompson Ferdinand Omanyala Emmanuel Matadi Favour Ashe Akani Simbine Kenneth Bednarek Fred Kerley Noah Lyles x Any Other Athlete Men's Pole Vault Day 5 August 5th 2024 Kurtis Marschall Thibaut Collet Bo Kanda Lita Baehre Emmanouil Karalis Claudio Michel Stecchi Menno Vloon Any Norwegian Athlete Ernest John Obiena Piotr Lisek Armand Duplantis x* Ersu Sasma Sam Kendricks x Christopher Nilsen x Jacob Wooten Any Other Athlete Women's Discus Throw Day 5 August 5th 2024 Feng Bin x Sandra Elkasevic Yaime Perez x Any Other Cuban Athlete Shanice Craft Kristin Pudenz Marike Steinacker Daisy Osakue Jorinde Van Klinken Liliana Ca Irina Rodrigues Valarie Allman x Any Other Athlete Women's 5000m Day 5 August 5th 2024 Jessica Hull Medina Eisa Ejgayehu Taye Gudaf Tsegay x Nadia Battocletti Nozomi Tanaka Beatrice Chebet Faith Kipyegon x Laura Galvan Sifan Hassan x Karoline Bjerkeli Grovdal Any American Athlete Joselyn Brea Any Other Athlete Women's 800m Day 5 August 5th 2024 Catriona Bisset Habitam Alemu Tsige Duguma Worknesh Mesele Renelle Lamote Phoebe Gill Keely Hodgkinson x Jemma Reekie x Natoya Goule-Toppin Mary Moraa x Prudence Sekgodiso Audrey Werro Halimah Nakaayi Nia Akins Any Other American Athlete Any Other Athlete Women's Hammer Throw Day 6 August 6th 2024 Hanna Skydan Camryn Rogers x Wang Zheng Zhao Jie x Katrine Koch Jacobsen Silja Kosonen Krista Tervo Sara Fantini Zalina Marghieva Anita Wlodarczyk Bianca Florentina Ghelber Annette Echikunwoke DeAnna Price x Any Other Athlete Men's Long Jump Day 6 August 6th 2024 Christopher Mitrevski Wang Jianan Filip Pravdica Radek Juska Miltiadis Tentoglou x Mattia Furlani x Tajay Gayle Carey McLeod Wayne Pinnock x Yuki Hashioka Simon Ehammer Lin Yu-Tang Any American Athlete Any Other Athlete Men's 1500m Day 6 August 6th 2024 Any Australian Athlete Azeddine Habz Josh Kerr x Any Other British Athlete Andrew Coscoran Reynold Kipkorir Cheruiyot Timothy Cheruiyot Samuel Tanner Jakob Ingebrigtsen x Narve Gilje Nordas Isaac Nader Mario Garcia Cole Hocker Yared Nuguse x Any Other Athlete Women's 3000m Steeplechase Day 6 August 6th 2024 Winfred Mutile Yavi x Sembo Almayew Lomi Muleta Alice Finot Any British Athlete Daisy Jepkemei Beatrice Chepkoech x Jackline Chepkoech Faith Cherotich Marwa Bouzayani Peruth Chemutai x Valerie Constein Any Other American Athlete Any Other Athlete Women's 200m Day 6 August 6th 2024 Audrey Leduc Marie-Josee Ta Lou-Smith Dina Asher-Smith x Daryll Neita Shericka Jackson Any Other Jamaican Athlete Thelma Davies Favour Ofili Julien Alfred x Brittany Brown Mckenzie Long Gabrielle Thomas x Any Other Athlete Mixed 35km Race Walk Team Day 7 August 7 2024 Australia Brazil China x Colombia France Germany Italy Japan Mexico x Spain x Ukraine Any Other Nation Women's Pole Vault Day 7 August 7th 2024 Nina Kennedy x* Alysha Newman Amalie Svabikova Wilma Murto Molly Caudery x Aikaterini Stefanidi Roberta Bruni Eliza McCartney Tina Sutej Angelica Moser Brynn King Katie Moon x Bridget Williams Robeilys Peinado Any Other Athlete Men's Discus Throw Day 7 August 7th 2024 Matthew Denny Lukas Weisshaidinger Any German Athlete Ralford Mullings Traves Smikle Roje Stona Mykolas Alekna x* Andrius Gudzius Connor Bell Alex Rose Kristjan Ceh x Daniel Stahl x Any American Athlete Any Other Athlete Men's 400m Day 7 August 7th 2024 Steven Gardiner Alexander Doom x Bayapo Ndori Christopher Morales-Williams Charles Dobson Matthew Hudson-Smith x Kirani James Any Jamaican Athlete Havard Bentdal Ingvaldsen Christopher Bailey Quincy Hall x Michael Norman Any Other Athlete Men's 3000m Steeplechase Day 7 August 7th 2024 Samuel Firewu Lamecha Girma x Getnet Wale Any French Athlete Avinash Mukund Sable Ryuji Miura Abraham Kibiwot x Simon Kiprop Koech Amos Serem Soufiane El Bakkali x Geordie Beamish Daniel Arce Mohamed Amin Jhinaoui Any Other Athlete Women's Long Jump Day 8 August 8th 2024 Plamena Mitkova Marthe Koala Mikaelle Assani Malaika Mihambo x Larissa Iapichino Sumire Hata Ese Brume Agate De Sousa Alina Rotaru-Kottmann Milica Gardasevic Ivana Spanovic x Fatima Diame Tara Davis-Woodhall x Jasmine Moore Any Other Athlete Men's Javelin Throw Day 8 August 8th 2024 Jakub Vadlejch x Oliver Helander Teura'itera'i Tupaia Julian Weber x Anderson Peters Neeraj Chopra x Kishore Jena Edis Matusevicius Andrian Mardare Arshad Nadeem Alexandru Mihaita Novac Keshorn Walcott Curtis Thompson Any Other Athlete Men's 200m Day 8 August 8th 2024 Letsile Tebogo x Aaron Brown Aaron De Grasse Alexander Ogando Joshua Hartmann Zharnel Hughes Andrew Hudson Bryan Levell Joseph Fahnbulleh Any South African Athlete Tarsis Orogot Kenneth Bednarek x Erriyon Knighton Noah Lyles x Any Other Athlete Women's 400m Hurdles Day 8 August 8th 2024 Kemi Adekoya Hanne Claes Savannah Sutherland Any French Athlete Jessie Knight Ayomide Folorunso Rushell Clayton x Janieve Russell Shiann Salmon Femke Bol x Any Ukranian Athlete Anna Cockrell Jasmine Jones Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone x Any Other Athlete Men's 110m Hurdles Day 8 August 8th 2024 Wilhem Belocian Sasha Zhoya Lorenzo Ndele Simonelli Orlando Bennett Rasheed Broadbell Hansle Parchment Shunsuke Izumiya Rachid Muratake Louis Francois Mendy Enrique Llopis Jason Joseph Freddie Crittenden x Grant Holloway x* Daniel Roberts x Any Other Athlete Women's 4x100m Relay Day 9 August 9th 2024 Australia Canada Cote D'Ivoire France Germany Great Britain x Italy Jamaica x Netherlands Poland United States x* Any Other Nation Women's Shot Put Day 9 August 9th 2024 Sarah Mitton x Gong Lijiao x Song Jiayuan Yemisi Ogunleye Danniel Thomas-Dodd Jorinde van Klinken Jessica Schilder Maddison-Lee Wesche Jessica Inchude Fanny Roos Chase Jackson x Jaida Ross Raven Saunders Any Other Athlete Men's 4x100m Relay Day 9 August 9th 2024 Australia Canada China France Germany Great Britain Italy x Jamaica x Japan Nigeria South Africa United States x Any Other Nation Women's 400m Day 9 August 9th 2024 Salwa Eid Naser Sada Williams Cynthia Bolingo Marileidy Paulino x Amber Anning Rhasidat Adekele x Nickisha Pryce Stacey Ann Williams Lieke Klaver Natalia Kaczmarek x Aaliyah Butler Kendall Ellis Alexia Holmes Any Other Athlete Men's Triple Jump Day 9 August 9th 2024 Yasser Mohammed Triki Hugues Fabrice Zango x Almir Do Santos Fang Yaoqing Zhu Yaming Lazaro Martinez Christian Napoles Thomas Gogois Emmanuel Ihejeme Andy Diaz Hernandez Jaydon Hibbert Jordan Alejandro Diaz Fortun x Any American Athlete Any Other Athlete x Women's Heptathlon Day 9 August 9th 2024 Nafissatou Thiam x Noor Vidts Saga Vanninen Auriana Lazraq-Khlass Katarina Johnson-Thompson x Xenia Krizsan Sofie Dokter Emma Oosterwegel Anouk Vetter Adriana Sulek-Schubert Annika Kalin Taliyah Brooks Anna Hall x Chari Hawkins Any Other Athlete Women's 10,000m Day 9 August 9th 2024 Lauren Ryan Francine Niyomukunzi Rahel Daniel Tsigie Gebreselama Fotyen Tesfay Gudaf Tsegay x Any British Athlete Beatrice Chebet x Margaret Chelimo Kipkemboi Lilian Kasait Rengeruk Sifan Hassan x Sarah Chelangat Joy Cheptoyek Weini Kelati Frezghi Any Other Athlete Men's 400m Hurdles Day 9 August 9th 2024 Alison Dos Santos x Kyron McMaster Rasmus Magi Wilfried Happio Alessandro Sibilio Roshawn Clarke Malik James-King Karsten Warholm x Abderrahman Samba Carl Bengstroem CJ Allen Trevor Bassitt Rai Benjamin x Any Other Athlete Men's Marathon Day 10 August 10th 2024 Bashir Abdi Kenenisa Bekele Deresa Geleta Sisay Lemma x Morhad Amdouni Amanal Petros Gashau Ayale Eluid Kipchoge x Benson Kipruto x Alexander Mutiso Abdi Nageeye Gabriel Gerald Geay Kaan Kigen Ozbilen Any Other Athlete Men's High Jump Day 10 August 10th 2024 Any Australian Athlete Donald Thomas Thomas Carmoy Luis Enrique Zayas Tobias Poyte Gianmarco Tamberi x Ryoichi Akamatsu Hamish Kerr x Norbert Kobielski Mutaz Essa Barshim x Woo Sanghyeok Oleh Doroshchuk Andrii Protsenko Shelby McEwen Any Other Athlete Men's 800m Day 10 August 10th 2024 Slimane Moula Djamel Sedjati x Any Athlete from Botswana Marco Arop x Any French Athlete Max Burgin Ben Pattison Koitatoi Kidali Wyclife Kinyamal Emmanuel Wanyonyi x Adrian Ben Bryce Hoppel Hobbs Kessler Brandon Miller Any Other Nation Women's Javelin Throw Day 10 August 10th 2024 Mackenzie Little x Kathryn Mitchell Victoria Hudson Flor Denis Ruiz Hurtado x Nikola Ogrodnikova Haruka Kitaguchi x Lina Muze-Serma Anete Sietina Tori Peeters Adriana Vilagos Jo-Amne Van Dyk Maggie Malone Any Other Nation Women's 100m Hurdles Day 10 August 10th 2024 Devynne Charlton Cyrena Samba-Mayela x Ackera Nugent Any Other Jamaican Athlete Nadine Visser Tobi Amusan Pia Skrzyszowska Jasmine Camacho-Quinn x Ditaji Kambundji Alaysha Johnson Masai Russell x Grace Stark Any Other Athlete Men's 5000m Day 10 August 10th 2024 Stewart McSweyn Mohammed Ahmed Hagos Gebrhiwet Yomif Kejelcha x Addisu Yihune Jimmy Gressier Luis Grijalva Any British Athlete Jacob Krop x Thierry Ndikumwenayo Jacob Kiplimo Any Other Ugandian Athlete Grant Fisher Any Other Athlete x* Women's 1500m Day 10 August 10th 2024 Linden Hall Jessica Hull Birke Haylom Gudaf Tsegay x Diribe Welteji x Laura Muir Ciara Mageean Nelly Chepchirchir Susan Lokayo Ejore Faith Kipyegon x* Sifan Hassan Nikki Hiltz Emily Mackay Elle St. Pierre Any Other Athlete Men's 4x400m Relay Day 10 August 10th 2024 Belgium Botswana x Brazil France Germany Great Britain x Italy Japan Nigeria South Africa Spain Trinidad & Tobago United States x Any Other Nation Women's 4x400m Relay Day 10 August 10th 2024 Belgium Canada France Great Britain x Ireland Italy Jamaica Netherlands x Norway Poland Spain United States x Any Other Nation Women's Marathon Day 11 August 11th 2024 Eunice Chebichii Chumba Dolshi Tesfu Megertu Alemu Tigist Assefa x Amane Beriso Hitomi Niiya Hitomi Niiya Peres Jepchirchir x Sharon Lokedi Hellen Obiri Sifan Hassan x Magdalena Shauri Helen Bekele Stella Chesang Betsy Saina Any Other Athlete [/hide]

I had it on but wasn't fully focused on it so only saw bits and pieces. Didn't have an issue with Chinyemba winning based on what I saw but I didn't see the full fight so can't really comment on it. I will try to watch it later. There are a few other fights I need to properly rewatch as well.

Just updating these with early eliminated boats/ finalists. Apologies for the purple but I couldn't find a good colour, All the reds look like bronze. Lithuania's double obviously the big early loser but it was a complete lottery what kind of form they would show up with. Speaking of the women's double. The two semi-finals there are ridiculously lopsided, Romania, USA, Australia, Norway and the Brits who looked good in their heat, all in the semi final. Given Ireland's in the other one I'm not complaining. China LW2x caught a massive crab which is why they are gone and Italy's new men's double just didn't work. Quads have mostly gone roughly to form although China's women don't look they will medal.

Olympic Predictions (M92+kg, Predicted Medal Table) M92+kg Gold- Bakhodir Jalolov (1) , Silver- Kamshybek Kunkabayev (2) , Bronze- Joshua Edwards (4) , Bronze- Abner Texeira (6) . Seedings 1 Joshua Edwards (USA) 8 Mahammad Abdullayev (AZE) 2 Delicious Orie (GBR) 7 Kamshybek Kunkabayev (KAZ) 3 Mourad Kadi (ALG) 6 Abner Texeira (BRA) 4 Bakhodir Jalolov (UZB) 5 Teremoana Jnr (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Joshua Edwards (4) . Very interesting bracket to start off. Nelvie Tiafack (5) and Mahammad Abdullayev (11) reacquaint with each other after Abdullayev beat Tiafack to qualify for the Olympics back at European games. Tiafack had won when they met prior to that. Tiafack is inconsistent and both he and Abdullayev are quite similar being kind of traditional bruising powerful super-heavyweights that don’t move a whole lot. Diego Lenzi (10) has taken a couple of quality scalps earlier this year (Orie and Ghadfa Drissi el Aissaoui) but has an uphill task against Panam champion Josh Edwards. Edwards is a tidy boxer but physically he is not as built as most heavyweights and whether it is Tiafack or Abdullayev, it will be interesting to see how he deals with that level of power. I like his chances though. Bracket 2 My pick- Bakhodir Jalolov (1) . Defending champion Bakhodir Jalolov is the most clear cut favourite in boxing, last lost a fight in 2018 and has beaten most of his primary competition here including Teremoana Jnr (3) who is his toughest opponent between him and a medal. Teremoana packs a serious punch and should be able to dispatch Dmytro Lovchynskyi (14) in his opening fight. Omar Shiha (13) enjoyed a stroke of luck to qualify with a cut ending Danabieke Bayikewuzi’s hopes but got no luck here and will do well to last 3 rounds against Jalolov. Bracket 3 My pick- Abner Texeira (6) . On paper the weakest of the four brackets. Both last 16 fights should be fairly straightforward wins for Djamili Aboudou Moindze (12) against Mourad Kadi (16) who does have the odd good win on his resume and Abner Texeira against the tricky Gerlon Congo (15) who Texeira has beaten before. That would set up an fascinating quarter final between Aboudou Moindze and Texeira with both boxers having beaten each other in the past, with the most recent contest going in favour of the home boxer. With home advantage I really feel like I should pick the Frenchman but I do think Texeira is the significantly more talented boxer and as such expect him to produce the goods when it counts. Bracket 4 My pick- Kamshybek Kunkabayev (2) . Quality bracket this where all four of these boxers have significant pedigree. 2021 world silver medallist Davit Chaloyan (9) meets European champion Delicious Orie (8) . Orie has had some bad losses of late and the Brits comparing him to Anthony Joshua is delusional but he is talented and for me should beat Chaloyan. World bronze medallist Ghadfa Drissi el Aissaoui (7) faces Olympic bronze medallist Kamshybek Kunkabayev in what should be quite a close fight. Ghadfa Drissi el Aissaoui is a big man and consistent operator but I will back Kunkabayev although he is the boring pick. Kunkabayev against Orie should also be close but I’m not that convinced by Orie so let’s back Kunkabayev. Medal Fights Josh Edwards (4) vs Bakhodir Jalolov (1) , Abner Texeira (6) vs Kamshybek Kunkabayev (2) . While I think Edwards is talented, he won’t get close to Jalolov. I’m close to certain the second semi-final will be different than this prediction but if this was the particular semi-final, I’ll stick with the boring pick of Kunkabayev. The final would then be a renewal of the Kunkabeyev vs Jalolov rivalry although calling it a rivalry is generous as Jalolov has always won this matchup comfortably consistently. Gold- Bakhodir Jalolov , Silver- Kamshybek Kunkabayev , Bronze- Joshua Edwards , Bronze- Abner Texeira . Predicted medal table Predicted Gold Predicted Silver Predicted Bronze Total medals Contenders (Top 8 in rankings) Uzbekistan 3 1 1 5 8 Turkey 2 0 0 2 3 Kazakhstan 1 2 1 4 6 France 1 1 1 3 4 Ireland 1 0 2 3 7 Chinese Taipei 1 0 1 2 3 Italy 1 0 0 1 3 North Korea 1 0 0 1 2 Canada 1 0 0 1 1 Ukraine 1 0 0 1 1 China 0 3 0 3 6 India 0 1 3 4 4 USA 0 1 2 3 4 Cuba 0 1 1 2 5 Philippines 0 1 1 2 3 Thailand 0 1 0 1 3 Romania 0 1 0 1 1 Brazil 0 0 3 3 6 Bulgaria 0 0 2 2 4 Georgia 0 0 2 2 2 Australia 0 0 1 1 3 Colombia 0 0 1 1 3 Congo 0 0 1 1 3 Spain 0 0 1 1 2 Azerbaijan 0 0 1 1 1 Dominican Republic 0 0 1 1 1 South Korea 0 0 1 1 1 Great Britain and NI 0 0 0 0 3 Serbia 0 0 0 0 2 Algeria 0 0 0 0 1 Croatia 0 0 0 0 1 Denmark 0 0 0 0 1 Refugee team 0 0 0 0 1 Germany 0 0 0 0 1 Mexico 0 0 0 0 1 Norway 0 0 0 0 1 Panama 0 0 0 0 1 Poland 0 0 0 0 1 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 1 Zambia 0 0 0 0 1 So I have Uzbekistan expected to top the medal table with Turkey in a very precarious second, Decent and successful games for Kazakhstan, Ireland, France and Chinese Taipei. I have India winning a miraculous four medals and while the USA and China would be happy with 4 and 3 medals respectively the lack of gold would frustrate them. I should note this is already wrong as Oh Yeonji lost today to Wu Shih-yi .

Olympics Predictions (M71kg, M92kg) M71kg Gold- Aslanbek Shymbergenov (1) , Silver- Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev (3) , Bronze- Omari Jones (6) , Bronze- Nishant Dev (7) . Seedings 1 Shannan Davey (AUS) 8 Kan Chia-wei 2 Marco Verde (MEX) 7 Jose Rodriguez (ECU) 3 Sewon Okazawa (JPN) 6 Vakhid Abbasov (SRB) 4 Nikolai Terteryan (DEN) 5 Omar Elawady (EGY) Bracket 1 My pick- Omari Jones (6) . The most open division of all. Top 8 ranked boxers all probably have legitimate dreams of topping the podium. This top bracket is fairly predictable with 2021 67kg world silver medallist Omari Jones being the pick of the bunch. He opens his account against surprise Asian silver medallist Chia Wei Kan (18) in the last 16. His likely quarter final opponent is Damian Durkacz (12) although Durkacz who competed in Tokyo at 63kg does have a tough size mismatch against natural 75kg Rami Kiwan (14) who used his height and reach advantage well to beat the similar in size and style Wanderson de Oliveira at the 1st world qualifier and could do it again here against Durkacz. Shannan Davey (20) is somewhat hilariously technically the number 1 seed while also being my lowest ranked boxer. He is tall and not the easiest opponent to hit but would be shocked if he beat Durkacz or Kiwan. Jones should be too quick and agile for Durkacz or Kiwan but he himself is also on the smaller side and could struggle a bit against the range of Kiwan. Bracket 2 My pick- Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev (3) . Really tough bracket to call. Olympic bronze medallist Aidan Walsh (8) opens things up against Makan Traore (15) who he should be too good for but will have to overcome the French home advantage. 67kg world champion Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev meets African champion Omar Elawady (19) in the most one sided fight in this bracket. Assuming Walsh wins his first fight, that would set a fascinating fight with European champion Nikolai Terteryan (4) . Terteryan is a quality operator but it will be interesting how he deals with Walsh’s counterpunching and defensive skills. The winner would then meet Muydinkhujaev who is mobile and difficult to hit. I tentatively would back Aidan Walsh to beat Terteryan although that is taking nothing away from Terteryan’s quality and then would pick Muydinkhujaev to take a narrow split decision in a scrappy fight against Walsh in the quarter finals but I really amn’t sure. Bracket 3 My pick- Aslanbek Shymbergenov (1) . Another tricky one with 2021 67kg world champion Sewon Okazawa (5) reacquainting himself with reigning 71kg world champion Aslanbek Shymbergenov. They met in the semifinal of Asian games and a very controversial decision went in favour of Okazawa. Both are counterpunchers so expect an ugly fight. Shymbergenov does have to beat the aggressive Zeyad Eashash (9) beforehand but he has navigated that matchup before. The other side of this bracket sees an interesting matchup between two European medallists Lewis Richardson (11) and Vakhid Abbasov (10) . Another massive size mismatch in favour of Richardson and on current form, I might back Richardson. Regardless the winner of Shymbergenov vs Okazawa fight should medal here although I really hope it is Shymbergenov because I don’t like Okazawa’s style or his nonsense showboating. Bracket 4 My pick- Nishant Dev (7) . The final bracket should be fairly straightforward until the quarter finals. Firstly World bronze medallist Nishant Dev should be much too good for Jose Rodriguez (16) . Late entry Magomed Schachidov (13) should also be comfortably able to beat Tiago Muxanga (17) who is one of the better universality qualifiers. Panam Champ Marco Verde (2) should then beat Schachidov although Schachidov is tough to beat and will make him work for it. Nishant vs Verde should be a close fight. Nishant won when they met at the 2021 world championships. Verde likes to come forward and Nishant is most effective when is opponent comes to him so while I think Verde is one of the best boxers in this draw, this matchup does suit Nishant. Medal Fights Omari Jones (6) vs Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev (3) , Aslanbek Shymbergenov (1) vs Nishant Dev (7) . Both semifinals will be close and I’m certain that my predictions up to this point won’t prove accurate so predicting the medal rounds here is a fool’s errand but anyway, Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev assuming he can beat Walsh or Terteryan would then be favoured against Omari Jones. Aslanbek Shymbergenov has beaten Nishant (and Marco Verde) before which would set up a rematch with Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev in the final. At Asian games Muydinkhujaev took a scrappy opening two rounds against Shymbergenov to take control of the fight before Shymbergenov unleashed hell in the final round to ultimately force 3 standing counts and the stoppage. So despite spending this entire cycle believing that while Shymbergenov is talented, not good enough to win and that I wouldn’t pick him for gold, I am picking him to win gold. Gold- Aslanbek Shymbergenov , Silver- Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev , Bronze- Omari Jones , Bronze- Nishant Dev . M92kg Gold- Aziz Abbes Mouhiidine (1) , Silver- Julio Cesar la Cruz (3) , Bronze- Georgi Kushitashvili (8) , Bronze- Enmanuel Reyes (7) c. Seedings 1 Ato Plodzicki Faoagali (SAM) 8 Han Xuezhen (CHN) 2 Davlat Boltaev (TJK) 7 Jack Marley (IRL) 3 Aziz Abbes Mouhiidine (ITA) 6 Keno Machado (BRA) 4 Julio Cesar la Cruz (CUB) 5 Adam Olaore (NGR) Bracket 1 My pick- Enmanuel Reyes (7) . So in theory this is quite a straightforward bracket. Enmanuel Reyes is by far the most talented of the boxers in this section but opens his account against the awkward and difficult to hit Han Xuezhen (13) . Meanwhile, the even more frustrating to box and 2021 world 86kg medallist Victor Schelstraete (12) meets Ato Plodzicki-Faoagali (15) . Schelstraete likes to draw boxers in with a low guard, poke out a jab with his long reach and then tie his opponent up and I suspect that strategy will work against the plodding Plodzicki-Faoagali who only knows how to come forward. I do really hope Plodzicki-Faoagali could sneak a win here after the news about his coach. Schelstraete will give Reyes some trouble but you would have to trust Reyes to produce when it counts. Schelstraete has a real shot though. Bracket 2 My pick-Julio Cesar la Cruz (3) . So I’ve gone back and forth with my thoughts on two time Olympic champion Julio Cesar la Cruz over this Olympic cycle. He has lost a step and isn’t as agile as he once was but he does move quite well and the punch picking is still there. He has got an interesting first fight against former Cuban and fellow Olympic medallist Loren Alfonso (6) . I wouldn’t call this a fight to watch as it will likely more closely resemble a staring contest than a boxing fight. They last met in 2019 where naturally la Cruz won unanimously. In the other fight Adam Olaore (16) faces 86kg Asian champion Aybek Oralbay (5) in what should be a straightforward win for the Kazakh. Oralbay will test La Cruz and the Cuban will need to be on his game but you would have to back la Cruz. Bracket 3 My pick-Aziz Abbes Mouhiidine (1) . This bracket is absolutely stacked and world silver medallist Mouhiidine could not have got a tougher draw. The world bronze medallist Lazizbek Mullojonov (4) is first up for Mouhiidine. Mullojonov is a very complete boxer with very few weaknesses but I do think Mouhiidine’s back foot boxing should prevail. I thought Keno Machado (2) deserved to beat la Cruz last year but didn’t get the decision and now has a very tough path to a medal. He matches up against bruiser Patrick Brown (10) . He beat Brown in Finland at the end of 2022 although Brown has improved since, not enough to flip this fight though. We then should get one of if not the best fights in this division with Mouhiidine matching up against Machado. Talent wise you could make a case for Machado but Mouhiidine has been there and done it albeit not yet at the Olympics of course. Bracket 4 My pick- Georgi Kushitashvili (8) . I wasn’t feeling great about Jack Marley’s (9) medal hopes over the last couple of months but this draw brings him right into contention. European games silver medallist Marley has met counterpuncher Mateusz Bereznicki (14) before having beaten him at European under 22s 2 years ago. Kushitashvili doesn’t have the easiest of opening fights against Asian champion and quality counterpuncher Davlat Boltaev (11) . 86kg world medallist Kushitashvili has looked really good since moving up to heavyweight having initially tried to qualify at 80kg but is not the fastest and has lost to counterpunchers before. Kushitashvili vs Marley is potentially a really interesting fight with Marley’s speed likely to give Kushitashvili some trouble but reluctantly I will back the experienced Kushitashvili. Medal Fights Enmanuel Reyes (7) vs Julio Cesar la Cruz (3) , Aziz Abbes Mouhiidine (1) vs Georgi Kushitashvili (8) . If Mouhiidine can get this far he will beat Kushitashvili and while I’m sure Enmanuel Reyes would love to avenge his Tokyo quarter final loss to la Cruz, I don’t see it happening. Mouhiidine vs la Cruz would be a fascinating final with neither boxer likely to want to take the initiative. There is logic in picking la Cruz to win a third Olympic title especially given how tough Mouhiidine’s path to the final is but at this point in their respective careers it seems to me like this is Mouhiidine’s to lose Gold- Aziz Abbes Mouhiidine , Silver- Julio Cesar la Cruz , Bronze- Georgi Kushitashvili , Bronze- Enmanuel Reyes .

Olympic Predictions (M51kg, M57kg) M51kg Gold- Hasanboy Dusmatov (1) , Silver- Billal Bennama (3) , Bronze- Amit (5) , Bronze- Nijat Huseynov (10) . Seedings 1 Bilal Bennama (FRA) 8 Michael de Trindade (BRA) 2 Hasanboy Dusmatov (UZB) 7 Samet Gumus (TUR) 3 Patrick Chinyemba (ZAM) 6 Thitisan Panmot (THA) 4 Junior Alcantara (DOM) 5 Yusuf Chothia (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Billal Bennama (3) . So despite what others in this thread have tried to claim. No France did not get easy draws. About half of their boxers got tough draws and half of them got good draws. This for example is a tough draw when it was possible if not likely multi time European champion and two time world medallist Billal Bennama would have a fairly easy path to the medal fights. Instead he faces 2021 world silver medallist Roscoe Hill (4) in the last 16 assuming Hill beats Omid Ahmadisafa (16) . Both Hill and Bennama’s form has been questionable of late with both suffering recent surprise defeats and style wise they are quite similar as well. Both look to box on the outside and are effective on the move and they may well cancel each other out so while I wouldn’t expect it to be a great spectacle, it should be one of the best fights in this division. Alejandro Claro (6) just has to navigate a fight with Michael de Trindade (15) to await the winner of Bennama vs Hill. Claro is not quite in the top tier of boxers in this division and would have been hoping for a better draw. Hill edged past Claro at Panam games, Hill deserved to win but did not deserve the 10-8 final round one of the judges awarded him to flip the outcome of the fight. Bennama on the other hand faced Claro in Cuba vs France match earlier this year. Claro technically won but only because the fight was in Cuba with Cuban judges. Bennama deserves to be favourite here but both Hill and Claro will fancy their chances and I expect 2 very close fights here. Bracket 2 My pick- Nijat Huseynov (10) . Flyweight had some surprise qualifiers, some as a result of shock results, a couple as a result of weak brackets and some just a consequence of the parity in this weight class but the consequence of these is that flyweight lacks that many top tier medal contenders and it was always possible we get a bracket like this where my highest ranked boxer is 10th. This one is tough to predict though. The fight I am very willing to call is 2022 world youth bronze medallist Rafa Lozano Jr (11) against Yusuf Chothia (17) , with the Spaniard being a comfortable favourite. Both Nijat Huseynov and Junior Alcantara (13) upset Roscoe Hill in quota fights and having both gone into their respective fights as massive underdogs. Nijat Huseynov is a European under 22 champion and did also beat world bronze medallist Deepak Bhoria at that first world qualifier. He is a decent counterpuncher, but doesn’t move as effectively or smoothly as you would expect given his style. Alcantara is somehow Panam champion and isn’t easy to box. You would have to back Huseynov to win this fight and while an impressive young boxer it is hard to see Lozano beating Huseynov either. They are all inexperienced though with Huseynov being the oldest of the 3 contenders for this medal at just 21. Bracket 3 My pick- Amit Panghal (5) . So 2019 world silver medallist Amit Panghal having failed to medal as the top seed in Tokyo and then not be picked for the first two qualifiers, it seemed like his Olympic medal hopes were gone but now he is a favourite to medal. Patrick Chinyemba (8) is a tricky opponent and one of the strongest African boxers here but Amit has beaten him before at commonwealth games. In the other last 16 fight Asian silver medallist Thitisan Panmot (7) takes on the difficult to peg David de Pina (14) . De Pina is pretty impressive to watch, he moves and picks his shots very effectively but yet he has some atrocious losses on his resume. Panmot is a fairly talented boxer and is effective on the front foot which will be crucial for his chances against Amit who has struggled when put under pressure and doesn’t move as well as he used to. That said, I haven’t quite been convinced by Panmot and would be relatively confident in Amit’s chances Bracket 4 My pick- Hasanboy Dusmatov (1) . So just like at Asian games world champions Saken Bibossinov (2) and Hasanboy Dusmatov look set to meet before the medal rounds. They have met 3 times with Bibossinov winning on his way to his 2021 world title before Dusmatov won the two more recent matchups at Asian champs in 2022 and Asian Games last year. For me Dusmatov is the better and more reliable boxer and I would be surprised if Bibossinov could overturn this one. Bibossinov is also vulnerable to surprise losses and does have a tricky enough last 16 fight against Samet Gumus (9) . Dusmatov should not have any trouble beating Juanma Lopez (12) despite the young Puerto Ricon’s talents. Medal Fights Bilal Bennama (3) vs Nijat Huseynov (10) , Amit (5) vs Hasanboy Dusmatov (1) . If these prove to be the medal fights, I can only really see them playing out one way. Bennama if he can navigate Hill and Claro should be able to beat the similar stylistically Huseynov unless he takes his eye off the ball. Amit does actually have a win against Dusmatov from 2018 albeit with 2 losses the previous year in 2017. Despite Dusmatov actually being the older of the 2, at this point in their career, their appears to only be one winner. Dusmatov and Bennama met in the world final last year and Dusmatov landed a KO in the first round so even with home advantage Bennama doesn’t appear to have path to winning this. That said I should add the caveat that this division incredibly unpredictable in qualifying so these medals and their respective colours could easily prove woefully inaccurate. Gold- Hasanboy Dusmatov , Silver- Billal Bennama , Bronze- Amit , Bronze- Nijat Huseynov . M57kg Gold- Abdumalik khalokov (1) , Silver- Jahmal Harvey (2) , Bronze- Carlo Paalam (5) , Bronze- Javier Ibanez (4) . Seedings 1 Abdumalik Khalokov (UZB) 8 Jose Quiles (ESP) 2 Javier Ibanez (BUL) 7 Shudai Harada (JPN) 3 Jahmal Harvey (USA) 6 Saidel Horta (CUB) 4 Charlie Senior (AUS) 5 Dolapo Omole (NGR) Bracket 1 My pick- Abdumalik Khalokov (1) . For me Abdumalik Khalokov is one of the best pound for pound boxers in the world and despite featherweight being one of the deepest and toughest divisions, I think he is a reasonably comfortable favourite to win outright here. He should have very little trouble with his opening fight against Nebil Ibrahim (14) who himself should have no trouble with universality qualifier Wasim Abusal (17) . We will likely get a second Uzbekistan vs Kazakhstan quarter final with 54 kg world champion Makhmud Sabyrkhan (9) . Sabyrkhan doesn’t have the easiest opening fight in Jose Quiles (11) and has struggled with the size of this weight class compared to 54kg in qualifying. Quiles is natural 60kg boxer who comes down to fight at 57kg, he is a finesse boxer though rather than a power puncher and as such the size mismatch might not matter as much. They haven’t met and are both world champions but it is hard to not pick Khalokov to beat Sabyrkhan in their likely matchup. Bracket 2 My pick- Carlo Paalam (5) . Seeds wise, this was by far the most open bracket and could have led to a strange medal but 2 of the top unseeded boxers landed here so we avoided that eventuality. Commonwealth champion Jude Gallagher (7) and 52kg Olympic silver medallist Carlo Paalam looked set to meet in a quota fight at the 1st world qualifier only for an shoulder injury to force Paalam to pull out of his preceding fight. They will now meet here in the last 16. Gallagher is a little small for the division but will enjoy a significant height and reach advantage over the strongly built but tiny Carlo Paalam. Paalam looked good at the qualifiers but also has some strange losses in recent months. This is a fifty fifty fight for me but having watched Paalam end Brendan Irvines dreams in Tokyo, my default expectation is that Paalam will do it again to another Irish boxer. I do like Jude Gallagher’s chances though. Fascinating fight to watch anyway. Vasile Ustoroi (13) was European champ in 2022 and has a very unorthodox counterpunching style, where he leaps and jumps in almost random directions and often get himself caught as a result. He should have too much for Charlie Senior (17) but is unlikely to beat Paalam or Gallagher though. Bracket 3 My pick- Jahmal Harvey (2) . 2021 world champion is probably the big American hope for a gold at this tournament but he is going have to work for it if he wants to medal let alone win gold. He opens up with a rematch of the Pan American games semifinal against Luiz Oliveira (3) who is awkward opponent and difficult to hit. Harvey managed to get the job done at Panam games but this fight is far from a foregone conclusion and Oliveira has won this matchup twice before. Munarbek Seitbek Uulu (12) took the very last quota for this tournament but is a world bronze medallist and will face world silver medallist Saidel Horta (8) in the last 16. Horta is good but not as accurate or precise as you would typically expect from Cuban boxers and I would regard this fight as a potential upset. Harvey beat Horta in the panam games final but it was level going into the last round. That said, I think Oliveira is the significantly tougher challenge for Harvey. Bracket 4 My pick- Javier Ibanez (4) . This is a tricky one. So the last 16 should be fairly straightforward. Yilmar Gonzalez (6) should be able to land enough to beat the agile Shudai Harada (15) and despite his impressive 2nd world qualifier performance former European youth champion Aider Abduraimov (10) is unlikely to push European champion Javier Ibanez too close. Javier Ibanez and Yilmar Gonzalez are both talented but haven’t quite yet produced the goods at a global championship. They met at the 2021 worlds with Ibanez getting the decision after a clash of heads caused the fight to be stopped midway through the second round. Gonzalez struggles under pressure but from range he is the better boxer. There were a number of contenders I would have been tempted to pick to beat Ibanez had they been drawn together but while I like Gonzalez, this matchup does suit Ibanez. Medal Fights Abdumalik Khalokov (1) vs Carlo Paalam (5) , Jahmal Harvey (3) vs Javier Ibanez (4) . If both Khalokov and Harvey get this far then it is hard to see them not ending up meeting in the final. Khalokov easily beat Paalam at Asian Games last year and Harvey shouldn’t have too much trouble with Ibanez. I think Khalokov’s counterpunching skills will prevail over Harvey but on paper this is one of if not the fight of the tournament if we get it. Gold- Abdumalik khalokov , Silver- Jahmal Harvey , Bronze- Carlo Paalam , Bronze- Javier Ibanez .

Olympic Predictions (W66kg, W75kg) W66kg Gold- Busenaz Surmeneli (1) , Silver- Yang Liu (3) , Bronze- Grainne Walsh (7) , Bronze- Nien Chin Chen (4) . Seedings 1 Busenaz Surmeneli (TUR) 8 Janjaem Suwannepheng (THA) 2 Yang Liu (CHN) 7 Oshin Derieuw (BEL) 3 Barbara dos Santos (BRA) 6 Morelle McCane (USA) 4 Marissa Williamson (AUS) 5 Imane Khelif (ALG) Bracket 1 My pick- Busenaz Surmeneli (1) . High quality last 32 fight to open up this bracket with Aneta Rygielska (5) taking on Rosie Eccles (8) . I think this matchup should suit the rangy counterpuncher in Rygielska but I certainly would give Eccles a real shot here. Reigning Olympic and 2022 world champion Busenaz Surmeneli awaits the winner. She beat both on her way to her winning European games last year but Rygielska has beaten her before and as Surmeneli is not the tallest she is often vulnerable to counterpunchers with longer reaches. The other last 16 fight sees the powerful Brigitte Mbabi (17) meet 2 time world medallist Janjaem Suwannepheng (10) . Suwannepheng should prevail there but from Surmeneli’s perspective the Rygielska or Eccles fight is really where this medal will be decided. Bracket 2 My pick- Grainne Walsh (7) . So the quarter final here looks a near certainty to be 2022 63kg world silver medallist Imane Khelif (2) against Grainne Walsh. Walsh has two handy enough fights against Luca Anna Hamori (18) and Marissa Williamson (20) , while Imane Khelif should be much too good for Angela Carini (14) . Other than the very controversial manner in which Khelif was denied the 2023 world title, her two biggest fights in her career so far have been losses to Irish boxers. Kellie Harrington in a Tokyo Olympic quarter final and Amy Broadhurst / in the 63kg world final in 2022 so there would be something almost poetic about this if Grainne Walsh was to become the third different Irish boxer to deny Khelif glory. That said Grainne Walsh is a very different boxer to Harrington’s stylish counterpunching or Amy Broadhurst’s precision and power. Walsh is a much more front foot aggressive boxer which could play into Khelif’s height and reach advantage. While the Grainne Walsh Amy Broadhurst selection controversy had mostly quietened down after their respective second world qualifier performances, they will make a return if a boxer Broadhurst comfortably beat is the one to deny Walsh an Olympic medal. Maybe I’m biased with this pick but I’m backing Walsh. Bracket 3 My pick- Nien Chin Chen (4) . This is the most open of these brackets in this division. Former world champion Nien Chin Chen opens up the bracket against the aggressive but very undersized Maria Moronta (15) where I can only see one winner. That would set up a massive fight with Panamerican champion Barbara dos Santos (6) . Chen and dos Santos are both solid boxers and this fight will come down to how effectively Chen can get on the inside and unleash her power advantage. Morelle McCane (9) is a solid but flawed boxer although that should still be enough to beat Navbakhor Khamidova (16) . She lost to Dos Santos in the final of Panam games and I feel like Chen would get the better of her as well. Bracket 4 My pick- Yang Liu (3) . This final bracket has a clear cut favourite in world champion Yang Liu but should still throw up some interesting fights. Veteran pro and European silver medallist Oshin Derieuw (12) has an interesting opening test against the universality qualifier but somewhat successful Ivanusa Moreira (19) . The last 32 fight in this bracket sees recent European medallist Jessica Triebelova (13) match up with 2022 70kg world silver medallist Alcinda dos Santos (11) . To be honest, I quite like Triebelova’s chances there although Dos Santos is more proven. The winner would then face Yang who is far from unbeatable and doesn’t move particularly well. That said she is the class of this particular bracket and should come through. Medal Fights Busenaz Surmeneli (1) vs Grainne Walsh (7) , Nien Chin Chen (4) vs Yang Liu (3) . These are two interesting fights, As successful as Surmeneli has been she is far from a shoe in here and whether it is Walsh or Khelif they will both potentially cause her problems. The default expectation though is that she will win. Yang has had the better of the head to head with Chen in recent years but Chen deserved to beat Yang at Asian games last year. Given their prior fights had also gone Yang’s way she will start as marginal favourite. Surmeneli would be favoured to beat Yang though, albeit Yang would have a significant reach advantage. Gold- Busenaz Surmeneli , Silver- Yang Liu , Bronze- Grainne Walsh , Bronze- Nien Chin Chen . W75kg Gold- Tammar Thibeault (1) , Silver- Qian Li (3) , Bronze- Aoife O’Rourke (2) , Bronze- Caitlin Parker (7) . Seedings 1 Qian Li (CHN) 8 Michael de Trindade (BRA) 2 Aoife O'Rourke (IRL) 7 Atheyna Bylon (PAN) 3 Tammara Thibeault (CAN) 6 Davina Michel (FRA) 4 Khadija El Mardi (MAR) 5 Caitlin Parker (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Qian Li (3) . I do think this is one of the more predictable divisions but this top bracket should at least throw up some interesting matchups. 2022 70kg world youth champion Sunniva Hofstad (8) is an impressive but not quite yet fully developed up and coming talent. She will provide a stern opening test for the reigning world champion Lovlina Borgohain (5) . Olympic silver and Asian champion Qian Li has an easier fight against Hergie Bacyadan (15) . Li and Borgohain have met 3 times over the last year with Lovlina’s only win coming in India in the semi-final of worlds last year. Li is the better boxer of the two and I would be surprised if she doesn’t win here. Bracket 2 My pick- Caitlin Parker (7) . By far the weakest bracket. Both opening fights should be quite straightforward. Citlalli Ortiz (16) is better than she looks and picks her shots well but world silver medallist Caitlin Parker should be too skilled for her. I know Khadija El Mardi (9) is technically a world champion (81+kg) but I have seen this perception of her as one of the favourites here and guys she is far from it. She should be able to overcome the much smaller Chantelle Reid (13) but there is a medal here for Caitlin Parker if she wants it. Bracket 3 My pick- Tammara Thibeault (1) . Canada vs a refugee athlete doesn’t typically stand out as being a great boxing match but this could be one of the fights of the games. Cindy Ngamba (4) has looked in great form since narrowly losing to Aoife O’Rourke at European games last year. Tammara Thibeault is 2022 world champion and for me has been the most impressive W75kg boxer of this cycle. Thibeault will have a significant height and reach advantage but Ngamba has shown an ability to overcome that against other boxers. I would expect Thibeault to win but it may well be close. The other fight here sees experienced Davina Michel (10) face young Baison Manikon (14) but Thibeault vs Ngamba will decide the medal here. Bracket 4 My pick-Aoife O’Rourke (2) . I was quite nervous about Aoife’s chances here before the draw despite her 27-1 record this Olympic cycle but this is a straightforward draw. She has beaten Elzbieta Wojcik (12) on four straight occasions although Wojcik kept it very close at European games. Atheyna Bylon (6) should be too good for Valentina Khalzova (11) on the other side of the bracket. Bylon and O’Rourke met in the final of Strandja in 2022 where O’Rourke ran out a comfortable winner. She tends to make her fights tougher than they need to be though so I’m sure this will be unnecessarily close. Medal Fights Qian Li (3) vs Caitlin Parker (7) , Tammara Thibeault (1) vs Aoife O’Rourke (2) . Qian Li will be way too good for whoever comes out of the second bracket. The Thibeault O’Rourke fight could be a cracker but while I would love O’Rourke to win I just think Thibeault is the more complete boxer. I think either Thibeault or O’Rourke would beat Li in a potential final. Gold- Tammar Thibeault , Silver- Qian Li , Bronze- Aoife O’Rourke , Bronze- Caitlin Parker .

Boxing Olympic predictions part two (W50kg,W57kg) Part one (W54,W60,M63.5,M80) are on the previous page. Seedings in the table at the top of each weightclass. My rankings in brackets. W50kg Gold- Buse Cakiroglu (1) , Silver- Nikhat Zareen (2) , Bronze- Wassila Lkhadiri (9) , Bronze- Ingrit Valencia (8) . Seedings 1 Wu Yu (CHN) 8 Chuthamat Raksat (THA) 2 Roumaysa Boualam (ALG) 7 Wassila Lkhadiri (FRA) 3 Buse Cakiroglu (TUR) 6 Jennifer Lozano (USA) 4 Caroline de Almeida (BRA) 5 Monique Suraci (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Nikhat Zareen (2) . Probably the highest quality bracket of any division at these games. This one is ludicrously stacked and had you told me these two last 16 fights were the semi finals and I would have believed you. Anyway poor Maxi Kloetzer (17) , who could not have got a worse draw from her perspective. Twice world champion Nikhat should beat her comfortably. Then we get to the interesting fights Asian champion and 52kg world champion Wu Yu (3) meets Nikhat (2) who has not quite been in the form that won her world titles in 2022 and 2023. This one is impossible to call but to my eyes Nikhat is marginally the better boxer. The other last 16 sees Asian bronze medallist Chuthamat Raksat (5) meet recent Strandja champion Sabina Bobokulova (4) (where she beat Wu and Nikhat). Bobokulova is a bit scrappy and wild for my liking but her recent form is better than the rapid Raksat and I would pick her to win here. To illustrate how close this bracket is both Bobokulova and Raksat have won their most recent fight against Nikhat and lost their most recent matchup with Wu. Having said all that, I personally do think Nikhat is the oh so marginally best boxer of the group and I’m not going to overthink this and will back her despite those recent defeats. Bracket 2 My pick- Ingrit Valencia (8) . This second bracket is also very tricky to predict although nowhere near as high quality as the first bracket. Multi time European medallist Giordana Sorrentino (6) has a tricky enough opener against 2022 Asian medallist Nazym Kyzaibay (14) . The other last 32 fight sees two of the bigger flyweights multi time world medallist Ingrit Valencia face Yesugen Oyuntsetseg (13) . The winner would then face the smaller but powerful Monique Suraci (12) . Another world medallist and Panam champion Caroline de Almeida (11) awaits for Sorrentino. De Almeida is solid but her punches are a bit one dimensional. Valencia should really beat Suraci but who she then faces could be crucial. She has had the better of the matchup with Sorrentino over the last couple of years but lost to De Almeida at last year’s Panam games. Both Sorrentino and Valencia have cases to be the pick here and De Almeida shouldn’t be discounted but I am going to pick the veteran Colombian. Bracket 3 My pick- Buse Cakiroglu (1) . On paper this should be a cakewalk for 2022 world champion Buse Cakiroglu. Laura Fuertes (15) is not guaranteed to beat the largely unknown quantity Fatima Herrera (21) . Meanwhile, Pihla Kaivo Oja (18) should easily beat universality qualifier Margret Tembo (22) although Tembo is not the easiest of opponents. Jennifer Lozano (20) is the Panam silver medallist but is very inaccurate and Lozano vs Kaivo oja will not be a high quality fight. None of these boxers will get close to challenging Cakiroglu. Bracket 4 My pick- Wassila Lkahdiri (9) . The last bracket is an interesting one. Aira Villegas (10) should beat Yasmina Mouttaki (19) first up before what should be a closer fight with African champion Roumaysa Boualam (16) . Boualam will test Villegas but Villegas should win. The big fight here is the other last 16 fight with a rematch of a European games quarter final between Daina Moorehouse (7) and world bronze medallist Wassila Lkhadiri. Lkhadiri narrowly took that fight on the narrowest of split decisions but Moorehouse is young and still improving. For me Moorehouse is now the better boxer but I just can’t see this fight not being close and if its close the benefit of the doubt will likely go to the home boxer. Villegas will await the winner in what should also be a really close fight. Any of those 3 boxers could medal from this bracket. Medal Fights Nikhat Zareen (2) vs Ingrit Valencia (8) , Buse Cakiroglu (1) vs Wassila Lkahdiri (9) . Regardless of who comes out of brackets 1,2 and 4 these semi-finals should be fairly predictable with Buse Cakiroglu winning and Nikhat/Wu/Bobokulova beating Ingrit Valencia. In this case we end up with a final between Buse Cakiroglu and Nikhat and while Nikhat did win this fight when they met in Strandja in 2022, Cakiroglu is the much safer pick here. Gold- Buse Cakiroglu , Silver- Nikhat Zareen , Bronze- Wassila Lkhadiri , Bronze- Ingrit Valencia . W57kg Gold- Lin Yu-ting (1) , Silver- Nesthy Petecio (2) , Bronze- Jucielen Romeu (6) , Bronze- Karina Ibragimova (5) . Seedings 1 Lin Yu-ting (TPE) 8 Svetlana Staneva (BUL) 2 Tina Rahimi (AUS) 7 Karina Ibragimova (KAZ) 3 Amina Zidani (FRA) 6 Valeria Arboleda (COL) 4 Jucielen Romeu (BRA) 5 Khouloud Hlimi (TUN) Bracket 1 My pick- Lin Yu-ting (1) . So 2022 world and current Asian champion Lin Yu-ting starts off this tournament as a very marginal favourite. She will have an easy enough fight to open up against Sitora Turdibekova (19) assuming Turdibekova can beat Marcelat Sakobi (20) . Given their respective experience, it is remarkable Michaela Walsh (8) and Svetlana Staneva (4) have not met before. Staneva is reigning European champion and on current form should be a comfortable winner but Walsh could upset things if she can refind her form. Lin has beaten Staneva at world championships last year so while I would expect a couple of close fights, this bracket should just go to form and that is Lin. Bracket 2 My pick- Jucielen Romeu (6) . Panamerican champion Romeu is the comfortable pick of the bunch here although she has not yet gotten over the line at a global championships. She will face the winner of a close fight between Alyssa Mendoza (15) and counterpuncher Mijgona Samadova (13) . Mendoza has been very inconsistent but has a higher ceiling than Samadova. On the other side of the bracket Esra Yildiz (9) should be able to comfortably beat Marine Camara (21) but the agile back foot Khouloud Hlimi (18) could provide some resistance. I think Romeu would be a solid favourite against Yildiz. Bracket 3 My pick- Nesthy Petecio (2) . Irma Testa (3) could make me look very silly for not picking her to win gold as she is world champion but Nesthy Petecio took this matchup in the Olympic semi-final in Tokyo and is the more accurate punch picker of the two. Petecio has to navigate a reasonably awkward opener against the taller Jaismine (11) before a huge fight against European champion Amina Zidani (7) . Zidani is not as good as that title suggests and I trust Petecio to produce when it counts. Irma Testa also doesn’t have the easiest of openers against the solid Xu Zichun (10) but Valeria Arboleda (17) is unlikely to trouble her. This should all set up a quarter final between Testa and Petecio and without any conviction whatsoever I am going to back Petecio. Bracket 4 My pick- Karina Ibragimova (5) . This bracket is on paper by far the most straightforward with two time world medallist Karina Ibragimova the massive favourite to medal here. There should be quite a close last 32 fight between Omailyn Alcala (12) and Julia Szeremeta (14) . Either should be too good for Tina Rahimi (22) . Ibragimova has to beat the aggressive Ashleyann Lozada (16) and either Alcala or Szeremeta but is comfortably the pick here Medal Fights Lin Yu-ting (1) vs Jucielen Romeu (6) , Nesthy Petecio (2) vs Karina Ibragimova (5) . Two high quality fights here but Lin has beaten Romeu before and this might be the ceiling for Romeu. Petecio vs Ibragimova is an interesting style mismatch but for me Petecio is just comfortably the better boxer and Ibragimova would struggle against Petecio’s power. Lin and Petecio both have wins and losses against each other but I’m going to cheat slightly and pick Lin as she is the safer pick to get this far. Gold- Lin Yu-ting , Silver- Nesthy Petecio , Bronze- Jucielen Romeu , Bronze- Karina Ibragimova .

Olympic medal predictions (M63.5kg, M80kg) M63.5kg Gold- Sofiane Oumiha (4) , Silver- Bunjong Sinsiri (3) , Bronze- Ruslan Abdullaev (2) , Bronze- Lasha Guruli (4) . Seedings 1 Wyatt Sanford (CAN) 8 Miguel Martinez (MEX) 2 Chu-en Lai (TPE) 7 Lasha Gurul 3 Jugurtha Ait Bekka (ALG) 6 Bunjong Sinsiri (THA) 4 Sofiane Oumiha (FRA) 5 Harry Garside (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Ruslan Abdullaev (2) . This is one of the toughest division to predict and I have no confidence in my own predictions proving remotely accurate. Remember when I was saying because he was seeded Wyatt Sanford (13) could medal if he got a good draw, well yeah, not anymore. So first up is a fascinating encounter between Radoslav Rosenov (8) and world bronze medallist Bakhodur Usmonov (5) . Rosenov is a rangy boxer who took the scenic route qualifying wise but got there eventually. Usmonov is a very solid boxer who is tough to beat and doesn’t have many weaknesses. I would lean towards Usmonov but Rosenov has a real chance. Either should then have too much for the aggressive but a little unrefined Wyatt Sanford. Meanwhile world champion Ruslan Abdullaev has a relatively straigthforward opener against Miguel Martinez (14) . Abdullaev is still quite young and while very good coming forward he has a number of vulnerabilities and I’m sure would have been hoping to avoid the likes of Usmonov until the medal rounds. I think he will come through Usmonov or Rosenov but I’m not that confident in that prediction. Bracket 2 My pick- Sofiane Oumiha (1) . Dean Clancy (11) was always a pretty fringe medal hope amongst the Irish team so in some ways him being the one to get a bad draw is fine. He should beat the aggressive Obada Al Kasbeh (15) but 60kg world champion and 2016 Olympic champion Sofiane Oumiha dispatched him handily enough at European games last year. Meanwhile the other European games bronze medallist Richard Kovacs (19) is unlikely to put up much resistance against the 2021 Olympic bronze medal winner and quality counterpunching southpaw Harry Garside (7) . Garside is a little unfortunate with the seeding bracket as I would have been very tempted to pick him to medal against others in this division. That said Oumiha is not unbeatable and tall counterpuncher like Garside could give him serious trouble. Bracket 3 My pick- Bunjong Sinsiri (3) . So Bunjong Sinsiri is a tricky one. In 2022 he beat Chinzorig Baatarsukh (would have been the favourite here if not for a doping violation.) and world silver medallist Dulat Bekbauov to win the 67kg Asian title and also beat 71kg world champion Aslanbek Shymbergenov a couple of months prior. He then lost to Baatarsukh at Asian games and was bizarrely dropped by Thailand for the first world qualifier in favour of the good but not elite Somchay Wongsuwan and then of course qualified after Baatarsukh’s doping suspension happened. He is a little slow but has a ludicrously long reach for the division and despite his impressive wins, at a global level he is completely unproven. He starts off with a tricky test against the small but effective Jesus Cova (12) . Meanwhile 60kg world silver medallist Erislandy Alvarez (6) should navigate his first two fights against late call up John Ume (20) and African champ Jugurtha Ait Bekka (18) . That will set up a third quality but tricky to predict quarter final between Alvarez and Sinsiri. Alvarez struggled to qualify and will have a significant size disadvantage here but I don’t yet quite trust Sinsiri to do the business. Sinsiri is tentatively my pick though. Bracket 4 My pick- Lasha Guruli (4) . The weakest bracket on paper but will throw up some interesting fights. Oier Ibbareche (16) came out of relatively nowhere to qualify at the second world qualifier with Spain having picked 2 completely different boxers for the preceding two qualifying tournaments. He meets Mukhammedsabyr Bazarabay Uulu (9) who is the weakest of the male Kazakh boxers but still a quality operator. The winner presumably Mukhammedsabyr would then face technically the Asian champion in Chu-en Lai (17) . Lai did well to take advantage of a weak draw to qualify but the Kazakh should come through here as well. European silver medallist Lasha Guruli meets Malik Hasanov (10) . Both are taller boxers who like to control fights from range so I suspect this will be quite a standoffish fight. They are both inconsistent but Guruli has the higher ceiling and therefore should be expected to win here. Mukhammedsabyr would provide an interesting and different challenge to Guruli or Hasanov of course but I think Guruli’s ringcraft would allow him to prevail. Medal Fights Projected semis- Ruslan Abdullaev (2) vs Sofiane Oumiha (1) , Bunjong Sinsiri (3) vs Lasha Guruli (4) . So I have zero confidence that the four boxers I have classified as favourites will actually all prevail but anyway, Oumiha should be able to pick the still developing Abdullaev off and make the final. Guruli would be safer pick but Sinsiri has beaten boxers who have beaten Guruli so you would have to provisionally back him in the semis as well. Like Garside, Sinsiri could then potentially cause some trouble for Oumiha but you would have to back the Frenchman at home in an Olympic final. Gold- Sofiane Oumiha , Silver- Bunjong Sinsiri , Bronze- Ruslan Abdullaev , Bronze- Lasha Guruli . M80kg Gold- Oleksandr Khyzniak (1) , Silver- Nurbek Oralbay (2) , Bronze- Arlen Lopez (4) , Bronze- Christian Pinales (7) . Seedings 1 Tuohetaebieke Tanglatihan (CHN) 8 Gabrijel Veocic (CRO) 2 Arlen Lopez (CUB) 7 Eumir Marcial (PHI) 3 Oleksandr Khyzniak (UKR) 6 Wanderley Pereira (BRA) 4 Abdelrahma Abdelgawwad (EGY) 5 Callum Peters (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Christian Pinales (7) . So most of these predictions line up with my rankings, because ye know my opinions on these boxers haven’t really changed much in the space of a week but I am going to gamble and go against my own rankings here. Christian Pinales is a massive boxer and very skilled but he is a bit lower in my rankings as a result of his inexperience and his lack of standout results. He has a tough opening fight against 2021 75kg world bronze medallist Weerapon Jongjoho (10) who rode his hometown luck a bit to qualify. The winner gets rewarded with a fight against Asian champion and world silver medallist Tuohetaebieke Tanglatihan (3) who is a skilled counter puncher but I like Pinales’ chances of causing an upset. The other last 16 fight is the technically sound European silver medallist Gabrijel Veocic (8) against the front foot 2022 Asian champion Hussein Iashaish (11) (who is competing in his third straight Olympics, in his third weightclass and uniquely has been moving down weight divisions as he ages). Veocic should win but has struggled against power boxers at points in his young career. Tanglatihan or Pinales would be favoured over Veocic in a quarter final though. Bracket 2 My pick- Nurbek Oralbay (2) . So for some reason betting odds love Callum Peters (15) and believe he is one of the medal favourites here. I don’t see it but what do I know? Reigning world champion Nurbek Oralbay is going to beat him anyway so I guess we will never know how well he could have done with an easier draw. The other fight in this bracket sees Murad Allahverdiyev (14) facing African champion Abdelrahman Abdelgawwad (17) . Neither boxer would have really been expected to make the quarter finals so both now have a chance. Oralbay should cruise through this bracket. Bracket 3 My pick- Oleksandr Khyzniak (1) . Not the easiest draw for European champion Oleksandr Khyzniak. The most front foot pressure fighter of all is looking to avenge his shock last gasp loss in the 2021 75kg Olympic final with gold here. He doesn’t have the easiest of openings with counterpuncher Pylyp Akilov (12) . Akilov is effective on the back foot but just doesn’t quite move well enough to evade Khyzniak for 3 rounds. Khyzniak will then face 75kg world and Panam silver medallist Wanderley Pereira (9) . Pereira has not been in great form of late and is not the type of boxer likely to trouble Khyzniak. Bracket 4 My pick- Arlen Lopez (4) . After a couple of on paper quite straightforward brackets, we come to the most unpredictable one with 3 legitimate medal favourite here. First up Salvatore Cavallaro (13) should beat Kaan Aykutsun (16) before providing a fairly straightforward opening fight to reigning Olympic champion Arlen Lopez. Lopez has not looked in great shape of late but that was true before Tokyo as well. On the other side of this draw the very promising Turabek Khabibullaev (5) faces 75kg Olympic medallist Eumir Marcial (6) . Khabibuallaev is more talented but may struggle with the power of Marical. Either would potentially cause Lopez trouble but at least for now, Lopez would start as marginal favourite to beat either in what I’m sure would be a quality fight. Medal Fights Christian Pinales (7) vs Nurbek Oralbay (2) , Oleksandr Khyzniak (1) vs Arlen Lopez (4) . Nurbek Oralbay would be favoured to beat Pinales but if it is a fight with Tanglatihan it would be a very close affair. They have fought 3 times, 2 going in favour of Oralbay but all were close decisions. Khyzniak vs Lopez should be one of the standout fights of the games, with I’m sure Lopez being a rare boxer willing to attempt to match Khyzniak’s punch output. In the unlikely event my predictions prove accurate that would set up a Khyzniak Oralbay final, Oralbay’s movement and counterpunching is usually the best path to beating Khyzniak but having left gold behind him in Tokyo, I will back Khyzniak to get over the line here. Gold- Oleksandr Khyzniak , Silver- Nurbek Oralbay (2) , Bronze- Arlen Lopez (4) , Bronze- Christian Pinales (7) .

Boxing Olympic predictions (W54KG, W60kg) So having attempted to predict all the qualifying tournaments, might as well give the Olympics themselves a go. I really wanted to get this done in one part and not have to split this into two but I just ran out of time. So to keep things simple I will post the four weightclasses in action today now and the other 9 tomorrow. I will include a table of the seeds at the top of each weightclass and then my own rankings of these boxers in brackets. I’m just going to keep emphasizing this because I’m sure it will come up again. Seeding draw was randomized and higher seeds are not inherently better than lower seeds. So look I don’t expect to be that accurate. If I push a 60% hit rate on medallists and pick 6 of the eventual champions, I would happy enough. There were two late changes to the entry. As mentioned already in this thread losing European Games quarter finalist Magomed Schachidov replaces Tugrulhan Erdemir (doping suspension) and also disappointingly Pemberton Lele was unable to travel so the universality quota at 63.5kg goes to John Ume who also got a universality quota for Tokyo. W54kg Gold- Pang Chol-mi (1) , Silver-Lacramioara Perijoc (7) ,Bronze- Stanimira Petrova (2) , Bronze- Preeti (11) . Bracket 1 My pick- Stanimira Petrova (2) . The toughest Women’s division to rank and also to predict and first up is the toughest bracket within it to project. Hsiao Wen Huang (6) is world champion and an Olympic medallist but is probably the third most likely boxer to medal here. She has an easy opening fight against Bojana Gojkovic (18) who she beat to qualify at the second world qualifier. She faces a huge fight against European champion Stanimira Petrova. On current form you have to back Petrova but it will be close. The other last 16 fight sees Asian silver medallist Yuan Chang (5) has a tricky opener against the fast and agile Jennifer Lehane (12) which is a fight I think has upset potential. Chang will be hopeful that Huang is the boxer she would then face in a quarter final as she has beaten her and lost to Petrova albeit the Petrova loss was in Bulgaria and the win over Huang was in China. I think I would back either Petrova or Huang though over Chang. Bracket 2 My pick- Pang Chol-mi (1) . Pang Chol-mi was world champion in 2018 and Asian champion last year but still comes into this tournament somewhat unknown. She is nominally my highest ranked boxer but that is more out of a distrust of every other contender than a great belief in Pang. She has a Asian games semi final rematch with Nigina Uktamova (16) in her opening fight. Meanwhile Sara Cirkovic (3) meets world bronze medallist Jutamas Jitpong (9) in the one of the better last 32 fights. Cirkovic has developed rapidly to be one of the favourites here having being world youth champion in 2022, European under 22 champion last year and European senior champion and of course Olympic qualifier this season. While Jitpong is decent mover, Cirkovic should be too strong for her. Cirkovic then has an easier fight against counterpuncher Widad Bertal (21) to set up a fight with Pang which would probably go under the radar a bit but could decide the gold medal winner. I am very tempted to pick Cirkovic but I will trust Pang’s experience. Bracket 3 My pick- Lacramioara Perijoc (7) . The most open of these brackets with a number of interesting fights. Charley Davison (4) against 2022 world champion Hatice Akbas should be fascinating. Akbas has not managed to back up that home world championships win but she is a quality and difficult to beat counterpuncher. Davison has been in good form of late winning the US boxing invitational in April but this is a crucial fight for the comparably small British squad’s medal hopes. Tiana Echegaray (20) waits to be beaten by the winner of the Akbas vs Davison in the last 16. World bronze medallist Enkhjargal Mungunsetseg (15) faces Sirine Charaabi (14) in what should be an even fight with the winner being rewarded with a fight against the aggressive 2022 world silver medallist Lacramioara Perijoc. Perijoc has beaten Akbas on multiple occasions but a matchup with Davison would be interesting and likely would come down to Davison’s ability to maintain the distance and not allow Perijoc on the inside. Perijoc has won against opponents like Davison before so I would tentatively back her. Bracket 4 My pick- Preeti (11) . So Yeni Arias (13) is the reigning world silver medallist but she is also just not that good and yet the draw has been kind enough to give her a real shot here. First up quality young boxer Preeti meets Thi Kim Anh Vo (17) in a fight she should win fairly comfortably. The winner then faces Arias and while Arias has the pedigree, as is clear from my rankings I would back Preeti to win here. Meanwhile the tall and rangy Im Aeji (10) has a relatively straightforward last 16 fight against Tatiana de Jesus (19) before what could be a fascinating fight with Preeti or Arias of course. I’m not quite sure how we got here but given Im has never managed to produce it when it counts somehow I’m picking Preeti to win a medal. Medal Fights Stanimira Petrova (2) vs Pang Chol-mi (1) , Lacramioara Perijoc (7) vs Preeti (11) . So the winner of the third bracket in this case Perijoc should beat whoever comes out of the bottom bracket. Petrova and Pang both have tough paths to medal but the winner of that semi final likely decides to gold medal. To be honest, I hae no idea what will happen in this division but I guess I’m picking Pang to beat Perijoc in the final. Gold- Pang Chol-mi , Silver-Lacramioara Perijoc ,Bronze- Stanimira Petrova , Bronze- Preeti . W60kg Gold- Kellie Harrington (1) , Silver- Wenlu Yang (4) , Bronze- Beatriz Ferreira (2) , Bronze- Oh Yeon-ji (8) . Seedings 1 Yang Wenlu (CHN) 8 Natalia Shadrina (SRB) 2 Beatriz Ferreira (BRA) 7 Won Ung-yong (PRK) 3 Kellie Harrington (IRL) 6 Angie Valdez (COL) 4 Cynthia Ogunsemilore (NGR) 5 Tyla McDonald (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Wenlu Yang (4) . World bronze medallist and Asian champion got about as good a draw as she could have realistically hoped for with a straightforward opener against Thi Linh Ha (18) who first will beat Feofaaki Epenisa (22) . Meanwhile newly crowned European champion Natalia Shadrina (7) also has a straightforward opener against Hadjila Khelif (21) . 34 year old Shadrina has enjoyed somewhat of a late career peak with her performances recently but did lose to Yang at Strandja earlier this year but that will at least be an interesting matchup. Bracket 2 My pick- Oh Yeon-ji (8) . So this bracket is wide open. Former Asian champion Oh Yeonji had not been in great form of late but stormed back into shape beating Amy Broadhurst (that flag still looks wrong) at the final qualifier. She is somewhat more awkward than good but that might be enough to medal here. She beat her opening round opponent Wu Shih Yi (10) on her way to winning the Asian championships in 2022 and should repeat the feat here. She then faces African champion and experienced pro Cynthia Ogunsemilore (17) . On the other side of the bracket Agnes Alexiusson (14) should come through fights against Maria Palacios (19) and Tyla McDonald (20) . Alexiusson and Oh met all the way back in 2018 where Oh won to take a world medal and while a lot of time has passed, I would expect to see the same outcome here. Bracket 3 My pick- Kellie Harrington (1) . Kellie Harrington has never quite found her form this Olympic cycle despite it taking until this year’s Europeans for her to lose a fight. Typically though she produces her best when it matters most although she will need it just to medal here. She opens her account against the winner of Alessia Mesiano (13) and Gizem Ozer (15) . In the other last 32 fight former world medallist Donjeta Sadiku (9) should beat Thananya Somnuek (16) but will likely struggle against world silver medallist Angie Valdez (3) . Valdez is a quality and powerful boxer and would likely have medalled in other brackets but will provide a very stern test for Kellie Harrington. Bracket 4 My pick- Beatriz Ferreira (2) . There is a fair bit of quality in the bottom half of this draw. 2016 champion Estelle Mossely (6) should beat Jajaira Gonzalez (12) to set up an interesting fight with 2-time world champion Beatriz Ferreira. Asian silver medallist Won Ungyong (5) is a complete unknown beyond that result and will be somewhat tested early by former 63kg world medallist Chelsey Heijnen (11) before herself likely facing Ferreira. I would be surprised if Ferreira didn’t come through those 2 fights as her record at major championships is remarkably consistent but it isn’t the easiest path. Medal Fights Wenlu Yang (4) vs Oh Yeonji (8) , Kellie Harrington (1) vs Beatriz Ferreira (2) . So Wenlu Yang starts as favourite to beat Oh Yeonji but that should be a close enough fight. The big fight though is the Tokyo Olympic final rematch between Kellie Harrington and Beatriz Ferreira. Despite Ferreira having acquired more silverware this Olympic cycle, Harrington should still be favoured here and her ability to pick Ferreira off as she comes forward was the deciding factor in Tokyo and very well could be the deciding factor again. While Wenlu Yang actually beat Harrington in the 64kg world final back in 2016, given how their respective careers have gone since I would be surprised if the winner of the Harrington Ferreira semi didn’t take the gold medal. Gold- Kellie Harrington , Silver- Wenlu Yang , Bronze- Beatriz Ferreira , Bronze- Oh Yeon-ji .

Whitlock 15.166 and Nedoroscik 15.200 will both be safely through.

Canada's rowing team as a whole, sorry if that was a bit ambigous. Yeah, your just going to have to believe me that he was supposed to be 33rd in my rankings.