Poland won 11 medals each of the last three SOG.
I'll say they can win 11 fourth time in a row. 3 golds (most likely from Anita Wlodarczyk in W Hammer, Pawel Fajdek in M Hammer, Men's coxless fours in rowing).
Count in Men's volleyball but we always screw the joint at the Olympics. Maybe it will change here.
Biggest potential gold medal surprise that won't be a total upset is Katarzyna Niewiadoma in women's elite road race.
Minor medal hopes: Marta Walczykiewicz in canoeing, women's 4x400 relay, Marcin Lewandowski 1500m in athletics and maybe someone from judo/wrestling with a rare run that usually tends to happen to us quite frequently.