Winter Olympic Games Milano Cortina 2026 Qualification Simulation Road to Milano Cortina 2026

[evil betty 71]

Tanguay Pechoux of  competed in two races in April, good enough if he continues to compete, but who knows I guess?

[clemsonbeav 217]

I think 's athlete probably earned enough points today in the Quals of Halfpipe to get the nod.  Will need to wait for confirmation, but I think so.

[evil betty 71]

On 12/18/2025 at 7:05 PM, clemsonbeav said:

I think 's athlete probably earned enough points today in the Quals of Halfpipe to get the nod.  Will need to wait for confirmation, but I think so.

not far off, but still no. running out of time maybe. Still has Aspen and Calgary, possibly NAC event at Copper Mountain as a last resort.

[evil betty 71]

The IBU updated their time frame for which results count towards the wild card olympic spots, and it looks like Dolidovich has moved into a qualifying position. Looking more and more likely like there will be a refugee olympic team for the first time at the Winter games.

[Topicmaster1010 5,435]

Updated Quota Projections at Christmas Break

 

Numbers in parenthesis represent the quota change for that NOC since the last update in September.

 

Africa (8 nations)

 

 Benin: 1 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Eritrea: 1 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Guinea-Bissau: 1 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Kenya: 2 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 Madagascar: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 Morocco: 2 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Nigeria: 1 (0)

(Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 South Africa: 5 (+2)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 1, Skeleton - 1)

 

Americas (15 nations)

 

 Argentina: 8 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Cross-Country Skiing - 4, Luge - 1)

 Bolivia: 1 (0)

(Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Brazil: 11 (-5)

(Alpine Skiing - 4, Biathlon - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Skeleton - 1, Snowboarding - 2)

 Canada: 203 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 10, Biathlon - 8, Bobsleigh - 12, Cross-Country Skiing - 11, Curling - 11, Figure Skating - 12, Freestyle Skiing - 32, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 7, Short Track - 10, Skeleton - 4, Ski Jumping - 4, Snowboarding - 19, Speed Skating - 15)

 Chile: 4 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 1)

 Colombia: 1 (-1)

(Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Ecuador: 1 (NEW)

(Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Haiti: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Jamaica: 9 (+8)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Bobsleigh - 8)

 Mexico: 5 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2, Figure Skating - 1)

 Puerto Rico: 1 (0)

(Skeleton - 1)

 Trinidad and Tobago: 6 (+4)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Bobsleigh - 4)

 United States: 227 (+9)

(Alpine Skiing - 17, Biathlon - 8, Bobsleigh - 14, Cross-Country Skiing - 15, Curling - 11, Figure Skating - 16, Freestyle Skiing - 32, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 11, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 8, Skeleton - 3, Ski Jumping - 6, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 22, Speed Skating - 12)

 Uruguay: 1 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Venezuela: 1 (NEW)

(Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 

Asia (18 nations)

 

 China: 124 (+7)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 3, Bobsleigh - 12, Cross-Country Skiing - 6, Curling - 10, Figure Skating - 6, Freestyle Skiing - 23, Luge - 5, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 10, Skeleton - 5, Ski Jumping - 4, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 18, Speed Skating - 16)

 Hong Kong: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Short Track - 1)

 India: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Iran: 4 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Japan: 124 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Curling - 5, Figure Skating - 12, Freestyle Skiing - 19, Ice Hockey - 23, Luge - 1, Nordic Combined - 3, Short Track - 9, Skeleton - 2, Ski Jumping - 8, Snowboarding - 19, Speed Skating - 14)

 Kazakhstan: 35 (-7)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Figure Skating - 2, Freestyle Skiing - 10, Nordic Combined - 1, Short Track - 4, Ski Jumping - 2, Speed Skating - 5)

 Kyrgyzstan: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Lebanon: 3 (+2)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Malaysia: 1 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Mongolia: 3 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Philippines: 1 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Saudi Arabia: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Singapore: 1 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 South Korea: 72 (+10)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 2, Bobsleigh - 10, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Curling - 7, Figure Skating - 6, Freestyle Skiing - 6, Luge - 1, Short Track - 10, Skeleton - 4, Snowboarding - 12, Speed Skating - 9)

 Taiwan: 8 (+2)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Bobsleigh - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2, Figure Skating - 1, Speed Skating - 1)

 Thailand: 3 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 United Arab Emirates: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 Uzbekistan: 4 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Figure Skating - 2, Short Track - 1)

 

Europe (48 nations)

 

 Albania: 4 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 4)

 Andorra: 7 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 4, Cross-Country Skiing - 3)

 Armenia: 5 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Figure Skating - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Austria: 112 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 22, Biathlon - 9, Bobsleigh - 10, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Figure Skating - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 14, Luge - 11, Nordic Combined - 3, Short Track - 1, Skeleton - 3, Ski Jumping - 8, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 17, Speed Skating - 4)

 Azerbaijan: 1 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Figure Skating - 1)

 Belgium: 31 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 4, Biathlon - 8, Bobsleigh - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Figure Skating - 2, Short Track - 6, Skeleton - 1, Ski Mountaineering - 1, Snowboarding - 1, Speed Skating - 6)

 Bosnia and Herzegovina: 6 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Cross-Country Skiing - 2, Luge - 1)

 Bulgaria: 20 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Biathlon - 8, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 1, Ski Jumping - 1, Snowboarding - 4)

 Croatia: 13 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 6, Biathlon - 3, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Short Track - 1)

 Cyprus: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 Czech Republic: 110 (-11)

(Alpine Skiing - 5, Biathlon - 10, Cross-Country Skiing - 11, Curling - 7, Figure Skating - 4, Freestyle Skiing - 5, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 1, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 1, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 4, Snowboarding - 9, Speed Skating - 3)

 Denmark: 41 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 3, Bobsleigh - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Curling - 5, Ice Hockey - 25, Skeleton - 1, Speed Skating - 3)

 Estonia: 31 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 8, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Curling - 2, Figure Skating - 2, Freestyle Skiing - 3, Nordic Combined - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 2, Snowboarding - 1, Speed Skating - 1)

 Finland: 100 (-2)

(Alpine Skiing - 4, Biathlon - 10, Cross-Country Skiing - 15, Figure Skating - 5, Freestyle Skiing - 8, Ice Hockey - 48, Nordic Combined - 2, Ski Jumping - 6, Snowboarding - 2)

 France: 158 (+6)

(Alpine Skiing - 15, Biathlon - 12, Bobsleigh - 6, Cross-Country Skiing - 14, Figure Skating - 9, Freestyle Skiing - 19, Ice Hockey - 48, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 6, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 6, Ski Mountaineering - 4, Snowboarding - 10, Speed Skating - 6)

 Georgia: 8 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Figure Skating - 6)

 Germany: 189 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 11, Biathlon - 11, Bobsleigh - 18, Cross-Country Skiing - 13, Curling - 5, Figure Skating - 6, Freestyle Skiing - 13, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 12, Nordic Combined - 3, Skeleton - 6, Ski Jumping - 8, Ski Mountaineering - 3, Snowboarding - 19, Speed Skating - 13)

 Great Britain: 59 (+3)

(Alpine Skiing - 4, Biathlon - 2, Bobsleigh - 9, Cross-Country Skiing - 4, Curling - 10, Figure Skating - 8, Freestyle Skiing - 8, Short Track - 3, Skeleton - 5, Snowboarding - 5, Speed Skating - 1)

 Greece: 5 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 3)

 Hungary: 16 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 4, Figure Skating - 2, Short Track - 6, Snowboarding - 1, Speed Skating - 1)

 Iceland: 4 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Ireland: 6 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2, Freestyle Skiing - 2)

 Israel: 9 (+5)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Bobsleigh - 4, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Figure Skating - 1, Skeleton - 1)

 Italy: 187 (-4)

(Alpine Skiing - 20, Biathlon - 10, Bobsleigh - 8, Cross-Country Skiing - 12, Curling - 10, Figure Skating - 9, Freestyle Skiing - 9, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 11, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 10, Skeleton - 3, Ski Jumping - 7, Ski Mountaineering - 3, Snowboarding - 16, Speed Skating - 9)

 Kosovo: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 Latvia: 67 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Biathlon - 8, Bobsleigh - 8, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Figure Skating - 2, Ice Hockey - 25, Luge - 10, Short Track - 2, Skeleton - 2)

 Liechtenstein: 8 (+4)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Bobsleigh - 4, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Lithuania: 17 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 8, Cross-Country Skiing - 4, Figure Skating - 3)

 Luxembourg: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2)

 Malta: 1 (0)

(Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Moldova: 5 (+1)

(Biathlon - 3, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Monaco: 1 (-4)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Montenegro: 2 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 1, Cross-Country Skiing - 1)

 Netherlands: 42 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Bobsleigh - 4, Figure Skating - 2, Nordic Combined - 1, Short Track - 10, Skeleton - 1, Snowboarding - 4, Speed Skating - 18)

 North Macedonia: 4 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Norway: 81 (-9)

(Alpine Skiing - 16, Biathlon - 11, Cross-Country Skiing - 16, Curling - 7, Freestyle Skiing - 5, Nordic Combined - 3, Ski Jumping - 7, Ski Mountaineering - 3, Snowboarding - 3, Speed Skating - 10)

 Poland: 55 (-5)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Biathlon - 8, Bobsleigh - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Figure Skating - 4, Luge - 5, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 4, Ski Jumping - 5, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 4, Speed Skating - 9)

 Portugal: 4 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Speed Skating - 1)

 Romania: 28 (-6)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 6, Bobsleigh - 4, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 1, Luge - 6, Ski Jumping - 4, Snowboarding - 2)

 San Marino: 1 (NEW)

(Alpine Skiing - 1)

 Serbia: 4 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)

 Slovakia: 54 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 4, Biathlon - 6, Bobsleigh - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 1, Ice Hockey - 25, Luge - 8, Short Track - 1, Ski Jumping - 1, Ski Mountaineering - 3)

 Slovenia: 38 (-3)

(Alpine Skiing - 9, Biathlon - 9, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Nordic Combined - 2, Ski Jumping - 7, Snowboarding - 4)

 Spain: 19 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 5, Ski Mountaineering - 4, Snowboarding - 4, Speed Skating - 1)

 Sweden: 115 (-1)

(Alpine Skiing - 9, Biathlon - 12, Cross-Country Skiing - 16, Curling - 11, Figure Skating - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 15, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 2, Ski Jumping)

 Switzerland: 179 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 22, Biathlon - 10, Bobsleigh - 18, Cross-Country Skiing - 12, Curling - 11, Figure Skating - 3, Freestyle Skiing - 21, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 1, Nordic Combined - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 5, Ski Mountaineering - 4, Snowboarding - 18, Speed Skating - 3)

 Türkiye: 8 (+1)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2, Short Track - 2, Ski Jumping - 2)

 Ukraine: 44 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 10, Cross-Country Skiing - 6, Figure Skating - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 9, Luge - 8, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 2, Snowboarding - 1)

 

Oceania (3 nations)

 

 Australia: 54 (-3)

(Alpine Skiing - 3, Bobsleigh - 4, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Figure Skating - 4, Freestyle Skiing - 16, Luge - 1, Short Track - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 14)

 New Zealand: 20 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 4, Freestyle Skiing - 10, Snowboarding - 6)

 Vanuatu: 1 (0)

(Freestyle Skiing - 1)

 

Other (2 nations)

 

 Individual Neutral Athletes: 17 (0)

(Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 3, Freestyle Skiing - 1, Luge - 2, Short Track - 2, Ski Mountaineering - 1, Speed Skating - 3)

 Refugee Olympic Team: 1 (NEW)

(Biathlon - 1)

Edited Thursday at 04:33 AM by Topicmaster1010

[rybak 3,308]

With little more than 3 weeks before end of qualifications any country besides  and  have more than 90% chances for being officialy qualified?

[intoronto 6,485]

2 hours ago, rybak said:

With little more than 3 weeks before end of qualifications any country besides  and  have more than 90% chances for being officialy qualified?

[copravolley 525]

Any qualifying number under 190 people for us will be a failure for me. In Turin 20 years ago, we had 185. Another thing is that for me, with the possible exception of ice hockey, the host team used to have an easier time qualifying than now. Now we have to qualify normally almost everywhere, and the additional quotas for the host team are minimal. On the other hand, there are sports, like freestyle, where we are right to single quotas that we are 99% sure we won't use... It's a shame that we can't be moved they to where we are more needed, like snowboardcross or men's cross-country skiing.

Edited Friday at 12:40 PM by copravolley

[intoronto 6,485]

should now be qualified in alpine skiing.