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Winter Olympic Games Milano Cortina 2026 Early Qualification Predictions


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With the World Cup season in most of the winter sports about to begin and qualification in some sports already underway, I think it's about time for this thread. 

 

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:WHT ...

Team Size Prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2026 Milano Cortina

 

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  () -

Cross Country Skiing  () -

Ski Jumping  () -

Nordic Combined  () -

Freestyle Skiing  () -

Snowboarding  () -

Biathlon  () -

Ski Mountaineering  () -

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  () -

Short Track Speed Skating  () -

Figure Skating  () -

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  () -

Skeleton  () -

Bobsleigh  () -

 

 

Team Sports

 

Curling  () -

Ice Hockey  () -

 

 

 

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  ()

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - ()

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  ()

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:CAN Canada

Team Size Prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2026 Milano Cortina

 

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  (13) - That's been the team size the last couple of Olympics so it's a safe bet again.

Cross Country Skiing  (10) - Not too familiar with the qualification system. Probably around 6 men and 4 women.

Ski Jumping  (5) - Loutitt, Strate and Maurer for sure on the women's side. Possibly a 4th will qualify. On the men's side, if Bowd-Clowes returns, then he should also qualify.

Nordic Combined  (0) - Been a nonexistent sport for a while. No athletes competing in the World Cup or Continental Cup.

Freestyle Skiing  (32) - Should qualify a team in mixed aerials which means a maximum team size of 32 athletes. Which athletes in which disciplines to be determined.

Snowboarding  (24) - Full teams in slopestyle and big air. Then somewhere between 1-4 athletes in the other disciplines.

Biathlon  (6) - Based on the Nations Cup last year, the men finished outside the top 20 and wouldn't qualify a relay team (and that's without Russia and Belarus). With Christian Gow's retirement, that makes things even more difficult. Women's relay should still qualify though.

Ski Mountaineering  (1) - Gonna be optimistic here and say that one athlete will qualify either through the World Rankings or continental quota.

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (16) - 7 to 8 men, 8 to 9 women. For now, I'll say 8 of each gender.

Short Track Speed Skating  (10) - Full team size. With the current skill level of the team, anything else would be a tragedy.

Figure Skating  (12) - Most likely 1 man (I hope) and 1 woman, then 2-3 pairs and 2-3 ice dance couples. For now, let's say 2 in pairs and 3 in ice dance.

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  (7) - 2 women + 1 entry in each of the other disciplines

Skeleton  (4) - 1 or 2 men + 2 or 3 women

Bobsleigh  (14) - 2 men's crews (in both events) and 3 women's crews (in both events)

 

 

Team Sports

 

Curling  (12) - Full team or else you might as well burn the federation to the ground.

Ice Hockey  (48) - Both men's and women's teams already qualified

 

 

 

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (229)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (184)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (214)

Edited by Topicmaster1010
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:SRB 

Team Size Prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2026 Milano Cortina

 

Let's do this for a country that is not actually that good in winter sports as well as our Olympic Committee Declining lots of places. In Beijing we had 7 quotas and used 2  :lol: 

 

(also I am a very optimistic person in relation to sport in general and always hope for the best. ) 

 

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  (2) - Emilija Djurović and Aleksa Tomović

Cross Country Skiing  (2) - Anja Ilić (the olympic committee cancelled her participation just before Bejing) and Andrija Tošić

Ski Jumping  (0) - Basically not existent in Serbia

Nordic Combined  (0) - Basically not existent in Serbia

Freestyle Skiing  (0) - Basically not existent in Serbia

Snowboarding  (1) - Matija Milenković 

Biathlon  (2) - We had two juniors at the YOG 2024, maybe they can get better, I will be optimistic 

(Lamija Salihagić and/or Hanna Jelena Braun)

Ski Mountaineering  (0) - I don't think it will be existing 

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (0) - Basically not existent in Serbia

Short Track Speed Skating  (1) - Out first EYOF winter medal in a long time came from Luka Jašić

Figure Skating  (0) - Maybe we will have a good junior come :drama:

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  (0) - Basically not existent in Serbia

Skeleton  (1) - We had two juniors at the YOG 2024, maybe they can get better, I will be optimistic

Bobsleigh  (0) - Not existent anymore :cry:

 

 

Team Sports

 

Curling  (0) - Basically not existent in Serbia

Ice Hockey  (0) - Qualifier for women's team cancelled, and mens team eliminated

 

 

 

Total  VERY Optimistic Prediction  -  (9)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (3)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (3)

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:GBR - Great Britain

Team Size Prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2026 Milano Cortina

 

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  (4) - The qualification system is a bit confusing, but from what I gather the team is Guaranteed 2 quotas (one for each gender), and then more are given for rankings. I can only see 1 female qualifying, but the men's team is a bit stronger, and could improve with some juniors coming through. I would say a baseline of 3, with a max of 5, 6 if things really improve. 

Cross Country Skiing  (3) - The men's team came 11th in the world cup last year, and with some good results could move up to top 10 which would give 3 quotas, The women's team is non existant. 

Ski Jumping  (0) - Nope

Nordic Combined  (0) - Nope

Freestyle Skiing  (6) - Based on last year rankings, the athletes are ranked: M Moguls (26/30), M Ski Cross (26/32), M Halfpipe (33/25), M Slopestyle (39+40/30) W Moguls (23+42/30), W Halfpipe (3/25), W Big Air (5/30), W Slopestyle (19+22/30)  Barring Injury , thats 2 quotas on the women's side, and I would predict 4 more, with a max team of 7 or 8.

Snowboarding  (2) - W Halfpipe (34/25) is the only unknown quota, as both Charlotte Bankes and Mia Brookes should qualify easily. Huw Nightlingale may get a spot for the Mixed Team snowboard cross but I don't know how it works.

Biathlon  (0) - Nope

Ski Mountaineering  (0) - Nope

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (2) - Cornelius Kersten and Elia Smelding should qualify, although they both haven't competed this year.

Short Track Speed Skating  (2) - A team of 5 went to the world but only a couple could really qualify

Figure Skating  (4) - Fear and Gibson should qualify, and the pair team is ranked 16th in the world with 19 qualifiers. 

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  (0) - Nope

Skeleton  (6) - A full team is certainly on the cards, but with only ranking points from the next season counting a lot could change

Bobsleigh  (6) - Brad Hall and Co should qualify for both 2 and 4 man. I doubt any more will qualify from the mens side. Adele Nicholl on the womens should also qualify in both events

 

 

Team Sports

 

Curling  (12) - Anything but a full team would be a dissapointment

Ice Hockey  (0) - The men were the only chance

 

 

 

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (60)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (32)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (47)

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