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The Road to LA '28 Road to LA 2028

Rafa Maciel
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Rafa Maciel Community Regular

Rafa Maciel   1,594

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So I know we're all still basking in the glow of Paris but it's never too early to start thinking about the next games. 

 

We probably wont have the qualification pathways for LA until late 2025 or early 2026 but in the intervening period, I am going to be using live events to model the quotas.

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Rafa Maciel Community Regular

Rafa Maciel   1,594

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Time for first simulation for 2028 - Track Cycling :cycling:

 

Typical qualification for track cycling runs for 2 years and comprises 1 World Championship, 2 Continental Championship and top 4 results from Nations Cup (max 2 per year).

 

This simulation is based on the results from 2024 Nations Cup and the 2024 Continental Championships:

 

image.png

 

Team GB and :CAN would be the only nations taking a full squad. 

 

Next Update - UCI Track World Championships 16-Oct.  

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Rafa Maciel Community Regular

Rafa Maciel   1,594

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New Projection - Men's Triathlon :swimming: :cycling::running:

 

Typical qualification window runs for 2 year period with athletes able to count their top 12 results with a maximum of 6 events counting from the first year and a maximum of 8 events from the second year. 

 

This projection is based on the athletes 6 best results from May '23 - May '24 (period 1) and, for those who have competed, the results since then (period 2). 

 

 

image.png

 

Australia and New Zealand emerge as early winners, picking up an additional quota whilst Spain drops back to just 2 spots. 

 

From :GBR perspective, although they are not yet in a position to take a 3rd quota on the men's side, it does look like some of our younger athletes are beginning to move up to the World Cup and WTCS level events.

 

On an adjusted basis, Max Stapley would be sitting 35th in the Olympic ranking with Barclay Izzard at 51st and Hugo Milner at 58th. 

 

Next Event: A couple of World Cup events will be held early in September before the WTCS returns with events in Weihai (27-Sep) and the WTCS Finals in Andalucia (17-Oct)

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Olympicsnell Enthusiast

Olympicsnell   300

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U23 Rowing World Championships

Women Double Sculls 4th > Rep
Men Double Sculls 3rd > SF
Women's Four 1st > SF
Men's Four 1st > SF
Men's Quad 5th > Rep
Men's Eight 2nd > Final
Women's Eight > Final 

There wasn't any commentary on the stream, from what i saw the men's 8 would have won their race (which was a seeding race) if it was 2010m, they had a slow start and came right back through the field. 

The men's quad were disappointing, almost so that something may have happened to them off screen because they dropped like a stone.

Still, only two boats having to go in the rep, a good day, these will likely be the crews that will develop for the next cycle so it's worth seeing how they go this week :) 

Edit: I had it on youtube, world rowing is the channel, if anyone wants to watch the rest this week


 

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Olympicsnell Enthusiast

Olympicsnell   300

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U23/ World Championship Day 2

So looks like we haven't sent any lightweight rowing crews at all, which makes sense since its dead at Olympic level, also no single scull boats in U23 which like in the Olympics always saddens me, i know our best rowers make the big crews but would still like to see some representation as i enjoy the event

Women's Pair 2nd > Final
Men's Pair 4th > Rep 
Women's Quad 2nd > Final

Women's Double Rep 4th > B Final (this is the first crew eliminated)
Men's Quad Rep 1st > SF (these looked awful in the first round, miles better today)
Men's Pair Rep 2nd > SF (two races in one day....ouch)

Senior. Pretty sure this is our only competitor out there.

Women's lightweight single sculls 3rd > Rep

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Olympicsnell Enthusiast

Olympicsnell   300

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World Rowing Championships

Senior

Women's lightweight single sculls Rep 1st > SF

.........................................................................................................................

U23

Men's Double 4th > B Final 
Women's Quad 2nd > A Final 
Men's Four 1st > A Final 
Men's Quad 3rd > A Final 
Men's Pair 4th > B Final

............................................................................................................................


7 Crews have made it into finals, which is a good return from 10

Men & Women Quad
Men & Women Eight
Women Pair
Men & Women Four

Edited by Olympicsnell
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Olympicsnell Enthusiast

Olympicsnell   300

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Rowing World championship Day 4. I wasn't going to track the under 19's since LA 28 will probably come to early for them, but meh ended up watching them anways :)

U19
 

Men’s Pair 3rd > Rep
Women’s Pair 2nd > Final
Women’s Four 1st > Final
Men’s Four 1st > Final
Men’s Eight seeding race > 1st
Women’s eight seeding race 2nd
Women’s Quad 3rd > REP
Men’s Quad 2nd > SF
Women’s Double 1st > SF

Men’s Pair REP 2nd > Final


U23

Men’s Pair B final 1st
Women’s Pair Final: Gold (Holly Youd/ Anna Grace) two names to definitely keep an eye on, they dominated.
Women’s Quad: Bronze

2 Medals from 2 finals, 5 more in the U23's to go :)

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Olympicsnell Enthusiast

Olympicsnell   300

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WOW

Final day of the U23 part of the world championship and that was a pretty impressive show

Women’s Four Final GOLD!
Men’s Four Final GOLD!
Men’s Quad Final 6th
Men’s Eight Final GOLD
Women’s Eight Final GOLD!

 

We had 10 GB crews, 7 Made Finals, 5 of which won gold. Both eight crews and four's dominated. The final U23 Medal table looks like

:GBR  5    0    1

:GER  4    1     3

:NZL  2    1     1

:POL  2    1     0
:ROU   2    0    0

:USA   1     3    0
:AUS   1    2    1

 

 

:clap:

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Rich Apprentice

Rich   23

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A very good performance! Interesting that there are no Dutch medals on the list and conversely a strong performance by Germany.

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Nickyc707 Collaborator

Nickyc707   382

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On 8/23/2024 at 10:45 PM, Olympicsnell said:

WOW

Final day of the U23 part of the world championship and that was a pretty impressive show

Women’s Four Final GOLD!
Men’s Four Final GOLD!
Men’s Quad Final 6th
Men’s Eight Final GOLD
Women’s Eight Final GOLD!

 

We had 10 GB crews, 7 Made Finals, 5 of which won gold. Both eight crews and four's dominated. The final U23 Medal table looks like

:GBR  5    0    1

:GER  4    1     3

:NZL  2    1     1

:POL  2    1     0
:ROU   2    0    0

:USA   1     3    0
:AUS   1    2    1

 

 

:clap:

Our strength in depth in rowing as opposed to sculls in the Olympics boats looks set to continue with five golds. Hopefully the top U23s can be integrated into the squad as seamlessly as possible once they know which members of the team in Paris plan to continue onto LA.

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