Cross-Country Skiing Discussion | Qualification to Winter Olympic Games Milano Cortina 2026 Road to Milano Cortina 2026

[Grassmarket 4,028]

1 hour ago, heywoodu said:

A BMX World Cup also takes 1,5 hours or so of viewing and racing  

 

I'd be happier if the big classics were in November, but they won't be, so my subscription will likely only be for Olos/Muonio  

1.5 hours of viewing, 12 minutes of racing!

[heywoodu 16,000]

Right, tomorrow morning it is, 10:00 local time, 09:00 CET. First race of the all-important Olympic season for Bruna, classic sprint in Olos/Muonio . Hard to give an exact goal, but if she scores under 309.78 points, she at least improves her points standings in the Brazilian ranking, so let's take that as a starting point. She does have some ambitious goals, let's see  

 

Bruna's start time is 10:10/09:10, live timing should become available here:

https://live.fis-ski.com/cc-2872/results-pda.htm

 

Although they might also appear here:

https://www.enlund.fi/live/olos2025/index.html

[Grassmarket 4,028]

15 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

Right, tomorrow morning it is, 10:00 local time, 09:00 CET. First race of the all-important Olympic season for Bruna, classic sprint in Olos/Muonio . Hard to give an exact goal, but if she scores under 309.78 points, she at least improves her points standings in the Brazilian ranking, so let's take that as a starting point. She does have some ambitious goals, let's see  

 

Bruna's start time is 10:10/09:10, live timing should become available here:

https://live.fis-ski.com/cc-2872/results-pda.htm

 

Although they might also appear here:

https://www.enlund.fi/live/olos2025/index.html

Plenty snow!

 

 

[heywoodu 16,000]

Just now, Grassmarket said:

Plenty snow!

 

 

Absolutely, it was all old and/or artificial but the past two days have brought a whole bunch of actual snow

 

Forecasts for next week in Gällivare are quite something btw, slowly creeping in on -20 degrees which is when races are canceled. 

[Grassmarket 4,028]

11 hours ago, heywoodu said:

Right, tomorrow morning it is, 10:00 local time, 09:00 CET. First race of the all-important Olympic season for Bruna, classic sprint in Olos/Muonio . Hard to give an exact goal, but if she scores under 309.78 points, she at least improves her points standings in the Brazilian ranking, so let's take that as a starting point. She does have some ambitious goals, let's see  

 

Bruna's start time is 10:10/09:10, live timing should become available here:

https://live.fis-ski.com/cc-2872/results-pda.htm

 

Although they might also appear here:

https://www.enlund.fi/live/olos2025/index.html

With all finishers home after the prelim round, Bruna is 46/71 - 40.11 down on the Laura Gimmler in the lead, about 20 off 30th.  Actually beating a decent number of the Finnish, Swedish and Norwegian club skiers.  Importantly, also beat all but one of the minor nations - Aussies, Lithuanians, Icelanders and the other Brazilian, veteran Jaque Mourao.  Guess we have to wait to get final points score, but if she were  I'd call that a really good day.  

Edited November 14 by Grassmarket

[heywoodu 16,000]

40 minutes ago, Grassmarket said:

With all finishers home after the prelim round, Bruna is 46/71 - 40.11 down on the Laura Gimmler in the lead, about 20 off 30th.  Actually beating a decent number of the Finnish, Swedish and Norwegian club skiers.  Importantly, also beat all but one of the minor nations - Aussies, Lithuanians, Icelanders and the other Brazilian, veteran Jaque Mourao.  Guess we have to wait to get final points score, but if she were  I'd call that a really good day.  

We just have to wait for the points scores to be official, but usually my calculations are correct

 

That would mean 254.05 for Bruna and 372.46 for Jaque. With that, Bruna improves her points score in the Brazilian ranking (she replaces a 309), Jaque replaces a 460 and so improves a bit more, but is still a bit over 60 points behind Bruna (in the 6-race average). I'd give it an excellent 8 out of 10 today, even though Bruna was hoping for better.

 

Some important considerations for the last Olympic ticket fight (which is basically 100% between Bruna and Jaque):

 

• Whoever has A criteria in the FIS distance points list on 19 January 2026 (under 150 points) has priority over the other, if both have A criteria there is a ranking consisting of their 2 best classic sprints, 2 best freestyle distance races and 2 'whatever' races. Considering Jaque has a 127 from last season in Canada, that is a bit of a danger we need to keep an eye on.
• If nobody has the A criteria, the next in line is whoever has the B criteria (under 350 points) in both distance and sprint. Right now, that is only Bruna, Jaque needs to improve her sprint points - her average with today's result would be 364, her single best is 344, so she would at least need to do better than today. If more than one athlete has B criteria in both disciplines, there is a ranking consisting of their best 3 classic sprints and best 3 freestyle distance races.
• Next in line is only in case there is no athlete who has B criteria in both disciplines, but that will not happen, since Bruna already has it and can't lose it.

 

This is where especially for Jaque there is a bit of a dilemma, I assume. Go all-in on distance races to try and get the A-criteria, which would automatically give her the ticket if Bruna doesn't manage to do so (but if Bruna does, Bruna is right now leading that ranking too), but if that fails and because of it she doesn't get her sprint average under 350, it hands the ticket straight to Bruna. The other option is going for sprints to ensure she has B-criteria in both disciplines, but that could come at the cost of distance results and based on the past 2 years is certainly no guarantee to work.

 

This thing with A-criteria/B-criteria right now is one of the most important things. Jaque will do both the 10k classic (tomorrow) and freestyle (Sunday), Bruna will focus on the distance freestyle races.

 

There are a little over two more months of lots and lots of mental maths and playing with Excel to go  

 

[Grassmarket 4,028]

Dodgy Russian language coverage of the finals here.  

 

 

[avlar 454]

Just to let you know: russians filed an appeal to CAS - they want to be allowed to get some of the nondistributed quotas in Ski.

So some nations which were expected to get those remaining 10 quotas per gender may miss it if Eliash do all his best to lose at CAS.

[heywoodu 16,000]

15 minutes ago, avlar said:

Just to let you know: russians filed an appeal to CAS - they want to be allowed to get some of the nondistributed quotas in Ski.

So some nations which were expected to get those remaining 10 quotas per gender may miss it if Eliash do all his best to lose at CAS.

Is there a list of which countries those 10 quotas would go to if things ended now?

[avlar 454]

40 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

Is there a list of which countries those 10 quotas would go to if things ended now?

I do not have it right now but I suppose it will be available after the start of the World Cup.