[PREDICTION CONTESTS] Paris 2024 Olympic Bet Contest Discussion Thread

[rybak 3,222]

General:

More than 3 countries will have only one flag bearer during Opening Ceremony.

France will need more than 2 boats for their delegation during Opening Ceremony.

At least 5 athletes will be caught on doping during Games.

Athletes from more than 20 countries will be absent at Closing Ceremony and flags of their countries will carry by volunteers.

AIN's athletes will win more than 10 medals combined across all sports.

 

Athletics:

 

More than 5 World Records will be broken.

Ukraine will win more than one medal in women's high jump.

Uganda will have more medals in running events than Ethiopia

At least one of medal winners in any relay will be later disqualified by wrong exchange or crossing line.

France will win more gold medals than Great Britain 

Finland will win more medals across all events than Sweden

 

Archery:

 

At least one non-Asian country will have gold medal in any event.

 

Badminton:

 

China will fail to win gold medals in one event.

 

Basketball:

 

United States men's team will lost in gold medal match.

In women's gold medal match teams from two different continents will be presented.

Men's South Sudan team will not score more than 100 points in all their three matches in group stage.

 

Boxing:

 

Cuba will fail to win any medal.

Australia will win more than 1 medal.

 

Canoeing slalom:

 

Slovakia will have at least one gold medal.

 

Canoeing sprint:

 

Poland will have gold medal in women's K4 500m, while Hungary will finish on fourth place in that event.

Germany will top medal table in this sport.

 

Fencing:

 

Italy will have 3 or less medal across all team events.

South Korea will have more medals in team events than China.

 

Judo:

 

France will have more gold medal winners than Japan.

Japan will win team event.

 

Modern Pentathlon:

 

Egypt will fail to win any medal in both events.

 

Rugby sevens:

 

Men's Fiji team will not defend their title in Tokyo by losing in final against New Zealand.

Women's France team will win the event.

 

Sport climbing:

 

In both men's and women's speed events world records will be broken.

Janja Garnbret will fail to win any medal.

 

Swimming:

 

More than 5 World Records will be broken across all events.

More than 10 Olympic Records will be broken across all events.

Bosnia and Herzegovina will win medal in women's 200m butterfly event.

An African nation, not being South Africa and Tunisia, will win at least one medal.

Australia will finish ahead of United States in medal table but will have less number of medals in total.

 

Tennis:

 

Novak Djokovic will not make final in men's singles event.

Iga Świątek will loss more than 10, but less than 15 games en route to women's singles event.

Rafael Nadal will loss before quarterfinal in men's singles event,

An unseeded team will make final in women's doubles event.

Edited July 7 by rybak

[George_D 1,205]

•  

Quote

 

• Each contestant has a fixed amount of points for his or her distribution. Each constestant will have 10x12, 10x11, 10x10, 10x9, 10x8, 10x7, 10x6, 10x5, 10x4, 10x3, 10x2 and 10x1 to distribute over for the 120 questions.
• Overwrite the "X" with a number between 1 and 12. Those will be the points you distribute for a specific bet. If you win a bet, you will win the amount of points you gave for that bet.
• You can't leave out a bet. All bets must be given minimum 1 point. 12 points per bet are the maximum. Choose wisely how you will distribute your points.

 

 

so why someone not to use 12 (the max) for all questions??

 

 

[LDOG 2,418]

4 minutes ago, George_D said:

•  

 

so why someone not to use 12 (the max) for all questions??

 

 

Because rules say you only have 10 of them to use.

[George_D 1,205]

4 minutes ago, LDOG said:

Because rules say you only have 10 of them to use.

ok now  i got it

[George_D 1,205]

In the following questions i noticed that the word "win" is probably missing in "will medal" phrase:

 

 

General (15)

 

 

2 - At least six south american nations will medal. [YES/NO - X]

 

 

5 - At least two of these NOCs (which haven't won a medal since Sydney 2000 or before) will medal again in Paris 2024: Barbados, Costa Rica, Guyana, Haiti, Iraq, Lebanon, Luxembourg, Mozambique, Pakistan, Peru, Sri Lanka, Suriname, Tanzania, Tonga, Uruguay, US Virgin Islands, Zambia. [YES/NO - X]

 

 

 

Gymnastics - Artistic (3)

75 - At least two NOCs will their first Olympic medal. [YES/NO - X]
 

 

 

Edited July 11 by George_D

[Wumo 3,002]

5 minutes ago, George_D said:

In the following questions i noticed that the word "win" is probably missing in "will medal" phrase:

 

 

General (15)

 

 

2 - At least six south american nations will medal. [YES/NO - X]

 

 

5 - At least two of these NOCs (which haven't won a medal since Sydney 2000 or before) will medal again in Paris 2024: Barbados, Costa Rica, Guyana, Haiti, Iraq, Lebanon, Luxembourg, Mozambique, Pakistan, Peru, Sri Lanka, Suriname, Tanzania, Tonga, Uruguay, US Virgin Islands, Zambia. [YES/NO - X]

 

 

 

Gymnastics - Artistic (3)

75 - At least two NOCs will their first Olympic medal. [YES/NO - X]
 

 

 

Question 75 have been edited. 

[LDOG 2,418]

9 minutes ago, George_D said:

In the following questions i noticed that the word "win" is probably missing in "will medal" phrase:
 

In numbers 2 and 5 (made by me) "medal" is being used as a verb. I don't know if that's an actual thing in english language but I've seen it being used like that on this forum before so 

[George_D 1,205]

some clarifications n the following questions:

 

 

Quote

 

General (15)

1 - Pacific Island nations in Oceania (including New Zealand, not Australia) will win more medals than Caribbean nations. [YES/NO - X]

 

with "Caribbean nations" we mean obviously and the big ones also, Cuba, Jamaica etc?

 

 

 

Quote

 

Aquatics - Synchronized Swimming (1)

26 - At least one NOC will win its first Olympic medal. [YES/NO - X]

 

Quote

 

Gymnastics - Artistic (3)

75 - At least two NOCs will win their first Olympic medal. [YES/NO - X]

 

 

if i get it right, both questions mean: will win first Olympic medal ever in the specific event??

 

 

 

 

Quote

 

Fencing (3)

 

 

69 - Either France, Hungary, Italy or fencers from these NOCs will be presented at every podium. [YES/NO - X]

 

Question means that every podium will be achieved by FRA, HUN, ITA teams / individual fencers

1. at least by one of these NOCs

or

2. from all these NOC together

 

[Wumo 3,002]

20 minutes ago, George_D said:

with "Caribbean nations" we mean obviously and the big ones also, Cuba, Jamaica etc?
 

Correct. Every recognised NOC who is an island nation/country in the Caribbean ocean. So a nation/country like Belize isn't included here.

 

 

23 minutes ago, George_D said:

 

if I get it right, both questions mean: will win first Olympic medal ever in the specific event??

In the specific sports, yes. 

 

24 minutes ago, George_D said:

Question means that every podium will be achieved by FRA, HUN, ITA teams / individual fencers

1. at least by one of these NOCs

or

2. from all these NOC together

 

Number 1 is the correct interpretation.

 

Example:

Spoiler

Criteria for "Yes":

 

Men's Epee: 

HUN, KOR, FRA

 

Men's Foil:

FRA, ITA, USA

 

Men's Sabre:

ITA, JPN, IRN

 

etc...

 

Criteria for "No"

 

Men's Epee:

HUN, KOR, FRA

 

Men's Foil:

FRA, ITA, USA

 

Men's Sabre

USA, JPN, IRN (None of the mentioned NOCs are on the podium. So the answer to the question would be "No". 

 

[LDOG 2,418]

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Edited July 11 by LDOG